Reiner Leidl
@leidl.bsky.social
Professor em. LMU Munich; health, economics, policy and management
Economics
39%
Public Health
37%
AIs are making it easier for everyone to predict the future. That leaves open how far forecasters—human and machine—are from the theoretical limit of what can be known about the future
Artificial intelligence now beats some of the best human forecasters
Crystal balls give way to LLMs
bit.ly
AI seems able to condense moods and expectations in a society from the web. Future paths may partly depend on these, also interacting with political change. This may lead to surprising capabilities in describing possible futures, as an example from 20 months ago shows. bsky.app/profile/leid...
Reposted by Reiner Leidl
Artificial intelligence now beats some of the best human forecasters
Crystal balls give way to LLMs
bit.ly
AIs are making it easier for everyone to predict the future. That leaves open how far forecasters—human and machine—are from the theoretical limit of what can be known about the future