Werner Krause
LightNews LightNews
krausewe.bsky.social
Werner Krause
@krausewe.bsky.social
2.7K followers 1.1K following 88 posts

Political Scientist @unipotsdam.bsky.social

- Comparative Politics, Political Parties & Voting Behavior
- Quantitative Methods & R

Prev. Uni Vienna, Humboldt Uni & WZB Berlin

https://krausewe.github.io

Videos
Political science 48%
Neuroscience 19%
Posts Replies Media Videos
Pinned
krausewe.bsky.social
Werner Krause @krausewe.bsky.social · Jun 9
New paper out in the @thejop.bsky.social (w/ @christinagahn.bsky.social)

Do opinion polls shape election results?

Using both cross-national data and a survey experiment, the answer we find is yes - though it depends on how we communicate polling results.

www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Image showing the abstract of the paper "Self-Fulfilling Prophecies at the Voting Booth" by Werner Krause and Christina Gahn, published in the Journal of Politics. The abstract describes a quasi-experimental study across 25 countries finding that parties polling just below electoral thresholds are approximately 45 percentage points less likely to clear them, and that this effect diminishes when voters are informed about polling uncertainty.

Reposted by Fabrizio Gilardi, Jochen Müller, Christian E. Weller , and 7 more

heikekluever.bsky.social
Heike Klüver @heikekluever.bsky.social · 12h
📣 We're hiring!

Looking for a PhD position? Join our team in Berlin!

Work with @heikekluever.bsky.social and @markuskollberg.bsky.social in #STATEWORK at Humboldt University and join our @dynamics.bsky.social PhD programme

Great people, great project, great city!

🗓️ Deadline: 13 October 2026