Andy Garin
@andygarin.bsky.social
Labor economist @ Carnegie Mellon University. Fan of rail ferries, portage railways, transporter bridges, and funiculars.
Reposted by Andy Garin
Reposted by Andy Garin
I am hiring a predoc to work on some projects on housing and neighborhoods! The position is based in Chicago, and the predoc will work out of the Census RDC at the Chicago Fed.
populationanalytics.nd.edu/resources/ca...
populationanalytics.nd.edu/resources/ca...
Predoctoral Research Scholar | Urban Policy and Inequality
populationanalytics.nd.edu
September 24, 2026 at 4:01 PM
I am hiring a predoc to work on some projects on housing and neighborhoods! The position is based in Chicago, and the predoc will work out of the Census RDC at the Chicago Fed.
populationanalytics.nd.edu/resources/ca...
populationanalytics.nd.edu/resources/ca...
Reposted by Andy Garin
The boring but effective way to ensure 'AI alignment' has two steps:
1. make those who build and sell AI responsible for what it does.
2. apply our best existing alignment technology – the law – to them.
Maybe the AI is sentient, malign or benign. Who cares? It doesn't matter for this to work.
1. make those who build and sell AI responsible for what it does.
2. apply our best existing alignment technology – the law – to them.
Maybe the AI is sentient, malign or benign. Who cares? It doesn't matter for this to work.
September 24, 2026 at 5:19 PM
The boring but effective way to ensure 'AI alignment' has two steps:
1. make those who build and sell AI responsible for what it does.
2. apply our best existing alignment technology – the law – to them.
Maybe the AI is sentient, malign or benign. Who cares? It doesn't matter for this to work.
1. make those who build and sell AI responsible for what it does.
2. apply our best existing alignment technology – the law – to them.
Maybe the AI is sentient, malign or benign. Who cares? It doesn't matter for this to work.
Reposted by Andy Garin
This "going rogue" framing is nonsense. These are still just text analysis models.
It's openAI that is "going rogue" by giving a computer program complete autonomy to make decisions without human oversight. That's a danger whether it's a fancy new LLM or an old-fashioned SQL database.
It's openAI that is "going rogue" by giving a computer program complete autonomy to make decisions without human oversight. That's a danger whether it's a fancy new LLM or an old-fashioned SQL database.
September 12, 2026 at 2:32 AM
This "going rogue" framing is nonsense. These are still just text analysis models.
It's openAI that is "going rogue" by giving a computer program complete autonomy to make decisions without human oversight. That's a danger whether it's a fancy new LLM or an old-fashioned SQL database.
It's openAI that is "going rogue" by giving a computer program complete autonomy to make decisions without human oversight. That's a danger whether it's a fancy new LLM or an old-fashioned SQL database.
Very apropos: Trump turned HOMES into SHAME
After Donald Trump’s executive order demanding the name change, Google is the first major online maps provider to flip the switch. www.wired.com/story/google...
Google Maps Now Shows ‘Lake America’ Instead of Lake Ontario
After Donald Trump’s executive order demanding the name change, Google is the first major online maps provider to flip the switch.
www.wired.com
August 31, 2026 at 4:56 PM
Very apropos: Trump turned HOMES into SHAME
More evidence that even reform Jews are not immune from the tide of antisem…
*actually checks article*
…Well, f*** everything
*actually checks article*
…Well, f*** everything
Reform Jews in the United States really need to realize their movement is openly despised in Israel, and respond accordingly. www.jta.org/2026/08/17/i...
Vandals attack prominent Reform synagogue in Jerusalem - Jewish Telegraphic Agency
Police have opened an investigation into the incident at Kol HaNeshamah, in which the assailants damaged the building and tore down Pride flags.
www.jta.org
August 20, 2026 at 6:31 PM
More evidence that even reform Jews are not immune from the tide of antisem…
*actually checks article*
…Well, f*** everything
*actually checks article*
…Well, f*** everything
Reposted by Andy Garin
The Economist piece on Acemoglu is extremely poor and seems motivated to me by some kind of animus.
August 19, 2026 at 7:14 AM
The Economist piece on Acemoglu is extremely poor and seems motivated to me by some kind of animus.
Reposted by Andy Garin
I think Refine is a very good tool. It has helped me a lot in the research process. I use it often and have a monthly subscription.
But this is problematic.
If I want to submit to the AEA or Econometric Society journals, I would feel compelled to check with Refine first.
But this is problematic.
If I want to submit to the AEA or Econometric Society journals, I would feel compelled to check with Refine first.
Pretty big break happening in academia between the “AI is banned for reviews” journals and the “AI is mandatory for reviews” journals. www.refine.ink/blog/economi...
Refine partners with the American Economic Association and the Econometric Society
Two leading publishers in economics now use Refine's AI-assisted technical verification as part of their publication processes.
www.refine.ink
August 6, 2026 at 6:52 PM
I think Refine is a very good tool. It has helped me a lot in the research process. I use it often and have a monthly subscription.
But this is problematic.
If I want to submit to the AEA or Econometric Society journals, I would feel compelled to check with Refine first.
But this is problematic.
If I want to submit to the AEA or Econometric Society journals, I would feel compelled to check with Refine first.
Tenured and grateful.
Grateful to be at a special place like Heinz with wonderful colleagues, for my advisors and mentors, for all the collaborators, students, and research assistants I’ve worked with and learned from, and to my family for being on this ride with me.
Grateful to be at a special place like Heinz with wonderful colleagues, for my advisors and mentors, for all the collaborators, students, and research assistants I’ve worked with and learned from, and to my family for being on this ride with me.
June 30, 2026 at 3:02 PM
Tenured and grateful.
Grateful to be at a special place like Heinz with wonderful colleagues, for my advisors and mentors, for all the collaborators, students, and research assistants I’ve worked with and learned from, and to my family for being on this ride with me.
Grateful to be at a special place like Heinz with wonderful colleagues, for my advisors and mentors, for all the collaborators, students, and research assistants I’ve worked with and learned from, and to my family for being on this ride with me.
Reposted by Andy Garin
June 3, 2026 at 12:37 PM
Reposted by Andy Garin
Reposted by Andy Garin
Thrilled to see this paper in print. What started as a Medicaid managed care natural experiment produced some of the best evidence we have on coverage restriction effects. www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...
The Private Provision of Public Services: Evidence from Random Assignment in Medicaid
(June 2026) - This paper examines the effects of privatizing social health insurance. We exploit a natural experiment in Medicaid, wherein nearly 100,000 enrollees were randomly assigned between a pub...
www.aeaweb.org
May 28, 2026 at 4:31 PM
Thrilled to see this paper in print. What started as a Medicaid managed care natural experiment produced some of the best evidence we have on coverage restriction effects. www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...
Reposted by Andy Garin
A suppressed 2022 report at Yale found significant growth in many units (though the reasons were difficult to be certain of, absent cooperation from the administration). campuspress.yale.edu/facultyforya...
May 27, 2026 at 12:13 AM
A suppressed 2022 report at Yale found significant growth in many units (though the reasons were difficult to be certain of, absent cooperation from the administration). campuspress.yale.edu/facultyforya...
Reposted by Andy Garin
My public research university literally has a cattle ranch
In @nytopinion.nytimes.com
The problem on college campuses is not just that students lack civility, Michal Leibowitz writes, but that “our college education does almost nothing to develop the sense that what we do in our day-to-day lives resonates with people beyond ourselves.”
The problem on college campuses is not just that students lack civility, Michal Leibowitz writes, but that “our college education does almost nothing to develop the sense that what we do in our day-to-day lives resonates with people beyond ourselves.”
Opinion | A Cattle Ranch Is Doing What Ivy League Colleges Can’t
College education does almost nothing to develop the sense that what we do in our day-to-day lives resonates with people beyond ourselves.
nyti.ms
May 21, 2026 at 2:43 PM
My public research university literally has a cattle ranch
Reposted by Andy Garin
The gloomy headlines about the future of American higher ed been seemingly relentless. But the discourse is missing some basic(and surprising) facts about what’s actually happening right now. Here are 10....
May 15, 2026 at 6:09 PM
The gloomy headlines about the future of American higher ed been seemingly relentless. But the discourse is missing some basic(and surprising) facts about what’s actually happening right now. Here are 10....
Also, surprisingly, even applies to Bomberman 64: The Second Attack!
A highly enjoyable bit of cultural convergent evolution is that His Dark Materials has the same narrative structure as a 90s JRPG:
First level: you, your childhood friend who will ultimately die have childish hijinks!
Final level: you, your love interest and a motley crew fight God
First level: you, your childhood friend who will ultimately die have childish hijinks!
Final level: you, your love interest and a motley crew fight God
May 13, 2026 at 11:33 PM
Also, surprisingly, even applies to Bomberman 64: The Second Attack!
Reposted by Andy Garin
"no one wants to work at 3 am anymore".
They never did!
They never did!
May 13, 2026 at 6:40 PM
"no one wants to work at 3 am anymore".
They never did!
They never did!
Reposted by Andy Garin
It's true that a "downside" or rising working class wages is that goods and services that are very labor intensive, like fast food and taxis will become more expensive. There will be increased competition for housing. The media *only* reported and emphasized these downsides.
May 13, 2026 at 1:55 PM
It's true that a "downside" or rising working class wages is that goods and services that are very labor intensive, like fast food and taxis will become more expensive. There will be increased competition for housing. The media *only* reported and emphasized these downsides.
Reposted by Andy Garin
Reposted by Andy Garin
It's a very odd feeling to read that the cost of your firing was $20 billion to the US economy.
Studies like this are so important. It's hard to put a value on a public service. Trustworthy economic data is vital to so much economic activity in a $29 trillion economy. Worth your time to read.
Studies like this are so important. It's hard to put a value on a public service. Trustworthy economic data is vital to so much economic activity in a $29 trillion economy. Worth your time to read.
🚨New paper.
🧵Our baseline estimate implies that preserving trust in the integrity and quality of official statistics generates economic benefits of about $25 for every $1 spent on the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics's budget.
cc: @nickbloom.bsky.social, @ericagroshen.bsky.social, #econsky
🧵Our baseline estimate implies that preserving trust in the integrity and quality of official statistics generates economic benefits of about $25 for every $1 spent on the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics's budget.
cc: @nickbloom.bsky.social, @ericagroshen.bsky.social, #econsky
May 4, 2026 at 11:45 PM
It's a very odd feeling to read that the cost of your firing was $20 billion to the US economy.
Studies like this are so important. It's hard to put a value on a public service. Trustworthy economic data is vital to so much economic activity in a $29 trillion economy. Worth your time to read.
Studies like this are so important. It's hard to put a value on a public service. Trustworthy economic data is vital to so much economic activity in a $29 trillion economy. Worth your time to read.
Reposted by Andy Garin
Absolutely extraordinary. The Democrats conceded *nothing* and got everything they demanded. They said no ICE/CBP funding, and that's precisely what happened.
In other words, they did not cave. At all. But the GOP did—completely.
In other words, they did not cave. At all. But the GOP did—completely.
House passes the Senate-approved DHS funding bill by a voice vote.
It funds everything in DHS except ICE/CBP, including TSA, FEMA, Coast Guard, CISA.
This ends a 75-day shutdown.
Bill now goes to Trump to become law.
www.nbcnews.com/politics/con...
It funds everything in DHS except ICE/CBP, including TSA, FEMA, Coast Guard, CISA.
This ends a 75-day shutdown.
Bill now goes to Trump to become law.
www.nbcnews.com/politics/con...
Congress votes to end record shutdown, sending DHS funding bill to Trump's desk
The House voted to fund most of the Department of Homeland Security, ending a 75-day shutdown. ICE and border patrol will be funded separately due to Democratic opposition.
www.nbcnews.com
April 30, 2026 at 7:29 PM
Absolutely extraordinary. The Democrats conceded *nothing* and got everything they demanded. They said no ICE/CBP funding, and that's precisely what happened.
In other words, they did not cave. At all. But the GOP did—completely.
In other words, they did not cave. At all. But the GOP did—completely.
Reposted by Andy Garin
We are still interviewing for research assistants at the Philly Fed for this cycle. It’s a great opportunity for students who want to get more experience with research and there are lots of development opportunities
rb.wd5.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/FRS/jo...
rb.wd5.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/FRS/jo...
Research Assistant/Sr. Research Assistant
Company Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Job Description Summary Research assistants (RAs) at the Philadelphia Fed play a key role in the Economic Research Department. Whether they are helping eco...
rb.wd5.myworkdayjobs.com
April 29, 2026 at 1:59 PM
We are still interviewing for research assistants at the Philly Fed for this cycle. It’s a great opportunity for students who want to get more experience with research and there are lots of development opportunities
rb.wd5.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/FRS/jo...
rb.wd5.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/FRS/jo...
Reposted by Andy Garin
OK, time for a game!
These charts show employment for a selection of detailed industries (4-digit NAICS) vs their prepandemic (2012-2019) trend. Which ones, if any, seem to show the effect of AI? (Chat GPT launch shown for reference.)
I'll post a version with industry labels in a bit.
#EconSky
These charts show employment for a selection of detailed industries (4-digit NAICS) vs their prepandemic (2012-2019) trend. Which ones, if any, seem to show the effect of AI? (Chat GPT launch shown for reference.)
I'll post a version with industry labels in a bit.
#EconSky
April 8, 2026 at 8:56 PM
OK, time for a game!
These charts show employment for a selection of detailed industries (4-digit NAICS) vs their prepandemic (2012-2019) trend. Which ones, if any, seem to show the effect of AI? (Chat GPT launch shown for reference.)
I'll post a version with industry labels in a bit.
#EconSky
These charts show employment for a selection of detailed industries (4-digit NAICS) vs their prepandemic (2012-2019) trend. Which ones, if any, seem to show the effect of AI? (Chat GPT launch shown for reference.)
I'll post a version with industry labels in a bit.
#EconSky
Reposted by Andy Garin
Unpopular opinion alert: Chuck Schumer deserves credit for keeping his caucus in line until Republicans folded.
Senate Democrats held firm for weeks forcing Senate Republicans to capitulate. www.politico.com/news/2026/03...
Senate agrees to end shutdown for most of DHS
The House could act as soon as Friday to reopen most parts of the sprawling agency.
www.politico.com
March 27, 2026 at 11:26 AM
Unpopular opinion alert: Chuck Schumer deserves credit for keeping his caucus in line until Republicans folded.