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CDL Associates
@cdlassociates.bsky.social
Watching the Clash of Civilizations, the Fall of Russia and the U.S. Four and a half decades of Foreign Policy & International Security, Intelligence, Crude Oil, Energy. Inside knowledge. All retired or not much.
Pinned
It seems that Zelensky is ready to give Putin the Donbas in exchange for a program for the reconstruction of Ukraine and some security guarantees, including the preservation of a "strong army" (including joint arms production with Europe, the deployment of peacekeeping forces, etc.).
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Reposted by CDL Associates
Putin said threats to Russia are not decreasing as NATO expands and claimed some European leaders openly speak of preparing for war with Russia. He also insisted Moscow has no aggressive intentions toward Europe, while warning that Russia would respond if relations remain confrontational. #Russia
September 18, 2026 at 7:25 PM
Reposted by CDL Associates
A very good way to react to 🇷🇺 provocations 😎
September 18, 2026 at 7:28 PM
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Russia under Putin increasingly accusing those opposed to war on Ukraine as 'spies': the banning of statistics also reminds me of what the Trump White House is doing in the US (stifling info it does not like) www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/price...
The Price of Russian Paranoia
Spy hunting shores up Putin’s power—but paralyzes the state.
www.foreignaffairs.com
September 18, 2026 at 7:51 PM
Reposted by CDL Associates
Fighting Intensifies in Yemen as Militia Advances on Key Provinces: clashes between Iranian-backed Houthi fighters and Saudi-backed government forces have been reported near oil-rich Marib Province www.nytimes.com/2026/09/17/w...
Yemen War Intensifies as Houthi Militia Advances on Marib
Clashes between Iranian-backed Houthi fighters and Saudi-backed government forces have been reported near oil-rich Marib Province.
www.nytimes.com
September 18, 2026 at 7:54 PM
Reposted by CDL Associates
I wrote about Switzerland’s surprisingly clear-eyed view of the security situation here:

ecfr.eu/article/brea...
Breaking tradition: Why Russia’s war is making Switzerland question its neutrality – European Council on Foreign Relations
Europe’s rapidly changing geopolitical position is causing Switzerland to rethink elements of its neutrality. This dramatic break in tradition should be a warni
ecfr.eu
September 18, 2026 at 7:56 PM
Reposted by CDL Associates
“We have become accustomed to Switzerland’s security. We sometimes find it hard to believe that it is under threat, even though the signs are unmistakable. There is war once again in and around Europe. The situation is more dangerous than it has been
for decades.”

This is gonna be worth reading
cms.news.admin.ch
September 18, 2026 at 6:55 PM
US in Niger? NIGER??? Wait, but Niger is controlled by Russia. apnews.com/article/nige...
We have some questions here.
September 18, 2026 at 7:19 PM
Did the Americans invent these paid clapping clowns behind politicians and candidates delivering another stupid speech?
it's amusing that JD Vance went all the way to Iowa to campaign for Republicans, only to have the most prominent Republican on the ticket in the state stiff him because he's so toxic
JD Vance in Iowa on Ashley Hinson, who recently has been trying to distance herself from Trump: "She couldn't be here today, but ... "
September 18, 2026 at 6:47 PM
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'𝐈𝐭’𝐬 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐜𝐥𝐞𝐚𝐫 𝐰𝐡𝐲 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐞𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐩𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐰𝐚𝐬 𝐫𝐞𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐨𝐫 𝐰𝐡𝐨 𝐡𝐚𝐬 𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐨𝐟 𝐢𝐭 𝐧𝐨𝐰'
Politico - Sensitive F-35 fighter jet technology was unexpectedly diverted to Hong Kong, sparking an inquiry on Capitol Hill and raising the possibility China could have access to key components of the highly classified weapon system. www.politico.com/news/2026/09...
Hill investigates after F-35 parts diverted to Hong Kong
The incident raises the possibility that top secret weapons technology may have been exposed to a foreign adversary — including China.
www.politico.com
September 18, 2026 at 6:28 PM
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Patel ordered FBI to temporarily halted cooperation with Canada/RCMP over CBC's references to 9/11 as 'not terrorism': hey, Kash! The CBC does NOT speak for Canada you moron! Do the US a favour and resign. www.nytimes.com/2026/09/18/u...
F.B.I. Temporarily Halted Cooperation With Canada Over References to 9/11
The abrupt move by Kash Patel, the bureau’s director, came as President Trump was ramping up his attacks on the country.
www.nytimes.com
September 18, 2026 at 6:29 PM
Putin will say: If you want to show that you are serious, lift the sanctions first.
Trump admin considering business deals with Russia *before* any ceasefire in Ukraine.

Almost as if the main point is the business deals rather than peace. www.nytimes.com/2026/09/17/u...
September 18, 2026 at 3:51 PM
Reposted by CDL Associates
Hadnt followed up on this but sweet christ

www.reuters.com/business/ene...
September 18, 2026 at 2:19 PM
Any indication NATO, European defence chiefs discuss this? This is only a problem for the Saudis? Make peace, not war?
Good luck...
NEW: Letting the Houthis consolidate control over the Red Sea coastal plain would enable the Houthis to assert illegal authority over international maritime traffic in the Bab al Mandeb Strait, which would be extremely detrimental to US interests. (1/9)

Read the full report: isw.pub/IranUpdate09...
September 18, 2026 at 3:39 PM
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MUST READ: Massimiliano Coccia investigated a vast and structured network of russian spies linked to the russian embassy in Rome that exploits Italy's lax visa policies towards russian/Belarusian citizens to use the country as a transport hub for dispatching saboteurs throughout the Schengen zone.
September 17, 2026 at 2:43 PM
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The Alexander Ovechkin scandal should not be ignored, but rather carefully studied because it exposes the role assigned to all russians in sport and the arts: laundering the genocidal russian war of conquest on behalf of their government in the name of russian supremacism.
Thread By @LetsArmUKR - Ovechkin acted immediately. That's...
Ovechkin acted immediately. That's the part worth sitting with. Reuters asked about the United Russia ad and he said he agreed immediately, no pause, no...
unrollnow.com
September 18, 2026 at 6:41 AM
If NATO's leadership was not so ... ... ... (we didn't find polite words), the Alliance would announce a humanitarian mission to supply civilians, another Berlin Airlift, also known as Operation Vittles. And if the Russian motherfuckers would try to do something... You know...
But..., but...
September 18, 2026 at 2:37 PM
It was 2023 when we called it World War III. They laughed at us. Then President Aliyev and someone else said the same thing. Their words were ignored. Now they say that all these wars are parts of the same war. Yes, of course. 100%. Still not everyone in Europe has finally begun to understand this.
Nico Lange is currently the best German security expert because he is one of the few political advisers with the clarity of mind to understand that the wars waged by russia's allies in the Middle East and Africa are part of the same war that the russians are waging against the free world.
To Deter Russia, Europe Must Stop Buying Its Energy and Establish an “If–Then” Principle — prominent German security expert
European NATO countries are currently failing to deter Russia because their governments lack the necessary political will, according to Nico Lange. To restore credible deterrence,
ghall.com.ua
September 18, 2026 at 2:14 PM
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Slovak PM Robert Fico says he doesn’t want Slovakia dragged into defending allies under NATO Article 5 if war breaks out. He criticized EU leaders’ "warlike rhetoric", questioned who NATO would fight, and said he’ll do everything to keep Slovakia out of any conflict.
September 18, 2026 at 8:29 AM
Reposted by CDL Associates
🚅🇺🇦 Russia has opened a hunt for Ukrazaliznytsia passenger trains, - Politico

Since the beginning of the full-scale invasion, Russian has damaged or destroyed more than 500 locomotives, with more than 60% of the losses falling in the last eight months.
September 18, 2026 at 8:31 AM
Reposted by CDL Associates
Polish PM Donald Tusk warned that “difficult weeks and months” lie ahead for Ukraine and its partners. He said Russia is intensifying attacks on Ukrainian energy and industry and that Poland and other countries must prepare for different scenarios, including more “dramatic” ones. #Ukraine
September 18, 2026 at 9:20 AM
Reposted by CDL Associates
Kudos to Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, who reminded the cowardly right- and left-wing russian collaborators in the European Parliament in Strasbourg that

"Goethe understood that ideals must be fought for and that values do not defend themselves".
September 18, 2026 at 9:13 AM
Reposted by CDL Associates
“The American people chose Donald Trump, twice. The American people—and the American political system—sat back and did nothing when Trump threatened to annex Canada and Greenland…The free world now views America as a threat. The free world is right to.”

open.substack.com/pub/thebulwa...
Canada Is Making America Its B*tch
The story of how a crafty middle power pantsed a moronic superpower.
open.substack.com
September 17, 2026 at 7:05 PM
That's what we've been saying, urging, calling for: hit logistics and personnel, hit railway bridges over rivers, don't waste valuable resources on warehouses somehere there, grind, grind, grind in Donbas and the neighbouring territories of Russia. Grinding strategy per Avril Haines. She knew.
1/ Russian forces in the Lyman salient are being hampered by an "acute" shortage of supplies and personnel, according to Russian reports. They are said to be facing a difficult and deteriorating situation as Ukraine's counteroffensive continues. ⬇️
September 17, 2026 at 6:57 PM