➡️ REF: 26.2% (-0.8)
🌹 LAB: 20.0% (+0.7)
🌳 CON: 19.2% (+0.4)
💚 GRN: 13.1% (-0.2)
🔶 LDM: 12.3% (=)
🔵 RES: 3.7% (+0.7)
🏴 SNP: 3.0% (=)
🏴 PLC: 1.2% (-0.2)
⚪️ Other: 3.8% (-0.2)
(+/- vs 15th June 2026)
➡️ REF: 26.2% (-0.8)
🌹 LAB: 20.0% (+0.7)
🌳 CON: 19.2% (+0.4)
💚 GRN: 13.1% (-0.2)
🔶 LDM: 12.3% (=)
🔵 RES: 3.7% (+0.7)
🏴 SNP: 3.0% (=)
🏴 PLC: 1.2% (-0.2)
⚪️ Other: 3.8% (-0.2)
(+/- vs 15th June 2026)
🌹 Andy Burnham*: -8.9% (+0.6)
🔶 Ed Davey: -9.1% (+2.3)
🌳 Kemi Badenoch: -10.6% (+3.5)
💚 Zack Polanski: -21.0% (+3.5)
➡️ Nigel Farage: -28.0% (+3.2)
🌹 Keir Starmer: -42.4% (+4.0)
*Expected to be next Labour leader
(+/- vs 15/06/2026)
🌹 Andy Burnham*: -8.9% (+0.6)
🔶 Ed Davey: -9.1% (+2.3)
🌳 Kemi Badenoch: -10.6% (+3.5)
💚 Zack Polanski: -21.0% (+3.5)
➡️ Nigel Farage: -28.0% (+3.2)
🌹 Keir Starmer: -42.4% (+4.0)
*Expected to be next Labour leader
(+/- vs 15/06/2026)
🌹Burnham: -4
🔶Davey: -9
🌹Healey: -10
🌹Powell: -12
🌹Phillipson: -14
🌳Badenoch: -15
🌹Nandy: -16
🌳Stride: -16
🌳Cleverly: -19
🔵Lowe: -20
🌹Cooper: -21
🌹Mahmood: -25
💚Polanski: -26
🌹Miliband: -32
🌹Rayner: -33
🌹Streeting: -38
➡️Farage: -40
🫵Corbyn: -40
🌹Starmer: -45
🌹Reeves: -50
🌹Burnham: -4
🔶Davey: -9
🌹Healey: -10
🌹Powell: -12
🌹Phillipson: -14
🌳Badenoch: -15
🌹Nandy: -16
🌳Stride: -16
🌳Cleverly: -19
🔵Lowe: -20
🌹Cooper: -21
🌹Mahmood: -25
💚Polanski: -26
🌹Miliband: -32
🌹Rayner: -33
🌹Streeting: -38
➡️Farage: -40
🫵Corbyn: -40
🌹Starmer: -45
🌹Reeves: -50
-4%
✅ 34% favourable
❌ 38% unfavourable
📈 Up 7 points from prior to the Makerfield by-election.
📉 Down 2 points from 1 month ago.
📉 Down 13 points from high of +9% on 21/04/2026.
-4%
✅ 34% favourable
❌ 38% unfavourable
📈 Up 7 points from prior to the Makerfield by-election.
📉 Down 2 points from 1 month ago.
📉 Down 13 points from high of +9% on 21/04/2026.
🌹 LAB: Bev Craig
🌳 CON: Nadim Muslim*
🔶 LDM: TBA
➡️ REF: Dan Barker*
💚 GRN: Geraldine Coggins
🔵 RES: Marlon West
⚙️ WPGB: George Galloway
*To be confirmed
🌹 LAB: Bev Craig
🌳 CON: Nadim Muslim*
🔶 LDM: TBA
➡️ REF: Dan Barker*
💚 GRN: Geraldine Coggins
🔵 RES: Marlon West
⚙️ WPGB: George Galloway
*To be confirmed
🌳 CON: 34
🌹 LAB: 31
🔶 LDM: 10
🦁 DUP: 2
➡️ REF: 1
🙋 IND: 1
💚 GRN: 0
Note: 4 other paid trips to Israel were accepted by current Reform UK MPs before they defected from the Conservative Party.
🌳 CON: 34
🌹 LAB: 31
🔶 LDM: 10
🦁 DUP: 2
➡️ REF: 1
🙋 IND: 1
💚 GRN: 0
Note: 4 other paid trips to Israel were accepted by current Reform UK MPs before they defected from the Conservative Party.
✅ NET change: 32%
❌ NET no change: 43%
⚪️ Don't know: 25%
Source: @yougov.co.uk
✅ NET change: 32%
❌ NET no change: 43%
⚪️ Don't know: 25%
Source: @yougov.co.uk
📈 Better than Starmer: 23%
✅ Both equally good: 8%
❌ Neither would be good: 32%
📉 Worse than Starmer: 8%
⚪️ Don’t know: 29%
Source: @yougov.co.uk
📈 Better than Starmer: 23%
✅ Both equally good: 8%
❌ Neither would be good: 32%
📉 Worse than Starmer: 8%
⚪️ Don’t know: 29%
Source: @yougov.co.uk
🏴 PLC: 100% (3/3)
🔶 LDM: 100% (2/2)
💚 GRN: 100% (2/2)
🌹 LAB: 100% (1/1)
🌳 CON: 37.5% (3/8)
➡️ REF: 0% (0/2)
🙋 IND/LOC: 0% (0/2)
Source: @electionmaps.uk
🏴 PLC: 100% (3/3)
🔶 LDM: 100% (2/2)
💚 GRN: 100% (2/2)
🌹 LAB: 100% (1/1)
🌳 CON: 37.5% (3/8)
➡️ REF: 0% (0/2)
🙋 IND/LOC: 0% (0/2)
Source: @electionmaps.uk
❌ Not confident: 47%
⚪️ Neutral: 19%
✅ Confident: 29%
Source: @survation.bsky.social
❌ Not confident: 47%
⚪️ Neutral: 19%
✅ Confident: 29%
Source: @survation.bsky.social
➡️ REF: 27%
🌹 LAB: 26%
🌳 CON: 17%
🔶 LDM: 11%
💚 GRN: 11%
⚪️ Other: 8%
➡️ REF: 27%
🌹 LAB: 26%
🌳 CON: 17%
🔶 LDM: 11%
💚 GRN: 11%
⚪️ Other: 8%
Average error:
Weighted average of all polls: 2.7%
Convergent: 2.6%
Survation: 2.7%
Opinium: 3.0%
More In Common: 3.3%
Highest single error:
Weighted average of all polls: 7.8%
Convergent: 5.8%
Survation: 7.0%
Opinium: 8.8%
More In Common: 9.8%
Average error:
Weighted average of all polls: 2.7%
Convergent: 2.6%
Survation: 2.7%
Opinium: 3.0%
More In Common: 3.3%
Highest single error:
Weighted average of all polls: 7.8%
Convergent: 5.8%
Survation: 7.0%
Opinium: 8.8%
More In Common: 9.8%
-11%
30% favourable
41% unfavourable
Down 15 points since 1 month ago.
Down 20 points since high of +9% on 21/04/2026.
-11%
30% favourable
41% unfavourable
Down 15 points since 1 month ago.
Down 20 points since high of +9% on 21/04/2026.
🌹 LAB: 46% (-2)
➡️ REF: 40% (+1)
🔵 RES: 7% (-1)
🌳 CON: 2% (+1)
💚 GRN: 2% (=)
🔶 LDM: 1% (-1)
⚪️ Other: 1% (=)
(+/- vs 1st June)
🌹 LAB: 46% (-2)
➡️ REF: 40% (+1)
🔵 RES: 7% (-1)
🌳 CON: 2% (+1)
💚 GRN: 2% (=)
🔶 LDM: 1% (-1)
⚪️ Other: 1% (=)
(+/- vs 1st June)
💚 GRN: +26% (leans gay/bi)
🌹 LAB: +2%
🔶 LDM: -5%
🌳 CON: -12%
➡️ REF: -17% (leans straight)
Source: @moreincommonuk.bsky.social
💚 GRN: +26% (leans gay/bi)
🌹 LAB: +2%
🔶 LDM: -5%
🌳 CON: -12%
➡️ REF: -17% (leans straight)
Source: @moreincommonuk.bsky.social
💚 GRN: +12% (leans gay/bi)
🔶 LDM: +2%
🌹 LAB: -4%
🌳 CON: -5%
➡️ REF: -8% (leans straight)
Source: @moreincommonuk.bsky.social
💚 GRN: +12% (leans gay/bi)
🔶 LDM: +2%
🌹 LAB: -4%
🌳 CON: -5%
➡️ REF: -8% (leans straight)
Source: @moreincommonuk.bsky.social
Under 50:
🏴 SNP: 27%
💚 GRN: 23%
🌹 LAB: 16%
➡️ REF: 13%
🔶 LDM: 10%
🌳 CON: 7%
⚪️ Other: 5%
50 and over:
🏴 SNP: 28%
➡️ REF: 20%
🌹 LAB: 16%
🌳 CON: 15%
🔶 LDM: 8%
💚 GRN: 6%
⚪️ Other: 5%
Source: @yougov.co.uk
Under 50:
🏴 SNP: 27%
💚 GRN: 23%
🌹 LAB: 16%
➡️ REF: 13%
🔶 LDM: 10%
🌳 CON: 7%
⚪️ Other: 5%
50 and over:
🏴 SNP: 28%
➡️ REF: 20%
🌹 LAB: 16%
🌳 CON: 15%
🔶 LDM: 8%
💚 GRN: 6%
⚪️ Other: 5%
Source: @yougov.co.uk
Under 60:
🏴 PLC: 42%
➡️ REF: 24%
🌹 LAB: 10%
💚 GRN: 9%
🌳 CON: 7%
🔶 LDM: 4%
⚪️ Other: 2%
60 and over:
➡️ REF: 36%
🏴 PLC: 25%
🌳 CON: 15%
🌹 LAB: 12%
🔶 LDM: 5%
💚 GRN: 3%
⚪️ Other: 2%
Source: @yougov.co.uk
Under 60:
🏴 PLC: 42%
➡️ REF: 24%
🌹 LAB: 10%
💚 GRN: 9%
🌳 CON: 7%
🔶 LDM: 4%
⚪️ Other: 2%
60 and over:
➡️ REF: 36%
🏴 PLC: 25%
🌳 CON: 15%
🌹 LAB: 12%
🔶 LDM: 5%
💚 GRN: 3%
⚪️ Other: 2%
Source: @yougov.co.uk
🌹 LAB: 48% (+3)
➡️ REF: 39% (+7)
🔵 RES: 8% (+8)
💚 GRN: 2% (-2)
🔶 LDM: 2% (-5)
🌳 CON: 1% (-10)
⚪️ Other: 1% (=)
(+/- vs GE2024)
🌹 LAB: 48% (+3)
➡️ REF: 39% (+7)
🔵 RES: 8% (+8)
💚 GRN: 2% (-2)
🔶 LDM: 2% (-5)
🌳 CON: 1% (-10)
⚪️ Other: 1% (=)
(+/- vs GE2024)
Burnham:
➡️ REF: 28%
🌹 LAB: 24%
🌳 CON: 16%
🔶 LDM: 11%
💚 GRN: 11%
⚪️ Other: 10%
Starmer:
➡️ REF: 30%
🌹 LAB: 21%
🌳 CON: 17%
💚 GRN: 13%
🔶 LDM: 12%
⚪️ Other: 8%
Source: BMG Research
Burnham:
➡️ REF: 28%
🌹 LAB: 24%
🌳 CON: 16%
🔶 LDM: 11%
💚 GRN: 11%
⚪️ Other: 10%
Starmer:
➡️ REF: 30%
🌹 LAB: 21%
🌳 CON: 17%
💚 GRN: 13%
🔶 LDM: 12%
⚪️ Other: 8%
Source: BMG Research
➡️ REF: 26.9% (+1.0)
🌹 LAB: 19.0% (+0.5)
🌳 CON: 18.3% (-0.1)
💚 GRN: 14.5% (-1.6)
🔶 LDM: 12.4% (+0.4)
🔵 RES: 3.3% (-0.3)
🏴 SNP: 3.2% (+0.5)
🏴 PLC: 1.3% (+0.3)
⚪️ Other: 4.1% (-0.2)
(+/- April 2026)
➡️ REF: 26.9% (+1.0)
🌹 LAB: 19.0% (+0.5)
🌳 CON: 18.3% (-0.1)
💚 GRN: 14.5% (-1.6)
🔶 LDM: 12.4% (+0.4)
🔵 RES: 3.3% (-0.3)
🏴 SNP: 3.2% (+0.5)
🏴 PLC: 1.3% (+0.3)
⚪️ Other: 4.1% (-0.2)
(+/- April 2026)
July 2024:
Support: 59%
Oppose: 28%
December 2025:
Support: 30%
Oppose: 58%
May 2026:
Support: 37%
Oppose: 52%
Source: @yougov.co.uk
July 2024:
Support: 59%
Oppose: 28%
December 2025:
Support: 30%
Oppose: 58%
May 2026:
Support: 37%
Oppose: 52%
Source: @yougov.co.uk
18-24:
Support: 59%
Oppose: 26%
25-49:
Support: 44%
Oppose: 41%
50-64:
Support: 29%
Oppose: 62%
65+:
Support: 22%
Oppose: 73%
Source: @YouGov
18-24:
Support: 59%
Oppose: 26%
25-49:
Support: 44%
Oppose: 41%
50-64:
Support: 29%
Oppose: 62%
65+:
Support: 22%
Oppose: 73%
Source: @YouGov
➡️ Zia Yusuf (REF): 7
🔶 Daisy Cooper (LDM): 5
🌹 Peter Kyle (LAB): 4
🌹 Nick Thomas-Symonds (LAB): 4
🌳 Nigel Huddleston (CON): 4
🌳 Harriet Baldwin (CON): 4
🌹 Lisa Nandy (LAB): 4
🌹 James Murray (LAB): 4
➡️ Zia Yusuf (REF): 7
🔶 Daisy Cooper (LDM): 5
🌹 Peter Kyle (LAB): 4
🌹 Nick Thomas-Symonds (LAB): 4
🌳 Nigel Huddleston (CON): 4
🌳 Harriet Baldwin (CON): 4
🌹 Lisa Nandy (LAB): 4
🌹 James Murray (LAB): 4
🌹 LAB: 125.0%
🌳 CON: 117.2%
➡️ REF: 46.9%
🔶 LDM: 43.8%
💚 GRN: 23.4%
🏴 SNP: 10.9%
🏴 PLC: 6.3%
🔴 SDP: 3.1%
🍀 SF: 1.6%
🦁 DUP: 1.6%
🫵 YP: 1.6%
⚪️ None: 85.9%
🌹 LAB: 80
🌳 CON: 75
➡️ REF: 30
🔶 LDM: 28
💚 GRN: 15
🏴 SNP: 7
🏴 PLC: 4
🔴 SDP: 2
🍀 SF: 1
🦁 DUP: 1
🫵 YP: 1
⚪️ None: 55
🌹 LAB: 125.0%
🌳 CON: 117.2%
➡️ REF: 46.9%
🔶 LDM: 43.8%
💚 GRN: 23.4%
🏴 SNP: 10.9%
🏴 PLC: 6.3%
🔴 SDP: 3.1%
🍀 SF: 1.6%
🦁 DUP: 1.6%
🫵 YP: 1.6%
⚪️ None: 85.9%