Dave Keating
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davekeating.substack.com
Dave Keating
@davekeating.substack.com
🇺🇸🇪🇺American by birth, European by choice
Buy my book: www.TheOwnedContinent.eu
Read my Substack: https://DaveKeating.Substack.com/
Watch my reporting: www.DaveKeating.net
For 2 years, Donald Trump has had an air of invincibility. That has guided the timid way European leaders have responded to him.

If Democrats take control of Congress, practically it won't make much difference to US foreign policy. But could it give European leaders the courage to stand up to him?
What impact would a Democratic Congress have on Europe?
YouTube video by Dave Keating
youtu.be
November 3, 2026 at 10:34 PM
I'm in Paris at European Defence Week, where military figures, politicians, innovators and investors have come together to talk about how to develop sovereign defence.

More spending alone won't cut it.

Watch the full video here: substack.com/note/m-e7c56...
November 3, 2026 at 4:59 PM
European leaders want to explain away Trump's statements about having been given Greenland as harmless delusion. It's not.

This line is being repeated by the US State Department.

The US government now believes it owns Greenland. They will act accordingly in the coming months.
November 3, 2026 at 2:48 PM
Reposted by Dave Keating
Trump: "If people ever got tired of me in the US, I'll move to Israel and become prime minister"
November 3, 2026 at 1:40 PM
Reposted by Dave Keating
"We have a helper, and it's Israel" -- Trump says he has a "tremendous partnership" with Israel and adds "we have a tremendous fighting force" to keep "total control" of the Middle East
November 3, 2026 at 1:24 PM
While European obsession with US elections is understandable, particularly now, it's symptomatic of this continent's failure to grow up

Imagine if all that time & energy passively consuming 🇺🇸politics were instead spent on building an independent EU

My take: davekeating.substack.com/p/once-again...
November 3, 2026 at 12:43 PM
Another US election, another night of all-night breathless coverage by European media.

Europeans should spend less time obsessing over American politics and more time building a Europe in which US elections aren't treated as more important than their own.
Once again, Europeans look to Daddy America to save them
Even if Democrats take the House and Senate in today’s election, US aggression toward Europe is likely to remain unchanged. In fact it may only get worse, as Trump lashes out using his remaining power
davekeating.substack.com
November 3, 2026 at 9:29 AM
A sobering reminder that even if Democrats do take control of 🇺🇸Congress in today's vote, it's very unlikely to stop the US aggression toward Europe.

In fact, it's likely to make things worse - because Trump will focus exclusively on foreign actions, which the Congress is mostly unable to block.
US midterms: Brussels shrugs at prospect of Trump defeat | Rapporteur
Brussels isn't convinced a change in Washington will mean a friendlier America
www.rapporteur.com
November 3, 2026 at 7:35 AM
Supermarket refrigerators across Europe today were hacked in a cyberattack which rose their temperatures to levels which spoiled food.

The EU's Agriculture Commissioner called it a "deliberate attempt to disrupt our food supply chain", and cybersecurity experts suspect a state actor is behind it.
Massive cyber attack on refrigerators in Europe
YouTube video by Dave Keating
youtu.be
November 2, 2026 at 9:16 PM
I really feel for those European students studying in the UK (and vice versa) between 2021 and 2027 who paid 5 times higher than they should have, simply because they happened to go to school during the Tories' Brexit folly period.
EU, UK aim to strike university tuition fee deal by May next year | Rapporteur
The deal would guarantee equal treatment on tuition fees for EU students in British universities and UK students in the EU
www.rapporteur.com
November 2, 2026 at 5:35 PM
Ahead of the 🇺🇸#Midterms2026, my piece on why Democrats should draw lessons from the “coup” accusations against Donald Tusk in Poland today.
davekeating.substack.com/p/polands-tu...
November 2, 2026 at 2:19 PM
The "reliable" sign outside the EU's foreign office (EEAS) is tearing off.

A bad sign?
November 2, 2026 at 1:56 PM
💯
When Trump is gone and people are looking back at this time in history, I hope no one says how the Constitution saved the USA. A more competent dictator than Trump would have finished the job off, the country was saved only by self eating nature of the far right.
An honesty is
November 2, 2026 at 1:56 PM
The Belgian prime minister is offering his resignation to the king this morning.

But take this with a grain of salt – this is likely just theatrics around the budget negotiations and the king will not accept. Let's see.
Belgian PM De Wever to offer resignation to King after failed budget talks
Belgium's Prime Minister Bart De Wever (N-VA) will offer his resignation to King Philippe on Monday morning.
www.brusselstimes.com
November 2, 2026 at 9:15 AM
Reposted by Dave Keating
Très heureux d'accueillir ce jeudi @davekeating.substack.com à ESPOL @univcatholille.bsky.social pour une conférence sur son livre "Le continent captif" @equateurs.bsky.social.

Au lendemain des midterms, on parlera relations transatlantiques, autonomie stratégique européenne et démocratie dans l'🇪🇺.
November 2, 2026 at 8:48 AM
What's happened in Poland and Hungary is informative for Democrats if they take control of Congress in tomorrow's election.

To undo political interference in non-partisan institutions, you inevitably have to interfere yourself. And without context, that can be presented as a "coup".
Poland’s turmoil shows the challenge for Democrats if they win tomorrow
A constitutional crisis is unfolding in Warsaw as the centrist government tries to undo the rule-of-law dismantling of the previous far-right government.
davekeating.substack.com
November 2, 2026 at 8:38 AM
It is not just Russian forces trying to oust the centrist government in Poland.

It is also coming from the US. And last night's dramatic events in Warsaw are part of that.
November 1, 2026 at 11:19 AM
Reposted by Dave Keating
Thank you, Donald Trump, for prolonging the war and making peace even more unlikely.
🥔✈️ Belarus will be able to buy spare parts and Boeing aircraft. The CEO of Belavia said that the US has lifted sanctions on the airline.

Now it expects to directly receive components and software for existing aircraft, as well as negotiate the purchase of new airliners.
November 1, 2026 at 10:15 AM
Reposted by Dave Keating
We are launching a new Alliance for the Future — a partnership that will bring together Canada, the EU, and other like-minded nations to address common issues and build our collective strength.
October 30, 2026 at 6:16 PM
🇺🇸🇷🇺🇨🇳The Wall Street Journal reports the US, Russia and China are backing Viktor Orban to become the next UN Secretary General.

That's the 3 largest members of the 15-seat 🇺🇳Security Council which selects the Sec Gen (subject to confirmation by gen assembly).
Trump considers Orbán as UN chief, WSJ reports
Trump administration officials are reportedly floating former Hungarian prime minister Viktor Orbán for UN secretary-general, potentially backed by the US, Russia and China, though nothing is confirme...
www.euronews.com
October 30, 2026 at 5:15 PM
Spain's election could shift the direction of the EU, even collapsing of the EU’s centrist governing coalition and bringing the far right into power in Brussels.

And yet, as @emilioordiz.bsky.social writes, Europe is not featuring in the 🇪🇸campaign: europemorningpost.substack.com/p/spains-ele...
October 30, 2026 at 9:26 AM
The "associate membership" idea was always dead on arrival. But the alliance is very much alive, and very much needed.

My piece on why today's announcements in Montreal are critically important for both Canada and Europe.
A Canada-EU alliance against American extortion
Today’s summit in Montreal is a challenge to the Donroe Doctrine, hence the furious reaction from Trump. This was never about “associate membership”. It’s about protection from US aggression.
davekeating.substack.com
October 30, 2026 at 8:54 AM
Lagarde has just resigned as ECB chief.

Is she preparing a last-minute bid to run for president of France?

She had previously said she wouldn't step down early. This is a reversal. www.reuters.com/business/ecb...
October 29, 2026 at 11:26 AM
In recent weeks, Spanish 🇪🇸Pedro Sanchez – the last remaining defender of the left in the EU – looked poised for a Lula-style comeback victory in the 29 November election.

But after yesterday's train crash, the 2nd in a year, that's now looking unlikely.
Spanish train disaster deals new blow to Sánchez’s long-shot election bid
The deadly crash is undermining the prime minister’s central pitch to voters that his government is competent and bettering Spaniards’ everyday lives.
www.politico.eu
October 29, 2026 at 11:07 AM
*New book reading event*

Come to the new Waterstones bookstore on Avenue Louise in Brussels for an evening in conversation with me and former Belgian Prime Minister Guy Verhoftstadt.

10 November, 7:30pm. Free but registration required:
Waterstones: In Conversation With Guy Verhofstadt and Dave Keating | The Owned Continent
Former Belgian Prime Minister Guy Verhofstadt, author of Defeating Trumpism, and journalist Dave Keating, author of The Owned Continent, will talk about their books and how to achieve European indepen...
theownedcontinent.eu
October 29, 2026 at 8:22 AM