Reposted by Felix Schenuit
NEW from us: India's rapid clean power expansion has kept power sector emissions flat for two years, for the first time in over 50 years, and sharply reduced fossil fuel imports. Oil and gas consumption have also fallen for two years in a row, helping alleviate the Hormuz shock.
September 17, 2026 at 5:43 AM
NEW from us: India's rapid clean power expansion has kept power sector emissions flat for two years, for the first time in over 50 years, and sharply reduced fossil fuel imports. Oil and gas consumption have also fallen for two years in a row, helping alleviate the Hormuz shock.
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
Global investment in clean technology manufacturing and industrial facilities fell 14% in Q1 and another 7% in Q2 2026, continuing a downward trend underway since late 2023. Solar manufacturing accounted for a large share of the decline.
September 14, 2026 at 7:53 PM
Global investment in clean technology manufacturing and industrial facilities fell 14% in Q1 and another 7% in Q2 2026, continuing a downward trend underway since late 2023. Solar manufacturing accounted for a large share of the decline.
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
NEW from me: China's CO2 emissions fell by 1% in the second quarter of 2026, as oil consumption plummeted amid the Strait of Hormuz crisis, with EVs and public transport among the key factors. Oil consumption fell by 9% overall and by 16% for transport. 🧵
NEW – Analysis: China’s CO2 emissions fall in Q2 2026 due to plummeting oil use | @laurimyllyvirta.bsky.social
Read here: buff.ly/P3nHdbA
Read here: buff.ly/P3nHdbA
September 3, 2026 at 6:24 AM
NEW from me: China's CO2 emissions fell by 1% in the second quarter of 2026, as oil consumption plummeted amid the Strait of Hormuz crisis, with EVs and public transport among the key factors. Oil consumption fell by 9% overall and by 16% for transport. 🧵
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
"Overshoot" scenarios have existed for 20+ years. This paper in 2009 was one of the first to systematically explore the issue.
You will see the emission scenarios look very similar to the emission scenarios we see today. What have we learnt in 20 years?
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
1/
You will see the emission scenarios look very similar to the emission scenarios we see today. What have we learnt in 20 years?
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
1/
September 4, 2026 at 7:02 AM
"Overshoot" scenarios have existed for 20+ years. This paper in 2009 was one of the first to systematically explore the issue.
You will see the emission scenarios look very similar to the emission scenarios we see today. What have we learnt in 20 years?
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
1/
You will see the emission scenarios look very similar to the emission scenarios we see today. What have we learnt in 20 years?
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
1/
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
The emissions scenarios underlying the next generation of climate model runs that will be featured in the upcoming IPCC 7th Assessment Report are officially out! I have a big new explainer over at Carbon Brief taking an in-depth look at what they mean and whats changed: www.carbonbrief.org/...
September 1, 2026 at 3:23 PM
The emissions scenarios underlying the next generation of climate model runs that will be featured in the upcoming IPCC 7th Assessment Report are officially out! I have a big new explainer over at Carbon Brief taking an in-depth look at what they mean and whats changed: www.carbonbrief.org/...
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
"A rapidly warming climate and retreating glaciers are increasing risks of these sorts of events in the region, whether or not we can ultimately attribute this particular event."
www.theclimatebrink.com/p/what-we-ca...
1/
www.theclimatebrink.com/p/what-we-ca...
1/
August 29, 2026 at 7:57 AM
"A rapidly warming climate and retreating glaciers are increasing risks of these sorts of events in the region, whether or not we can ultimately attribute this particular event."
www.theclimatebrink.com/p/what-we-ca...
1/
www.theclimatebrink.com/p/what-we-ca...
1/
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
New publication in Environmental Research Letters: overshooting 1.5°C then cooling back down does not undo the damage. We map where, for whom, and through what mechanisms temporary overshoot becomes permanent loss. Paper (OA): iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
1/12
1/12
August 17, 2026 at 10:11 AM
New publication in Environmental Research Letters: overshooting 1.5°C then cooling back down does not undo the damage. We map where, for whom, and through what mechanisms temporary overshoot becomes permanent loss. Paper (OA): iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
1/12
1/12
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
Why is the world experiencing a ‘super El Niño’, how will it reshape weather and is it linked to climate change?
These are all questions answered in a new explainer by me and @rtmcswee.carbonbrief.org, ft lots of interactive charts by our visuals team
interactive.carbonbrief.org/el-nino-expl...
These are all questions answered in a new explainer by me and @rtmcswee.carbonbrief.org, ft lots of interactive charts by our visuals team
interactive.carbonbrief.org/el-nino-expl...
Explainer: How the ‘super El Niño’ will reshape the world’s weather
The world is currently experiencing what is expected to become the strongest El Niño on record – dubbed a “super El Niño” by many.
interactive.carbonbrief.org
August 18, 2026 at 3:34 PM
Why is the world experiencing a ‘super El Niño’, how will it reshape weather and is it linked to climate change?
These are all questions answered in a new explainer by me and @rtmcswee.carbonbrief.org, ft lots of interactive charts by our visuals team
interactive.carbonbrief.org/el-nino-expl...
These are all questions answered in a new explainer by me and @rtmcswee.carbonbrief.org, ft lots of interactive charts by our visuals team
interactive.carbonbrief.org/el-nino-expl...
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
NEW SHIFT KEY: I spoke to the great @zekehausfather.com about why the current El Niño is breaking records (and poised to break more), what that will mean for global weather patterns, and whether we can now definitively say global warming is accelerating heatmap.news/podcast/shif...
Why This El Niño Looks Like a Monster
Rob checks in on this season’s supercharged ocean temperatures with climate researcher Zeke Hausfather.
heatmap.news
August 13, 2026 at 3:26 PM
NEW SHIFT KEY: I spoke to the great @zekehausfather.com about why the current El Niño is breaking records (and poised to break more), what that will mean for global weather patterns, and whether we can now definitively say global warming is accelerating heatmap.news/podcast/shif...
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
Climate impacts will become a structural macro-fiscal problem. With low private insurance, EU governments are sleepwalking into becoming disaster insurers of last resort.
Our @bruegel.org Policy Brief on mitigating rising fiscal costs of climate disasters.
🔗 www.bruegel.org/policy-brief...
🧵1/10
Our @bruegel.org Policy Brief on mitigating rising fiscal costs of climate disasters.
🔗 www.bruegel.org/policy-brief...
🧵1/10
Planning for the rising fiscal costs of climate disasters
Low insurance coverage is turning EU governments into disaster insurers of last resort, strengthening the case for prevention and adaptation finance
www.bruegel.org
June 20, 2026 at 9:26 AM
Climate impacts will become a structural macro-fiscal problem. With low private insurance, EU governments are sleepwalking into becoming disaster insurers of last resort.
Our @bruegel.org Policy Brief on mitigating rising fiscal costs of climate disasters.
🔗 www.bruegel.org/policy-brief...
🧵1/10
Our @bruegel.org Policy Brief on mitigating rising fiscal costs of climate disasters.
🔗 www.bruegel.org/policy-brief...
🧵1/10
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
The conventional wisdom is the Democrats' big climate law failed to deliver votes and then died. That's wrong. My new study finds its factories moved 2.5 million votes—more than Trump's margin. And the law's still alive.
My latest in @theatlantic.com. Gift link! www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...
My latest in @theatlantic.com. Gift link! www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...
Bidenomics Was More Successful Than People Think
Conventional wisdom holds that Joe Biden’s bet on climate investment was a bust. The data suggest otherwise.
www.theatlantic.com
August 5, 2026 at 5:10 PM
The conventional wisdom is the Democrats' big climate law failed to deliver votes and then died. That's wrong. My new study finds its factories moved 2.5 million votes—more than Trump's margin. And the law's still alive.
My latest in @theatlantic.com. Gift link! www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...
My latest in @theatlantic.com. Gift link! www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
I'm not sure folks have realized just how crazy the second half of 2026 and 2027 will be for global temperatures – on the back of a record-smashing El Niño event. Here is my latest estimate of where both years will end up compared to global temperatures since 1850.
August 2, 2026 at 7:27 PM
I'm not sure folks have realized just how crazy the second half of 2026 and 2027 will be for global temperatures – on the back of a record-smashing El Niño event. Here is my latest estimate of where both years will end up compared to global temperatures since 1850.
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
Bordeaux, France, has now recorded more days above 40°C in 2026 alone than during the entire 105-year period from 1920 (when observations began) to 2025.
This is deeply shocking.
This is deeply shocking.
July 31, 2026 at 10:44 AM
Bordeaux, France, has now recorded more days above 40°C in 2026 alone than during the entire 105-year period from 1920 (when observations began) to 2025.
This is deeply shocking.
This is deeply shocking.
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
Lowest ever Rhine water flow measured at the German-Dutch border in July was 782 m³/h, in 1976.
Now, we're at 680 m³/h!
Now, we're at 680 m³/h!
July 30, 2026 at 8:22 PM
Lowest ever Rhine water flow measured at the German-Dutch border in July was 782 m³/h, in 1976.
Now, we're at 680 m³/h!
Now, we're at 680 m³/h!
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
Pornainen, Finland (pop 5,000) is now heated by a silo of crushed soapstone.
I spoke to CNBC about it. 100 MWh, charged when power is cheap, emissions down ~70%. Days to weeks of storage, no critical minerals.
www.cnbc.com/2026/07/25/f...
I spoke to CNBC about it. 100 MWh, charged when power is cheap, emissions down ~70%. Days to weeks of storage, no critical minerals.
www.cnbc.com/2026/07/25/f...
Finland’s radical answer to renewable energy’s biggest headache: The world’s largest sand battery
A small Finnish town has turned to the world's largest commercial sand battery to tackle a major hurdle in the energy transition: intermittency.
www.cnbc.com
July 25, 2026 at 9:48 AM
Pornainen, Finland (pop 5,000) is now heated by a silo of crushed soapstone.
I spoke to CNBC about it. 100 MWh, charged when power is cheap, emissions down ~70%. Days to weeks of storage, no critical minerals.
www.cnbc.com/2026/07/25/f...
I spoke to CNBC about it. 100 MWh, charged when power is cheap, emissions down ~70%. Days to weeks of storage, no critical minerals.
www.cnbc.com/2026/07/25/f...
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
Now that millions of electric vehicles have been on the road for a decade or more, we have the data to check in on how their batteries are holding up. Quite well, it turns out.
EV Batteries Are Defying Expectations After Hundreds of Thousands of Miles
Industry experts think newfound knowledge of battery durability is a game-changer for consumer confidence in EVs.
www.wsj.com
July 5, 2026 at 12:50 PM
Now that millions of electric vehicles have been on the road for a decade or more, we have the data to check in on how their batteries are holding up. Quite well, it turns out.
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
Dank der starken Stromerzeugung aus erneuerbaren Quellen hat Deutschland im ersten Halbjahr 2026 im Saldo nur 1,25 TWh Strom importiert. Im ersten Halbjahr 2025 waren es 9,6 TWh.
www.energy-charts.info/downloads/St...
www.energy-charts.info/downloads/St...
July 5, 2026 at 10:04 AM
Dank der starken Stromerzeugung aus erneuerbaren Quellen hat Deutschland im ersten Halbjahr 2026 im Saldo nur 1,25 TWh Strom importiert. Im ersten Halbjahr 2025 waren es 9,6 TWh.
www.energy-charts.info/downloads/St...
www.energy-charts.info/downloads/St...
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
BREAKING: Parliament votes for the UK's seventh carbon budget, targeting an 87% cut in emissions by 2040
332 in favour
94 against
332 in favour
94 against
June 24, 2026 at 6:53 PM
BREAKING: Parliament votes for the UK's seventh carbon budget, targeting an 87% cut in emissions by 2040
332 in favour
94 against
332 in favour
94 against
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
Last week, Frontier announced that we are doubling the size of our advanced market commitment to support the development of durable carbon removal, with an additional $915 million from both existing Frontier members and new ones like Anthropic
$915M in new funding to drive carbon removal's next phase of growth
Frontier is committing an additional $915M to accelerate the world's best carbon removal companies, with Anthropic joining as a new buyer alongside Stripe, Google, Shopify, Salesforce, and H&M Group.
frontierclimate.com
June 22, 2026 at 4:21 PM
Last week, Frontier announced that we are doubling the size of our advanced market commitment to support the development of durable carbon removal, with an additional $915 million from both existing Frontier members and new ones like Anthropic
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
Um netto null zu erreichen braucht es Kohlenstoffentnahme. Aber wer soll die machen, wenn sie nicht vorgeschrieben ist? Das @umweltministerium.de will jetzt Anreize schaffen, berichtet @mediathoms.bsky.social
share.deutschlandradio.de/dlf-audiothe...
share.deutschlandradio.de/dlf-audiothe...
CO2 raus aus der Atmosphäre - Umweltministerium will Markt anreizen
share.deutschlandradio.de
June 9, 2026 at 11:30 AM
Um netto null zu erreichen braucht es Kohlenstoffentnahme. Aber wer soll die machen, wenn sie nicht vorgeschrieben ist? Das @umweltministerium.de will jetzt Anreize schaffen, berichtet @mediathoms.bsky.social
share.deutschlandradio.de/dlf-audiothe...
share.deutschlandradio.de/dlf-audiothe...
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
You are working on scenarios relevant for climate change mitigation and/or sustainable development ?
As an author of the chapter on scenarios in next IPCC report, I am interested !
Please inform us about your scenarios. See here, how to do so:
zenodo.org/records/2041...
As an author of the chapter on scenarios in next IPCC report, I am interested !
Please inform us about your scenarios. See here, how to do so:
zenodo.org/records/2041...
Open letter on projected futures in the context of sustainable development and climate change
zenodo.org
May 29, 2026 at 5:37 PM
You are working on scenarios relevant for climate change mitigation and/or sustainable development ?
As an author of the chapter on scenarios in next IPCC report, I am interested !
Please inform us about your scenarios. See here, how to do so:
zenodo.org/records/2041...
As an author of the chapter on scenarios in next IPCC report, I am interested !
Please inform us about your scenarios. See here, how to do so:
zenodo.org/records/2041...
EV charging infrastructure made in Berlin..
May 18, 2026 at 7:34 PM
EV charging infrastructure made in Berlin..
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
Where would CO2 emissions go if there was no climate policy?
People have been trying to answer that question for years, & depending on socioeconomics and model, CO2 emissions could rise (like RCP8.5) or even decline (like RCP4.5)!
www.theclimatebrink.com/p/on-the-dea...
1/
People have been trying to answer that question for years, & depending on socioeconomics and model, CO2 emissions could rise (like RCP8.5) or even decline (like RCP4.5)!
www.theclimatebrink.com/p/on-the-dea...
1/
May 18, 2026 at 4:27 PM
Where would CO2 emissions go if there was no climate policy?
People have been trying to answer that question for years, & depending on socioeconomics and model, CO2 emissions could rise (like RCP8.5) or even decline (like RCP4.5)!
www.theclimatebrink.com/p/on-the-dea...
1/
People have been trying to answer that question for years, & depending on socioeconomics and model, CO2 emissions could rise (like RCP8.5) or even decline (like RCP4.5)!
www.theclimatebrink.com/p/on-the-dea...
1/
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
An update of my figure on atmospheric CO2 increases (rdcu.be/buifD).
The atmospheric increases each year, in line with CO2 emissions, but has large variability due to El Nino (reds) and La Nina (blues).
Has the increase slowed? Statistically, that is hard to say...
1/
The atmospheric increases each year, in line with CO2 emissions, but has large variability due to El Nino (reds) and La Nina (blues).
Has the increase slowed? Statistically, that is hard to say...
1/
May 8, 2026 at 7:01 AM
An update of my figure on atmospheric CO2 increases (rdcu.be/buifD).
The atmospheric increases each year, in line with CO2 emissions, but has large variability due to El Nino (reds) and La Nina (blues).
Has the increase slowed? Statistically, that is hard to say...
1/
The atmospheric increases each year, in line with CO2 emissions, but has large variability due to El Nino (reds) and La Nina (blues).
Has the increase slowed? Statistically, that is hard to say...
1/
Reposted by Felix Schenuit
ANALYSIS: Wind and solar have saved UK from gas imports worth £1.7bn since Iran war began
😎 Record-high wind+solar output
🔥 Record-low gas generation
❄️ First ever winter with wind+solar out-performing fossil fuels
🏆 Wind+solar beating gas for 15 straight months
1/5
😎 Record-high wind+solar output
🔥 Record-low gas generation
❄️ First ever winter with wind+solar out-performing fossil fuels
🏆 Wind+solar beating gas for 15 straight months
1/5
May 7, 2026 at 4:04 PM
ANALYSIS: Wind and solar have saved UK from gas imports worth £1.7bn since Iran war began
😎 Record-high wind+solar output
🔥 Record-low gas generation
❄️ First ever winter with wind+solar out-performing fossil fuels
🏆 Wind+solar beating gas for 15 straight months
1/5
😎 Record-high wind+solar output
🔥 Record-low gas generation
❄️ First ever winter with wind+solar out-performing fossil fuels
🏆 Wind+solar beating gas for 15 straight months
1/5