George Hornedo
@georgehornedo.bsky.social
Running for Congress in Indianapolis to Get Shit Done, Rebuild the Party, and Fix What’s Broken. Let’s climb.
www.georgehornedo.com
www.georgehornedo.com
Shawn Fain 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/shawn-fain...
Shawn Fain 2028
If he runs, he's a candidate like anyone else in this series.
georgehornedo.substack.com
August 26, 2026 at 1:34 AM
Shawn Fain 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/shawn-fain...
Mitch Landrieu 2028 — The Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/mitch-land...
Mitch Landrieu 2028
A record worth running on and a narrow path to build.
georgehornedo.substack.com
August 26, 2026 at 1:05 AM
Mitch Landrieu 2028 — The Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/mitch-land...
@rahmemanuel.bsky.social 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/rahm-emanu...
Rahm Emanuel 2028
The retail experiment has already been run. Maximal effort in New Hampshire got him under 1% support.
georgehornedo.substack.com
August 26, 2026 at 12:36 AM
@rahmemanuel.bsky.social 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/rahm-emanu...
@govmlg.bsky.social 2028 — Her Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/michelle-l...
Michelle Lujan Grisham 2028
She helped build the gate that could create a campaign. She hasn't built anything that gets her through the three states that vote before it.
georgehornedo.substack.com
August 26, 2026 at 12:05 AM
@govmlg.bsky.social 2028 — Her Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/michelle-l...
@gallego.senate.gov 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/ruben-gall...
Ruben Gallego 2028
His best state fit on the map is New Mexico. The one real relationship he's actually built is in Nevada.
georgehornedo.substack.com
August 25, 2026 at 11:34 PM
@gallego.senate.gov 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/ruben-gall...
@mikiesherrill.bsky.social 2028 — Her Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/mikie-sher...
Mikie Sherrill 2028
A veteran-and-competence pitch with a recent 2028 trial balloon behind it, built entirely on a governorship too young to run on and a calendar with no strong early-state path
georgehornedo.substack.com
August 25, 2026 at 11:06 PM
@mikiesherrill.bsky.social 2028 — Her Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/mikie-sher...
Gretchen Whitmer 2028 — Her Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/gretchen-w...
Gretchen Whitmer 2028
Her home-state dominance is the strongest in the field. It votes fifth behind four contests she shouldn’t compete in.
georgehornedo.substack.com
August 25, 2026 at 10:36 PM
Gretchen Whitmer 2028 — Her Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/gretchen-w...
@slotkin.senate.gov 2028 — Her Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/elissa-slo...
Elissa Slotkin 2028
Her home-state advantage is real. It arrives after four contests where she’s unlikely to perform.
georgehornedo.substack.com
August 25, 2026 at 10:05 PM
@slotkin.senate.gov 2028 — Her Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/elissa-slo...
@vanhollen.senate.gov 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/chris-van-...
Chris Van Hollen 2028
A strong Senate record in a crowded left lane he doesn't lead, sitting on top of almost no fundamentals to carry it anywhere.
georgehornedo.substack.com
August 25, 2026 at 9:33 PM
@vanhollen.senate.gov 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/chris-van-...
@rokhanna.bsky.social 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/ro-khanna-...
Ro Khanna 2028
He's built more real organization than almost anyone in the prospective field and it’s not really moved his numbers.
georgehornedo.substack.com
August 25, 2026 at 9:07 PM
@rokhanna.bsky.social 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/ro-khanna-...
@chrismurphyct.bsky.social 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/chris-murp...
Chris Murphy 2028
He has more portable cash sitting ready than most prospective candidates, but no obvious path.
georgehornedo.substack.com
August 25, 2026 at 8:32 PM
@chrismurphyct.bsky.social 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/chris-murp...
@corybooker.com 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/cory-booke...
Cory Booker 2028
A real resource floor this time and a South Carolina-forward path his 2020 campaign never actually tried.
georgehornedo.substack.com
August 25, 2026 at 8:04 PM
@corybooker.com 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/cory-booke...
@jamestalarico.bsky.social 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/james-tala...
James Talarico 2028
A well-capitalized candidate running the same shape of path as Buttigieg, with a harder problem—real fit in enough states that deciding where to concentrate is the actual challenge.
georgehornedo.substack.com
August 25, 2026 at 7:33 PM
@jamestalarico.bsky.social 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/james-tala...
@warnock.senate.gov 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/raphael-wa...
Raphael Warnock, 2028
The best structural fit of any candidate to any state in this field belongs to a man who hasn't converted an ounce of it.
georgehornedo.substack.com
August 25, 2026 at 7:04 PM
@warnock.senate.gov 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/raphael-wa...
@govwesmoore.bsky.social 2028 — His Path to the Nomination mhttps://georgehornedo.substack.com/p/wes-moore-2028?r=5h8p0u&utm_medium=ios
Wes Moore, 2028
A Black governor with strength almost everywhere, but whose only path runs through beating Kamala Harris outright in South Carolina.
georgehornedo.substack.com
August 25, 2026 at 6:39 PM
@govwesmoore.bsky.social 2028 — His Path to the Nomination mhttps://georgehornedo.substack.com/p/wes-moore-2028?r=5h8p0u&utm_medium=ios
@joshshapiropa.bsky.social 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/josh-shapi...
Josh Shapiro, 2028
A swing-state governor's argument, backed by the field's most donor-concentrated fundraising, running the same South Carolina-first path this project reads for Buttigieg and Beshear.
georgehornedo.substack.com
August 25, 2026 at 6:07 PM
@joshshapiropa.bsky.social 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/josh-shapi...
@captmarkkelly.bsky.social 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/mark-kelly...
Mark Kelly 2028
A strong national number and a deeper institutional bench than his profile gets credit for
georgehornedo.substack.com
August 25, 2026 at 5:35 PM
@captmarkkelly.bsky.social 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/mark-kelly...
@andybeshearky.bsky.social 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/andy-beshe...
Andy Beshear, 2028
A red-state crossover record that plays well in November and barely registers in a Democratic primary electorate he hasn't yet met.
georgehornedo.substack.com
August 25, 2026 at 5:10 PM
@andybeshearky.bsky.social 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/andy-beshe...
@jbpritzker.bsky.social 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/jb-pritzke...
JB Pritzker, 2028
He's the only prospective candidate who could self-fund his way past every resource constraint in this field.
georgehornedo.substack.com
August 25, 2026 at 4:16 PM
@jbpritzker.bsky.social 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/jb-pritzke...
@aoc.bsky.social 2028 — Her Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/alexandria...
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, 2028
Her strongest asset is how large the movement-consolidation lane is and whether that converts into organization before the calendar demands it.
georgehornedo.substack.com
August 25, 2026 at 2:07 PM
@aoc.bsky.social 2028 — Her Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/alexandria...
@ossoff.bsky.social 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/jon-ossoff...
Jon Ossoff, 2028
He says he has zero interest. Whether that holds may depend on how big his own Georgia win is and on a governor's race he doesn't control either.
georgehornedo.substack.com
August 24, 2026 at 10:05 PM
@ossoff.bsky.social 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/jon-ossoff...
@petebuttigieg.bsky.social 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/pete-butti...
Pete Buttigieg, 2028
The broadest map in the field opens with the one state where his numbers already collapsed once.
georgehornedo.substack.com
August 24, 2026 at 6:07 PM
@petebuttigieg.bsky.social 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/pete-butti...
@gavinnewsom.bsky.social 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/gavin-news... georgehornedo.substack.com/p/gavin-news...
Gavin Newsom, 2028
The national number is real. So is the gap between it and every early state that actually counts.
georgehornedo.substack.com
August 24, 2026 at 5:34 PM
@gavinnewsom.bsky.social 2028 — His Path to the Nomination georgehornedo.substack.com/p/gavin-news... georgehornedo.substack.com/p/gavin-news...
Everything this series has built—the compact-decision-room test, the reversibility taxonomy, the resource archetypes, the theory-of-victory framework—gets applied to a real candidate for the first time. Starting with Kamala Harris. georgehornedo.substack.com/p/kamala-har...
Kamala Harris's Path to the Nomination
South Carolina makes her the favorite. It also sets the bar she has to clear to prove it.
georgehornedo.substack.com
August 23, 2026 at 9:21 PM
Everything this series has built—the compact-decision-room test, the reversibility taxonomy, the resource archetypes, the theory-of-victory framework—gets applied to a real candidate for the first time. Starting with Kamala Harris. georgehornedo.substack.com/p/kamala-har...
Does a campaign’s strategy match the resource class behind it? I tested this against five 2020 campaigns, including one where getting it right still wasn’t enough. georgehornedo.substack.com/p/buying-the...
Buying the Wrong Theory of Victory
Testing whether financial class predicts strategy beyond a single billionaire's collapse
georgehornedo.substack.com
August 23, 2026 at 2:28 PM
Does a campaign’s strategy match the resource class behind it? I tested this against five 2020 campaigns, including one where getting it right still wasn’t enough. georgehornedo.substack.com/p/buying-the...