Reto Mitteregger
@indubioproreto.bsky.social
PostDoctoral Researcher in Political Science: Elections, Political Behavior, Political Parties, Generational Effects.
@Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin @humboldtuni.bsky.social | PhD @IPZ Zurich
(he/him)
@Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin @humboldtuni.bsky.social | PhD @IPZ Zurich
(he/him)
Pinned
“Nothing else matters?” Salience differences between young and old | European Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
“Nothing else matters?” Salience differences between young and old
www.cambridge.org
New publication out in @epsrjournal.bsky.social!
We know young voters vote for different parties and hold different attitudes than older citizens.
What we know less about: whether they also care differently about political issues.
Using novel experimental survey data, I show: they do! 👇
We know young voters vote for different parties and hold different attitudes than older citizens.
What we know less about: whether they also care differently about political issues.
Using novel experimental survey data, I show: they do! 👇
Reposted by Reto Mitteregger
Der Wahlerfolg der Berliner Linken wird mit Zohran Mamdanis Kampagne in New York verglichen: Fokus auf junge, migrantische Wählergruppen und hohe Wohnkosten. Unsere Datenanalyse im @tagesspiegel.de deutet darauf hin, dass das funktioniert haben könnte. 🧵
interaktiv.tagesspiegel.de/lab/der-berl...
interaktiv.tagesspiegel.de/lab/der-berl...
September 23, 2026 at 6:14 AM
Der Wahlerfolg der Berliner Linken wird mit Zohran Mamdanis Kampagne in New York verglichen: Fokus auf junge, migrantische Wählergruppen und hohe Wohnkosten. Unsere Datenanalyse im @tagesspiegel.de deutet darauf hin, dass das funktioniert haben könnte. 🧵
interaktiv.tagesspiegel.de/lab/der-berl...
interaktiv.tagesspiegel.de/lab/der-berl...
Interesting new paper in @wepsocial.bsky.social by Yoda&Atsumi showing that "the positive association between pro-redistribution and pro-immigration attitudes is weaker among earlier cohorts."
In other words: the number of left-authoritarian voters decreases across generations.
In other words: the number of left-authoritarian voters decreases across generations.
Time dilation: the temporal structure of elite–voter incongruence on redistribution and immigration
While immigration and redistribution issues have increasingly converged at the elite level in Western Europe, they remain less correlated among voters, leading to significant elite–voter incongruen...
www.tandfonline.com
September 23, 2026 at 6:57 AM
Interesting new paper in @wepsocial.bsky.social by Yoda&Atsumi showing that "the positive association between pro-redistribution and pro-immigration attitudes is weaker among earlier cohorts."
In other words: the number of left-authoritarian voters decreases across generations.
In other words: the number of left-authoritarian voters decreases across generations.
Reposted by Reto Mitteregger
📣 We're hiring!
Looking for a PhD position? Join our team in Berlin!
Work with @heikekluever.bsky.social and @markuskollberg.bsky.social in #STATEWORK at Humboldt University and join our @dynamics.bsky.social PhD programme
Great people, great project, great city!
🗓️ Deadline: 13 October 2026
Looking for a PhD position? Join our team in Berlin!
Work with @heikekluever.bsky.social and @markuskollberg.bsky.social in #STATEWORK at Humboldt University and join our @dynamics.bsky.social PhD programme
Great people, great project, great city!
🗓️ Deadline: 13 October 2026
September 22, 2026 at 8:34 AM
📣 We're hiring!
Looking for a PhD position? Join our team in Berlin!
Work with @heikekluever.bsky.social and @markuskollberg.bsky.social in #STATEWORK at Humboldt University and join our @dynamics.bsky.social PhD programme
Great people, great project, great city!
🗓️ Deadline: 13 October 2026
Looking for a PhD position? Join our team in Berlin!
Work with @heikekluever.bsky.social and @markuskollberg.bsky.social in #STATEWORK at Humboldt University and join our @dynamics.bsky.social PhD programme
Great people, great project, great city!
🗓️ Deadline: 13 October 2026
Reposted by Reto Mitteregger
Far right parties strategically increase the (descriptive) representation of women assuming it helps them win votes in general and, in particular, from women. Does it work?
In this short descriptive piece, I show the answer in the case of Reform UK is a clear ‘no’
doi.org/10.1332/2515...
In this short descriptive piece, I show the answer in the case of Reform UK is a clear ‘no’
doi.org/10.1332/2515...
September 22, 2026 at 8:06 AM
Far right parties strategically increase the (descriptive) representation of women assuming it helps them win votes in general and, in particular, from women. Does it work?
In this short descriptive piece, I show the answer in the case of Reform UK is a clear ‘no’
doi.org/10.1332/2515...
In this short descriptive piece, I show the answer in the case of Reform UK is a clear ‘no’
doi.org/10.1332/2515...
Wählen junge Männer immer weniger links?
Nicht in Berlin: Noch nie haben bei einer Abgeordnetenhauswahl so viele Männer unter 25 eine Partei links der SPD (Linke oder Grüne) gewählt wie am Sonntag.
Dennoch wird der Gender Gap grösser – weil junge Frauen in Berlin noch stärker nach links rücken.
Nicht in Berlin: Noch nie haben bei einer Abgeordnetenhauswahl so viele Männer unter 25 eine Partei links der SPD (Linke oder Grüne) gewählt wie am Sonntag.
Dennoch wird der Gender Gap grösser – weil junge Frauen in Berlin noch stärker nach links rücken.
September 22, 2026 at 6:13 AM
Wählen junge Männer immer weniger links?
Nicht in Berlin: Noch nie haben bei einer Abgeordnetenhauswahl so viele Männer unter 25 eine Partei links der SPD (Linke oder Grüne) gewählt wie am Sonntag.
Dennoch wird der Gender Gap grösser – weil junge Frauen in Berlin noch stärker nach links rücken.
Nicht in Berlin: Noch nie haben bei einer Abgeordnetenhauswahl so viele Männer unter 25 eine Partei links der SPD (Linke oder Grüne) gewählt wie am Sonntag.
Dennoch wird der Gender Gap grösser – weil junge Frauen in Berlin noch stärker nach links rücken.
Seismic shifts among young left-wing voters in Berlin
September 21, 2026 at 6:40 AM
Seismic shifts among young left-wing voters in Berlin
Was gestern etwas unterging: Die gestrige Berlin-Wahl war mit grossem Abstand das schlechteste Resultat aller Zeiten der SPD in Berlin. Für die Berliner Grünen war es das schlechteste Resultat seit 2006.
September 21, 2026 at 6:16 AM
Was gestern etwas unterging: Die gestrige Berlin-Wahl war mit grossem Abstand das schlechteste Resultat aller Zeiten der SPD in Berlin. Für die Berliner Grünen war es das schlechteste Resultat seit 2006.
Das Wa(h)ldebakel der CDU
September 20, 2026 at 8:09 PM
Das Wa(h)ldebakel der CDU
Reposted by Reto Mitteregger
Update (20:55) In MV liegt die CDU in den Rohzahlen bei 4,75%, offen sind noch 84 Briefwahl- und 92 Urnenwahlbezirke. Wenn ich wetten müsste, schafft sie es nicht.
September 20, 2026 at 7:04 PM
Update (20:55) In MV liegt die CDU in den Rohzahlen bei 4,75%, offen sind noch 84 Briefwahl- und 92 Urnenwahlbezirke. Wenn ich wetten müsste, schafft sie es nicht.
Not suprising that the Linke got the most votes among younger voters in Berlin.
Yet, the size of their vote share among under-35 year-olds is stunning.
Yet, the size of their vote share among under-35 year-olds is stunning.
September 20, 2026 at 4:17 PM
Not suprising that the Linke got the most votes among younger voters in Berlin.
Yet, the size of their vote share among under-35 year-olds is stunning.
Yet, the size of their vote share among under-35 year-olds is stunning.
Reposted by Reto Mitteregger
Es gibt Mecklenburg-Vorpommern. Aber es gibt auch Mecklenburg und Vorpommern. Wie wir heute Abend voraussichtlich wieder sehen werden, unterscheiden sich beide Regionen deutlich in ihrem Wahlverhalten. Woher kommen diese Unterschiede? Ein Thread mit Daten aus dem Kaiserreich bis heute. 🧵
September 20, 2026 at 11:54 AM
Es gibt Mecklenburg-Vorpommern. Aber es gibt auch Mecklenburg und Vorpommern. Wie wir heute Abend voraussichtlich wieder sehen werden, unterscheiden sich beide Regionen deutlich in ihrem Wahlverhalten. Woher kommen diese Unterschiede? Ein Thread mit Daten aus dem Kaiserreich bis heute. 🧵
Reposted by Reto Mitteregger
Oxford’s Centre for Democratic Resilience, in partnership with @buceriuslaw.bsky.social and @verfassungsblog.de, has launched the Higher Education and Democratic Resilience Programme.
Find out more: https://www.politics.ox.ac.uk/higher-education-and-democratic-resilience-programme
Find out more: https://www.politics.ox.ac.uk/higher-education-and-democratic-resilience-programme
September 17, 2026 at 9:30 AM
Oxford’s Centre for Democratic Resilience, in partnership with @buceriuslaw.bsky.social and @verfassungsblog.de, has launched the Higher Education and Democratic Resilience Programme.
Find out more: https://www.politics.ox.ac.uk/higher-education-and-democratic-resilience-programme
Find out more: https://www.politics.ox.ac.uk/higher-education-and-democratic-resilience-programme
Reposted by Reto Mitteregger
3-year postdoc at @wzb.bsky.social to work on family diversity and inequalities in children's attainment and health within Heike Solga's unit. Start: January 2027. Deadline: 4 October. wzb.eu/en/jobs/post...
Postdoctoral Research Fellow (f/m/x) (ID 416)
The research unit “Skill Formation and Labor Markets” (Director: Professor Heike Solga) at the WZB Berlin Social Science Center (WZB) is looking for a Postdoctoral Research Fellow (f/m/x) (ID...
wzb.eu
September 17, 2026 at 10:55 AM
3-year postdoc at @wzb.bsky.social to work on family diversity and inequalities in children's attainment and health within Heike Solga's unit. Start: January 2027. Deadline: 4 October. wzb.eu/en/jobs/post...
Reposted by Reto Mitteregger
This Sunday, Die Linke could become Berlin’s strongest party for the first time.
Importantly, its success in urban centers reflects a broader sociostructural transformation: from a party rooted in the support of production workers to one drawing disproportionate support from the new middle class.
Importantly, its success in urban centers reflects a broader sociostructural transformation: from a party rooted in the support of production workers to one drawing disproportionate support from the new middle class.
September 15, 2026 at 4:18 PM
This Sunday, Die Linke could become Berlin’s strongest party for the first time.
Importantly, its success in urban centers reflects a broader sociostructural transformation: from a party rooted in the support of production workers to one drawing disproportionate support from the new middle class.
Importantly, its success in urban centers reflects a broader sociostructural transformation: from a party rooted in the support of production workers to one drawing disproportionate support from the new middle class.
Reposted by Reto Mitteregger
Why is Die Linke struggling in Saxony-Anhalt while gaining ground in Berlin? Since the 2010s, its base has been shifting away from its traditional East German, working-class roots towards a younger, urban electorate, with growing support among more educated new middle-class voters.
This Sunday, Die Linke could become Berlin’s strongest party for the first time.
Importantly, its success in urban centers reflects a broader sociostructural transformation: from a party rooted in the support of production workers to one drawing disproportionate support from the new middle class.
Importantly, its success in urban centers reflects a broader sociostructural transformation: from a party rooted in the support of production workers to one drawing disproportionate support from the new middle class.
September 16, 2026 at 6:20 AM
Why is Die Linke struggling in Saxony-Anhalt while gaining ground in Berlin? Since the 2010s, its base has been shifting away from its traditional East German, working-class roots towards a younger, urban electorate, with growing support among more educated new middle-class voters.
This Sunday, Die Linke could become Berlin’s strongest party for the first time.
Importantly, its success in urban centers reflects a broader sociostructural transformation: from a party rooted in the support of production workers to one drawing disproportionate support from the new middle class.
Importantly, its success in urban centers reflects a broader sociostructural transformation: from a party rooted in the support of production workers to one drawing disproportionate support from the new middle class.
September 15, 2026 at 4:18 PM
This Sunday, Die Linke could become Berlin’s strongest party for the first time.
Importantly, its success in urban centers reflects a broader sociostructural transformation: from a party rooted in the support of production workers to one drawing disproportionate support from the new middle class.
Importantly, its success in urban centers reflects a broader sociostructural transformation: from a party rooted in the support of production workers to one drawing disproportionate support from the new middle class.
Reposted by Reto Mitteregger
🧵 Just accepted @thejop.bsky.social, with @tswalve.bsky.social
"What's in a name? Name recognition, place-based identities, and candidate success"
Voters prefer local candidates. But how do they know who's local? Often simply from the name on the ballot👇
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
"What's in a name? Name recognition, place-based identities, and candidate success"
Voters prefer local candidates. But how do they know who's local? Often simply from the name on the ballot👇
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
What's in a name? Name recognition, place-based identities, and candidate success | The Journal of Politics: Vol 0, No ja
www.journals.uchicago.edu
September 15, 2026 at 9:25 AM
🧵 Just accepted @thejop.bsky.social, with @tswalve.bsky.social
"What's in a name? Name recognition, place-based identities, and candidate success"
Voters prefer local candidates. But how do they know who's local? Often simply from the name on the ballot👇
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
"What's in a name? Name recognition, place-based identities, and candidate success"
Voters prefer local candidates. But how do they know who's local? Often simply from the name on the ballot👇
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Reposted by Reto Mitteregger
We chair an open panel on "New Cleavage Identities" at the DVPW Convention 2027.
Questions:
Which identities are emerging as new cleavage identities?
How do they form and stabilize?
How do elites construct and mobilize them?
How do they affect vote choice?
CfP: www.dvpw.de/dvpw2027/en/...
Questions:
Which identities are emerging as new cleavage identities?
How do they form and stabilize?
How do elites construct and mobilize them?
How do they affect vote choice?
CfP: www.dvpw.de/dvpw2027/en/...
September 14, 2026 at 7:04 AM
We chair an open panel on "New Cleavage Identities" at the DVPW Convention 2027.
Questions:
Which identities are emerging as new cleavage identities?
How do they form and stabilize?
How do elites construct and mobilize them?
How do they affect vote choice?
CfP: www.dvpw.de/dvpw2027/en/...
Questions:
Which identities are emerging as new cleavage identities?
How do they form and stabilize?
How do elites construct and mobilize them?
How do they affect vote choice?
CfP: www.dvpw.de/dvpw2027/en/...
If the numbers hold, this would be the worst election result for Sweden's social democratic party since 1908.
Sweden, SVT projection at 21:45:
National parliament election
S-S&D: 27.6% (-2.7)
M-EPP: 20.0% (+0.9)
SD-ECR: 17.6% (-2.9)
V-LEFT: 8.2% (+1.4)
C-RE: 7.1% (+0.4)
KD-EPP: 6.3% (+1.0)
MP-G/EFA: 6.2% (+1.1)
L-RE: 5.5% (+0.9)
+/- vs. Last election result
➤ europeelects.eu/sweden
National parliament election
S-S&D: 27.6% (-2.7)
M-EPP: 20.0% (+0.9)
SD-ECR: 17.6% (-2.9)
V-LEFT: 8.2% (+1.4)
C-RE: 7.1% (+0.4)
KD-EPP: 6.3% (+1.0)
MP-G/EFA: 6.2% (+1.1)
L-RE: 5.5% (+0.9)
+/- vs. Last election result
➤ europeelects.eu/sweden
September 13, 2026 at 7:55 PM
If the numbers hold, this would be the worst election result for Sweden's social democratic party since 1908.
Reposted by Reto Mitteregger
Sweden, SVT Valu exit poll:
Seat projection national parliament
S-S&D: 101 (-6)
M-EPP: 64 (-4)
SD-ECR: 61 (-12)
V-LEFT: 29 (+5)
C-RE: 27 (+3)
MP-G/EFA: 26 (+8)
KD-EPP: 22 (+3)
L-RE: 19 (+3)
+/- vs. Last election result
➤ europeelects.eu/sweden
Seat projection national parliament
S-S&D: 101 (-6)
M-EPP: 64 (-4)
SD-ECR: 61 (-12)
V-LEFT: 29 (+5)
C-RE: 27 (+3)
MP-G/EFA: 26 (+8)
KD-EPP: 22 (+3)
L-RE: 19 (+3)
+/- vs. Last election result
➤ europeelects.eu/sweden
September 13, 2026 at 6:10 PM
Sweden, SVT Valu exit poll:
Seat projection national parliament
S-S&D: 101 (-6)
M-EPP: 64 (-4)
SD-ECR: 61 (-12)
V-LEFT: 29 (+5)
C-RE: 27 (+3)
MP-G/EFA: 26 (+8)
KD-EPP: 22 (+3)
L-RE: 19 (+3)
+/- vs. Last election result
➤ europeelects.eu/sweden
Seat projection national parliament
S-S&D: 101 (-6)
M-EPP: 64 (-4)
SD-ECR: 61 (-12)
V-LEFT: 29 (+5)
C-RE: 27 (+3)
MP-G/EFA: 26 (+8)
KD-EPP: 22 (+3)
L-RE: 19 (+3)
+/- vs. Last election result
➤ europeelects.eu/sweden
This Sunday, Swedish voters will elect a new parliament.
Swedish Pollster @veriangroup.com shows young Swedish women disproportionately backing left-wing parties, particularly the Left Party (Vänsterpartiet) and the Greens (MP).
Swedish Pollster @veriangroup.com shows young Swedish women disproportionately backing left-wing parties, particularly the Left Party (Vänsterpartiet) and the Greens (MP).
September 10, 2026 at 6:48 AM
This Sunday, Swedish voters will elect a new parliament.
Swedish Pollster @veriangroup.com shows young Swedish women disproportionately backing left-wing parties, particularly the Left Party (Vänsterpartiet) and the Greens (MP).
Swedish Pollster @veriangroup.com shows young Swedish women disproportionately backing left-wing parties, particularly the Left Party (Vänsterpartiet) and the Greens (MP).
Reposted by Reto Mitteregger
Nice to see some of the analysis featured in this cool Financial Times piece on the AfD’s latest surge across Germany and its causes.
www.ft.com/content/ef6d...
www.ft.com/content/ef6d...
September 9, 2026 at 7:01 AM
Nice to see some of the analysis featured in this cool Financial Times piece on the AfD’s latest surge across Germany and its causes.
www.ft.com/content/ef6d...
www.ft.com/content/ef6d...
Reposted by Reto Mitteregger
The @financialtimes.com has a longer analysis of the election results in Sachsen-Anhalt with data from @juliusk.bsky.social and comments by @indubioproreto.bsky.social @posch-daniel.bsky.social and myself today: www.ft.com/content/ef6d...
Who is voting for the far-right Alternative for Germany?
AfD’s victory in Saxony-Anhalt reflects national trends — ‘but on steroids’
www.ft.com
September 9, 2026 at 6:46 AM
The @financialtimes.com has a longer analysis of the election results in Sachsen-Anhalt with data from @juliusk.bsky.social and comments by @indubioproreto.bsky.social @posch-daniel.bsky.social and myself today: www.ft.com/content/ef6d...
Reposted by Reto Mitteregger
Die neue Rechte wendet sich aus meiner Sicht nicht gegen einen doppelten Liberalismus, sondern gegen den "doppelten Egalitarismus" aus Gleichwertigkeit und Gleichheit.
September 8, 2026 at 6:32 AM
Die neue Rechte wendet sich aus meiner Sicht nicht gegen einen doppelten Liberalismus, sondern gegen den "doppelten Egalitarismus" aus Gleichwertigkeit und Gleichheit.