Joohn Choe
@joohnchoe.bsky.social
Consultant, researcher & "one man intelligence agency funded on Patreon, seriously?!" - John N. Tye. Cited in NYT, Washington Post, The Guardian, USAToday, Business Insider, NATO Hybrid COE. #NAFO Assistant (to the) Sanctions Manager
Slow Kitties (2026)
'Yo man wtf' - Some Important Knob
'Fuzzy!' - Stating The Obvious
'Hey this isn't on the poster' - A. W. Anker
In theaters never
'Yo man wtf' - Some Important Knob
'Fuzzy!' - Stating The Obvious
'Hey this isn't on the poster' - A. W. Anker
In theaters never
September 23, 2026 at 11:46 PM
Slow Kitties (2026)
'Yo man wtf' - Some Important Knob
'Fuzzy!' - Stating The Obvious
'Hey this isn't on the poster' - A. W. Anker
In theaters never
'Yo man wtf' - Some Important Knob
'Fuzzy!' - Stating The Obvious
'Hey this isn't on the poster' - A. W. Anker
In theaters never
I'm working on an automated disinfo tracker - a story by itself, it's taken ~20 versions to get a reliable data pull from Facebook - and this came out of it as a story on the bubble.
This isn't widely propagated disinfo yet but it seems like *exactly the kind of thing that ends up that way*
This isn't widely propagated disinfo yet but it seems like *exactly the kind of thing that ends up that way*
September 23, 2026 at 9:23 PM
I'm working on an automated disinfo tracker - a story by itself, it's taken ~20 versions to get a reliable data pull from Facebook - and this came out of it as a story on the bubble.
This isn't widely propagated disinfo yet but it seems like *exactly the kind of thing that ends up that way*
This isn't widely propagated disinfo yet but it seems like *exactly the kind of thing that ends up that way*
Seen something crazy? Let's go over it together!
I'm collecting submissions for live fact checks on Facebook Live.
Leave story suggestions and vote on this public post:
www.facebook.com/choejoohn/po...
Wednesday 6PM PST livestream event link:
www.facebook.com/events/16744...
I'm collecting submissions for live fact checks on Facebook Live.
Leave story suggestions and vote on this public post:
www.facebook.com/choejoohn/po...
Wednesday 6PM PST livestream event link:
www.facebook.com/events/16744...
September 22, 2026 at 6:20 PM
Seen something crazy? Let's go over it together!
I'm collecting submissions for live fact checks on Facebook Live.
Leave story suggestions and vote on this public post:
www.facebook.com/choejoohn/po...
Wednesday 6PM PST livestream event link:
www.facebook.com/events/16744...
I'm collecting submissions for live fact checks on Facebook Live.
Leave story suggestions and vote on this public post:
www.facebook.com/choejoohn/po...
Wednesday 6PM PST livestream event link:
www.facebook.com/events/16744...
Germany caught an interesting one: it looks like a Russian Storm-1516 op targeting their elections with a staged video of a ballot that's supposed to be missing AfD.
This is highly diagnostic of what we're about to see in America this November. It's actually happening right now.
This is highly diagnostic of what we're about to see in America this November. It's actually happening right now.
September 21, 2026 at 8:14 PM
Germany caught an interesting one: it looks like a Russian Storm-1516 op targeting their elections with a staged video of a ballot that's supposed to be missing AfD.
This is highly diagnostic of what we're about to see in America this November. It's actually happening right now.
This is highly diagnostic of what we're about to see in America this November. It's actually happening right now.
Belarusian potash producers were originally sanctioned because they prop up the authoritarian Lukashenko regime with hard currency and tax revenue.
In March 2026 sanctions were eased because of fertilizer price crises brought on by the Iran war; this proved ineffective for a series of reasons -
In March 2026 sanctions were eased because of fertilizer price crises brought on by the Iran war; this proved ineffective for a series of reasons -
Trump: "The United States is working on a massive Deal with respect to the purchase of Potash from Belarus. The pricing would be for substantially less than we are currently paying to Canada, very good news for our Farmers and Ranchers. Thank you for your attention to this matter!"
September 21, 2026 at 5:31 PM
Belarusian potash producers were originally sanctioned because they prop up the authoritarian Lukashenko regime with hard currency and tax revenue.
In March 2026 sanctions were eased because of fertilizer price crises brought on by the Iran war; this proved ineffective for a series of reasons -
In March 2026 sanctions were eased because of fertilizer price crises brought on by the Iran war; this proved ineffective for a series of reasons -
The thing about this one is, this false claim came from a PRIVATE group for MAGAs; so, 'who is this even for?' but also, this is really what they're saying to each other nowadays.
September 19, 2026 at 6:45 PM
The thing about this one is, this false claim came from a PRIVATE group for MAGAs; so, 'who is this even for?' but also, this is really what they're saying to each other nowadays.
I keep my Patreon these days to current events analysis using intelligence-community-style briefings on complex topics of interest like election threats, wars, and disinfo in politics but
"Audience-maxx With Joohn!"
*is* a topic of interest to some readers and I was writing about Meta AI anyway so
"Audience-maxx With Joohn!"
*is* a topic of interest to some readers and I was writing about Meta AI anyway so
"Social-maxxing With Joohn!" or, Facebook's Best-kept Secret For Data Analysis (Which Is Also One Of Its Worst Products) | Joohn Choe
Why is it so difficult to get a daily run-down of the top right-wing narratives circulating on social media at any given moment, and what do
www.patreon.com
September 18, 2026 at 7:28 PM
I keep my Patreon these days to current events analysis using intelligence-community-style briefings on complex topics of interest like election threats, wars, and disinfo in politics but
"Audience-maxx With Joohn!"
*is* a topic of interest to some readers and I was writing about Meta AI anyway so
"Audience-maxx With Joohn!"
*is* a topic of interest to some readers and I was writing about Meta AI anyway so
Gotta get those crocs right, they make or break the entire ensemble
September 17, 2026 at 7:35 PM
Gotta get those crocs right, they make or break the entire ensemble
it's terrible for most tasks but there is one game-changing thing Meta AI does:
It reads Facebook & Instagram.
This is a non-trivial advantage for disinfo researchers too poor/unimportant to have access to MCL (like me!).
For instance, this is how much a right-wing spammer makes.
It reads Facebook & Instagram.
This is a non-trivial advantage for disinfo researchers too poor/unimportant to have access to MCL (like me!).
For instance, this is how much a right-wing spammer makes.
September 16, 2026 at 6:43 PM
it's terrible for most tasks but there is one game-changing thing Meta AI does:
It reads Facebook & Instagram.
This is a non-trivial advantage for disinfo researchers too poor/unimportant to have access to MCL (like me!).
For instance, this is how much a right-wing spammer makes.
It reads Facebook & Instagram.
This is a non-trivial advantage for disinfo researchers too poor/unimportant to have access to MCL (like me!).
For instance, this is how much a right-wing spammer makes.
Lookin' good, Senator, keep it up!
September 14, 2026 at 11:43 PM
Lookin' good, Senator, keep it up!
'What even is going on with the markets' in four numbers, and
• why AI stocks and AI bonds moved opposite directions
• why your bond fund is down when it's supposed to cushion stocks
• and why an energy-sector fund fell 0.89% while oil rose 3.8%
Full breakdown at: www.patreon.com/joohn/posts/...
• why AI stocks and AI bonds moved opposite directions
• why your bond fund is down when it's supposed to cushion stocks
• and why an energy-sector fund fell 0.89% while oil rose 3.8%
Full breakdown at: www.patreon.com/joohn/posts/...
September 14, 2026 at 11:42 PM
'What even is going on with the markets' in four numbers, and
• why AI stocks and AI bonds moved opposite directions
• why your bond fund is down when it's supposed to cushion stocks
• and why an energy-sector fund fell 0.89% while oil rose 3.8%
Full breakdown at: www.patreon.com/joohn/posts/...
• why AI stocks and AI bonds moved opposite directions
• why your bond fund is down when it's supposed to cushion stocks
• and why an energy-sector fund fell 0.89% while oil rose 3.8%
Full breakdown at: www.patreon.com/joohn/posts/...
So this is the great fearsome Roger Stone (from 2024)
September 10, 2026 at 7:32 PM
So this is the great fearsome Roger Stone (from 2024)
Following Charlie Kirk's assassination more than 600 people were investigated, suspended, or fired for their social media posts.
A year later, at least 10 people have fought back and won, securing job reinstatements or cash settlements totaling roughly $3.4 million.
www.patreon.com/joohn/posts/...
A year later, at least 10 people have fought back and won, securing job reinstatements or cash settlements totaling roughly $3.4 million.
www.patreon.com/joohn/posts/...
September 10, 2026 at 7:20 PM
Following Charlie Kirk's assassination more than 600 people were investigated, suspended, or fired for their social media posts.
A year later, at least 10 people have fought back and won, securing job reinstatements or cash settlements totaling roughly $3.4 million.
www.patreon.com/joohn/posts/...
A year later, at least 10 people have fought back and won, securing job reinstatements or cash settlements totaling roughly $3.4 million.
www.patreon.com/joohn/posts/...
You'd *think* this kind of thing would be illegal, but it's not.
It *is*, however, highly diagnostic.
www.patreon.com/joohn/posts/...
It *is*, however, highly diagnostic.
www.patreon.com/joohn/posts/...
September 10, 2026 at 6:56 PM
You'd *think* this kind of thing would be illegal, but it's not.
It *is*, however, highly diagnostic.
www.patreon.com/joohn/posts/...
It *is*, however, highly diagnostic.
www.patreon.com/joohn/posts/...
Look OK it's '🚨 BREAKING NEWS!!! 🚨" but, like, is anyone *really* surprised by this?
Really?
Really?
September 10, 2026 at 12:32 AM
Look OK it's '🚨 BREAKING NEWS!!! 🚨" but, like, is anyone *really* surprised by this?
Really?
Really?
A LOT of conservative media is essentially a call-and-response trope composed of two parts:
1. “Don’t you hate <X>”
2. “Yes, <X> is bad!”
That's literally it.
It's intended to facilitate what Tosi & Warmke (2016) call "moral grandstanding" and once you get it, you see it everywhere
1. “Don’t you hate <X>”
2. “Yes, <X> is bad!”
That's literally it.
It's intended to facilitate what Tosi & Warmke (2016) call "moral grandstanding" and once you get it, you see it everywhere
MAGA as moral grandstanding | Joohn Choe
Totalizing statements about conservative discourse based on opinion rather than evidence are one of the easier ways I’ve learned to get atte
www.patreon.com
September 9, 2026 at 10:41 PM
A LOT of conservative media is essentially a call-and-response trope composed of two parts:
1. “Don’t you hate <X>”
2. “Yes, <X> is bad!”
That's literally it.
It's intended to facilitate what Tosi & Warmke (2016) call "moral grandstanding" and once you get it, you see it everywhere
1. “Don’t you hate <X>”
2. “Yes, <X> is bad!”
That's literally it.
It's intended to facilitate what Tosi & Warmke (2016) call "moral grandstanding" and once you get it, you see it everywhere
So what you're saying is, we should take away Trump's ability to launch nukes
Rick Scott: "Nobody likes higher gas prices, but nobody wants to be killed by a nuclear weapon. That's what's at stake here. Do we want to be destroyed by a nuclear weapon?"
September 9, 2026 at 9:08 PM
So what you're saying is, we should take away Trump's ability to launch nukes
Look, I didn't know either.
If you didn’t know, let’s get you there in the plainest language possible. If you did know, this is an update.
BLUF: something historic happened in the U.S. and global bond markets, creating economic effects that will reach everyone's lives, and drive U.S. policy.
🧵
If you didn’t know, let’s get you there in the plainest language possible. If you did know, this is an update.
BLUF: something historic happened in the U.S. and global bond markets, creating economic effects that will reach everyone's lives, and drive U.S. policy.
🧵
September 8, 2026 at 6:20 PM
Look, I didn't know either.
If you didn’t know, let’s get you there in the plainest language possible. If you did know, this is an update.
BLUF: something historic happened in the U.S. and global bond markets, creating economic effects that will reach everyone's lives, and drive U.S. policy.
🧵
If you didn’t know, let’s get you there in the plainest language possible. If you did know, this is an update.
BLUF: something historic happened in the U.S. and global bond markets, creating economic effects that will reach everyone's lives, and drive U.S. policy.
🧵
Trump supports a surprising variety of positions that are deeply unpopular with his base, from data centers to pardoning money launderers.
There is a range of more or less folk theories for this: old Trump, checked-out Trump, corrupt Trump, of which only the last is really falsifiable.
🧵
There is a range of more or less folk theories for this: old Trump, checked-out Trump, corrupt Trump, of which only the last is really falsifiable.
🧵
September 7, 2026 at 1:15 AM
Trump supports a surprising variety of positions that are deeply unpopular with his base, from data centers to pardoning money launderers.
There is a range of more or less folk theories for this: old Trump, checked-out Trump, corrupt Trump, of which only the last is really falsifiable.
🧵
There is a range of more or less folk theories for this: old Trump, checked-out Trump, corrupt Trump, of which only the last is really falsifiable.
🧵
We say “for all intensive purposes”
because relaxed ones don’t matter
because relaxed ones don’t matter
The word "efficiency" is derived from the old English "e-fish in sea"
Saxon fisherman used to put electronic fish into the deepest part of the ocean to rouse the spirits of giant cod. This was seen as pagan and the practice was banned under Aethelred II
But the phrase yet signifies a job well done
Saxon fisherman used to put electronic fish into the deepest part of the ocean to rouse the spirits of giant cod. This was seen as pagan and the practice was banned under Aethelred II
But the phrase yet signifies a job well done
September 6, 2026 at 7:25 PM
We say “for all intensive purposes”
because relaxed ones don’t matter
because relaxed ones don’t matter
I think there's ~65% probability that Abdul El-Sayed wins the Michigan Senate race.
Most of the ~35% risk that he doesn't win lives in the disinformation risk.
Most of the ~35% risk that he doesn't win lives in the disinformation risk.
Michigan Senate readout | Joohn Choe
Abdul El-Sayed is positioned right now to probably win Michigan’s Senate race. Why do I think that? It’s nothing secret or technical: I thin
www.patreon.com
September 4, 2026 at 6:05 PM
I think there's ~65% probability that Abdul El-Sayed wins the Michigan Senate race.
Most of the ~35% risk that he doesn't win lives in the disinformation risk.
Most of the ~35% risk that he doesn't win lives in the disinformation risk.
TL;DR, turnout is a necessary but not sufficient counter-strategy against expected election interference by an adversarial executive branch assumed to be hostile to the conduct of free & fair elections.
'Too big to rig' is still a good idea. That is a valid phrase.
1/2
'Too big to rig' is still a good idea. That is a valid phrase.
1/2
September 3, 2026 at 11:45 PM
TL;DR, turnout is a necessary but not sufficient counter-strategy against expected election interference by an adversarial executive branch assumed to be hostile to the conduct of free & fair elections.
'Too big to rig' is still a good idea. That is a valid phrase.
1/2
'Too big to rig' is still a good idea. That is a valid phrase.
1/2
You had my curiosity, but now you have my attention
September 3, 2026 at 10:42 PM
You had my curiosity, but now you have my attention
I caught a bit of war work lately, so I've had cause to ask a question that might be interesting to others: why do sanctions requests for an administration you don't support?
My answer: because patriotism is ideologically agnostic, and its duties are heightened if you disagree with the status quo
🧵
My answer: because patriotism is ideologically agnostic, and its duties are heightened if you disagree with the status quo
🧵
September 2, 2026 at 7:42 PM
I caught a bit of war work lately, so I've had cause to ask a question that might be interesting to others: why do sanctions requests for an administration you don't support?
My answer: because patriotism is ideologically agnostic, and its duties are heightened if you disagree with the status quo
🧵
My answer: because patriotism is ideologically agnostic, and its duties are heightened if you disagree with the status quo
🧵
Alongside Matt Gertz's reporting the picture this all establishes, with increasing clarity, looks disastrous for Republicans if there's enough turnout this November
bsky.app/profile/matt...
bsky.app/profile/matt...
September 2, 2026 at 4:00 PM
Alongside Matt Gertz's reporting the picture this all establishes, with increasing clarity, looks disastrous for Republicans if there's enough turnout this November
bsky.app/profile/matt...
bsky.app/profile/matt...