Matt Luongo
@luongomatt.bsky.social
Climate Scientist & Oceanographer ☀️🌬️🌊
CICOES Postdoc at UW | Scripps Ocean PhD
Seattle, WA
CICOES Postdoc at UW | Scripps Ocean PhD
Seattle, WA
Reposted by Matt Luongo
All the September dynamical ENSO models (including SINTEX) are now in, and they give a 100% chance of a record event this year using the Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) metric:
September 16, 2026 at 3:41 AM
All the September dynamical ENSO models (including SINTEX) are now in, and they give a 100% chance of a record event this year using the Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) metric:
Hiatus v2?? Check it out! Our recent work, led by Shang-Ping Xie & Ayumu Miyamoto, suggests that internal variability has strongly influenced satellite-era (~1980-present) tropical Pacific SST trends. www.pnas.org/doi/full/10....
PNAS
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), a peer reviewed journal of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) - an authoritative source of high-impact, original research that broadly spans...
www.pnas.org
August 27, 2026 at 4:25 PM
Hiatus v2?? Check it out! Our recent work, led by Shang-Ping Xie & Ayumu Miyamoto, suggests that internal variability has strongly influenced satellite-era (~1980-present) tropical Pacific SST trends. www.pnas.org/doi/full/10....
Important work (led by my partner!!) on bringing marine oxygen into the conversation of what constitutes a safe space for society in a changing earth system
In a new review paper, Scripps Oceanography scientists warn that underwater oxygen loss—aquatic #deoxygenation—is pushing Earth toward an "unsafe space," with potentially irreversible impacts on human timescales. Learn about their call to action. ⤵️
https://bit.ly/3R7wgVI
https://bit.ly/3R7wgVI
Underwater Oxygen Loss Threatens Earth's Stability, Researchers Warn
A new review paper led by scientists at UC San Diego's Scripps Institution of Oceanography warns that the rapid loss of oxygen from the ocean and other aquatic ecosystems is pushing Earth toward an “unsafe space,” with consequences that could be irrever...
today.ucsd.edu
July 21, 2026 at 8:54 PM
Important work (led by my partner!!) on bringing marine oxygen into the conversation of what constitutes a safe space for society in a changing earth system
Reposted by Matt Luongo
I'm proud to announce a commentary from the Phenomena, Observations, and Synthesis panel of @usclivar.bsky.social about the necessity of the Argo program. 🌊 🧪
You can check it out here: doi.org/10.5670/ocea...
You can check it out here: doi.org/10.5670/ocea...
July 14, 2026 at 3:43 PM
I'm proud to announce a commentary from the Phenomena, Observations, and Synthesis panel of @usclivar.bsky.social about the necessity of the Argo program. 🌊 🧪
You can check it out here: doi.org/10.5670/ocea...
You can check it out here: doi.org/10.5670/ocea...
You may have heard of GCMs' double ITCZ bias, but how does this atmospheric phenomenon affect near-surface ocean circulation in models' equatorial Pacific? In a recent #GRL paper led by UW graduate student Cassia Cai, we explore just that. agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...
Double‐ITCZ Bias Reduces Southern Hemisphere Influence on Tropics via Oceanic Pathways
In forced ocean models and in nature, much of the equatorial thermocline water comes from the Southern Hemisphere interior ocean The double-ITCZ bias in climate models erroneously intensifies oce...
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
July 13, 2026 at 6:46 PM
You may have heard of GCMs' double ITCZ bias, but how does this atmospheric phenomenon affect near-surface ocean circulation in models' equatorial Pacific? In a recent #GRL paper led by UW graduate student Cassia Cai, we explore just that. agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...
Interested in understanding how the subsurface tropical Pacific has responded to GHG forcing? Interested in understanding whether models and observations agree on that response? Check out our recent paper in @jgroceans.bsky.social! agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...
Explaining the Equatorial Pacific Thermocline Response to Climate Change With a Model Hierarchy
Climate models can largely recreate observed equatorial Pacific subsurface temperature trends from 1958 to 2020 The observed subsurface temperature change is due to wind changes, remote sea surfa...
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
July 8, 2026 at 5:25 PM
Interested in understanding how the subsurface tropical Pacific has responded to GHG forcing? Interested in understanding whether models and observations agree on that response? Check out our recent paper in @jgroceans.bsky.social! agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...
Reposted by Matt Luongo
The latest multi-model El Niño forecast just came out from the IRI and... wow. The ensemble mean of the dynamical models would basically make a tie for the all-time strongest El Niño based on the satellite (OIv2) and instrumental (HadISST) records.
June 22, 2026 at 6:35 PM
The latest multi-model El Niño forecast just came out from the IRI and... wow. The ensemble mean of the dynamical models would basically make a tie for the all-time strongest El Niño based on the satellite (OIv2) and instrumental (HadISST) records.
Reposted by Matt Luongo
Scripps Oceanography climate scientist Shang-Ping Xie is one of 3 @ucsandiego.bsky.social professors elected to membership in
@nationalacademies.org of Sciences! The honor recognizes researchers whose original scientific contributions continue to shape & advance their fields.
https://bit.ly/4d73MCb
@nationalacademies.org of Sciences! The honor recognizes researchers whose original scientific contributions continue to shape & advance their fields.
https://bit.ly/4d73MCb
May 7, 2026 at 7:24 PM
Scripps Oceanography climate scientist Shang-Ping Xie is one of 3 @ucsandiego.bsky.social professors elected to membership in
@nationalacademies.org of Sciences! The honor recognizes researchers whose original scientific contributions continue to shape & advance their fields.
https://bit.ly/4d73MCb
@nationalacademies.org of Sciences! The honor recognizes researchers whose original scientific contributions continue to shape & advance their fields.
https://bit.ly/4d73MCb
Reposted by Matt Luongo
Most of my career has been in area of climate science called "the pattern effect". Work over the last decade (including my own) has led to a simple paradigm for the mechanisms of the pattern effect.
In this new preprint, we argue this paradigm is woefully insufficient
arxiv.org/abs/2603.24488
1/
In this new preprint, we argue this paradigm is woefully insufficient
arxiv.org/abs/2603.24488
1/
The forgotten role of wave dynamics in modulating the low cloud response to warm pool warming
The Pattern Effect describes the dependence of top-of-atmosphere radiation anomalies on changes in the pattern of sea surface temperatures. The emerging consensus in the field explains the impact of P...
arxiv.org
March 26, 2026 at 1:34 AM
Most of my career has been in area of climate science called "the pattern effect". Work over the last decade (including my own) has led to a simple paradigm for the mechanisms of the pattern effect.
In this new preprint, we argue this paradigm is woefully insufficient
arxiv.org/abs/2603.24488
1/
In this new preprint, we argue this paradigm is woefully insufficient
arxiv.org/abs/2603.24488
1/
Reposted by Matt Luongo
NCAR represents what is possible when a nation chooses to invest in science as a public good, writes @carlonimbus.bsky.social of @ucs.org. #SaveNCAR eos.org/opinions/wha...
What Americans Lose If Their National Center for Atmospheric Research Is Dismantled - Eos
Five ways dismantling NCAR will cost the American people, and two ways to save it.
eos.org
January 27, 2026 at 2:49 PM
NCAR represents what is possible when a nation chooses to invest in science as a public good, writes @carlonimbus.bsky.social of @ucs.org. #SaveNCAR eos.org/opinions/wha...
Check out our new preprint! We explain the equatorial Pacific thermocline's temperature response to climate change using a smorgasbord of modeling simulations. eartharxiv.org/repository/v...
Explaining the Equatorial Pacific Thermocline Response to Climate Change with a Model Hierarchy
eartharxiv.org
October 30, 2025 at 6:40 PM
Check out our new preprint! We explain the equatorial Pacific thermocline's temperature response to climate change using a smorgasbord of modeling simulations. eartharxiv.org/repository/v...
Reposted by Matt Luongo
Our 400+ page comment on the DOE climate working group report is now out.
Our conclusion: The merchants of doubt are back, and they're coming for climate science.
Our conclusion: The merchants of doubt are back, and they're coming for climate science.
DOEresponseSite
On July 29, 2025, the Department of Energy (DOE) published a report from its Climate Working Group (CWG). This report features prominently in the EPA's reconsideration of its 2009 Endangerment Finding. In response, over 85 scientists have come together to write a comprehensive review, which is
sites.google.com
September 2, 2025 at 1:24 PM
Our 400+ page comment on the DOE climate working group report is now out.
Our conclusion: The merchants of doubt are back, and they're coming for climate science.
Our conclusion: The merchants of doubt are back, and they're coming for climate science.