Matt Grossmann
@mattgrossmann.bsky.social
Michigan State political scientist & IPPSR Director; Hooked bookstore/cafe Co-owner; Science of Politics Podcast; New book: Polarized by Degrees
Political science
59%
Business
20%
The Day After: Threats and Guardrails in the 2026 Election
Abstract. The 2026 election will be conducted under extraordinary pressure because political actors aligned with the Trump Administration are attempting to
academic.oup.com
Despite denialism & election threats, decentralized, evidence-based election administration should still deliver lawful winners in 2026
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academic.oup.com/psq/advance-...
Normal Politics Under Stress: The 2026 Midterm Elections and Constraints on Presidential Power
This essay presents my expectations for the 2026 midterm elections. Despite anxieties over Trump's refusal to concede in 2020, mid-cycle redistricting, and
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Trump's unpopularity, rising costs, & the midterm penalty make Republican loss of one or both chambers; despite threats, turnout should be high & election administration should be good:
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papers.ssrn.com
Most AGI predictions have historically been unfalsifiable; two early predications were wrong & most others remain open
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Do boots and a truck make candidates Republican? - Niskanen Center
Levi Allen finds that voters can intuit partisanship from symbols like cowboy boots and a truck but rely more on partisan and policy information when it is available.
www.niskanencenter.org
Do Boots and a Truck Make Candidates Republican?
candidates can use cultural signals to show loyalties; voters intuit partisanship but rely more on partisan & policy information when available
New #ScienceOfPolitics podcast/transcript with Levi Allen
www.niskanencenter.org/do-boots-and...
candidates can use cultural signals to show loyalties; voters intuit partisanship but rely more on partisan & policy information when available
New #ScienceOfPolitics podcast/transcript with Levi Allen
www.niskanencenter.org/do-boots-and...
Internet Diffusion and Religious Decline: Evidence from 81 Countries, 1990–2022
Abstract. Using a panel of 81 countries across six World Values Survey waves (1990–2022), we examine whether growth in internet diffusion is associated wit
academic.oup.com
internet diffusion is associated with national declines in religiosity
academic.oup.com/socrel/advan...
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