Nathan Favero
@nathanfavero.com
soft scientist (american university), church attendee, monoglot, datum scientist, chess grandnonmaster, etc. stata, r, javascript, quickbasic. #lifelonglearner
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Nathan Favero
@nathanfavero.com
· Jan 5
My latest post: Why old school regression diagnostics are probably worth running... we really should check our variables for outliers, skew, multicollinearity, etc. open.substack.com/pub/nathanfa...
Reposted by Nathan Favero
Trump's claim that he's a great "fundraiser" deserving of recognition needs to be unpacked. When he asks CEOs for money, they give it because they fear that if they don't, he will abuse federal power to wreck their lives or businesses. Let's not honor or commemorate that.
Trump explicitly vows that reconstruction & renovation of the Kennedy Center won't begin unless & until he gets his name on it.
September 15, 2026 at 11:54 PM
Trump's claim that he's a great "fundraiser" deserving of recognition needs to be unpacked. When he asks CEOs for money, they give it because they fear that if they don't, he will abuse federal power to wreck their lives or businesses. Let's not honor or commemorate that.
Reposted by Nathan Favero
Still Counting gets the NYT look! www.nytimes.com/2026/09/02/b...
FiveThirtyEight’s Podcast Hosts Reunite for a New Show
Nate Silver, Clare Malone and Galen Druke will host “Still Counting,” a nonpartisan politics show — on a decidedly partisan podcast network.
www.nytimes.com
September 2, 2026 at 1:27 PM
Still Counting gets the NYT look! www.nytimes.com/2026/09/02/b...
Reposted by Nathan Favero
We are delighted to welcome Prof dr. Madalina Busuioc as the latest addition to our team of Associate Editors!
Madalina Busuioc is Professor of Public Governance in the Department of Political Science and Public Administration at Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam,
Madalina Busuioc is Professor of Public Governance in the Department of Political Science and Public Administration at Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam,
August 20, 2026 at 9:56 AM
We are delighted to welcome Prof dr. Madalina Busuioc as the latest addition to our team of Associate Editors!
Madalina Busuioc is Professor of Public Governance in the Department of Political Science and Public Administration at Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam,
Madalina Busuioc is Professor of Public Governance in the Department of Political Science and Public Administration at Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam,
Reposted by Nathan Favero
"Using generative AI inherently exposes you to the risk of career-ending accusations of plagiarism."
I wrote about a reason not to use generative AI in your writing that I haven't seen anyone talking about. Once I realized this, banning GenAI in our lab's writing became a no-brainer. Feel free to share, I think this is probably useful especially for trainees: www.carlsonlab.bio/thoughts/the...
The only reason you’ll ever need not to write with AI — The Carlson Lab
Over the last year, our lab has been developing a policy on AI use. To do this, we did three main things: We read a lot of academic publications and tech news. We set up an #ai channel on our la...
www.carlsonlab.bio
August 10, 2026 at 5:56 PM
"Using generative AI inherently exposes you to the risk of career-ending accusations of plagiarism."
Reposted by Nathan Favero
Bad news: The 30-year Treasury yield hit a 19-year high today. 🚨🚨🚨
America's going to have to pay more for its colossal debt, which will soon hit $40 trillion. Interest already tops $1T a year and is growing rapidly.
Latest GOP/WH plans would increase the deficit.
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
America's going to have to pay more for its colossal debt, which will soon hit $40 trillion. Interest already tops $1T a year and is growing rapidly.
Latest GOP/WH plans would increase the deficit.
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Treasuries Jolted as Fed Hold Trims September Hike Bets
US bond traders lowered their expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at its next meeting after officials kept their benchmark steady on Wednesday, while 30-year Treasury yield...
www.bloomberg.com
July 29, 2026 at 8:30 PM
Bad news: The 30-year Treasury yield hit a 19-year high today. 🚨🚨🚨
America's going to have to pay more for its colossal debt, which will soon hit $40 trillion. Interest already tops $1T a year and is growing rapidly.
Latest GOP/WH plans would increase the deficit.
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
America's going to have to pay more for its colossal debt, which will soon hit $40 trillion. Interest already tops $1T a year and is growing rapidly.
Latest GOP/WH plans would increase the deficit.
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Policy proposal: large vehicles (SUVs and pickup trucks) shouldn’t be banned, but sales should have a pedestrian safety tax to help address the externality (greater risk to pedestrians). Also, naming it that serves a public awareness purpose.
July 29, 2026 at 9:02 PM
Policy proposal: large vehicles (SUVs and pickup trucks) shouldn’t be banned, but sales should have a pedestrian safety tax to help address the externality (greater risk to pedestrians). Also, naming it that serves a public awareness purpose.
Reposted by Nathan Favero
🔔 New Issue:
Are public officials really more risk-averse than private sector employees?
A study of 1,582 officials and employees finds they're not uniformly more risk-averse.
Are public officials really more risk-averse than private sector employees?
A study of 1,582 officials and employees finds they're not uniformly more risk-averse.
July 26, 2026 at 3:49 AM
🔔 New Issue:
Are public officials really more risk-averse than private sector employees?
A study of 1,582 officials and employees finds they're not uniformly more risk-averse.
Are public officials really more risk-averse than private sector employees?
A study of 1,582 officials and employees finds they're not uniformly more risk-averse.
Reposted by Nathan Favero
🔔 New Article:
💫 Who is really held accountable when citizens meet the State?
A critical ethnography of the UK Tax Credits system finds encounters can reverse the accountability chain. Facing an unaccountable State, claimants became accountable for hardship inflicted on them.
💫 Who is really held accountable when citizens meet the State?
A critical ethnography of the UK Tax Credits system finds encounters can reverse the accountability chain. Facing an unaccountable State, claimants became accountable for hardship inflicted on them.
July 20, 2026 at 7:42 AM
🔔 New Article:
💫 Who is really held accountable when citizens meet the State?
A critical ethnography of the UK Tax Credits system finds encounters can reverse the accountability chain. Facing an unaccountable State, claimants became accountable for hardship inflicted on them.
💫 Who is really held accountable when citizens meet the State?
A critical ethnography of the UK Tax Credits system finds encounters can reverse the accountability chain. Facing an unaccountable State, claimants became accountable for hardship inflicted on them.
Reposted by Nathan Favero
🔔 New Issue Alert:
💫 Does common method variance really inflate correlations in self-reported data?
Five preregistered studies with 3,100+ UK & Chinese civil servants test the classic PSM-performance link.
💫 Does common method variance really inflate correlations in self-reported data?
Five preregistered studies with 3,100+ UK & Chinese civil servants test the classic PSM-performance link.
Validate User
doi.org
July 12, 2026 at 11:38 AM
🔔 New Issue Alert:
💫 Does common method variance really inflate correlations in self-reported data?
Five preregistered studies with 3,100+ UK & Chinese civil servants test the classic PSM-performance link.
💫 Does common method variance really inflate correlations in self-reported data?
Five preregistered studies with 3,100+ UK & Chinese civil servants test the classic PSM-performance link.
Reposted by Nathan Favero
🔔 New Issue Alert:
💫 What keeps long-term suppliers from raising prices in public contracts?
A study of 430 Indiana legal service contracts finds relational history pushes prices up over time.
💫 What keeps long-term suppliers from raising prices in public contracts?
A study of 430 Indiana legal service contracts finds relational history pushes prices up over time.
July 10, 2026 at 11:13 AM
🔔 New Issue Alert:
💫 What keeps long-term suppliers from raising prices in public contracts?
A study of 430 Indiana legal service contracts finds relational history pushes prices up over time.
💫 What keeps long-term suppliers from raising prices in public contracts?
A study of 430 Indiana legal service contracts finds relational history pushes prices up over time.
Reposted by Nathan Favero
🔔 New Issue Alert:
💫 When public services fail, do citizens punish politicians who shift the blame?
A new UK survey experiment (n=955) finds citizens generally disapprove of blame shifting but soften when they already see the service provider as more at fault.
💫 When public services fail, do citizens punish politicians who shift the blame?
A new UK survey experiment (n=955) finds citizens generally disapprove of blame shifting but soften when they already see the service provider as more at fault.
Validate User
doi.org
July 7, 2026 at 1:18 PM
🔔 New Issue Alert:
💫 When public services fail, do citizens punish politicians who shift the blame?
A new UK survey experiment (n=955) finds citizens generally disapprove of blame shifting but soften when they already see the service provider as more at fault.
💫 When public services fail, do citizens punish politicians who shift the blame?
A new UK survey experiment (n=955) finds citizens generally disapprove of blame shifting but soften when they already see the service provider as more at fault.
Reposted by Nathan Favero
🔔 New Issue Alert – Editor's Choice:
💫 Do people decide a program is "worth the effort" before they open the application?
A new study runs three survey experiments on a grocery benefit and tax rebate. Heavier documentation lowers willingness to apply.
💫 Do people decide a program is "worth the effort" before they open the application?
A new study runs three survey experiments on a grocery benefit and tax rebate. Heavier documentation lowers willingness to apply.
July 4, 2026 at 12:09 PM
🔔 New Issue Alert – Editor's Choice:
💫 Do people decide a program is "worth the effort" before they open the application?
A new study runs three survey experiments on a grocery benefit and tax rebate. Heavier documentation lowers willingness to apply.
💫 Do people decide a program is "worth the effort" before they open the application?
A new study runs three survey experiments on a grocery benefit and tax rebate. Heavier documentation lowers willingness to apply.
Reposted by Nathan Favero
📑 🧵JPART Introduces a Submission Cap Pilot Beginning July 1, 2026
Like many journals, JPART has seen a sharp rise in submissions, and our data point to GenAI as a major driver.
Like many journals, JPART has seen a sharp rise in submissions, and our data point to GenAI as a major driver.
June 27, 2026 at 11:36 AM
📑 🧵JPART Introduces a Submission Cap Pilot Beginning July 1, 2026
Like many journals, JPART has seen a sharp rise in submissions, and our data point to GenAI as a major driver.
Like many journals, JPART has seen a sharp rise in submissions, and our data point to GenAI as a major driver.
Reposted by Nathan Favero
💫 New Issue Highlight:
How do public agencies decide which programs to prioritize when their budgets get cut?
How do public agencies decide which programs to prioritize when their budgets get cut?
How do public agencies respond to budgetary control? A theory of strategic task portfolios in public administration
Abstract. How do public agencies manage diverse programs under limited budgets? Resource constraints force agencies to prioritize tasks, requiring strategi
doi.org
June 11, 2026 at 5:43 PM
💫 New Issue Highlight:
How do public agencies decide which programs to prioritize when their budgets get cut?
How do public agencies decide which programs to prioritize when their budgets get cut?
Reposted by Nathan Favero
💫 How does partisan control of governors shape how hard state agencies work to detect program errors?
A new study of UI programs in all 50 states (2002–2021) finds Republican-appointed agencies pursue ~$2.65M more in overpayment detection per year than Democratic-appointed ones.
A new study of UI programs in all 50 states (2002–2021) finds Republican-appointed agencies pursue ~$2.65M more in overpayment detection per year than Democratic-appointed ones.
June 9, 2026 at 2:23 PM
💫 How does partisan control of governors shape how hard state agencies work to detect program errors?
A new study of UI programs in all 50 states (2002–2021) finds Republican-appointed agencies pursue ~$2.65M more in overpayment detection per year than Democratic-appointed ones.
A new study of UI programs in all 50 states (2002–2021) finds Republican-appointed agencies pursue ~$2.65M more in overpayment detection per year than Democratic-appointed ones.
Reposted by Nathan Favero
SPA's @nathanfavero.com has researched a framework that analyzes how AI is changing the public sector and will present at a session titled "Reimagining the Public Servant: Professional Identity and Skill Adaptation in the AI Era", chaired by SPA Asst. Prof. @neosheeling.bsky.social. #PMRC2026
June 6, 2026 at 1:00 PM
SPA's @nathanfavero.com has researched a framework that analyzes how AI is changing the public sector and will present at a session titled "Reimagining the Public Servant: Professional Identity and Skill Adaptation in the AI Era", chaired by SPA Asst. Prof. @neosheeling.bsky.social. #PMRC2026
Reposted by Nathan Favero
💫 Does paying public providers for performance actually deliver better results?
A new meta-analysis of 740 observations across 38 studies finds the average effect is small and not significant. What matters is design: outcome-based measures outperform process/output metrics.
A new meta-analysis of 740 observations across 38 studies finds the average effect is small and not significant. What matters is design: outcome-based measures outperform process/output metrics.
June 4, 2026 at 12:20 PM
💫 Does paying public providers for performance actually deliver better results?
A new meta-analysis of 740 observations across 38 studies finds the average effect is small and not significant. What matters is design: outcome-based measures outperform process/output metrics.
A new meta-analysis of 740 observations across 38 studies finds the average effect is small and not significant. What matters is design: outcome-based measures outperform process/output metrics.
Reposted by Nathan Favero
(1/2)Today, Provost Associate Professor @nathanfavero.com is leading a workshop at #PMRC2026 titled "Politics, Administration, & Management (PAM): U.S. Executive Administration".
June 3, 2026 at 2:54 PM
(1/2)Today, Provost Associate Professor @nathanfavero.com is leading a workshop at #PMRC2026 titled "Politics, Administration, & Management (PAM): U.S. Executive Administration".
Reposted by Nathan Favero
💫 Does simply recalling an interaction with a government program leave a psychological mark?
A new SNAP survey experiment (n=3,812) finds that recalling encounters increased negative affect, even though most reported low burden. Negative experiences leave a stronger imprint than positive ones.
A new SNAP survey experiment (n=3,812) finds that recalling encounters increased negative affect, even though most reported low burden. Negative experiences leave a stronger imprint than positive ones.
May 31, 2026 at 11:35 AM
💫 Does simply recalling an interaction with a government program leave a psychological mark?
A new SNAP survey experiment (n=3,812) finds that recalling encounters increased negative affect, even though most reported low burden. Negative experiences leave a stronger imprint than positive ones.
A new SNAP survey experiment (n=3,812) finds that recalling encounters increased negative affect, even though most reported low burden. Negative experiences leave a stronger imprint than positive ones.
Reposted by Nathan Favero
💫 When federal agencies say they "heard" the public, does that mean they actually listened?
A new study of 854 federal rules finds regulatory text rarely changes between proposal and finalization.
A new study of 854 federal rules finds regulatory text rarely changes between proposal and finalization.
May 28, 2026 at 3:32 PM
💫 When federal agencies say they "heard" the public, does that mean they actually listened?
A new study of 854 federal rules finds regulatory text rarely changes between proposal and finalization.
A new study of 854 federal rules finds regulatory text rarely changes between proposal and finalization.
Reposted by Nathan Favero
Peer review is the backbone of academic quality, and JPART is fortunate to have an exceptional reviewer community. We're delighted to announce the recipients of the 2026 JPART Outstanding Reviewer Award, recognizing outstanding reviewing work done in 2025.
May 26, 2026 at 1:40 PM
Peer review is the backbone of academic quality, and JPART is fortunate to have an exceptional reviewer community. We're delighted to announce the recipients of the 2026 JPART Outstanding Reviewer Award, recognizing outstanding reviewing work done in 2025.
Reposted by Nathan Favero
🚨 Our editorial team (editors and associate editors) has released a statement on maintaining academic quality in the age of generative AI, published in PMRA's Management Matters. We expect to launch concrete initiatives this summer, in dialogue with PMRA. Full statement linked below!
JPART on Generative AI | Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory
🚨 JPART submissions have roughly doubled in just a few years, from under 600 annually to a projected 1,200+ this year, a surge we attribute largely to the growing use of generative AI.
Our editorial...
www.linkedin.com
May 24, 2026 at 1:43 PM
🚨 Our editorial team (editors and associate editors) has released a statement on maintaining academic quality in the age of generative AI, published in PMRA's Management Matters. We expect to launch concrete initiatives this summer, in dialogue with PMRA. Full statement linked below!
Reposted by Nathan Favero
💫 When local governments plan for the future, do they actually see the disadvantages their communities face?
This study of 462 municipalities finds manager-led cities plan broadly but underprioritize social vulnerabilities,
This study of 462 municipalities finds manager-led cities plan broadly but underprioritize social vulnerabilities,
May 21, 2026 at 1:31 PM
💫 When local governments plan for the future, do they actually see the disadvantages their communities face?
This study of 462 municipalities finds manager-led cities plan broadly but underprioritize social vulnerabilities,
This study of 462 municipalities finds manager-led cities plan broadly but underprioritize social vulnerabilities,
Reposted by Nathan Favero
💫 Can specialized institutions really change behavior on the ground?
A new study, by Yuhao Ba, uses China's environmental courts as a case of policy venue specialization.
A new study, by Yuhao Ba, uses China's environmental courts as a case of policy venue specialization.
May 18, 2026 at 11:26 AM
💫 Can specialized institutions really change behavior on the ground?
A new study, by Yuhao Ba, uses China's environmental courts as a case of policy venue specialization.
A new study, by Yuhao Ba, uses China's environmental courts as a case of policy venue specialization.