The Progress Report
@theprogressreport.co.nz
If you're interested in NZ politics, polling and elections you're in the right place. #nzpol
www.theprogressreport.co.nz
www.theprogressreport.co.nz
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The Progress Report
The Progress Report.
theprogressreport.co.nz
Welcome to the BlueSky home of The Progress Report - a repository of tools and data for anyone interested in New Zealand politics. Check us out at theprogressreport.co.nz #nzpol
I've uploaded the latest The Post/Freshwater Strategy post to The Progress Report, so you can use the MMP Calculator to figure out exactly who would get into Parliament on these numbers. theprogressreport.co.nz/mmp-calculat... #nzpol
theprogressreport.co.nz
September 14, 2026 at 8:38 PM
I've uploaded the latest The Post/Freshwater Strategy post to The Progress Report, so you can use the MMP Calculator to figure out exactly who would get into Parliament on these numbers. theprogressreport.co.nz/mmp-calculat... #nzpol
I've updated the ACT Party list in The Progress Report, so you can see who will get into Parliament via my MMP Calculator: theprogressreport.co.nz/mmp-calculat... #nzpol
theprogressreport.co.nz
September 13, 2026 at 3:28 AM
I've updated the ACT Party list in The Progress Report, so you can see who will get into Parliament via my MMP Calculator: theprogressreport.co.nz/mmp-calculat... #nzpol
Reposted by The Progress Report
NEW: 15k pensioners had their winter energy payment wrongly suspended this winter thanks to an error in a bill rushed through the House under urgency last year. www.thepost.co.nz/politics/361...
Winter Energy Payments removed from 15k pensioners in rushed law blunder
Thousands of pensioners and veterans lost their Winter Energy Payment this winter after an error in a law passed under urgency last year, The Post can reveal today.
www.thepost.co.nz
August 17, 2026 at 6:30 PM
NEW: 15k pensioners had their winter energy payment wrongly suspended this winter thanks to an error in a bill rushed through the House under urgency last year. www.thepost.co.nz/politics/361...
I've uploaded the latest Talbot Mills poll, so you can use my MMP Calculator to see exactly who would get into Parliament on those numbers. #nzpol theprogressreport.co.nz/mmp-calculat...
August 14, 2026 at 6:33 AM
I've uploaded the latest Talbot Mills poll, so you can use my MMP Calculator to see exactly who would get into Parliament on those numbers. #nzpol theprogressreport.co.nz/mmp-calculat...
Well that was fun. So when's the next National Party Leadership confidence vote?
August 12, 2026 at 12:59 AM
Well that was fun. So when's the next National Party Leadership confidence vote?
FWIW the highest I've seen Erica Stanford in a preferred PM poll was 1.4% in Reid Research's March 2026 poll, has been trending down since then. #nzpol theprogressreport.co.nz/pm-poll-grap...
theprogressreport.co.nz
August 11, 2026 at 8:44 AM
FWIW the highest I've seen Erica Stanford in a preferred PM poll was 1.4% in Reid Research's March 2026 poll, has been trending down since then. #nzpol theprogressreport.co.nz/pm-poll-grap...
I stand by my statement.
August 11, 2026 at 7:53 AM
I stand by my statement.
Reposted by The Progress Report
We made an app!
There is fairly widespread concern that turnout and enrolment will be low this election, so we made an app to help make enrolment and turnout data more accessible for communities.
All data are drawn from the NZ Electoral Commission's website.
turnout.inzight.co.nz
There is fairly widespread concern that turnout and enrolment will be low this election, so we made an app to help make enrolment and turnout data more accessible for communities.
All data are drawn from the NZ Electoral Commission's website.
turnout.inzight.co.nz
August 7, 2026 at 2:34 AM
We made an app!
There is fairly widespread concern that turnout and enrolment will be low this election, so we made an app to help make enrolment and turnout data more accessible for communities.
All data are drawn from the NZ Electoral Commission's website.
turnout.inzight.co.nz
There is fairly widespread concern that turnout and enrolment will be low this election, so we made an app to help make enrolment and turnout data more accessible for communities.
All data are drawn from the NZ Electoral Commission's website.
turnout.inzight.co.nz
Just did the whichparty.nz quiz - got "Social Democrat", 90% Labour Party which I think is probably pretty spot on. Cool site but only thing I don't like is they don't disclose who is behind it or if anything is being done with the data they're collecting.
August 1, 2026 at 1:32 AM
Just did the whichparty.nz quiz - got "Social Democrat", 90% Labour Party which I think is probably pretty spot on. Cool site but only thing I don't like is they don't disclose who is behind it or if anything is being done with the data they're collecting.
I've uploaded the full Opportunity Party (formerly TOP) 2026 party list to The Progress Report, so you can see who they will get into Parliament should they cross the 5% threshold or win an electorate. Explore for yourself with my MMP Calculator here: theprogressreport.co.nz/mmp-calculat... #nzpol
theprogressreport.co.nz
August 1, 2026 at 1:04 AM
I've uploaded the full Opportunity Party (formerly TOP) 2026 party list to The Progress Report, so you can see who they will get into Parliament should they cross the 5% threshold or win an electorate. Explore for yourself with my MMP Calculator here: theprogressreport.co.nz/mmp-calculat... #nzpol
Where will Stuart Nash bounce to next? NewZeal?
July 22, 2026 at 11:00 AM
Where will Stuart Nash bounce to next? NewZeal?
Quick update to The Progress Report - I've added major historical events (elections, changes of major party leaders etc) to my polling graphs, hopefully this additional context makes them even more useful. #nzpol
July 18, 2026 at 12:34 AM
Quick update to The Progress Report - I've added major historical events (elections, changes of major party leaders etc) to my polling graphs, hopefully this additional context makes them even more useful. #nzpol
Reposted by The Progress Report
NEW: Westminster Voting Intention
RFM 24% (-3)
LAB 24% (+5)
CON 21% (+1)
LD 11% (-1)
GRN 11% (=)
SNP 3% (=)
RB 2% (=)
PC 2% (=)
OTH 4% (=)
F/w 10-14 July 2026. Changes vs 17/06/2026
RFM 24% (-3)
LAB 24% (+5)
CON 21% (+1)
LD 11% (-1)
GRN 11% (=)
SNP 3% (=)
RB 2% (=)
PC 2% (=)
OTH 4% (=)
F/w 10-14 July 2026. Changes vs 17/06/2026
July 17, 2026 at 1:41 PM
NEW: Westminster Voting Intention
RFM 24% (-3)
LAB 24% (+5)
CON 21% (+1)
LD 11% (-1)
GRN 11% (=)
SNP 3% (=)
RB 2% (=)
PC 2% (=)
OTH 4% (=)
F/w 10-14 July 2026. Changes vs 17/06/2026
RFM 24% (-3)
LAB 24% (+5)
CON 21% (+1)
LD 11% (-1)
GRN 11% (=)
SNP 3% (=)
RB 2% (=)
PC 2% (=)
OTH 4% (=)
F/w 10-14 July 2026. Changes vs 17/06/2026
Reposted by The Progress Report
Chris Bishop has been left to clean up Simeon Brown's mess. My piece on the backdown today:
www.thepost.co.nz/politics/361...
www.thepost.co.nz/politics/361...
July 9, 2026 at 2:24 AM
Chris Bishop has been left to clean up Simeon Brown's mess. My piece on the backdown today:
www.thepost.co.nz/politics/361...
www.thepost.co.nz/politics/361...
Reposted by The Progress Report
You may wish to pay attention to the Clacton by-election between Nigel Farage and Count Binface.
UK Farage's election gamble could see him face one challenger... Count Binface
A gamble by Nigel Farage, leader of Britain's populist Reform UK, to trigger an election for his own parliamentary seat could mean the only opponent he will face during campaigning is a man with a t...
www.reuters.com
July 8, 2026 at 9:08 PM
You may wish to pay attention to the Clacton by-election between Nigel Farage and Count Binface.
Reposted by The Progress Report
“National Party ministers are telling Wellingtonians that they’ve got shovels in the ground when it’s abundantly clear they don’t. To be honest, they appear to be building ghost roads with ghost shovels.”
The crucial calculation that could kill Wellington tunnels plan
NZTA says the benefit-to-cost ratio, with provisos, is all important. By that measure, Wellington’s key project ranks last.
www.thepost.co.nz
July 8, 2026 at 9:31 PM
“National Party ministers are telling Wellingtonians that they’ve got shovels in the ground when it’s abundantly clear they don’t. To be honest, they appear to be building ghost roads with ghost shovels.”
New Westminster MRP:
Labour: 22% / 217 seats
Conservative: 20% / 151 seats
Reform UK: 22% / 127 seats
Lib Dem: 11% / 72 seats
Green: 10% / 30 seats
SNP: 3% / 28 seats
Plaid Cymru: 1% / 3 seats
Others: 3% / 3 seats
Restore Britain: 7% / 1 seat
Labour: 22% / 217 seats
Conservative: 20% / 151 seats
Reform UK: 22% / 127 seats
Lib Dem: 11% / 72 seats
Green: 10% / 30 seats
SNP: 3% / 28 seats
Plaid Cymru: 1% / 3 seats
Others: 3% / 3 seats
Restore Britain: 7% / 1 seat
MRP Poll July 2026
www.electoralcalculus.co.uk
July 8, 2026 at 10:01 PM
New Westminster MRP:
Labour: 22% / 217 seats
Conservative: 20% / 151 seats
Reform UK: 22% / 127 seats
Lib Dem: 11% / 72 seats
Green: 10% / 30 seats
SNP: 3% / 28 seats
Plaid Cymru: 1% / 3 seats
Others: 3% / 3 seats
Restore Britain: 7% / 1 seat
Labour: 22% / 217 seats
Conservative: 20% / 151 seats
Reform UK: 22% / 127 seats
Lib Dem: 11% / 72 seats
Green: 10% / 30 seats
SNP: 3% / 28 seats
Plaid Cymru: 1% / 3 seats
Others: 3% / 3 seats
Restore Britain: 7% / 1 seat
Genuinely very impressed by this policy. Will make a huge difference. www.labour.org.nz/solarsaver #nzpol
Labour's SolarSaver - Solar without the Upfront Cost
Labour's SolarSaver removes the upfront cost of solar for New Zealand homeowners, renters and communities with Government-backed finance, kickstart subsidies and a $26 million community battery fund.
www.labour.org.nz
July 8, 2026 at 1:05 AM
Genuinely very impressed by this policy. Will make a huge difference. www.labour.org.nz/solarsaver #nzpol
I've uploaded the latest 1News-Verian poll to The Progress Report, so you can see exactly who would get into Parliament on those numbers. theprogressreport.co.nz/mmp-calculat... #nzpol
theprogressreport.co.nz
June 23, 2026 at 6:40 AM
I've uploaded the latest 1News-Verian poll to The Progress Report, so you can see exactly who would get into Parliament on those numbers. theprogressreport.co.nz/mmp-calculat... #nzpol
Reposted by The Progress Report
With Keir Starmer announcing his resignation, our most recent favourability ratings (14-15 Jun) had him with a net score of -45. Here's how that compares to other recent PMs
Starmer -45
Sunak -53
Truss -70
Johnson -40 (final poll as PM)
Johnson -53 (final poll before resignation announced)
Starmer -45
Sunak -53
Truss -70
Johnson -40 (final poll as PM)
Johnson -53 (final poll before resignation announced)
June 22, 2026 at 9:00 AM
With Keir Starmer announcing his resignation, our most recent favourability ratings (14-15 Jun) had him with a net score of -45. Here's how that compares to other recent PMs
Starmer -45
Sunak -53
Truss -70
Johnson -40 (final poll as PM)
Johnson -53 (final poll before resignation announced)
Starmer -45
Sunak -53
Truss -70
Johnson -40 (final poll as PM)
Johnson -53 (final poll before resignation announced)
Reposted by The Progress Report
Hi, I'm the friend. Questions and feedback welcome
A friend of mine has built this very cool tool which will show you the impact the various parties' tax policies will have on you. Well worth checking it out. yourtax.nz #nzpol
Compare your tax under every party
What each party’s announced tax policy would change in your household’s week, compared with current law.
yourtax.nz
June 21, 2026 at 8:40 AM
Hi, I'm the friend. Questions and feedback welcome
A friend of mine has built this very cool tool which will show you the impact the various parties' tax policies will have on you. Well worth checking it out. yourtax.nz #nzpol
Compare your tax under every party
What each party’s announced tax policy would change in your household’s week, compared with current law.
yourtax.nz
June 21, 2026 at 7:29 AM
A friend of mine has built this very cool tool which will show you the impact the various parties' tax policies will have on you. Well worth checking it out. yourtax.nz #nzpol
I've uploaded the latest Freshwater Strategy and Talbot Mills polls to my database so you can figure out who would get elected on those numbers. Here's my predictions for what the Labour caucus would look like under the Talbot Mills numbers... #nzpol
June 16, 2026 at 11:07 PM
I've uploaded the latest Freshwater Strategy and Talbot Mills polls to my database so you can figure out who would get elected on those numbers. Here's my predictions for what the Labour caucus would look like under the Talbot Mills numbers... #nzpol
I've made a small but hopefully useful change to my NZ Preferred Prime Minister polling graph - by default it now shows whoever was the leader of National and Labour at the time each poll was taken. theprogressreport.co.nz/pm-poll-graph/ #nzpol
June 13, 2026 at 6:57 AM
I've made a small but hopefully useful change to my NZ Preferred Prime Minister polling graph - by default it now shows whoever was the leader of National and Labour at the time each poll was taken. theprogressreport.co.nz/pm-poll-graph/ #nzpol
I've updated my database with the new Labour Party list, so you can use my MMP and Labour Caucus calculators to see who could make it into Parliament. #nzpol theprogressreport.co.nz/mmp-calculat...
theprogressreport.co.nz
June 7, 2026 at 10:47 PM
I've updated my database with the new Labour Party list, so you can use my MMP and Labour Caucus calculators to see who could make it into Parliament. #nzpol theprogressreport.co.nz/mmp-calculat...