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SENTIMENT & MARKET INDICATORS, 10/7/26
AAII Bull-Bear Spread +1.3% (below average) (big shift)
CNN Fear & Greed Index 45 (neutral)
NYSE %Above 50-dMA 23.29% (oversold)
SP500 %Above 50-dMA 28.80% (oversold)
These are contrarian indicators...
October 8, 2026 at 10:49 AM
WEEKLY BUSINESS DIGEST 2
3 AI chatbots (ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini) were given $500 in play money to trade to make as much money as they could. Well, the results were underwhelming. Beware of this if you even dream of handing over trading authority to AI-trading-agents...
October 3, 2026 at 12:50 PM
WEEKLY BUSINESS DIGEST 1
TRADER. Good Micron/MU earnings report saved AI/tech & memory ETFs (DRAM, etc), & mega-caps are working again. Jobs report was weak (despite better ADP report). Inflation remains high. Q3 earnings will be here soon...
October 2, 2026 at 9:08 PM
GIFT CITY in INDIA
Gift City is a city-size special economic zone (SEZ) with different financial rules than those that apply elsewhere in India. There are attractive multiyear (10-20 years) tax incentives. Hard currencies used include dollar (most), euro, UK pound, etc;...
October 2, 2026 at 2:32 PM
SENTIMENT & MARKET INDICATORS, 9/30/26
AAII Bull-Bear Spread -11.9% (very low)
CNN Fear & Greed Index 31 (fear)
NYSE %Above 50-dMA 20.14% (oversold)
SP500 %Above 50-dMA 21.40% (oversold)
These are contrarian indicators...
October 1, 2026 at 10:51 AM
Stable-Value (SV) Rates, 10/1/26
TIAA Traditional Annuity (Accumulation) Rates
+25 bps for RC, RA, RCP, SRA; +45 bps (!) increase for IRA.
Restricted RC 5.75%, RA 5.50%
Flexible RCP 5.00%, SRA 4.75%, IRA-101110+ 4.65%...
September 30, 2026 at 8:48 PM
Fund Allocations (Cumulative), 8/31/26
Small shifts into stocks. The changes for OEFs + ETFs were based on a total AUM of about $48.52 trillion in the previous month, so +/- 1% change was about +/- $485.2 billion...
September 30, 2026 at 12:52 AM
WEEKLY BUSINESS DIGEST 2
ECONOMY. Fears that AI will cause mass unemployment are overblown despite doomsayers’ making dire predictions. Some white-collar jobs will indeed be lost, but others will be created. That has been shown by the history of significant technologies...
September 26, 2026 at 1:13 PM
WEEKLY BUSINESS DIGEST 1
Barron’s 2026 Biotech Roundtable.
Innovations, private funding and M&A are bullish for biotech; ETFs IBB and XBI have been strong YTD; healthcare ETF is XLV...
September 25, 2026 at 8:45 PM
HISTORY OF BATA
Bata started out as a Czech company founded by Thomas BATA & family in 1894 in Zlin, now in Czech Republic. "Bata Corporation" remains a private multinational with current headquarters in Lausanne, Switzerland. Its primary business is various types of shoes...
September 25, 2026 at 12:52 PM
SENTIMENT & MARKET INDICATORS, 9/23/26
AAII Bull-Bear Spread -15.4% (very low)
CNN Fear & Greed Index 35 (fear)
NYSE %Above 50-dMA 27.67% (negative)
SP500 %Above 50-dMA 29.60% (negative)
These are contrarian indicators...
September 24, 2026 at 10:44 AM
WEEKLY BUSINESS DIGEST 2
If your Medicare Advantage (MA) plan is being discontinued, look at the silver lining – you can switch w/o penalty or medical underwriting to a new MA plan OR revert to the original Medicare (AEP, Oct 15 – Dec 7; remember to add Medigap and Part D)...
September 19, 2026 at 1:17 PM
WEEKLY BUSINESS DIGEST 1
TRADER. Stock market has survived dire warnings about AI terminators & a Fed rate hike. Investors are attaching lot of significance to WARSH’s “Fed just removed a dose of accommodation” that may be his artful signal for “more hikes are coming”...
September 18, 2026 at 8:44 PM
GLOBAL MANUFACTURING HUBS (GMHs) IN INDIA
Similar to IT GCCs, several global manufacturing hubs (GMHs) are evolving in India. These design & manufacture products for global markets. These are not just Indian subsidiaries of foreign companies for the local markets...
September 18, 2026 at 2:39 PM
SENTIMENT & MARKET INDICATORS, 9/16/26
AAII Bull-Bear Spread -24.5% (very low) (huge drop)
CNN Fear & Greed Index 26 (fear-high)
NYSE %Above 50-dMA 31.36% (negative)
SP500 %Above 50-dMA 32.40% (negative)
These are contrarian indicators...
September 17, 2026 at 10:19 AM
WEEKLY BUSINESS DIGEST 2
TECH TRADER. It may be time to pay attention to AI-skeptics/ doomers. They may be on to something beyond normal historical skepticism for technology & automation. Some AI CEOs have expressed caution & talked about guardrails for AI models...
September 12, 2026 at 12:14 PM
WEEKLY BUSINESS DIGEST 1
TRADER. Wed will be showtime for WARSH-Fed. Stock & bond markets have weakened ahead. CME FedWatch is showing rate hikes in Sep & Dec. CPI was above Fed’s +2% target & (wholesale) PPI was far higher, meaning that CPI maybe going up...
September 11, 2026 at 8:44 PM
DO DIVIDENDS MATTER?
Yes!
Ask: Is it better for a company to pay you dividend or keep it in retained earnings for internal growth? If you think that the company can do a good job with retained earnings (internal growth or M&A), then that's fine,...
September 11, 2026 at 4:00 PM
SENTIMENT & MARKET INDICATORS, 9/9/26
AAII Bull-Bear Spread -1.3% (below average)
CNN Fear & Greed Index 39 (fear)
NYSE %Above 50-dMA 40.99% (negative)
SP500 %Above 50-dMA 38.20% (negative)
These are contrarian indicators...
September 10, 2026 at 10:36 AM
WEEKLY BUSINESS DIGEST 2
FRAUDSTERS & SCAMMERS are targeting SENIORS. They operate through social-media, dating apps, senior mixers, etc. They use AI for targeted pitches & deceptions that may not have typical old-time signs of grammatical or spelling errors, or accents...
September 5, 2026 at 12:19 PM
WEEKLY BUSINESS DIGEST 1
RUSSIA & UKRAINE were dominant GRAIN exporters before their long war started in 2022. As both have expanded the reaches of their air wars to oil/ gas facilities, consumer goods warehouses, & now to grains facilities,...
September 4, 2026 at 8:55 PM
TATA SONS has a storied history (founded in 1868) & has businesses related to all important areas in India. The Tata "management" & minority owners want simplification & growth with Tata Sons being public. Tata "Trusts" & "Family" want to keep it private &...
September 4, 2026 at 2:12 PM
SENTIMENT & MARKET INDICATORS, 9/2/26
AAII Bull-Bear Spread +2.1%% (below average)
CNN Fear & Greed Index 3 (fear)
NYSE %Above 50-dMA 47.32% (negative)
SP500 %Above 50-dMA 48.40% (negative)
These are contrarian indicators...
September 3, 2026 at 10:59 AM
WEEKLY BUSINESS DIGEST 2
FED Chairman WARSH at Jackson Hole was optimistic, clear & hawkish, ready to fight persistent inflation well above the PCE target of +2% for 65 months. He noted that 12- & 6-mo analyses of 199 PCE components, & CPI, were showing disturbing trends...
August 29, 2026 at 1:56 PM