Zhibenshe Research|智本社
zhibenshe.bsky.social
Zhibenshe Research|智本社
@zhibenshe.bsky.social
Independent Global Macro and Cross-Asset Research
1/10 China’s property market has fallen across the board since 2021. Yet the renminbi has not collapsed—and strengthened in 2026. Why? The exchange rate is not a high-frequency thermometer of GDP. A Zhibenshe Research thread. 🧵
September 30, 2026 at 7:36 AM
1/6 What if prosperity can weaken the judgment that protects it? Drawing on H. G. Wells, our essay proposes the Eloi crisis: a group inherits security and freedom, then loses the capacity to recognize threats, exercise restraint and defend common rules. An argument, not a proven causal finding.
September 22, 2026 at 9:15 AM
Marriage is not only a romantic bond. It is an economic institution that internalizes housing, care, income risk and long-term investment.

Zhibenshe Research asks a Coasean question: when does a household outperform markets, public services and informal cooperation? 🧵 1/5
September 20, 2026 at 8:51 AM
“Flexible employment” can obscure more than it describes. One label groups entrepreneurs, couriers, farmers and part-time workers—even though their hourly pay, work intensity and social protection differ sharply. Zhibenshe Research’s new analysis 🧵
September 17, 2026 at 7:08 AM
Power has a price. Olson and Wu Si show why rulers sometimes protect the wealth they extract—and why order can harden into decline. New essay: The Price of Power
zhibenshe.substack.com/p/the-price-...
September 15, 2026 at 3:33 AM
NVIDIA is no longer only selling chips. It is coordinating capacity, credit support, power and third-party capital across the AI stack.

Zhibenshe Research's conclusion: the strategic question is no longer GPU supply alone. It is who can coordinate the full deployment chain.
September 4, 2026 at 12:05 PM
AI capital is running ahead of economic realization.

Zhibenshe Research’s U.S. AI Industrialization Index: expansion 124.7 vs. realization 105.7 in mid-2026—a 19.0-point gap.

Test: utilization, cash flow, power, output per hour.
zhibenshe.substack.com/p/americas-a...
September 2, 2026 at 3:01 AM
America’s AI boom is becoming a reindustrialization cycle—not a return to the factory economy of the 1950s. It is a shift from software profits into data centers, chips, power and automation. 🧵
September 1, 2026 at 8:52 AM