The law of unintended consequences continues to strike www.theguardian.com/business/202...
Iran war may cause food shortages in Africa, world’s largest fertiliser firm says
Yara CEO warns of global auction that would leave poorest countries scrambling for supplies they can ill afford
www.theguardian.com
May 1, 2026 at 9:37 AM
The law of unintended consequences continues to strike www.theguardian.com/business/202...
There is a consensus that financial regulators are asking more from banks on how they’re going to protect their organisations and customers / investors from the impacts of geopolitical risks. But what are they focused on and where would they go? open.substack.com/pub/securing...
Regulators...mount up: geopolitical risk via the lens of global markets regulators
Geopolitical risk teams go mainstream, but at a cost to risk management and corporate strategy
open.substack.com
April 22, 2026 at 6:48 PM
There is a consensus that financial regulators are asking more from banks on how they’re going to protect their organisations and customers / investors from the impacts of geopolitical risks. But what are they focused on and where would they go? open.substack.com/pub/securing...
A tacit admission from Trump that US actions and deterrence aren’t working and that side deals with Iran are. In fact Iran is likely generating near-record monthly oil revenues.
March 31, 2026 at 11:50 AM
A tacit admission from Trump that US actions and deterrence aren’t working and that side deals with Iran are. In fact Iran is likely generating near-record monthly oil revenues.
Geopolitical resilience looks like this
Record wind output helps shield the UK from worst of Iran war fallout
www.reuters.com/business/ene...
www.reuters.com/business/ene...
Record wind output helps shield the UK from worst of Iran war fallout
Record output from wind farms has helped boost total clean power supplies in the United Kingdom to new highs so far in 2026, and allowed power firms to pare use of fossil fuels to multi-year lows.
www.reuters.com
March 31, 2026 at 10:57 AM
Geopolitical resilience looks like this
My latest take on the Iran war, itll get hotter before it cools; and what central banks think of the war open.substack.com/pub/securing...
The Iran war through the eyes of your central bank and banking regulator
No surprise, they're keeping a very close eye. PLUS: a brief update to my war scenarios
open.substack.com
March 25, 2026 at 4:42 PM
My latest take on the Iran war, itll get hotter before it cools; and what central banks think of the war open.substack.com/pub/securing...
Armed conflict over hydrocarbons is “a feature not a bug.” Even if the acceleration of renewable energy does not mean peace breaks out, building resilience and de risking is a survival strategy for most countries. apnews.com/article/midd...
Energy fallout from Iran war signals a global wake-up call for renewable energy
The Iran war is exposing how much the global economy still depends on fragile fossil fuel supplies. The conflict has virtually choked off the Strait of Hormuz, a vital shipping lane for a fifth of the...
apnews.com
March 22, 2026 at 2:07 PM
Armed conflict over hydrocarbons is “a feature not a bug.” Even if the acceleration of renewable energy does not mean peace breaks out, building resilience and de risking is a survival strategy for most countries. apnews.com/article/midd...
Banks need to have early warning systems for geopolitical risk fallouts on domestic financial stability, says the head of Indonesia’s banking association. en.tempo.co/read/2091624...
3 Steps to Shield Banks from Geopolitical Risks
Chair of Perbanas, Hery Gunardi, stated that the banking industry also faced challenges of global uncertainties due to geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East.
en.tempo.co
March 12, 2026 at 8:52 AM
Banks need to have early warning systems for geopolitical risk fallouts on domestic financial stability, says the head of Indonesia’s banking association. en.tempo.co/read/2091624...
I have just hit over 500 subscribers! Thanks for your support. If you’d like to support my work further with a paid subscription please click below and subscribe or upgrade. Some posts will still stay free but deeper dives and archives will be paywalled:
open.substack.com/pub/securing...
open.substack.com/pub/securing...
Thank you! And a quick update
Hi folks!
open.substack.com
March 11, 2026 at 9:57 AM
I have just hit over 500 subscribers! Thanks for your support. If you’d like to support my work further with a paid subscription please click below and subscribe or upgrade. Some posts will still stay free but deeper dives and archives will be paywalled:
open.substack.com/pub/securing...
open.substack.com/pub/securing...
Water is more important than oil in the Gulf and the attacks on desalination plants are a real escalation in the Iran war. But are we going to see more of this? And what does this mean for political risk and water security in future wars?
Read my latest:
open.substack.com/pub/securing...
Read my latest:
open.substack.com/pub/securing...
Water in a time of war
The targeting of desalination plants in the latest Iran conflict is a portent of how future wars will be conducted
open.substack.com
March 11, 2026 at 9:54 AM
Water is more important than oil in the Gulf and the attacks on desalination plants are a real escalation in the Iran war. But are we going to see more of this? And what does this mean for political risk and water security in future wars?
Read my latest:
open.substack.com/pub/securing...
Read my latest:
open.substack.com/pub/securing...
Water may be even more jmportant than oil in the Iran war. What does hitting water sources mean for thisb and future armed conflicts? open.substack.com/pub/securing...
Water in a time of war
The targeting of desalination plants in the latest Iran conflict is a portent of how future wars will be conducted
open.substack.com
March 9, 2026 at 7:36 AM
Water may be even more jmportant than oil in the Iran war. What does hitting water sources mean for thisb and future armed conflicts? open.substack.com/pub/securing...
Reposted by Alan Leung
Recent @copernicusland.bsky.social Sentinel-2 imagery in False Colour now showing the degraged agricultural land in #Syria near Quneitra where Israel has been spraying herbicide. Images via @obretix.bsky.social
February 8, 2026 at 7:58 PM
Recent @copernicusland.bsky.social Sentinel-2 imagery in False Colour now showing the degraged agricultural land in #Syria near Quneitra where Israel has been spraying herbicide. Images via @obretix.bsky.social
I’m going to write more on Greenland soon as I feel there angles not as well covered in the English language press + social media. A few points I bear in mind as we watch the ice melt: 1/n
#geopolitics #intelligence #enterpriserisk #resilience
#geopolitics #intelligence #enterpriserisk #resilience
Greenland is ground zero for Arctic ‘Great Game’
‘It may sound like American chauvinism . . . and it is. We’re done apologising about that,’ says Trump official
www.ft.com
January 20, 2026 at 3:20 PM
I’m going to write more on Greenland soon as I feel there angles not as well covered in the English language press + social media. A few points I bear in mind as we watch the ice melt: 1/n
#geopolitics #intelligence #enterpriserisk #resilience
#geopolitics #intelligence #enterpriserisk #resilience
Reposted by Alan Leung
"... #AMOC has entered public executive discourse, strategic foresight, & even the discourse around defence analysis... governments are starting to conceptualise tipping points: not solely as scientific uncertainties, but as governance challenges with cascading societal & geopolitical implications"
From Climate Reports to Security Planning
How Government Mentions of the AMOC Are Changing
strategicclimaterisks.substack.com
January 6, 2026 at 4:41 AM
"... #AMOC has entered public executive discourse, strategic foresight, & even the discourse around defence analysis... governments are starting to conceptualise tipping points: not solely as scientific uncertainties, but as governance challenges with cascading societal & geopolitical implications"
Reposted by Alan Leung
Looking back to @wwattribution.bsky.social studies in 2025 showed again, in stark terms, how unfairly the consequences of human-induced climate change are distributed. The world does not have to be like this, we have a lot of agency to make it better. www.worldweatherattribution.org/unequal-evid...
December 30, 2025 at 5:31 PM
Looking back to @wwattribution.bsky.social studies in 2025 showed again, in stark terms, how unfairly the consequences of human-induced climate change are distributed. The world does not have to be like this, we have a lot of agency to make it better. www.worldweatherattribution.org/unequal-evid...
Climate, nature and security go hand in hand: “Though rooted in armed conflict, armed groups’ presence inadvertently curbed large-scale deforestation by limiting illegal activities such as coca cultivation and land grabbing.”
ssir.org/articles/ent...
ssir.org/articles/ent...
From Fighters to Custodians (SSIR)
In the heart of the Colombian jungle, COMUCCOM fosters reconciliation through community-led rebirth and collective action.
ssir.org
December 30, 2025 at 7:11 PM
Climate, nature and security go hand in hand: “Though rooted in armed conflict, armed groups’ presence inadvertently curbed large-scale deforestation by limiting illegal activities such as coca cultivation and land grabbing.”
ssir.org/articles/ent...
ssir.org/articles/ent...
I start the 2025 wrap up with my take on the future of the business of geopolitical risk. Part 1 is about people, part 2 (coming soon!) is about AI and software. What do you think open.substack.com/pub/securing...
The business of geopolitics for 2026 - part 1
It will be the best of times, it will be the worst of times?
open.substack.com
December 19, 2025 at 11:27 AM
I start the 2025 wrap up with my take on the future of the business of geopolitical risk. Part 1 is about people, part 2 (coming soon!) is about AI and software. What do you think open.substack.com/pub/securing...
Got an interesting challenge in any of the following? Geopolitics, climate risk and resilience, crisis and scenario planning + management, supply chain, “classic” security risk management? I may be able to help: open.substack.com/pub/securing...
Got a problem? Get me in
Bringing strategic risk leadership and insights to your project
open.substack.com
November 29, 2025 at 3:54 PM
Got an interesting challenge in any of the following? Geopolitics, climate risk and resilience, crisis and scenario planning + management, supply chain, “classic” security risk management? I may be able to help: open.substack.com/pub/securing...
I’m back with some more interesting reads for you on climate security! Geoengineering, AI for espionage and a new climate map all get a look in. Plus jobs!
open.substack.com/pub/securing...
open.substack.com/pub/securing...
What caught my eye Oct/Nov 2025 edition
Blocking the sun, AI for spooks, and jobz
open.substack.com
November 15, 2025 at 2:28 PM
I’m back with some more interesting reads for you on climate security! Geoengineering, AI for espionage and a new climate map all get a look in. Plus jobs!
open.substack.com/pub/securing...
open.substack.com/pub/securing...
The latest Securing our Climate! We cover Australian climate risk assessment, the carbon cost of the Ukraine war and a preview of COP30 open.substack.com/pub/securing...
Climate security digest October 2025
Australia's climate risk assessment, Ukraine war's carbon cost, and a very brief COP30 preview
open.substack.com
October 9, 2025 at 12:13 PM
The latest Securing our Climate! We cover Australian climate risk assessment, the carbon cost of the Ukraine war and a preview of COP30 open.substack.com/pub/securing...
Sunday reading to opine on leadership, great power politics, techno fundamentalism and the implications of not dying for awhile. www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle...
‘To them, ageing is a technical problem that can, and will, be fixed’: how the rich and powerful plan to live for ever
When Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin were caught on mic talking about living for ever, it seemed straight out of a sci-fi fantasy. But for some death is no longer considered an inevitability …
www.theguardian.com
September 28, 2025 at 2:29 PM
Sunday reading to opine on leadership, great power politics, techno fundamentalism and the implications of not dying for awhile. www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle...
Listen on Substack! Matt Anderson, Founder and CEO of Cryogenx, joins to talk about the dangers of heat exhaustion and how his company’s innovative cooling vest is starting to make an impact with militaries, first responders and beyond.
open.substack.com/pub/securing...
open.substack.com/pub/securing...
The fight against heat exhaustion
A conversation with Matthew Anderson, Founder and CEO of Cryogenx
open.substack.com
September 19, 2025 at 10:51 PM
Listen on Substack! Matt Anderson, Founder and CEO of Cryogenx, joins to talk about the dangers of heat exhaustion and how his company’s innovative cooling vest is starting to make an impact with militaries, first responders and beyond.
open.substack.com/pub/securing...
open.substack.com/pub/securing...
substack.com/@securingcli...
New post out of the latest links and commentary around climate security! I talk about the evolving role of intelligence teams (geopolitics, climate, business etc), the fallout of the Texas floods, Alabama data centres guzzling water, and more!
New post out of the latest links and commentary around climate security! I talk about the evolving role of intelligence teams (geopolitics, climate, business etc), the fallout of the Texas floods, Alabama data centres guzzling water, and more!
Alan Leung (@securingclimate)
New post out of the latest links and commentary around climate security! I talk about the evolving role of intelligence teams (geopolitics, climate, business etc), the fallout of the Texas floods, Ala...
substack.com
July 20, 2025 at 9:19 PM
substack.com/@securingcli...
New post out of the latest links and commentary around climate security! I talk about the evolving role of intelligence teams (geopolitics, climate, business etc), the fallout of the Texas floods, Alabama data centres guzzling water, and more!
New post out of the latest links and commentary around climate security! I talk about the evolving role of intelligence teams (geopolitics, climate, business etc), the fallout of the Texas floods, Alabama data centres guzzling water, and more!
