Andrea Cellino
banner
andreaterenzio.bsky.social
Andrea Cellino
@andreaterenzio.bsky.social
Vice president, Middle East Institute Switzerland, Executive-in-Residence GCSP - security governance #Libya #Tunisia #Morocco #Algeria #MENA #Ukraine #Eurasia - usual caveats
Pinned
My take on #Ceuta.

I trace the surge to a misread court ruling, smuggling networks & a lapse in Moroccan border discipline, dismantle the political retaliation narrative.

EU migration architecture has outsourced of its own political stability to transit states.

meiswitzerland.ch/themes/geopo...
The EU Ceuta Trap: The Crisis No One Orchestrated
Some 60,000 people crossed from Morocco into Ceuta on 30-31 July 2026; nearly all returned within 48 hours and none reached the European mainland.
meiswitzerland.ch
“We Are Living on Borrowed Time”

Repression of Civil Society in Tunisia

www.hrw.org/report/2026/...
“We Are Living on Borrowed Time”
The 49-page report, “‘We Are Living on Borrowed Time’: Repression of Civil Society in Tunisia” documents the Tunisian authorities’ escalating repression of local and international civil society groups...
www.hrw.org
September 5, 2026 at 8:56 PM
Israel opens up bids for highly-sensitive West Bank settlement project

The development would in effect divide the West Bank in two and isolate East Jerusalem.

www.bbc.com/news/article...
Israel opens up bids for highly-sensitive West Bank settlement project
The UK's foreign secretary condemned the move as "an unacceptable and destructive act".
www.bbc.com
August 20, 2026 at 6:53 AM
Reposted by Andrea Cellino
“What happened to the people of Gaza who survived the genocide? Is it even right that we consider them survivors? Where does human pain go when justice is absent?”

A beautiful, haunting essay by Samar Yazbek in @hidden-cities.com adapted from her new book: www.hidden-cities.com/p/samar-yazb...
Samar Yazbek: Giving Voice to Gaza's Survivors
What happened to the people of Gaza who survived the genocide? Is it even right that we consider them survivors?
www.hidden-cities.com
August 19, 2026 at 11:48 AM
Excellent analysis of the latest developments in #Libya by @wlacher.bsky.social in @nybooks.com 👇
"As both sides build up their arsenals and collude in defrauding the state, they are inexorably pushing Libya toward crisis. Boulos, seeking to cement the status quo by entrenching the rule of the two families, may turn out to be the harbinger of its collapse."

My latest, in @nybooks.com
Libya: The Dangerous Gamble | Wolfram Lacher
On my last visit to Tripoli, this past June, the city often felt as if it had left the protracted conflicts of Libya’s post-Qaddafi era behind. At night,
www.nybooks.com
August 16, 2026 at 6:36 AM
Chômage, inégalités, subventions publiques au profit des plus aisés… Au fil des années, au Maroc, une frange de la société, en particulier les jeunes, a vu sa situation économique se détériorer.
@jeuneafrique.com
www.jeuneafrique.com/1830122/econ...
Ceuta : les raisons économiques d’une crise migratoire
Chômage, inégalités, subventions publiques au profit des plus aisés… Au fil des années, au Maroc, une frange de la société, en particulier les jeunes, a vu sa situation économique se détériorer.
www.jeuneafrique.com
August 6, 2026 at 10:45 AM
My take on #Ceuta.

I trace the surge to a misread court ruling, smuggling networks & a lapse in Moroccan border discipline, dismantle the political retaliation narrative.

EU migration architecture has outsourced of its own political stability to transit states.

meiswitzerland.ch/themes/geopo...
The EU Ceuta Trap: The Crisis No One Orchestrated
Some 60,000 people crossed from Morocco into Ceuta on 30-31 July 2026; nearly all returned within 48 hours and none reached the European mainland.
meiswitzerland.ch
August 6, 2026 at 6:45 AM
Pour l’ancien commissaire européen Thierry Breton, ce qui s’est passé dans l’enclave espagnole est une attaque numérique avant d’être une crise migratoire.
@vdegraffenried.bsky.social
www.letemps.ch/monde/le-dra...
Le drame de Ceuta, première démonstration à grande échelle d’une «attaque hybride algorithmique» contre une frontière de l’UE - Le Temps
Pour l’ancien commissaire européen Thierry Breton, ce qui s’est passé dans l’enclave espagnole est une attaque numérique avant d’être une crise migratoire
www.letemps.ch
August 6, 2026 at 6:43 AM
“The great appear great because we are on our knees: Let us rise.” James Larkin, quoted by @fotoole.bsky.social i this excellent article/speech

www.nybooks.com/articles/202...
Gulliver’s Warning | Fintan O’Toole
Like Gulliver in Lilliput, “greatness” in the political realm depends on the existence of a group deemed puny or weak.
www.nybooks.com
June 23, 2026 at 9:01 AM
Reposted by Andrea Cellino
The leaders of both France and Spain recently expressed concerns about the establishment and use of return hubs in third countries, despite the EU recently voting in favor of the potential establishment of such centers.
Leaders of France and Spain speak out against return hubs
The new EU Pact on Migration and Asylum came into force on June 12, signaling the bloc's move towards establishing return hubs in third countries. But some major countries within the bloc appear to be...
www.infomigrants.net
June 23, 2026 at 8:49 AM
A Look at the Text of the Agreement Between the United States and Iran www.nytimes.com/2026/06/17/u...
A Look at the Text of the Agreement Between the United States and Iran
www.nytimes.com
June 18, 2026 at 7:50 AM
How did the world’s richest nation armed with the most powerful military arrive at this strategic defeat?
www.nytimes.com/2026/06/17/o...
Opinion | We Just Saw the Limit of American Military Might
www.nytimes.com
June 17, 2026 at 8:27 AM
Reposted by Andrea Cellino
In first since Oslo, Israel seizing land for army base inside West Bank city

The seizure order, near Jenin refugee camp, is the latest move aimed at expanding military and settler presence in the north of the occupied territory.

www.972mag.com/oslo-israel-...
In first since Oslo, Israel seizing land for army base inside West Bank city
The confiscation order, near Jenin refugee camp, is the latest move aimed at expanding military and settler presence in the north of the occupied territory.
www.972mag.com
June 12, 2026 at 8:01 AM
Reposted by Andrea Cellino
Pope Leo XIV addressed migrants and lambasted the international community and leaders over the treatment of migrants, during a visit to the Spanish island of Gran Canaria.

He argued European leaders cannot claim human dignity while allowing the Mediterranean to become an "unmarked grave."
Pope Leo bows to migrants' 'dignity' in Gran Canaria
The pope visited the port of Arguineguin, a flashpoint of a migration crisis in the Canary Islands. He argued European leaders cannot claim human dignity while allowing the Mediterranean to become an ...
www.infomigrants.net
June 12, 2026 at 8:18 AM
Reposted by Andrea Cellino
Happy "let's defeat the far right by adopting their migration policies" Day for all who celebrate
EU’s new asylum regime begins amid delays, legal risks, and fears of mass detention
Over decade in the making, the new EU asylum rules are finally kicking into force on Friday. But EU member states delays are posing challenges amid critics who warn of rights abuses when it comes peop...
euobserver.com
June 12, 2026 at 8:10 AM
Reposted by Andrea Cellino
📑 REPORT: HUMAN RIGHTS VIOLATIONS IN LIBYA DURING MAY 2026

May 2026 witnessed continued unlawful killings, arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and ongoing migrant deaths across Libya.

🔗Read the complete report: lcw.ngo/en/p/126qs
June 5, 2026 at 12:57 PM
Reposted by Andrea Cellino
In the absence of the Constitutional #Court, whose chair is supposed to act as interim president in case of power vacuum (according to Kais #Saied’s 2022 Constitution), #Tunisia risks to plunge into uncertainty.

#EU #US
#تونس #دستور #قيس_سعيّد
June 1, 2026 at 9:45 AM
Reposted by Andrea Cellino
Last week, the UN Security Council did not renew the mandate for inspections of ships suspected of violating the Libya arms embargo. So, EU naval op Irini's mandate for inspections ended yesterday.

France & Greece opted not to request a renewal, fearing a veto & making little effort to avoid it.
Embargo farsa e nuovo ambasciatore Ue. L’Opa di Atene in Libia
I ricatti di Haftar sui migranti tolgono alla missione Irini il mandato dell’Onu. E i greci soffiano la rappresentanza Ue a Tripoli a un italiano. Brutto colpo per Roma
www.ilfoglio.it
May 26, 2026 at 7:51 AM
How Italian authorities hamper the work of NGOs rescuing migrants.

3d instalment of @lemondefr series on migration in the #Mediterranean
www.lemonde.fr/en/internati...
How Italian authorities hamper the work of NGOs rescuing migrants
'Migrants in the Mediterranean: The mechanics of silence' (3/4). Since Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni took office in 2022, organizations providing rescue services to migrants have faced increas...
www.lemonde.fr
May 20, 2026 at 6:20 PM
Reposted by Andrea Cellino
Very helpful analysis from Kurtz, Lacher & Roll at SWP:
The Destabilising Role of the United Arab Emirates in African Conflicts
www.swp-berlin.org/en/publicati...
The Destabilising Role of the United Arab Emirates in African Conflicts
The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has become one of the most aggressive external actors in African conflicts, from Ethiopia, Libya and Somalia to...
www.swp-berlin.org
May 15, 2026 at 12:08 PM
Reposted by Andrea Cellino
🔴 HAPPENING NOW: Opening of the International Criminal Court confirmation of charges hearing in the case against Khaled Mohamed Ali El Hishri, in the Situation in Libya.

📌 For the insights of Libyan and international civil society organisations: coalitionfortheicc.org/news/el-hish...
May 19, 2026 at 8:32 AM
In my commentary for @stimsoncenter.bsky.social North Africa I argue how in #Libya #migration policies, fragmented assistance and diplomatic retreat have undermined the #EU leverage while reinforcing problematic local power structures.

When a new political strategy?

t.co/lywvR5cD1J
https://www.stimson.org/2026/the-eus-technocratic-trap-in-libya-how-brussels-is-ceding-the-mediterranean/
t.co
May 20, 2026 at 10:07 AM