@anthonyworlando.bsky.social
How I became known for economic forecasting, and how it led me to the latest big Cal Poly Pomona initiative: the Tarkington Business Futures Institute
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/welcome-to...
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/welcome-to...
Welcome to the Future, I'll Be Your Guide
Introducing the new Tarkington Business Futures Institute at Cal Poly Pomona
anthonyworlando.substack.com
August 2, 2026 at 11:33 PM
How I became known for economic forecasting, and how it led me to the latest big Cal Poly Pomona initiative: the Tarkington Business Futures Institute
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/welcome-to...
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/welcome-to...
No method of causal identification is perfect, but our new SVAR approach gives a new way to measure housing supply elasticities with new insights. Here's how we did it.
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/a-shocking...
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/a-shocking...
A "Shocking" Way to Measure Supply Elasticities
What we did differently from previous housing economists
anthonyworlando.substack.com
July 31, 2026 at 3:57 PM
No method of causal identification is perfect, but our new SVAR approach gives a new way to measure housing supply elasticities with new insights. Here's how we did it.
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/a-shocking...
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/a-shocking...
How do we know that it’s gotten harder to build almost everywhere — not just California? My new research comes up with a novel way to measure it: open.substack.com/pub/anthonyw...
Everything Causes Everything Else
The problem with measuring housing supply elasticities
open.substack.com
July 27, 2026 at 6:08 PM
How do we know that it’s gotten harder to build almost everywhere — not just California? My new research comes up with a novel way to measure it: open.substack.com/pub/anthonyw...
This is "The Great Supply Compression." It helps explain how the housing affordability crisis spread so far and wide across America. Here's how we uncovered it: anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/its-gettin...
July 19, 2026 at 10:27 PM
This is "The Great Supply Compression." It helps explain how the housing affordability crisis spread so far and wide across America. Here's how we uncovered it: anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/its-gettin...
Scott Bessent came up with the measures. I just did the math.
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/11-measure...
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/11-measure...
11 Measures of the Trump Administration's Economic Record
Keeping track of the goals they set for themselves at the outset
anthonyworlando.substack.com
June 25, 2026 at 8:48 PM
Scott Bessent came up with the measures. I just did the math.
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/11-measure...
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/11-measure...
@marketplace.org wanted to know if divorce can affect the housing market. Here's what I told them.
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/can-divorc...
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/can-divorc...
Can Divorce Affect the Housing Market?
Marketplace radio listeners want to know
anthonyworlando.substack.com
June 17, 2026 at 4:29 PM
@marketplace.org wanted to know if divorce can affect the housing market. Here's what I told them.
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/can-divorc...
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/can-divorc...
Ever heard of "second-chance credit cards"? Here's my take for WalletHub: anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/what-to-do...
What to Do with Your Second Chance
Advice for anyone struggling with credit cards
anthonyworlando.substack.com
May 7, 2026 at 5:27 PM
Ever heard of "second-chance credit cards"? Here's my take for WalletHub: anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/what-to-do...
The federal budget deficit came down a little in 2025. How much, and why? Let's dig into the numbers.
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/donald-tru...
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/donald-tru...
Donald Trump vs. the Federal Budget Deficit
One year in, how's it going so far?
anthonyworlando.substack.com
January 23, 2026 at 5:09 PM
The federal budget deficit came down a little in 2025. How much, and why? Let's dig into the numbers.
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/donald-tru...
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/donald-tru...
How hard would it be for the US to control Venezuela's oil production indefinitely? Here are some of the challenges.
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/producing-...
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/producing-...
Producing Oil Is Hard to Do
Especially when the political regime is unstable
anthonyworlando.substack.com
January 9, 2026 at 5:26 PM
How hard would it be for the US to control Venezuela's oil production indefinitely? Here are some of the challenges.
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/producing-...
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/producing-...
At the center of the latest duel between the Trump administration and the judiciary is SNAP, better known as "food stamps." Here's how much money we're talking about, and where that money goes, and what it does.
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/how-big-is...
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/how-big-is...
How Big Is SNAP?
And a few other things you may be wondering about food stamps
anthonyworlando.substack.com
November 7, 2025 at 7:48 PM
At the center of the latest duel between the Trump administration and the judiciary is SNAP, better known as "food stamps." Here's how much money we're talking about, and where that money goes, and what it does.
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/how-big-is...
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/how-big-is...
As the federal budget moves even deeper into deficit, it may be helpful to remember how, once upon a time, we did the opposite. Here are the numbers behind the Clinton administration's success.
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/how-we-bal...
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/how-we-bal...
How We Balanced the Federal Budget
Why the 1990s were so different from the 2020s
anthonyworlando.substack.com
July 17, 2025 at 8:12 PM
As the federal budget moves even deeper into deficit, it may be helpful to remember how, once upon a time, we did the opposite. Here are the numbers behind the Clinton administration's success.
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/how-we-bal...
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/how-we-bal...
Reposted
Unemployment insurance raises workers' bargaining power and wages, new research from @davidwiczer.bsky.social @atlantafed.org & co-authors.
#EconSky
www.atlantafed.org/research/pub...
#EconSky
www.atlantafed.org/research/pub...
July 14, 2025 at 9:28 PM
Unemployment insurance raises workers' bargaining power and wages, new research from @davidwiczer.bsky.social @atlantafed.org & co-authors.
#EconSky
www.atlantafed.org/research/pub...
#EconSky
www.atlantafed.org/research/pub...
What does Medicaid pay for? What impact does it have on the economy? How are states and beneficiaries going to grapple with the new work requirement?
I answer all those questions and more in my study with the Economic Roundtable. Here are a few important highlights:
I answer all those questions and more in my study with the Economic Roundtable. Here are a few important highlights:
Six Facts You Should Know About Medicaid
New research reveals the coming consequences of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act
anthonyworlando.substack.com
July 7, 2025 at 8:05 PM
What does Medicaid pay for? What impact does it have on the economy? How are states and beneficiaries going to grapple with the new work requirement?
I answer all those questions and more in my study with the Economic Roundtable. Here are a few important highlights:
I answer all those questions and more in my study with the Economic Roundtable. Here are a few important highlights:
Ever wondered how much the feds subsidize the states in administering Medicaid? Or how long people stay enrolled at taxpayer expense?
These are the facts.
These are the facts.
Medicaid: Who Pays and Who Stays
Two important facts about a program on the brink of major transformation
anthonyworlando.substack.com
May 22, 2025 at 8:50 PM
Ever wondered how much the feds subsidize the states in administering Medicaid? Or how long people stay enrolled at taxpayer expense?
These are the facts.
These are the facts.
Once upon a time, an anti-immigration Republican Party enacted steep tariffs on all our major trading partners under the banner of "America First."
Here's how that all turned out.
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/did-the-sm...
Here's how that all turned out.
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/did-the-sm...
Did the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Cause the Great Depression?
Probably not, but it cost the economy a lot of money
anthonyworlando.substack.com
April 23, 2025 at 7:58 PM
Once upon a time, an anti-immigration Republican Party enacted steep tariffs on all our major trading partners under the banner of "America First."
Here's how that all turned out.
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/did-the-sm...
Here's how that all turned out.
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/did-the-sm...
Texas lawmakers have proposed allowing teenagers to bring guns to school. They say it would make Texans safer. It wouldn't. We have the data.
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/how-to-inc...
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/how-to-inc...
How to Increase Violent Crime in Schools
Is this really what Texans want?
anthonyworlando.substack.com
April 17, 2025 at 3:38 AM
Texas lawmakers have proposed allowing teenagers to bring guns to school. They say it would make Texans safer. It wouldn't. We have the data.
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/how-to-inc...
anthonyworlando.substack.com/p/how-to-inc...
It's not often you see a president barrel forward into such unpopular economic territory...or is it?
Here's a little data on how popular Republican and Democratic policies really are.
Here's a little data on how popular Republican and Democratic policies really are.
It's Not Just Trump: Republican Policies Are Often Unpopular
Republican lawmaking has become increasingly less popular over the last 20 years
anthonyworlando.substack.com
April 9, 2025 at 9:22 PM
It's not often you see a president barrel forward into such unpopular economic territory...or is it?
Here's a little data on how popular Republican and Democratic policies really are.
Here's a little data on how popular Republican and Democratic policies really are.