Short Answer:
Expect this recession to last between 12 and 18 months, leaning toward the longer end of that spectrum, with recovery beginning once policies stabilize and tariffs are significantly rolled back or mitigated.
Detailed Reasoning:
Short Answer:
Expect this recession to last between 12 and 18 months, leaning toward the longer end of that spectrum, with recovery beginning once policies stabilize and tariffs are significantly rolled back or mitigated.
Detailed Reasoning:
Short Answer:
Yes—given the scale, breadth, and aggressive timing of Trump's tariff regime, there's a high likelihood (approximately 80–85%) that these measures will tip the U.S. economy into recession.
Detailed Analysis:
Short Answer:
Yes—given the scale, breadth, and aggressive timing of Trump's tariff regime, there's a high likelihood (approximately 80–85%) that these measures will tip the U.S. economy into recession.
Detailed Analysis:
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