Evidence First
@evidencefirst.com
Evidence first, conclusions second. We examine what the best available evidence supports, what it doesn’t, and what remains uncertain.
Our latest piece looks at AGI, one of those ideas that sounds simple until you try to draw the line. We tend to imagine a big announcement or a moment when everyone agrees something historic has happened. But what if the real story is less obvious than that?
www.evidencefirst.com/p/is-agi-alr...
www.evidencefirst.com/p/is-agi-alr...
Is AGI Already Here?
The answer depends not on whether machines can think like us, but on whether we trust them to act for us.
www.evidencefirst.com
September 16, 2026 at 4:54 PM
Our latest piece looks at AGI, one of those ideas that sounds simple until you try to draw the line. We tend to imagine a big announcement or a moment when everyone agrees something historic has happened. But what if the real story is less obvious than that?
www.evidencefirst.com/p/is-agi-alr...
www.evidencefirst.com/p/is-agi-alr...
Mamdani draws strong reactions from both supporters and critics. We looked at the major claims around him, what the evidence supports, where the arguments go too far, and what remains a matter of judgment.
www.evidencefirst.com/p/the-case-a...
www.evidencefirst.com/p/the-case-a...
The Case Against Mamdani That Holds Up
A fair critique of Mamdani starts by rejecting exaggeration, then asks harder questions about capitalism, Israel and public judgment.
www.evidencefirst.com
September 16, 2026 at 4:52 PM
Mamdani draws strong reactions from both supporters and critics. We looked at the major claims around him, what the evidence supports, where the arguments go too far, and what remains a matter of judgment.
www.evidencefirst.com/p/the-case-a...
www.evidencefirst.com/p/the-case-a...
Welcome to Evidence First.
We start with the evidence, not the conclusion.
We look at important questions, separate what the evidence actually supports from what it doesn’t, and make the uncertainty clear when the answer isn’t settled.
www.evidencefirst.com/p/why-we-bui...
We start with the evidence, not the conclusion.
We look at important questions, separate what the evidence actually supports from what it doesn’t, and make the uncertainty clear when the answer isn’t settled.
www.evidencefirst.com/p/why-we-bui...
Why We Built Evidence First
For a long time, we treated information as if more of it would naturally bring us closer to the truth.
www.evidencefirst.com
September 16, 2026 at 4:50 PM
Welcome to Evidence First.
We start with the evidence, not the conclusion.
We look at important questions, separate what the evidence actually supports from what it doesn’t, and make the uncertainty clear when the answer isn’t settled.
www.evidencefirst.com/p/why-we-bui...
We start with the evidence, not the conclusion.
We look at important questions, separate what the evidence actually supports from what it doesn’t, and make the uncertainty clear when the answer isn’t settled.
www.evidencefirst.com/p/why-we-bui...