Ian Berry
@ianberry.bsky.social
Agriculture and commodities. Former newspaper/wire journalist and yinzer. Milwaukee enjoyer. Fan of the Bucks and the Buccos.
Pinned
Ian Berry
@ianberry.bsky.social
· Dec 5
Same rule applies here as everywhere else on the internet, never read the comments
"They said Rep. Jim Baird (R-Indiana) asked the two officials whether Venezuelan oil would be available to farmers, who are facing record-high diesel prices of $6.28 per gallon on average."
SCOOP: Republicans left a closed-door briefing on Trump’s Venezuelan oil deal frustrated with the lack of detail provided and with learning it won’t do much, if anything, to lower gas prices before the midterm elections
www.washingtonsun.com/us-news/trum...
www.washingtonsun.com/us-news/trum...
Trump Officials Say the Venezuelan Oil Deal Won’t Lower Gas Prices Before the Midterms
“There weren’t a whole lot of answers,” one House Republican said after State officials briefed lawmakers about the deal.
www.washingtonsun.com
September 16, 2026 at 7:44 PM
"They said Rep. Jim Baird (R-Indiana) asked the two officials whether Venezuelan oil would be available to farmers, who are facing record-high diesel prices of $6.28 per gallon on average."
Reposted by Ian Berry
Sen. Mitch McConnell’s return to the Capitol this week gives Senate Republicans back the vote they were missing when their farm bill stalled in committee last month. It doesn’t give them a deal.
Even With McConnell Back, Farm Bill Faces Long Road Ahead
Political hurdles remain even if the Senate Agriculture panel sends the measure to the floor Wednesday.
www.washingtonsun.com
September 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM
Sen. Mitch McConnell’s return to the Capitol this week gives Senate Republicans back the vote they were missing when their farm bill stalled in committee last month. It doesn’t give them a deal.
Reposted by Ian Berry
Record hottest first half of September tied or set for almost four dozen major reporting stations from the central and southern Rockies to the Southeast.
Includes Austin, Dallas, Denver and Nashville.
(Data: SERCC)
Includes Austin, Dallas, Denver and Nashville.
(Data: SERCC)
September 16, 2026 at 4:34 PM
Record hottest first half of September tied or set for almost four dozen major reporting stations from the central and southern Rockies to the Southeast.
Includes Austin, Dallas, Denver and Nashville.
(Data: SERCC)
Includes Austin, Dallas, Denver and Nashville.
(Data: SERCC)
Reposted by Ian Berry
ed zitron thinking a guy resigned from anthropic pre-IPO as a ploy to juice his substack is a great example of how cynicism makes you stupid.
September 15, 2026 at 11:14 PM
ed zitron thinking a guy resigned from anthropic pre-IPO as a ploy to juice his substack is a great example of how cynicism makes you stupid.
"Veteran energy advisers say that with no resolution to the Iran war in sight, the situation risks spinning out of control."
www.wsj.com/business/ene...
www.wsj.com/business/ene...
Oil Executives Say the Great Fuel Crisis Is Here
Trump officials say the oil-market disruption is temporary, but Chevron’s Mike Wirth and others warn global supplies are running low, with no respite in sight.
www.wsj.com
September 15, 2026 at 2:51 AM
"Veteran energy advisers say that with no resolution to the Iran war in sight, the situation risks spinning out of control."
www.wsj.com/business/ene...
www.wsj.com/business/ene...
Reposted by Ian Berry
NDSU’s punter might hold the record for kinds of cultural experience in a six year span
September 15, 2026 at 1:04 AM
NDSU’s punter might hold the record for kinds of cultural experience in a six year span
Reposted by Ian Berry
Costco hikes motor oil prices and limits purchases $COST @seekingalpha
Almost a double from $30-$35 to $58
Almost a double from $30-$35 to $58
September 14, 2026 at 6:37 PM
Costco hikes motor oil prices and limits purchases $COST @seekingalpha
Almost a double from $30-$35 to $58
Almost a double from $30-$35 to $58
Deere bringing back more than 375 Quad Cities factory workers www.kwqc.com/2026/09/14/d...
Deere bringing back more than 375 Quad Cities factory workers
Officials said they have brought back or hired more than 800 employees across Iowa and Illinois since January.
www.kwqc.com
September 14, 2026 at 2:58 PM
Deere bringing back more than 375 Quad Cities factory workers www.kwqc.com/2026/09/14/d...
Reposted by Ian Berry
![Feb 2024: "I believe we're reaching the upper limits about what generative AI can do and how accurate its outputs can be."
Wrong4
March 2024: "Have We Reached Peak AI?"; another prediction that hallucinations mean that AI progress is limited to then-current levels
Wrong
April 2024: "As I previously warned, artificial intelligence companies are running out of data ..."; another prediction that models can't improve because there's no more data
Wrong
June 2024: OpenAI growth is stalling (with the implication it will continue to stall), which will lead to some kind of collapse of OpenAI
Wrong (it could be the case that OpenAI will collapse but, if so, it won't be due to any kind of growth stall from 2024)
July 2024: "Generative AI, as I said back in March, is peaking, if it hasn't already peaked. It cannot do much more than it is currently doing, other than doing more of it faster with some new inputs"
Wrong
July 2024: "Generative AI models aren’t getting more energy-efficient, nor are they getting more “powerful” in a way that would increase their functionality, nor are they even capable of automating things on their own [July 2024]"
Wrong5
August 2024: "generative AI is a dead-end technology that has peaked”
Wrong
August 2024: re-iteration that the AI bubble has 3 quarters to prove itself (from March 2024) or there will be a collapse
Wrong6
September 2024: "o1 shows that OpenAI is both desperate and out of ideas", with a re-iteration of the idea that models can't improve due to lack of data
Wrong
Oct 2024: OpenAI's forecast of $3.7B revenue in 2024 and $11.6B in 2025 and $100B in 2029 are absurd, "a statement so egregious that I am surprised it's not some kind of financial crime to say it out loud"
Wrong (2025 goal exceeded, 2029 TBD but not an egregious financial crime level of implausible)
Oct 2024: "[OpenAI revenue] growth is already slowing…](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:2mrgzk6xlemfv6yugn644xxy/bafkreigvfeplyc2h64aigu3v7bryiwedhemivwghrxyqyji4nuqs347tde)
September 1, 2026 at 5:57 PM
MAHA Doritos in the office
September 11, 2026 at 7:51 PM
MAHA Doritos in the office
Reposted by Ian Berry
Empty seats on both sides of me as I hear the president insist that the American Airlines Center is full and there are thousands of people outside. Nothing new to say, just... wow, 11 years of this, huh
September 11, 2026 at 2:31 AM
Empty seats on both sides of me as I hear the president insist that the American Airlines Center is full and there are thousands of people outside. Nothing new to say, just... wow, 11 years of this, huh
Reposted by Ian Berry
MAXXED OUT at $9.999!! GasBuddy data showing 5 stations in California that have hit the limit and are selling diesel at the dispensers highest possible price: $9.999/gal
September 10, 2026 at 1:40 PM
MAXXED OUT at $9.999!! GasBuddy data showing 5 stations in California that have hit the limit and are selling diesel at the dispensers highest possible price: $9.999/gal
thread
1. Earlier today, AI researcher Jacob Coxon, who spent the past three years working at OpenAI and Anthropic, publicly resigned from Anthropic, warning that both companies are racing toward superintelligence and “gambling with our lives.”
September 9, 2026 at 1:28 PM
thread
The Brewers' local TV broadcast deserves an Emmy for its perfectly timed shots of sad Cubs fans and Craig Counsell closeups when things are going wrong for them
September 9, 2026 at 3:01 AM
The Brewers' local TV broadcast deserves an Emmy for its perfectly timed shots of sad Cubs fans and Craig Counsell closeups when things are going wrong for them
Reposted by Ian Berry
Two extraordinary charts from today’s PISA test results:
1) School test scores continue to collapse internationally, underscoring how this is no longer a Covid effect but sustained decline.
Those falls in reading and maths are equivalent to about two years of lost schooling.
1) School test scores continue to collapse internationally, underscoring how this is no longer a Covid effect but sustained decline.
Those falls in reading and maths are equivalent to about two years of lost schooling.
September 8, 2026 at 10:56 AM
Two extraordinary charts from today’s PISA test results:
1) School test scores continue to collapse internationally, underscoring how this is no longer a Covid effect but sustained decline.
Those falls in reading and maths are equivalent to about two years of lost schooling.
1) School test scores continue to collapse internationally, underscoring how this is no longer a Covid effect but sustained decline.
Those falls in reading and maths are equivalent to about two years of lost schooling.
Today's New York Times is a bit of a slog
September 7, 2026 at 1:18 PM
Today's New York Times is a bit of a slog
Reposted by Ian Berry
Luke Fickell is too fit to ever be respected as an authority figure in Wisconsin
September 7, 2026 at 2:10 AM
Luke Fickell is too fit to ever be respected as an authority figure in Wisconsin
Reposted by Ian Berry
In light of the news of Santelli's retirement, probably a good time to repost one of the greatest CNBC moments ever.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=EU9U...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=EU9U...
Steve Liesman Embarrasses Rick Santelli On CNBC
YouTube video by Iasg beòil
www.youtube.com
September 4, 2026 at 12:55 PM
In light of the news of Santelli's retirement, probably a good time to repost one of the greatest CNBC moments ever.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=EU9U...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=EU9U...
Appreciate how they tucked the $40B in the middle of the list
September 3, 2026 at 9:01 PM
Appreciate how they tucked the $40B in the middle of the list
September 3, 2026 at 7:22 PM
