Kadir Can Yıldırım
@kadircanyildirim.bsky.social
Systems dev · Rust, C++, Python
Merged contributions at NASA & CERN
Paper: an independent evaluation of NASA/IBM's Surya flare model ☀️
github.com/kadircanyildirm-crypto
Merged contributions at NASA & CERN
Paper: an independent evaluation of NASA/IBM's Surya flare model ☀️
github.com/kadircanyildirm-crypto
A Simpson's paradox in solar flare forecasting ☀️
Flare rates in the Surya benchmark's test years rose 128-fold, so a model scoring 0.554 overall scores lower in every single year.
From my first paper, an independent evaluation of NASA & IBM's Surya:
doi.org/10.22541/ess...
Flare rates in the Surya benchmark's test years rose 128-fold, so a model scoring 0.554 overall scores lower in every single year.
From my first paper, an independent evaluation of NASA & IBM's Surya:
doi.org/10.22541/ess...
September 15, 2026 at 10:14 PM
A Simpson's paradox in solar flare forecasting ☀️
Flare rates in the Surya benchmark's test years rose 128-fold, so a model scoring 0.554 overall scores lower in every single year.
From my first paper, an independent evaluation of NASA & IBM's Surya:
doi.org/10.22541/ess...
Flare rates in the Surya benchmark's test years rose 128-fold, so a model scoring 0.554 overall scores lower in every single year.
From my first paper, an independent evaluation of NASA & IBM's Surya:
doi.org/10.22541/ess...