MLB Win Probability Bot
LightNews LightNews
banner
mlbwpbot.bsky.social
MLB Win Probability Bot
@mlbwpbot.bsky.social
44 followers 1 following 1.8K posts
⚾ Win Probability Charts for every MLB game.
How dramatic was tonight's finish? The chart tells the story.
🤖 Automated • Updated after every final • Fun Project
Posts Replies Media Videos
mlbwpbot.bsky.social
⚾ Dodgers 3, Braves 1
W: Yoshinobu Yamamoto | L: Chris Sale | SV: Edwin Díaz
🔑 Enrique Hernández homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Andy Pages scores. (21% WPA)
#Braves #Dodgers
Win Probability Chart: Los Angeles Dodgers 3 at Atlanta Braves 1, 2026-10-06. Atlanta Braves win probability ranged from 0% to 55%.
October 7, 2026 at 1:09 AM
mlbwpbot.bsky.social
⚾ Yankees 2, Rays 5
W: Cam Booser | L: Cam Schlittler | SV: Bryan Baker
🔑 Junior Caminero doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Trent Grisha (13% WPA)
#Rays #Yankees
Win Probability Chart: New York Yankees 2 at Tampa Bay Rays 5, 2026-10-05. Tampa Bay Rays win probability ranged from 45% to 100%.
October 6, 2026 at 4:04 AM
mlbwpbot.bsky.social
⚾ White Sox 4, Guardians 3
W: Sean Burke | L: Erik Sabrowski | SV: Grant Taylor
🔑 Braden Montgomery doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Chase DeLau (29% WPA)
#Guardians #WhiteSox
Win Probability Chart: Chicago White Sox 4 at Cleveland Guardians 3, 2026-10-05. Cleveland Guardians win probability ranged from 0% to 77%.
October 6, 2026 at 4:04 AM
mlbwpbot.bsky.social
⚾ Braves 3, Dodgers 2
W: Dylan Lee | L: Kris Bubic | SV: Raisel Iglesias
🔑 Michael Harris II doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker (14% WPA)
#Dodgers #Braves
Win Probability Chart: Atlanta Braves 3 at Los Angeles Dodgers 2, 2026-10-04. Los Angeles Dodgers win probability ranged from 0% to 60%.
October 5, 2026 at 8:00 AM
mlbwpbot.bsky.social
⚾ Padres 3, Brewers 4 (Walk-off)
W: Trevor Megill | L: Mason Miller
🔑 Jackson Chourio singles on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Chris (72% WPA)
#Brewers #Padres
Win Probability Chart: San Diego Padres 3 at Milwaukee Brewers 4, 2026-10-04. Milwaukee Brewers win probability ranged from 11% to 100%.
October 5, 2026 at 1:26 AM
mlbwpbot.bsky.social
⚾ Padres 2, Brewers 3
W: DL Hall | L: Adrian Morejon | SV: Trevor Megill
🔑 William Contreras homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. (23% WPA)
#Brewers #Padres
Win Probability Chart: San Diego Padres 2 at Milwaukee Brewers 3, 2026-10-03. Milwaukee Brewers win probability ranged from 27% to 100%.
October 4, 2026 at 9:10 AM
mlbwpbot.bsky.social
⚾ Yankees 0, Rays 1 (Shutout)
W: Drew Rasmussen | L: Gerrit Cole | SV: Bryan Baker
🔑 Jonathan Aranda homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. (12% WPA)
#Rays #Yankees
Win Probability Chart: New York Yankees 0 at Tampa Bay Rays 1, 2026-10-03. Tampa Bay Rays win probability ranged from 50% to 100%.
October 4, 2026 at 2:16 AM
mlbwpbot.bsky.social
⚾ Braves 3, Dodgers 5
W: Tarik Skubal | L: Victor Mederos | SV: Evan Phillips
🔑 Teoscar Hernández homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Freddie Freeman (21% WPA)
#Dodgers #Braves
Win Probability Chart: Atlanta Braves 3 at Los Angeles Dodgers 5, 2026-10-03. Los Angeles Dodgers win probability ranged from 46% to 100%.
October 4, 2026 at 2:16 AM
mlbwpbot.bsky.social
⚾ White Sox 3, Guardians 0 (Shutout)
W: Bryan Hudson | L: Parker Messick | SV: Grant Taylor
🔑 Munetaka Murakami homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Miguel Vargas scores. (18% WPA)
#Guardians #WhiteSox
Win Probability Chart: Chicago White Sox 3 at Cleveland Guardians 0, 2026-10-03. Cleveland Guardians win probability ranged from 0% to 58%.
October 3, 2026 at 10:33 PM
mlbwpbot.bsky.social
⚾ Phillies 2, Braves 6
W: Grant Holmes | L: Aaron Nola
🔑 Michael Harris II homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Ronald Acuña J (21% WPA)
#Braves #Phillies
Win Probability Chart: Philadelphia Phillies 2 at Atlanta Braves 6, 2026-10-01. Atlanta Braves win probability ranged from 49% to 100%.
October 2, 2026 at 7:47 AM
mlbwpbot.bsky.social
⚾ Cubs 1, Padres 4
W: Bradgley Rodriguez | L: Kevin Gausman | SV: Mason Miller
🔑 Gavin Sheets homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Xander Bogaerts scores. (17% WPA)
#Padres #Cubs
Win Probability Chart: Chicago Cubs 1 at San Diego Padres 4, 2026-09-30. San Diego Padres win probability ranged from 50% to 100%.
October 1, 2026 at 6:45 AM
mlbwpbot.bsky.social
⚾ Red Sox 2, Yankees 9
W: Max Fried | L: Sonny Gray
🔑 Luis García Jr. homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. (12% WPA)
#Yankees #RedSox
Win Probability Chart: Boston Red Sox 2 at New York Yankees 9, 2026-09-30. New York Yankees win probability ranged from 45% to 100%.
October 1, 2026 at 6:45 AM
mlbwpbot.bsky.social
⚾ White Sox 7, Astros 3
W: Anthony Kay | L: Hunter Brown
🔑 Andrew Benintendi singles on a line drive to center fielder Lucas Spence. Kyle T (14% WPA)
#Astros #WhiteSox
Win Probability Chart: Chicago White Sox 7 at Houston Astros 3, 2026-09-30. Houston Astros win probability ranged from 0% to 47%.
October 1, 2026 at 12:56 AM
mlbwpbot.bsky.social
⚾ Phillies 4, Braves 3 (10 Inn.)
W: Andrew Painter | L: Didier Fuentes
🔑 Alec Bohm homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. (41% WPA)
#Braves #Phillies
Win Probability Chart: Philadelphia Phillies 4 at Atlanta Braves 3, 2026-09-30. Atlanta Braves win probability ranged from 0% to 88%.
October 1, 2026 at 12:56 AM
mlbwpbot.bsky.social
⚾ Cubs 0, Padres 8 (Shutout)
W: Michael King | L: Matthew Boyd
🔑 Fernando Tatis Jr. homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. (10% WPA)
#Padres #Cubs
Win Probability Chart: Chicago Cubs 0 at San Diego Padres 8, 2026-09-29. San Diego Padres win probability ranged from 52% to 100%.
September 30, 2026 at 6:12 AM
mlbwpbot.bsky.social
⚾ Red Sox 0, Yankees 9 (Shutout)
W: Cam Schlittler | L: Payton Tolle
🔑 Ben Rice homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. (12% WPA)
#Yankees #RedSox
Win Probability Chart: Boston Red Sox 0 at New York Yankees 9, 2026-09-29. New York Yankees win probability ranged from 49% to 100%.
September 30, 2026 at 6:12 AM
mlbwpbot.bsky.social
⚾ White Sox 6, Astros 3
W: Jordan Hicks | L: AJ Blubaugh
🔑 Nelson Velázquez homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Lucas Spence scores. (9% WPA)
#Astros #WhiteSox
Win Probability Chart: Chicago White Sox 6 at Houston Astros 3, 2026-09-29. Houston Astros win probability ranged from 0% to 46%.
September 30, 2026 at 12:55 AM
mlbwpbot.bsky.social
⚾ Phillies 3, Braves 5
W: Dylan Lee | L: Jhoan Duran | SV: Raisel Iglesias
🔑 Austin Riley homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Michael Harris II s (64% WPA)
#Braves #Phillies
Win Probability Chart: Philadelphia Phillies 3 at Atlanta Braves 5, 2026-09-29. Atlanta Braves win probability ranged from 19% to 100%.
September 29, 2026 at 9:11 PM
mlbwpbot.bsky.social
⚾ Cardinals 4, Brewers 6
W: Jacob Misiorowski | L: Andre Pallante | SV: Shane Drohan
🔑 Jackson Chourio singles on a ground ball to center fielder Nathan Church. Garret (11% WPA)
#Brewers #Cardinals
Win Probability Chart: St. Louis Cardinals 4 at Milwaukee Brewers 6, 2026-09-27. Milwaukee Brewers win probability ranged from 52% to 100%.
September 27, 2026 at 10:44 PM
mlbwpbot.bsky.social
⚾ Braves 3, Marlins 5
W: Michael Petersen | L: JR Ritchie | SV: Sandy Alcantara
🔑 Jared Serna doubles (3) on a ground ball to left fielder Mauricio Dubón. Esteury (17% WPA)
#Marlins #Braves
Win Probability Chart: Atlanta Braves 3 at Miami Marlins 5, 2026-09-27. Miami Marlins win probability ranged from 37% to 100%.
September 27, 2026 at 10:44 PM
mlbwpbot.bsky.social
⚾ Rockies 2, White Sox 4
W: Anthony Kay | L: Kyle Freeland | SV: Trevor Richards
🔑 Randal Grichuk homers (15) on a line drive to left field. Luisangel Acuña scores (19% WPA)
#WhiteSox #Rockies
Win Probability Chart: Colorado Rockies 2 at Chicago White Sox 4, 2026-09-27. Chicago White Sox win probability ranged from 38% to 100%.
September 27, 2026 at 10:44 PM
mlbwpbot.bsky.social
⚾ Rangers 4, Twins 6
W: Dean Kremer | L: Chase Silseth
🔑 Josh Bell homers (21) on a fly ball to right field. Luke Keaschall scores. (21% WPA)
#Twins #Rangers
Win Probability Chart: Texas Rangers 4 at Minnesota Twins 6, 2026-09-27. Minnesota Twins win probability ranged from 49% to 100%.
September 27, 2026 at 10:44 PM
mlbwpbot.bsky.social
⚾ Angels 3, Mariners 7
W: Eduard Bazardo | L: Yusei Kikuchi
🔑 Cal Raleigh singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Josh Lowe. Randy Aro (10% WPA)
#Mariners #Angels
Win Probability Chart: Los Angeles Angels 3 at Seattle Mariners 7, 2026-09-27. Seattle Mariners win probability ranged from 50% to 100%.
September 27, 2026 at 10:44 PM
mlbwpbot.bsky.social
⚾ D-backs 4, Padres 9
W: Griffin Canning | L: Justin Martinez
🔑 Lars Nootbaar singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Jase Bowen. Tim T (19% WPA)
#Padres #D-backs
Win Probability Chart: Arizona Diamondbacks 4 at San Diego Padres 9, 2026-09-27. San Diego Padres win probability ranged from 50% to 100%.
September 27, 2026 at 10:44 PM
mlbwpbot.bsky.social
⚾ Pirates 4, Tigers 2
W: Lake Bachar | L: River Ryan | SV: Mason Montgomery
🔑 Konnor Griffin grounds into a double play, shortstop John Peck to second baseman (11% WPA)
#Tigers #Pirates
Win Probability Chart: Pittsburgh Pirates 4 at Detroit Tigers 2, 2026-09-27. Detroit Tigers win probability ranged from 0% to 44%.
September 27, 2026 at 10:44 PM