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Pollcast - Poll Tracker
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Pollcast - Poll Tracker @pollcast.net · Jun 22
POLLCAST 2026 MIDTERM FORECAST

🟣 Senate: Coin-flip that either party wins control
🔵 House: ~81% chance of a Democratic Majority

See more: pollcast.net/house_forecast
2026 U.S. House Forecast
2026 U.S. House forecast: per-district win probabilities, projected seat distribution, and the path-to-majority for each party.
pollcast.net
pollcast.net
New Alaska Senate poll:

Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research/AARP (Sep 11 - 800 LV)
🔵 Peltola 53 (D+6)
🔴 Sullivan 47

View the average ->
September 17, 2026 at 3:49 PM
pollcast.net
New Texas Governor poll:

ReconMR/Siena University (Sep 11 - 614 LV)
🔵 Hinojosa 49 (D+4)
🔴 Abbott 45

Poll report ->
September 17, 2026 at 12:49 PM
pollcast.net
New Texas Senate poll:

ReconMR/Siena University (Sep 11 - 614 LV)
🔵 Talarico 49 (D+6)
🔴 Paxton 43

View the average ->
September 17, 2026 at 12:49 PM
pollcast.net
New Texas Senate poll:

Emerson College/Nexstar (Sep 14 - 1,000 LV)
🔵 Talarico 47.4 (D+1)
🔴 Paxton 46.4
🟡 Brown 1.9

View the average ->
September 17, 2026 at 12:49 PM
pollcast.net
New Michigan Senate poll:

Emerson College/Nexstar (Sep 14 - 1,000 LV)
🔵 El-Sayed 48.2 (D+2.5)
🔴 Rogers 45.7
🟡 Christensen 0.5
🟢 Marsh 0.3

View the average ->
September 17, 2026 at 12:48 PM
pollcast.net
New Generic Ballot poll:

Big Data Poll/Public Polling Project (Sep 15 - 2,633 LV)
🔵 Dem 50.5 (D+11.2)
🔴 Rep 39.3

View the average ->
September 16, 2026 at 9:47 PM
pollcast.net
New Iowa Governor poll:

co/efficient (Sep 16 - 831 LV)
🔵 Sand 46 (D+4)
🔴 Lahn 42

Poll report ->
September 16, 2026 at 9:46 PM
pollcast.net
New Iowa Senate poll:

co/efficient (Sep 16 - 831 LV)
🔴 Hinson 46 (R+4)
🔵 Turek 42
🟡 Laehn 2

View the average ->
September 16, 2026 at 9:46 PM
pollcast.net
New Nebraska Senate poll:

Wedgewood Polls (Sep 16 - 500 LV)
🔴 Ricketts 52 (R+4)
🟢 Osborn 48

View the average ->
September 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM
pollcast.net
New Ohio Governor poll:

Bowling Green State University / YouGov (Sep 10 - 1,000 LV)
🔵 Acton 48 (D+3)
🔴 Ramaswamy 45
🟡 Kissick 4

Poll report ->
September 16, 2026 at 2:40 PM
pollcast.net
New SC-01 House poll:

Public Policy Polling/The Bench (Sep 10 - 536 RV)
🔴 Honeycutt 41 (R+1)
🔵 Lacore 40

Poll report ->
September 16, 2026 at 2:40 PM
pollcast.net
New MT-01 House poll:

Public Policy Polling/The Bench (Sep 10 - 536 RV)
🔵 Forstag 45 (D+2)
🔴 Flint 43

Poll report ->
September 16, 2026 at 2:40 PM
pollcast.net
New Generic Ballot poll:

The Honest Poll/Veteran Action (Sep 13 - 1,392 LV)
🔵 Dem 51 (D+9)
🔴 Rep 42

View the average ->
September 16, 2026 at 2:40 PM
pollcast.net
New Generic Ballot poll:

Marquette University Law School (Sep 9 - 583 LV)
🔵 Dem 54 (D+13)
🔴 Rep 41

View the average ->
September 16, 2026 at 12:32 PM
pollcast.net
New Ohio Senate poll:

Bowling Green State University / YouGov (Sep 10 - 1,000 LV)
🔵 Brown 48 (D+3)
🔴 Husted 45
🟢 Levy 3
🟡 Redpath 2

View the average ->
September 16, 2026 at 12:31 PM
pollcast.net
New Trump Approval poll:

The New York Times/Siena University (Sep 13 - 1,503 LV)
🔴 Disapprove 58.9 (+21.1)
🟢 Approve 37.8

View the average ->
September 15, 2026 at 10:52 PM
pollcast.net
New Generic Ballot poll:

YouGov/The Economist (Sep 14 - 1,051 LV)
🔵 Dem 51 (D+12)
🔴 Rep 39

View the average ->
September 15, 2026 at 10:52 PM
pollcast.net
New Minnesota Senate poll:

co/efficient (Sep 15 - 833 LV)
🔵 Flanagan 43 (D+1)
🔴 Tafoya 42
🟢 Simonetti 2
🟡 Whiting 2

View the average ->
September 15, 2026 at 10:51 PM
pollcast.net
New New Hampshire Governor poll:

co/efficient (Sep 11 - 958 LV)
🔴 Ayotte 55 (R+21)
🔵 Warmington 34
🟡 Villee 3

Poll report ->
September 15, 2026 at 1:22 AM
pollcast.net
New New Hampshire Senate poll:

co/efficient (Sep 11 - 958 LV)
🔵 Pappas 46 (D+0)
🔴 Sununu 46

View the average ->
September 15, 2026 at 1:21 AM
pollcast.net
New Nebraska Governor poll:

SurveyUSA (Sep 13 - 503 LV)
🔴 Pillen 43 (R+8)
🔵 Walz 35

Poll report ->
September 14, 2026 at 6:48 PM
pollcast.net
New NJ-07 House poll:

InsiderNJ/StimSight Research (Sep 12 - 498 LV)
🔵 Bennett 47 (D+5)
🔴 Kean 42

Poll report ->
September 14, 2026 at 6:48 PM
pollcast.net
New Nebraska Senate poll:

SurveyUSA (Sep 13 - 503 LV)
🟢 Osborn 46 (I+4)
🔴 Ricketts 42

View the average ->
September 14, 2026 at 6:48 PM
pollcast.net
New NE-02 House poll:

SurveyUSA (Sep 13 - 182 LV)
🔵 Powell 46 (D+4)
🔴 Harding 42

Poll report ->
September 14, 2026 at 6:48 PM
pollcast.net
New NV-02 House poll:

GBAO (Sep 3 - 500 LV)
🔵 Benitez-Thompson 38 (D+1)
🔴 Flippo 37
🟢 Chapman 14

Poll report ->
September 13, 2026 at 11:04 PM