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staticsharphq.bsky.social
Static Sharp
@staticsharphq.bsky.social
Week 1 ROI: -3.96%. Tough L, but I’ve got baseline data. Tightening the model and coming back stronger for Week 2!

#SportsBetting #NFL #Analytics
September 16, 2026 at 12:58 AM
NFL Kickoff Recap: Chiefs vs. Broncos

Record: 4–3 (57.1%) | Net Profit: -0.55 Units | ROI: -1.4%

Results Breakdown:
✅ Chiefs ML (-130) — 2 Units (+1.54u)
❌ J.K. Dobbins Over 0.5 Rec (-205) — 5 Units (-5.00u)
✅ Travis Kelce Under 4.5 Rec (-170) — 3 Units (+1.76u)
September 15, 2026 at 4:17 AM
NFL Week 1: Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs (MNF) Picks

1. Chiefs — Chiefs Win (-140 to -120) | 2 Units
2. J.K. Dobbins — Over 0.5 Receptions (-215 to -195) | 5 Units
3. Travis Kelce — Under 4.5 Receptions (-185 to -160) | 3 Units
September 14, 2026 at 11:44 PM
NFL Kickoff Recap: Texans vs. Bills

Record: 5–2 (71.4%) | Net Profit: +16.76 Units | ROI: +46.6%

Results Breakdown:
✅ Texans / Bills Over 44.5 (-105) — 3 Units (+2.86u)
✅ Bills ML (-110) — 7 Units (+6.36u)
✅ Xavier Hutchinson Over 16.5 Rec Yds (-110) — 3 Units (+2.73u)
September 14, 2026 at 10:00 PM
NFL Kickoff Recap: Vikings vs. Packers

Record: 2–3 (40.0%) | Net Profit: -16.93 Units | ROI: -65.1%

Results Breakdown:
✅ Vikings ML (-125) — 1 Unit (+0.80u)
❌ Justin Jefferson Under 6.5 Rec (-150) — 4 Units (-4.00u)
❌ Tucker Kraft Under 44.5 Rec Yds (-110) — 6 Units (-6.00u)
September 14, 2026 at 9:30 PM
NFL Kickoff Recap: Raiders vs. Dolphins

Record: 5–5 (50.0%) | Net Profit: +0.44 Units | ROI: +0.7%

Results Breakdown:
❌ Kirk Cousins Under 20.5 Pass Comp (-130) — 4 Units (-4.00u)
❌ Mike Washington Jr. Under 30.5 Rush Yds (-110) — 4 Units (-4.00u)
September 14, 2026 at 9:00 PM
NFL Kickoff Recap: Eagles vs. Commanders

Record: 4–2 (66.7%) | Net Profit: +4.45 Units | ROI: +10.6%

Results Breakdown:
✅ Rachaad White Under 15.5 Rec Yds (-115) — 3 Units (+2.61u)
❌ Hollywood Brown Over 0.5 Rec (-240) — 4 Units (-4.00u)
September 14, 2026 at 8:30 PM
NFL Kickoff Recap: Giants vs. Cowboys

Record: 2–3 (40.0%) | Net Profit: -4.72 Units | ROI: -23.6%

Results Breakdown:
❌ Cowboys ML (-160) — 1 Unit (-1.00u)
✅ KaVontae Turpin Over 7.5 Rec Yds (-110) — 3 Units (+2.73u)
✅ Dak Prescott Over 33.5 Pass Att (-110) — 5 Units (+4.55u)
September 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM
NFL Kickoff Recap: Chargers vs. Cardinals

Record: 0–3 (0.0%) | Net Profit: -18.00 Units | ROI: -100.0%

Results Breakdown:
❌ Justin Herbert Over 29.5 Pass Att (-115) — 3 Units (-3.00u)
❌ Jacoby Brissett Under 11.5 Rush Yds (-115) — 6 Units (-6.00u)
September 14, 2026 at 7:49 PM
🏈 NFL Kickoff Recap: Bears vs. Panthers

Record: 4–4 (50.0%) | Net Profit: -2.55 Units | ROI: -5.0%

Results Breakdown:
❌ Tetairoa McMillan Under 4.5 Rec (-110) — 4 Units (-4.00u)
✅ Caleb Williams Over 221.5 Pass Yds (-110) — 5 Units (+4.55u)
✅ Kalif Raymond Over 1.5 Rec (-110) — 6 Units (+5.45u)
September 14, 2026 at 6:00 PM
🏈 NFL Kickoff Recap: Ravens vs. Colts

Record: 3–3 (50.0%) | Net Profit: -1.52 Units | ROI: -4.3%

Results Breakdown:
❌ Colts +3.5 (-120) — 7 Units (-7.00u)
✅ Daniel Jones Under 22.5 Pass Comp (-110) — 3 Units (+2.73u)
❌ Daniel Jones Over 32.5 Pass Att (-105) — 3 Units (-3.00u)
September 14, 2026 at 5:30 PM
🏈 NFL Kickoff Recap: Steelers vs. Falcons

Record: 1–6 (14.3%) | Net Profit: -25.43 Units | ROI: -74.8%

Results Breakdown:
❌ Pat Freiermuth Under 3.5 Rec (-200) — 1 Unit (-1.00u)
❌ Aaron Rodgers Over 0.5 Rush Yds (-105) — 3 Units (-3.00u)
❌ Jaylen Warren Under 19.5 Rec Yds (-110) — 5 Units (-5.00u)
September 14, 2026 at 5:01 PM
🏈 NFL Kickoff Recap: Jaguars vs. Browns

Record: 5–2 (71.4%) | Net Profit: -3.33 Units | ROI: -7.7%

Results Breakdown:
✅ Brenton Strange Under 37.5 Rec Yds (-115) — 3 Units (+2.61u)
✅ Trevor Lawrence Over 226.5 Pass Yds (-110) — 3 Units (+2.73u)
September 14, 2026 at 4:02 PM
🏈 NFL Kickoff Recap: Buccaneers vs. Bengals

Record: 3–4 (42.9%) | Net Profit: -16.26 Units | ROI: -29.6%

Results Breakdown:
✅ Bengals ML (-205) — 1 Unit (+0.49u)
❌ Samaje Perine Under 18.5 Rush Yds (-110) — 5 Units (-5.00u)
✅ Bucky Irving Under 60.5 Rush Yds (-110) — 6 Units (+5.45u)
September 14, 2026 at 3:30 PM
🏈 NFL Kickoff Recap: Titans vs. Jets

Record: 4–3 (57.1%) | Net Profit: +9.91 Units | ROI: +24.8%

Results Breakdown:
✅ Breece Hall Under 21.5 Rec Yds (-115) — 3 Units (+2.61u)
❌ Braelon Allen Under 19.5 Rush Yds (-105) — 4 Units (-4.00u)
❌ Cam Ward Under 10.5 Rush Yds (-115) — 4 Units (-4.00u)
September 14, 2026 at 3:01 PM
🏈 NFL Kickoff Recap: Saints vs. Lions

Record: 2–2 (50.0%) | Net Profit: -1.93 Units | ROI: -7.1%

Results Breakdown:
❌ Tyler Shough Under 22.5 Pass Comp (-110) — 4 Units (-4.00u)
✅ Tyler Shough Under 19.5 Rush Yds (-105) — 6 Units (+5.71u)
September 14, 2026 at 2:30 PM
🏈 NFL Kickoff Recap: Texans vs. Bills

Record: 5–2 (71.4%) | Net Profit: +16.76 Units | ROI: +46.6%

Results Breakdown:
✅ Texans / Bills Over 44.5 (-105) — 3 Units (+2.86u)
✅ Bills ML (-110) — 7 Units (+6.36u)
✅ Xavier Hutchinson Over 16.5 Rec Yds (-110) — 3 Units (+2.73u)
September 14, 2026 at 1:46 PM
NFL Week 1: Los Angeles Chargers vs. Arizona Cardinals

*Justin Herbert — Passing Attempts Over 29.5 (-130 to -105) | 3 Units
*Jacoby Brissett — Rushing Yards Under 11.5 (-130 to -105) | 6 Units
*Trey McBride — Receptions Under 6.5 (-160 to -135) | 9 Units
September 13, 2026 at 7:44 PM
NFL Week 1: New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys

*Cowboys — Cowboys Win (-175 to -150) | 1 Unit
*KaVontae Turpin — Receiving Yards Over 7.5 (-125 to -100) | 3 Units
*Dak Prescott — Passing Attempts Over 33.5 (-125 to -100) | 5 Units
September 13, 2026 at 7:43 PM
NFL Week 1: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Commanders

*Rachaad White — Receiving Yards Under 15.5 (-125 to -105) | 3 Units
*Hollywood Brown — Receptions Over 0.5 (-255 to -230) | 4 Units
*Jayden Daniels — Passing Attempts Over 29.5 (-130 to -105) | 7 Units
September 13, 2026 at 7:43 PM
NFL Week 1: Las Vegas Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins

*Kirk Cousins — Passing Completions Under 20.5 (-140 to -120) | 4 Units
*Mike Washington Jr. — Rushing Yards Under 30.5 (-120 to -100) | 4 Units
*Ashton Jeanty — Receptions Under 3.5 (-150 to -125) | 5 Units
September 13, 2026 at 7:42 PM
NFL Week 1: Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers

*Vikings — Vikings Win (-140 to -115) | 1 Unit
*Justin Jefferson — Receptions Under 6.5 (-165 to -140) | 4 Units
*Tucker Kraft — Receiving Yards Under 44.5 (-125 to -100) | 6 Units
September 13, 2026 at 7:35 PM
NFL Week 1: Chicago Bears vs. Carolina Panthers

*Tetairoa McMillan — Under 4.5 Receptions (-125 to -100) | 4 Units
*Caleb Williams — Over 221.5 Passing Yards (-125 to -100) | 5 Units
*Kalif Raymond — Over 1.5 Receptions (-125 to -100) | 6 Units
September 13, 2026 at 4:50 PM
NFL Week 1: Baltimore Ravens vs. Indianapolis Colts

*Colts — Colts +3.5 (-130 to -110) | 7 Units
*Daniel Jones — Passing Completions Under 22.5 (-125 to -100) | 3 Units
*Daniel Jones — Passing Attempts Over 32.5 (-120 to -95) | 3 Units
September 13, 2026 at 4:49 PM
NFL Week 1: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Atlanta Falcons

*Bijan Robinson — Receiving Yards Under 33.5 (-125 to -100) | 3 Units
*Pat Freiermuth — Receptions Under 3.5 (-210 to -190) | 1 Unit
*Aaron Rodgers — Rushing Yards Over 0.5 (-120 to -95) | 3 Units
September 13, 2026 at 4:49 PM