Topic

NATO deputy warns Putin gambles

9m

NATO's deputy commander in Europe warned that President Putin had become increasingly cavalier and willing to take risks in the Ukraine war as he sought to divide Western allies.

98%
Putin can end the war at any time. Trump is simultaneously excited by violent dictators and incredibly naive about their intentions.
Trump, sitting next to Zelenskyy, claims Putin wants to end the war
September 22, 2026 at 7:50 PM
19%
Zelenskyy explained Putin’s dilemma:

He’s not winning. That’s the problem for him. He has to perform for his own society. He doesn’t respect Ukrainians. He doesn’t respect Americans. He doesn’t respect anyone else. He fears his own nation.

The empire has no cards. Only fear.
September 23, 2026 at 10:46 AM
40%
Trump, sitting next to Zelenskyy, claims Putin wants to end the war
September 22, 2026 at 5:57 PM
50%
#Zelensky emphasizes #Ukraine need for anti-ballistic missiles to fend off #Russia airstrikes this winter

#Kyiv supports US proposal for energy infrastructure ceasefire & trilateral meeting w Putin

Urges #Trump, in Wednesday meeting w #XiJinping, to encourage #China pressure on #Putin

#UkraineWar
September 23, 2026 at 6:38 AM
40%
Marco Rubio: "The one thing we are concerned about is that over the last few months on a number of occasions American-linked ships, American oil supplies, have been targeted -- probably not deliberately -- but targeted nonetheless by Ukraine. That needs to be addressed. We can't have that happen."
September 22, 2026 at 12:14 PM
99%
Kyiv Independent: "Russia 'lost control' of its oil refining industry due to Ukraine's attacks, Trump says. A large number of Russian "refineries have been blown up and are, at least temporarily, out of commission," Trump said, urging an end to the fighting."
Trump defends Russia but not the US.
September 22, 2026 at 1:13 PM
67%
Very much like the Carlo Masala scenario in "if Russia wins". But without the winning part.
1/ A full-scale Russian invasion of a NATO state is extremely unlikely while Russia remains fully committed to war against Ukraine. But full-scale invasion is not Putin's only option to conventionally escalate against a NATO state.

Read the full scenario: isw.pub/NarvaScenari...
September 22, 2026 at 7:52 PM
48%
Great essay by Roger McDermott on what/how RU is learning from its war against UKR: "NATO is measuring Russian adaptation the wrong way" breakingdefense.com/2026/09/nato... I've heard @massdara.bsky.social make similar points.
NATO is measuring Russian adaptation the wrong way - Breaking Defense
For NATO, reproducibility should become a distinct measure of Russian military capability, driving how the alliance plans for the future.
breakingdefense.com
September 22, 2026 at 12:33 PM
28%
Yep
INTERVIEW: Latvia facing 'alarming' period amid rising Russian threat in Baltics, president says
Latvian President Edgars Rinkevics said his country sees no signs of an imminent conventional attack by Russia, but described the coming weeks as an "alarming" period in an interview with the Kyiv Independent. Rinkevics said his government is preparing for cyberattacks, information campaigns, and possible disruptions by Russia around Latvia's parliamentary elections on Oct. 3. "We have asked, and our NATO friends and allies provided additional battle plans. I'm pretty sure that those measures that we are introducing will be sufficient to have the election process not impacted in any negative way," Rinkevics said. "But the warning is there." Security concerns continue to grow in the Baltic region. NATO officials have warned about Russian drone incursions, airspace violations, sabotage, and other hybrid threats, while countries in the region have been strengthening air defenses. Rinkevics stressed that Latvia does not see Russia preparing an imminent conventional attack against the Baltic states, Poland, or other NATO countries. "There is a lot of speculation by experts, by bloggers, about a possible conventional attack against the Baltic states or against Poland or other countries," he said. "We do not have facts to support that." But he said the absence of an imminent conventional attack...
kyivindependent.com
September 22, 2026 at 11:04 PM

Reposted by Stacy D. VanDeveer

9%
INTERVIEW: Latvia facing 'alarming' period amid rising Russian threat in Baltics, president says
Latvian President Edgars Rinkevics said his country sees no signs of an imminent conventional attack by Russia, but described the coming weeks as an "alarming" period in an interview with the Kyiv Independent. Rinkevics said his government is preparing for cyberattacks, information campaigns, and possible disruptions by Russia around Latvia's parliamentary elections on Oct. 3. "We have asked, and our NATO friends and allies provided additional battle plans. I'm pretty sure that those measures that we are introducing will be sufficient to have the election process not impacted in any negative way," Rinkevics said. "But the warning is there." Security concerns continue to grow in the Baltic region. NATO officials have warned about Russian drone incursions, airspace violations, sabotage, and other hybrid threats, while countries in the region have been strengthening air defenses. Rinkevics stressed that Latvia does not see Russia preparing an imminent conventional attack against the Baltic states, Poland, or other NATO countries. "There is a lot of speculation by experts, by bloggers, about a possible conventional attack against the Baltic states or against Poland or other countries," he said. "We do not have facts to support that." But he said the absence of an imminent conventional attack...
kyivindependent.com
September 22, 2026 at 11:03 PM