##KY06
No Going Back, the Trump PAC, just reported to the FEC another huge ad buy in this R+15 district in Kentucky. They’ve now spent over $1M on ads to hold onto a seat that Republicans won by 27 points (!) just two years ago. #ky06
Sabato’s Crystal Ball, an election forecaster out of the University of Virginia, has moved Kentucky’s Sixth Congressional District race from "safe Republican" to “likely Republican” to “leans Republican” over the past three months, despite Trump winning #ky06 by 15 points in 2024.
Political forecaster moves open Kentucky House seat rating toward Democrats
Sabato’s Crystal Ball, an election predictor out of the University of Virginia, moved Kentucky’s Sixth Congressional District from a “likely Republican” win to “leans Republican.”
www.lpm.org
October 1, 2026 at 1:33 AM
UVA Center for Politics just moved Kentucky’s R+15 congressional district to Lean Republican. Back in July it was Safe Republican, it’s shifted towards Democrats twice now. #ky06
September 29, 2026 at 9:44 PM
Democratic Gov. Andy Beshear carried #KY06 by a 60-40 margin during his successful 2023 reelection campaign, according to our calculations, even though Donald Trump won it 57-42 the following year. Per
@davesredist.bsky.social/VEST, Beshear won it 54-44 in 2019.
June 4, 2025 at 9:06 PM
Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear's PAC just reported spending another $250K on ads in this R+15 congressional race. They've now spending $500K, with a Trump PAC spending > $1 million. #ky06
Sabato’s Crystal Ball, an election forecaster out of the University of Virginia, has moved Kentucky’s Sixth Congressional District race from "safe Republican" to “likely Republican” to “leans Republican” over the past three months, despite Trump winning #ky06 by 15 points in 2024.
Political forecaster moves open Kentucky House seat rating toward Democrats
Sabato’s Crystal Ball, an election predictor out of the University of Virginia, moved Kentucky’s Sixth Congressional District from a “likely Republican” win to “leans Republican.”
www.lpm.org
October 2, 2026 at 6:58 PM
BREAKING: VoteVets Endorses @zachdembo.bsky.social for Congress in #KY06 🇺🇸
October 14, 2025 at 9:18 PM
R+15 district shot and chaser. #ky06
September 23, 2026 at 6:58 PM
Former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado (R) will face former federal prosecutor Zach Dembo (D) in general election for open GOP-held #KY06. Trump won it 57-42 in 2023, but Democratic Gov. Andy Beshear carried it 60-40 the previous year. National Democrats have reserved close to $700,000 in fall ad time.
May 20, 2026 at 1:38 AM
🚨 Big news: I’m running for Congress to represent Central Kentucky! I’ve seen firsthand how hard-working families are struggling. It’s time to rewrite the rules, fight for Kentucky, and bring common sense to DC.

Please Donate Today! bit.ly/CherlynnforC...

#KY06 #CherlynnForCongress
May 13, 2025 at 2:06 PM
Watch this race. Bellwether #KY06
Kentucky - 6th House Polling:

🔵Dembo: 45%
🔴Alvarado: 44%

House Majority PAC / August 2026

(Democratic Pollster)

(Trump +15 District)

(Current Model Result In KY-6 is GOP 57% - DEM 42%)

usapolling.substack.com/p/democrats-...
Democrats Continue To Dominate The Map
Republicans are hoping for a turnout surge as Democrats continue to remain high on the models
usapolling.substack.com
August 27, 2026 at 8:27 PM
We proudly endorse @erinpetrey.bsky.social for Congress in #KY06!
May 11, 2026 at 7:57 PM
Has Bevin’s 2019 running mate, Ralph Alvarado, commented yet? Alvarado is running for the open #KY06, a Dem target.
September 4, 2026 at 7:03 PM
DCCC issues press release about #KY06 now that GOP Rep. Andy Barr is running to succeed Mitch McConnell, noting that Dem Gov. Andy Beshear carried the district by 20 points in his last campaign.
April 23, 2025 at 2:42 AM
And here’s the Beshear PAC ad, hitting Alvarado on the Bevin pardons #ky06 #ky6
September 14, 2026 at 4:02 PM
Sabato’s Crystal Ball, an election forecaster out of the University of Virginia, has moved Kentucky’s Sixth Congressional District race from "safe Republican" to “likely Republican” to “leans Republican” over the past three months, despite Trump winning #ky06 by 15 points in 2024.
Political forecaster moves open Kentucky House seat rating toward Democrats
Sabato’s Crystal Ball, an election predictor out of the University of Virginia, moved Kentucky’s Sixth Congressional District from a “likely Republican” win to “leans Republican.”
www.lpm.org
September 30, 2026 at 2:48 PM
🚨ENDORSEMENT ALERT🚨 We’re excited to endorse @cherlynnforky.bsky.social in her race for #KY06. As a member of #UnrigWashington, Cherlynn is committed to taking on corruption, and Kentucky voters can trust that she’ll fight for them, not special interests. We look forward to helping her win.
May 18, 2026 at 7:25 PM
My latest. 👇

Despite #KY06 being a R+15 district (and Barr winning by 27% in '24), Democrats think they can win and are spending big on TV ads for Zach Dembo... with a Trump PAC now joining the ad battle. This could be a 🌊 bellwether...
Super PACs affiliated with President Donald Trump and Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear are both spending big on ads in central Kentucky’s surprisingly competitive U.S. House race, where Democrat Zach Dembo faces Republican Ralph Alvarado. #ky06
Trump vs. Beshear PAC ad proxy war emerges in Kentucky congressional race
Super PACs affiliated with President Donald Trump and Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear are both spending big on ads in central Kentucky’s surprisingly competitive U.S. House race.
www.lpm.org
September 18, 2026 at 8:03 PM
By the way, there *is* a tangential link to the midterms here. In 2019, when Bevin sought reelection, he ditched his then-LG and tapped state Sen. Ralph Alvarado instead. They lost to Andy Beshear.

Alvarado is now running for #KY06 and was recently in the news for scrubbing Trump from his website.
September 4, 2026 at 3:11 AM
No Going Back reports spending another $49K on mailers for Alvarado and against Dembo. The Trump PAC has now reported spending $635,319 total on ads supporting the GOP #ky06 candidate in an R+15 district.
The Trump PAC “No Going Back” just dumped another $242K on TV ads in the #ky06 congressional race to help Republican Ralph Alvarado against Democrat Zach Dembo in the R+15 Kentucky district, per FEC filing.
September 27, 2026 at 1:43 AM
BREAKING: New polling shows ECU-endorsed @zachdembo.bsky.social tied with his Republican opponent for #KY06. It’s no surprise that Kentucky voters are rallying behind Zach. He's running on the issues that actually matter: lowering costs and fighting for real accountability in Washington.
New poll shows Zach Dembo, Ralph Alvarado tied in Central KY congressional race
The DCCC survey says Gov. Andy Beshear is helping Dembo with voters while President Donald Trump is dragging down Alvarado’s numbers.
www.kentucky.com
August 6, 2026 at 9:22 PM
The matchup in #KY06 (Andy Barr's old seat) is set, per the AP: state Sen. Ralph Alvarado will be the GOP nominee, and federal prosecutor Zach Dembo will be the Dem nominee. This is a normally safe red seat, but it cooooould maybe be competitive in a blue wave year.
May 20, 2026 at 1:41 AM
Early voting is underway for the May 19 Primary in Kentucky and @erinpetrey.bsky.social is 100% FREE of AIPAC donations. If you live in #KY06, make sure to get to the polls and VOTE for our endorsed anti-AIPAC candidate!
May 14, 2026 at 3:18 PM
Amanda Mays Bledsoe was considered THE favorite for the open-seat #KY06 GOP nomination next year, a seat which has crept onto the Dems' 2026 target map.

Now she's declining to run.

Can't help but wonder if she sees the midterm writing on the wall for the GOP 🤔🤔
www.kentucky.com/news/politic...
Lexington state senator ends speculation, says she won’t run for Congress
Sen. Amanda Mays Bledsoe, R-Lexington, cited time with her kids and continued surgeries to recover from a horse accident as reasons for her decision.
www.kentucky.com
July 7, 2025 at 8:16 PM
It's Election Day for the May 19 Primary in Kentucky and @erinpetrey.bsky.social is 100% FREE of AIPAC donations. If you live in #KY06, make sure to get to the polls and VOTE for our endorsed anti-AIPAC candidate!
May 19, 2026 at 2:38 PM
The Trump PAC “No Going Back” just dumped another $242K on TV ads in the #ky06 congressional race to help Republican Ralph Alvarado against Democrat Zach Dembo in the R+15 Kentucky district, per FEC filing.
September 25, 2026 at 10:32 PM