Mary Peltola (D) 49.1%
Dan Sullivan (R) 42.5%
James Ryan (R) 5.2%
Sid Hill (I) 3.2%
Sid Hill eliminated.
RCV Round 2:
Mary Peltola (D) 50.2%
Dan Sullivan (R) 43.6%
James Ryan (R) 6.2%
Peltola wins in Round 2, with a margin of 6.6%.
🧵 2/4
Alaska Survey Research
December 19-21, 2025
N=994 likely Alaska voters
MOE = +/- 3.2%
Fielded online - ASR Survey Panel
Q: If the 2026 election for US Senate for Alaska was held today... for whom would you vote for US Senate?
Mary Peltola 48
Dan Sullivan 46
Undecided 6
In a first-round race:
Mary Peltola 48.8%
Dan Sullivan 43.5%
In a second round:
Peltola 50.4%
Sullivan 43.8%
It's an official (rounded) 5 point lead now.
Spread the word!
In a first-round race:
Mary Peltola 48.8%
Dan Sullivan 43.5%
In a second round:
Peltola 50.4%
Sullivan 43.8%
www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mdgs...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mdgs...
It's fascism.
It looks like someone has registered a brand new Bluesky account (notice the sunrise emoji) that is linked to Mary Peltola’s official website.
Perhaps we’ll be getting an #AKSen announcement soon?
It looks like someone has registered a brand new Bluesky account (notice the sunrise emoji) that is linked to Mary Peltola’s official website.
Perhaps we’ll be getting an #AKSen announcement soon?
www.aftenposten.no/verden/i/V6z...
www.aftenposten.no/verden/i/V6z...
🟦 Mary Peltola: 50%
🟥 Dan Sullivan: 48%
The DDHQ Forecast gives Peltola just over a 3 in 5 shot of winning, making Alaska the Democrats' second-most likely Senate flip after North Carolina. #AKSen
🟦 Mary Peltola: 50%
🟥 Dan Sullivan: 48%
The DDHQ Forecast gives Peltola just over a 3 in 5 shot of winning, making Alaska the Democrats' second-most likely Senate flip after North Carolina. #AKSen
www.axios.com/2026/01/06/m...
www.axios.com/2026/01/06/m...
#AKSen
#AKSen
Despite the state’s red lean, Mary Peltola has led Vote Hub’s polling average every day since launch, outraised Dan Sullivan by $4M this cycle, and nearly won a majority in the August all-party primary.
This one is in play. 💙
#AKSen
Despite the state’s red lean, Mary Peltola has led Vote Hub’s polling average every day since launch, outraised Dan Sullivan by $4M this cycle, and nearly won a majority in the August all-party primary.
This one is in play. 💙
#AKSen
#AKSen - tossup
#NCSen - Lean D
#OHSen - tossup
centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
#AKSen - tossup
#NCSen - Lean D
#OHSen - tossup
centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...