Aggregate effects of candidate ideology on electoral performance in 2026 are (a) statistically indistinguishable from zero in the House and (b) in the Senate, smaller than the individual candidate residuals, making the inference “progressive candidates do worse” useless in a predictive context
The reddest House seat Dems are poised to flip is TN-4, where Victoria Broderick, a progressive who backs Medicare for All and is openly pro-trans rights, leads. Trump won it by 24. She ran on a shoestring budget with no party support. Here are other Democrats who flipped deep-red seats.
November 9, 2026 at 4:49 PM
Aggregate effects of candidate ideology on electoral performance in 2026 are (a) statistically indistinguishable from zero in the House and (b) in the Senate, smaller than the individual candidate residuals, making the inference “progressive candidates do worse” useless in a predictive context
my takeaway is that there wasn’t some conspiracy to keep dems away from the vote, it ultimately didn’t matter because they didn’t have the votes, but people are angry because this was a pretty straightforward post-election test that the caucus failed—and one hopes things will tighten up by january.
November 11, 2026 at 10:31 AM
I aggregate and sometimes re-post slightly different takes.
Never forget that Bluesky is Real America now. They're roasting you on Bluesky is bad because it means America as a whole hates you. You're loathed in the aggregate.
November 6, 2026 at 8:59 PM
Never forget that Bluesky is Real America now. They're roasting you on Bluesky is bad because it means America as a whole hates you. You're loathed in the aggregate.
why waste space and bandwidth protecting the real, actual internet, made by humans, when we can aggregate and push out a slop version. but don't worry, this is actually helping somehow, because the main thing everyone knows is that subject experts *love* AI summaries of their fields
November 8, 2026 at 2:21 PM
why waste space and bandwidth protecting the real, actual internet, made by humans, when we can aggregate and push out a slop version. but don't worry, this is actually helping somehow, because the main thing everyone knows is that subject experts *love* AI summaries of their fields
Never forget that Bluesky is Real America now. They're roasting you on Bluesky is bad because it means America as a whole hates you. You're loathed in the aggregate.
November 6, 2026 at 9:05 PM
"You're loathed in the aggregate" would send me to the afterlife.
The U.S. in particular seems to be particularly polarised on it — the UK has a similar position on aggregate, but it’s far less correlated with someone’s other political views:
Yeah, as a Brit until recently i thought the crazy polarisation you see around AI was just *an internet thing*, but it turns out that it’s really an American thing and it just so happens that most English-speakers on the internet are American!
The U.S. in particular seems to be particularly polarised on it — the UK has a similar position on aggregate, but it’s far less correlated with someone’s other political views:
People get annoyed when nerds talk about WAR, overperformance and underperformance. But it actually matters in the aggregate. Having a caucus or conference full of underperformers means when a wave comes, they get washed out. Almost all the underperformers save for Luna lost their races.
November 10, 2026 at 6:14 AM
People get annoyed when nerds talk about WAR, overperformance and underperformance. But it actually matters in the aggregate. Having a caucus or conference full of underperformers means when a wave comes, they get washed out. Almost all the underperformers save for Luna lost their races.
i guess my way to put it is that it disempowers an awful law which has frequently been used for good, but whose aggregate effect is that california cannot build a train
November 10, 2026 at 7:04 PM
i guess my way to put it is that it disempowers an awful law which has frequently been used for good, but whose aggregate effect is that california cannot build a train
twitter developed the blue check system to aggregate, connect, and create a sense of association with well-known figures in the capital beltway, east coast cultural figures, ivy league academics, and business. Incidentally also why Jeffrey Epstein did what he did
November 9, 2026 at 3:50 PM
twitter developed the blue check system to aggregate, connect, and create a sense of association with well-known figures in the capital beltway, east coast cultural figures, ivy league academics, and business. Incidentally also why Jeffrey Epstein did what he did
There's also a suggestion that if you decline to answer your school will lose money from enhanced capitation, without explaining why aggregate or anonymised ethnicity data are insufficient.
November 10, 2026 at 12:53 PM
There's also a suggestion that if you decline to answer your school will lose money from enhanced capitation, without explaining why aggregate or anonymised ethnicity data are insufficient.