#Assumption
the phrase "basic dni criteria" is so funny to me whenever i see it in someone's bio. both the assumption that everyone knows what that means, and the assumption that like a neonazi or whatever will see that and go "ah jeez i better not pester this person, it'd violate their DNI"
November 1, 2026 at 4:14 AM
I’d like to join.

(you’d think my extra two letters would distinguish us, but that would be an incorrect assumption)
November 2, 2026 at 1:12 PM
Big assumption with the heaven bit for her and Lindsey.
October 31, 2026 at 9:29 PM
I mean that’s my baseline assumption here but to even be in “polls are wildly off” territory here is nuts
November 2, 2026 at 2:40 AM
It's not an assumption. It's a fact
bsky.app/profile/aaro...
November 1, 2026 at 8:17 PM
His only mistake of the campaign was the assumption that Fox viewers can read.
November 2, 2026 at 10:11 PM
Also this assumption I guess depends on "well the special elections were like that for other reasons. the shy Trump voter wasn't real for those, but they're real for November"
November 2, 2026 at 2:14 AM
Based on lived experience, “Home prices never go down” was a perfectly reasonable assumption in 2005.
October 31, 2026 at 5:33 PM
the assumption, basically, is that the shy trump voter is out there, he doesn’t want to talk to them, and he is going to show up to vote on Election Day

and, look, we all have 2016/2024 PTSD

maybe they’re right

but what if they aren’t?
November 2, 2026 at 2:13 AM
This has been my assumption all day. I think on balance this will help him, though I suspect it won’t matter either way for the result. Even Dems I’ve spoken to who were lukewarm on AES are now hyped to vote for him since they’re so angry about this.
🚨BACKFIRE OF THE YEAR?

Abdul El-Sayed’s campaign says it raised a staggering $1.2 MILLION in just four hours after Haley Stevens endorsed Mike Rogers.

Turns out betraying Democratic voters has consequences.

Now turn that anger into votes. Show up. Bring friends. Make a plan. Vote Abdul El-Sayed.
November 1, 2026 at 11:37 PM
That has been my assumption. Lol 😂
October 31, 2026 at 8:10 PM
Built my own forecasting model for the midterms and even with an assumption of republican overperforming the polls by 1.7 points, the Dems are a lock for taking the house and very likely to take the senate.
October 31, 2026 at 2:44 PM
There’s a common assumption that most military voters lean Republican.

With “Low T Pete” Hegseth in charge, I wouldn’t be so sure that holds.

Hegseth isn’t strengthening our military. He’s giving our troops reasons to walk away from it.
#SupportTheTroops
🧵
November 3, 2026 at 2:34 AM
I think we need to push back hard against the assumption that efficiency is the ultimate good
BREAKING: OpenAI CEO Sam Altman says having RAM in personal computers is an inefficient use of the world’s limited DRAM supply, arguing it would be better allocated to data centers, per Tom’s Hardware
October 31, 2026 at 2:07 PM
It is a safe assumption to say that any or most Djermies have an unbeatable sweet tooth
November 1, 2026 at 7:00 PM
the british home office acts under the assumption that poor people do not have the right to fall in love because they are less human and less british
Yet again, an angle on this which never gets an airing, which few British people seem aware of or care about, is the destructive effect on cross-border relationships (British citz & foreign spouses).

Avenues to people settling together in UK or elsewhere, are shrivelling & disappearing year by year
Shabana Mahmood will announce - finally - the sweeping changes to indefinite leave to remain.

Most will have to wait 10 years to settle, though there are means to reduce it, but there are expected to be concessions for care workers already here.

More tomorrow

www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
November 2, 2026 at 8:29 AM
I think that when two people are in a consensual relationship with one another it’s generally a pretty reasonable assumption that they share core values and beliefs.
October 30, 2026 at 7:10 PM
This is my default assumption, too.
November 3, 2026 at 12:45 AM
My operating assumption is that there are way more functioning alcoholics in politics than members of the public might assume
November 1, 2026 at 6:32 PM
Zelenskyy: We have intel that Russia is preparing a new massive attack on our country (..) Assumption is basically that tomorrow the world will be watching the US midterms, and what is happening here in Ukraine, along with our difficulties with air defense and Patriot missiles, will be overlooked."
November 2, 2026 at 7:42 PM
1. The bottom line: SARS-CoV-2 only emerged in late 2019. No-one can know the long-term effects of repeated infections, but with anosmia and cognitive dysfunction as common symptoms, the assumption I make is that there is a tsunami of early-onset neurocognitive diseases coming.
November 1, 2026 at 1:27 AM
“You are welcome to test that assumption at your convenience.”
November 2, 2026 at 5:11 AM
And it’s premised on the assumption that Alaska voters are too stupid to understand what “incumbent” means, and to inattentive to know who their senator is. If I were an Alaskan, I’d be insulted.
October 31, 2026 at 3:33 PM
Bold assumption as to the next meeting point.
Darline Graham admits she doesn’t want to be a US Senator and blames her dead brother for putting her in the position of having to run: “When I get to heaven one day, I am just going to choke Lindsey.”

Talk about making assumptions…
www.nytimes.com/2026/10/30/u...
Darline Graham Is ‘a Little Nervous.’ Can She Keep South Carolina’s Senate Seat Red?
Polls show the sister of the late Senator Lindsey Graham in a virtual tie with her Democratic opponent, Dr. Annie Andrews. An upset was unthinkable just a few months ago.
www.nytimes.com
October 31, 2026 at 6:19 PM
This is my assumption.

www.usnews.com/news/politic...
www.usnews.com
November 2, 2026 at 12:05 AM