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promptswing.bsky.social
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#auspol #ausvotes #nft #covid19 #nftcommunity #nfts #insiders #australia #crypto #sydney #instabusiness #cricket #rugby #cricket
October 22, 2026 at 9:27 AM
pandymonium.bsky.social
#AusVotes #AusNews #auspol
theage.nzcow.com The Age (unofficial) @theage.nzcow.com · Aug 23
📢 The pair are enjoying the hospitality of the Plymouth Brethren Christian Church despite evidence its elders paid neo-Nazi affiliates to bully politicians at the last election.
Brethren feed Angus Taylor, Tony Abbott days after Nazi revelations
www.theage.com.au
August 23, 2026 at 9:41 PM
mark-graph.bsky.social
Some light reading while you wait in the queue to vote. Two posts this morning:

(1) Polls - marktheballot.blogspot.com/2025/05/elec...

(2) Betting Market - marktheballot.blogspot.com/2025/05/elec...

#ausvotes #auspol #ausbiz #ausecon
Election day - polls
There are two posts this morning. This is the polls post, and separately there is a betting market update . Two-party preferred There is an ...
marktheballot.blogspot.com
May 3, 2025 at 12:07 AM
mark-graph.bsky.social
Updated aggregation and betting market charts - but the same story. #ausvotes #auspol #ausbiz #ausecon
marktheballot.blogspot.com/2025/05/day-...
Day 36 - 2025 Federal Election
The election is tomorrow! Today we have two more polls:  Freshwater strategy 51.5/48.5 to Labor, and DemosAU 51/49 to Labor. The aggregation...
marktheballot.blogspot.com
May 1, 2025 at 10:51 PM
mark-graph.bsky.social
This smells a little odd to me. About a 1 in 69 chance that the set of all national 2pp polls since 1 April (inclusive) occurred by chance. Is it herding? Is it resampling? I don't know. But I don't like it. #auspol #ausvotes #ausecon #ausbiz
April 30, 2025 at 12:48 AM
mark-graph.bsky.social
Latest Newspoll (52/48 Labor) suggests we are looking at a repeat of the last election. #auspol #ausbiz #ausecon #ausvotes
marktheballot.blogspot.com/2025/04/day-...
Day 32 - 2025 Federal Election
Today we have a new Newspoll (52/48) in Labor's favour. The Bayesian aggregation is unchanged. We are looking at a result much like the prev...
marktheballot.blogspot.com
April 27, 2025 at 11:52 PM
mark-graph.bsky.social
A big movement to Labor in electorate betting. Labor is favourite in 77 seats (majority govt). Most-likely Parliament outcome is Labor on 72 seats (minority govt). #auspol #ausvotes #ausecon #ausbiz
marktheballot.blogspot.com/2025/04/day-...
Day 30 - 2025 Federal Election
At this point everyone expects Labor to form government following the election. The only question is whether it will be majority or minority...
marktheballot.blogspot.com
April 26, 2025 at 2:34 AM
mark-graph.bsky.social
Roy Morgan has Labor on 55.5% - better than any election result for Labor in the past 75 years. My aggregation is 52%, a similar result to the last election. #ausvotes #auspol #ausecon #ausbiz marktheballot.blogspot.com
April 22, 2025 at 10:38 PM
mark-graph.bsky.social
Today we focus on those seats where independent candidates have a prospect of winning the seat. There are a few new names here that could surprise. #ausvotes #auspol #ausbiz #ausecon
marktheballot.blogspot.com/2025/04/day-...
April 22, 2025 at 12:15 AM
mark-graph.bsky.social
Newspoll 52/48 in Labor's favour. My aggregation of pollster Labor 2pp estimates is 51.9 per cent. If the polls are right, the election result will be close to the previous election. #auspol #ausvotes #ausecon #ausbiz
marktheballot.blogspot.com/2025/04/day-...
Day 25 - 2025 Federal Election
We have another Newspoll , in which Labor has a two-party preferred (2pp) vote share of 52 per cent (which is the same result as the previou...
marktheballot.blogspot.com
April 21, 2025 at 12:32 AM
mark-graph.bsky.social
Election outcome odds and probabilities for every seat. Huge betting market update. More than 300 charts. It's all half price it's all got to go. #ausvotes #auspol #ausbiz #ausecon
marktheballot.blogspot.com/2025/04/day-...
Day 23 - 2025 Federal Election
I have been refining my code for the individual seats market at Sportsbet.com.au . Before we get to the charts for every seat, let me take y...
marktheballot.blogspot.com
April 18, 2025 at 10:54 PM
mark-graph.bsky.social
t is unusual for a second term government to outperform its first term 2pp vote share. Today's polls suggest it might be possible for this Labor government. #ausvotes #auspol #ausbiz #ausecon
marktheballot.blogspot.com/2025/04/day-...
Day 19 - 2025 Federal Election
It is unusual for a second term government to outperform its first term 2pp vote share. Today's polls suggest it might be possible for this...
marktheballot.blogspot.com
April 14, 2025 at 11:17 PM
mark-graph.bsky.social
Some movement on the individual seats market. #ausvotes #auspol #ausbiz #ausecon

marktheballot.blogspot.com/2025/04/day-...
April 11, 2025 at 10:01 PM
mark-graph.bsky.social
Updated poll aggregation charts following today's YpuGov (which had Labor 2pp at 52.5%). #ausvotes #auspol #ausecon #ausbiz

marktheballot.blogspot.com/2025/04/day-...
Day 15 - 2025 Federal Election
Today a YouGov poll was released. It had Labor on 52.5 per cent of the two party preferred vote share: a better result for Labor than the 2...
marktheballot.blogspot.com
April 10, 2025 at 11:32 PM
mark-graph.bsky.social
Complete set of charts for the individual seats market #ausvotes #auspol #ausbiz #ausecon

marktheballot.blogspot.com/2025/04/day-...
Day 13 - 2025 Federal Election
Today, let's look the complete set of charts from the individual seats market. Overall, we can see another net seat with Labor in the lead. ...
marktheballot.blogspot.com
April 8, 2025 at 10:52 PM
dissolvedpet.bsky.social
Did anybody state their intention to absolutely eradicate fire ants from Australia. Because Albanese & ALP don't seem to give a shit about it. Hard to feel hopeful when we are probably just voting in another slack gov more interested in just holding on. #ausvotes
May 3, 2025 at 2:44 AM
leinsterlad.bsky.social
This is how my views compare with the election candidates in the upcoming Australian election according to @VoteCompass. Try it for yourself! #AusPol #AusVotes
share.votecompass.com/Ek4hPtS3J9Mn...
My Vote Compass Results - 2025 Australian Election
Vote Compass calculated my alignment with the candidates running in the 2025 Australian election. Try it for yourself!
share.votecompass.com
April 1, 2025 at 7:56 AM
seveniste.bsky.social
Tears actually welling over @antonygreenelec.bsky.social leaving.

#AusPol is losing a legend.

#AusVotes
#AusVotes25
May 3, 2025 at 1:32 PM
seveniste.bsky.social
#Mood

#AusPol
#AusVotes
#AusVotes25
grogsgamut.bsky.social Greg Jericho @grogsgamut.bsky.social · May 3
Turns out being a shit leader with no policies acumen and a terrible front bench is bad
May 3, 2025 at 11:08 AM
seveniste.bsky.social
And @antonygreenelec.bsky.social is suggesting this is the case! Crossing fingers and toes and all other bits capable!

#AusVotes
#AusVotes25
#AusPol
seveniste.bsky.social Seven @seveniste.bsky.social · May 3
Here's hoping we follow Canada in more ways than just avoiding a conservative government.

Here's hoping Dickson vote the dick out!

#AusVotes
#AusVotes25
#AusPol
#VoteTheDickOutOfDickson
May 3, 2025 at 10:41 AM
seveniste.bsky.social
Who's going to call it next time?

Thank you for everything @antonygreenelec.bsky.social!

#AusVotes
#AusVotes25
#AusPol
Against a white background, Antony Green, a white man with close cut hair, wearing a dark suit, light blue shirt, and tie with multicoloured spots. He has an open mouthed, huge smile on his face and is holding his hands palms out, with fingers spread. The image has the words "Has the election been called? Yes" next to the man. At the base of the image there is branding for ABC Australia and their Australia Votes logo.
May 3, 2025 at 10:39 AM
seveniste.bsky.social
Here's hoping we follow Canada in more ways than just avoiding a conservative government.

Here's hoping Dickson vote the dick out!

#AusVotes
#AusVotes25
#AusPol
#VoteTheDickOutOfDickson
May 3, 2025 at 10:29 AM
seveniste.bsky.social
Whhooooo hoooooo!

HAS ANTONY GREEN CALLED THE ELECTION YET?

Yes!

#AusVotes
#AusPol25
#AusPol
May 3, 2025 at 10:27 AM
seveniste.bsky.social
Just purchased 🙂

#AusVotes
#AusPol25
#AusPol
nordacious.bsky.social nordacious @nordacious.bsky.social · Apr 30
The swing is on and the hands are OUT! Wouldn't be election season without Todd Sampson repping one of my tees on Gruen Transfer - a bittersweet reminder on the eve of Antony Green's final televised election 🗳️ | you can still grab your own here: bit.ly/3FMGBNW ^_^
May 3, 2025 at 10:23 AM