@espnbillc.bsky.social Does ESPN backtest the Win Probability models?
September 9, 2025 at 3:11 AM
@espnbillc.bsky.social Does ESPN backtest the Win Probability models?
seems like you could backtest this if you really wanted to
April 30, 2025 at 5:09 PM
seems like you could backtest this if you really wanted to
Backtests? You want an AI agent that beats a traditional portfolio in a backtest? I can get you a backtest, believe me. There are ways, Dude. You don't wanna know about it, believe me. Hell, I can get you a backtest by 3 o'clock this afternoon... with alpha.
July 10, 2026 at 4:15 PM
Backtests? You want an AI agent that beats a traditional portfolio in a backtest? I can get you a backtest, believe me. There are ways, Dude. You don't wanna know about it, believe me. Hell, I can get you a backtest by 3 o'clock this afternoon... with alpha.
Did they backtest it on Trump University and Trump Family Crypto deals?
JD Vance on AI: "We're using technology and tools to identify fraud at breakneck pace"
September 22, 2026 at 4:21 PM
Did they backtest it on Trump University and Trump Family Crypto deals?
Just have to laugh at stuff like this.
We’re all just passively indexed to this kinda horseshit, our whole society enraptured by Bogle’s ‘insight’ which was just a backtest like any other.
Our respect for markets decayed into faith in markets, and that has become our undoing on so many fronts.
We’re all just passively indexed to this kinda horseshit, our whole society enraptured by Bogle’s ‘insight’ which was just a backtest like any other.
Our respect for markets decayed into faith in markets, and that has become our undoing on so many fronts.
*SPACEX, XAI VALUED AT $1.25 TRILLION: COMPANY MEMO
we are so close to the end you can smell it
we are so close to the end you can smell it
February 3, 2026 at 12:00 AM
Just have to laugh at stuff like this.
We’re all just passively indexed to this kinda horseshit, our whole society enraptured by Bogle’s ‘insight’ which was just a backtest like any other.
Our respect for markets decayed into faith in markets, and that has become our undoing on so many fronts.
We’re all just passively indexed to this kinda horseshit, our whole society enraptured by Bogle’s ‘insight’ which was just a backtest like any other.
Our respect for markets decayed into faith in markets, and that has become our undoing on so many fronts.
How to Backtest a Crypto Trading Bot Without Lying to Yourself (2026 Guide)
How to Backtest a Crypto Trading Bot Without Lying to Yourself (2026 Guide)
A backtest that looks perfect is usually broken. This guide walks you through choosing the right framework, avoiding look-ahead bias and overfitting, modeling realistic costs, and bridging the gap between simulation and live trading — using tools available today.
donperro.io
September 19, 2026 at 8:13 PM
How to Backtest a Crypto Trading Bot Without Lying to Yourself (2026 Guide)
🥋 Live Signals — 25 Sept
🟢 BUY BTCUSDT 1d: Ichimoku (TK-Cross)
Every signal tracked in production, backtest-vs-reality published:
https://tradingstrategies.work/live-tracking
🟢 BUY BTCUSDT 1d: Ichimoku (TK-Cross)
Every signal tracked in production, backtest-vs-reality published:
https://tradingstrategies.work/live-tracking
September 25, 2026 at 1:30 AM
🥋 Live Signals — 25 Sept
🟢 BUY BTCUSDT 1d: Ichimoku (TK-Cross)
Every signal tracked in production, backtest-vs-reality published:
https://tradingstrategies.work/live-tracking
🟢 BUY BTCUSDT 1d: Ichimoku (TK-Cross)
Every signal tracked in production, backtest-vs-reality published:
https://tradingstrategies.work/live-tracking
Today the flagship SteadyTape folio (simulated) entered: $DELL $LNT $NBIS $ANET.
#stockmarket #quants
(Simulated backtest — not advice)
#stockmarket #quants
(Simulated backtest — not advice)
September 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM
Today the flagship SteadyTape folio (simulated) entered: $DELL $LNT $NBIS $ANET.
#stockmarket #quants
(Simulated backtest — not advice)
#stockmarket #quants
(Simulated backtest — not advice)
Today the flagship SteadyTape folio (simulated) entered: $MTSI $NBIS $EXPE.
#stockmarket #quants
(Simulated backtest — not advice)
#stockmarket #quants
(Simulated backtest — not advice)
September 24, 2026 at 12:31 PM
Today the flagship SteadyTape folio (simulated) entered: $MTSI $NBIS $EXPE.
#stockmarket #quants
(Simulated backtest — not advice)
#stockmarket #quants
(Simulated backtest — not advice)
7/7
Match the strategy to the market it was built for:
🔗 tradingstrategies.work
Fit beats breadth.
Study the Past — Improve your Future. 🥋
#Crypto #Stocks
Match the strategy to the market it was built for:
🔗 tradingstrategies.work
Fit beats breadth.
Study the Past — Improve your Future. 🥋
#Crypto #Stocks
Backtesting Arena – Backtest Trading Strategies like a Pro
Before you spend $800 on an indicator – test if it actually works. Backtest systematic strategies on crypto (Binance) with real market data, plus explainable Bitcoin cycle, macro-regime and on-chain a...
tradingstrategies.work
September 24, 2026 at 8:47 AM
7/7
Match the strategy to the market it was built for:
🔗 tradingstrategies.work
Fit beats breadth.
Study the Past — Improve your Future. 🥋
#Crypto #Stocks
Match the strategy to the market it was built for:
🔗 tradingstrategies.work
Fit beats breadth.
Study the Past — Improve your Future. 🥋
#Crypto #Stocks
we can backtest it. they're pretty accurate, not perfect!
February 22, 2026 at 12:29 AM
we can backtest it. they're pretty accurate, not perfect!
Using a 2026 model to backtest 2024-2026 data is *not* legit. 🤷🏻♂️
March 13, 2026 at 4:21 AM
Using a 2026 model to backtest 2024-2026 data is *not* legit. 🤷🏻♂️
How Many Trades Are Enough for a Reliable Backtest?
How Many Trades Are Enough for a Reliable Backtest? Determining the minimum number of trades required for a statistically significant backtest is a fundamental challenge in quantitative finance. The answer is not a single universal integer, but a…
How Many Trades Are Enough for a Reliable Backtest? Determining the minimum number of trades required for a statistically significant backtest is a fundamental challenge in quantitative finance. The answer is not a single universal integer, but a…
How Many Trades Are Enough for a Reliable Backtest?
How Many Trades Are Enough for a Reliable Backtest? Determining the minimum number of trades required for a statistically significant backtest is a fundamental challenge in quantitative finance. The answer is not a single universal integer, but a calculated range derived from the interplay between the strategy's edge, market volatility, and the acceptable margin of error. A backtest with 30 trades is generally considered noise, while 100 trades offers a preliminary glance, and 300 trades provides a robust foundation.
digitalninjasystems.wpcomstaging.com
September 24, 2026 at 6:01 AM
How Many Trades Are Enough for a Reliable Backtest?
How Many Trades Are Enough for a Reliable Backtest? Determining the minimum number of trades required for a statistically significant backtest is a fundamental challenge in quantitative finance. The answer is not a single universal integer, but a…
How Many Trades Are Enough for a Reliable Backtest? Determining the minimum number of trades required for a statistically significant backtest is a fundamental challenge in quantitative finance. The answer is not a single universal integer, but a…
You know, backtest this on Nixon.
July 2, 2024 at 6:23 PM
You know, backtest this on Nixon.
I decided to backtest my forecast using past election cycles and the results are very interesting
I'm gonna post them in a little while
I'm gonna post them in a little while
September 19, 2026 at 10:32 PM
I decided to backtest my forecast using past election cycles and the results are very interesting
I'm gonna post them in a little while
I'm gonna post them in a little while
7/7
Test it — and watch which timeframe and which asset it actually holds up on:
🔗 tradingstrategies.work
An indicator is only as honest as its input.
Study the Past — Improve your Future. 🥋
#Solana #Volume
Test it — and watch which timeframe and which asset it actually holds up on:
🔗 tradingstrategies.work
An indicator is only as honest as its input.
Study the Past — Improve your Future. 🥋
#Solana #Volume
Backtesting Arena – Backtest Trading Strategies like a Pro
Before you spend $800 on an indicator – test if it actually works. Backtest systematic strategies on crypto (Binance) with real market data, plus explainable Bitcoin cycle, macro-regime and on-chain a...
tradingstrategies.work
September 24, 2026 at 5:07 PM
7/7
Test it — and watch which timeframe and which asset it actually holds up on:
🔗 tradingstrategies.work
An indicator is only as honest as its input.
Study the Past — Improve your Future. 🥋
#Solana #Volume
Test it — and watch which timeframe and which asset it actually holds up on:
🔗 tradingstrategies.work
An indicator is only as honest as its input.
Study the Past — Improve your Future. 🥋
#Solana #Volume
6/6
Next large book: the 30 Oct monthly, 115,222 contracts, max pain 73,000. That strike sits 14 % below spot, with 70,050 calls above spot.
Watch whether it climbs too.
tradingstrategies.work/dashboard/bi...
Study the Past — Improve your Future 🥋
#backtesting
Next large book: the 30 Oct monthly, 115,222 contracts, max pain 73,000. That strike sits 14 % below spot, with 70,050 calls above spot.
Watch whether it climbs too.
tradingstrategies.work/dashboard/bi...
Study the Past — Improve your Future 🥋
#backtesting
Backtesting Arena – Backtest Trading Strategies like a Pro
Before you spend $800 on an indicator – test if it actually works. Backtest systematic strategies on crypto (Binance) with real market data, plus explainable Bitcoin cycle, macro-regime and on-chain a...
tradingstrategies.work
September 25, 2026 at 12:26 PM
6/6
Next large book: the 30 Oct monthly, 115,222 contracts, max pain 73,000. That strike sits 14 % below spot, with 70,050 calls above spot.
Watch whether it climbs too.
tradingstrategies.work/dashboard/bi...
Study the Past — Improve your Future 🥋
#backtesting
Next large book: the 30 Oct monthly, 115,222 contracts, max pain 73,000. That strike sits 14 % below spot, with 70,050 calls above spot.
Watch whether it climbs too.
tradingstrategies.work/dashboard/bi...
Study the Past — Improve your Future 🥋
#backtesting
Our flagship sim folio grew $300K → $26.8M since 2015 (+8,822%). Now build YOUR own: pick your capital, gates & start date, and watch it trade every day.
#stockmarket #quants
(Simulated backtest — not advice)
#stockmarket #quants
(Simulated backtest — not advice)
September 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM
Our flagship sim folio grew $300K → $26.8M since 2015 (+8,822%). Now build YOUR own: pick your capital, gates & start date, and watch it trade every day.
#stockmarket #quants
(Simulated backtest — not advice)
#stockmarket #quants
(Simulated backtest — not advice)
Today the flagship SteadyTape folio (simulated) entered: $MPC $SRE $NBIS $CRWD.
#stockmarket #quants
(Simulated backtest — not advice)
#stockmarket #quants
(Simulated backtest — not advice)
September 22, 2026 at 4:01 PM
Today the flagship SteadyTape folio (simulated) entered: $MPC $SRE $NBIS $CRWD.
#stockmarket #quants
(Simulated backtest — not advice)
#stockmarket #quants
(Simulated backtest — not advice)
If the model actually beat a top Jane Street trader you'd trade with it and get quietly rich. Raising a seed round to announce the backtest is usually the tell it doesn't survive real order flow.
August 11, 2026 at 5:01 AM
If the model actually beat a top Jane Street trader you'd trade with it and get quietly rich. Raising a seed round to announce the backtest is usually the tell it doesn't survive real order flow.
„A guy DMs you a 'guaranteed' setup. Far out. But did he backtest it, man — or is the whole thing just a brave little vibe?"
September 21, 2026 at 8:17 AM
„A guy DMs you a 'guaranteed' setup. Far out. But did he backtest it, man — or is the whole thing just a brave little vibe?"
10/10
Shown a multi-day-candle result? Ask:
→ which alignment
→ which window
→ how many trades
Under ~12 pp CAGR, 1d/2d/3d are one block, not a ranking.
tradingstrategies.work/dashboard/cr...
Not investment advice, not a forecast.
Study the Past — Improve your Future 🥋
#backtesting
Shown a multi-day-candle result? Ask:
→ which alignment
→ which window
→ how many trades
Under ~12 pp CAGR, 1d/2d/3d are one block, not a ranking.
tradingstrategies.work/dashboard/cr...
Not investment advice, not a forecast.
Study the Past — Improve your Future 🥋
#backtesting
Backtesting Arena – Backtest Trading Strategies like a Pro
Before you spend $800 on an indicator – test if it actually works. Backtest systematic strategies on crypto (Binance) with real market data, plus explainable Bitcoin cycle, macro-regime and on-chain a...
tradingstrategies.work
September 24, 2026 at 1:34 PM
10/10
Shown a multi-day-candle result? Ask:
→ which alignment
→ which window
→ how many trades
Under ~12 pp CAGR, 1d/2d/3d are one block, not a ranking.
tradingstrategies.work/dashboard/cr...
Not investment advice, not a forecast.
Study the Past — Improve your Future 🥋
#backtesting
Shown a multi-day-candle result? Ask:
→ which alignment
→ which window
→ how many trades
Under ~12 pp CAGR, 1d/2d/3d are one block, not a ranking.
tradingstrategies.work/dashboard/cr...
Not investment advice, not a forecast.
Study the Past — Improve your Future 🥋
#backtesting
10/10
What would change the verdict:
→ Strategy below 840,447 BTC, price breaking that week
→ a five-figure Strategy buy, price moving on the filing
→ a new low with every large holder flat
tradingstrategies.work/dashboard/cr...
Study the Past — Improve your Future 🥋
#bitcoin
What would change the verdict:
→ Strategy below 840,447 BTC, price breaking that week
→ a five-figure Strategy buy, price moving on the filing
→ a new low with every large holder flat
tradingstrategies.work/dashboard/cr...
Study the Past — Improve your Future 🥋
#bitcoin
Backtesting Arena – Backtest Trading Strategies like a Pro
Before you spend $800 on an indicator – test if it actually works. Backtest systematic strategies on crypto (Binance) with real market data, plus explainable Bitcoin cycle, macro-regime and on-chain a...
tradingstrategies.work
September 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM
10/10
What would change the verdict:
→ Strategy below 840,447 BTC, price breaking that week
→ a five-figure Strategy buy, price moving on the filing
→ a new low with every large holder flat
tradingstrategies.work/dashboard/cr...
Study the Past — Improve your Future 🥋
#bitcoin
What would change the verdict:
→ Strategy below 840,447 BTC, price breaking that week
→ a five-figure Strategy buy, price moving on the filing
→ a new low with every large holder flat
tradingstrategies.work/dashboard/cr...
Study the Past — Improve your Future 🥋
#bitcoin
🔗 6 SteadyTape studies are active on $CRWD at once: AVWAP Ticker, Bullish Engulfing, Options Flow, Relative Strength, Revenue Acceleration.
Conviction 100/100.
#stockmarket #quants
(Simulated backtest — not advice)
Conviction 100/100.
#stockmarket #quants
(Simulated backtest — not advice)
September 23, 2026 at 4:01 PM
🔗 6 SteadyTape studies are active on $CRWD at once: AVWAP Ticker, Bullish Engulfing, Options Flow, Relative Strength, Revenue Acceleration.
Conviction 100/100.
#stockmarket #quants
(Simulated backtest — not advice)
Conviction 100/100.
#stockmarket #quants
(Simulated backtest — not advice)