The CCES dealt with this in 2014. It's just measurement error cces.gov.harvard.edu/news/perils-...
cces.gov.harvard.edu
August 19, 2026 at 5:26 PM
The CCES dealt with this in 2014. It's just measurement error cces.gov.harvard.edu/news/perils-...
« On est peut-être en train de vivre notre dernière année de paix en Europe. »
@kozovoi.bsky.social Professeur d’histoire russe et soviétique
La suite :
⏰ 22h55 sur france·tv
➡️https://bit.ly/RussieMenaceInterieure
🎧en podcast
@kozovoi.bsky.social Professeur d’histoire russe et soviétique
La suite :
⏰ 22h55 sur france·tv
➡️https://bit.ly/RussieMenaceInterieure
🎧en podcast
November 27, 2025 at 9:25 PM
« Pangram va te faire foutre ! Thélyson Orélien n'a pas à se justifier »
@virginiedespentes.bsky.social Écrivaine et réalisatrice
La suite :
⏰ 22h40 sur france·tv
➡️ bit.ly/ThelysonOrel...
🎧en podcast
@virginiedespentes.bsky.social Écrivaine et réalisatrice
La suite :
⏰ 22h40 sur france·tv
➡️ bit.ly/ThelysonOrel...
🎧en podcast
September 23, 2026 at 10:41 PM
tis the season mothertruckers
April 21, 2025 at 10:34 PM
tis the season mothertruckers
« Je déchire mon contrat d'édition avec Grasset, car je n'accepte pas qu'un milliardaire d'extrême droite impose sa pensée. »
@davduf.net Écrivain, journaliste et réalisateur, fondateur du média "Au Poste"
La suite :
⏰ 22h40 sur france·tv
➡️https://bit.ly/BatailleGrasset
🎧en podcast
@davduf.net Écrivain, journaliste et réalisateur, fondateur du média "Au Poste"
La suite :
⏰ 22h40 sur france·tv
➡️https://bit.ly/BatailleGrasset
🎧en podcast
April 15, 2026 at 9:41 PM
Celsius-ccès qui te monte à la tête
July 1, 2025 at 8:49 PM
Celsius-ccès qui te monte à la tête
We’re taking the CCES 2024 estimates seriously. Publicly available data is good for the world.
April 2, 2025 at 2:39 PM
We’re taking the CCES 2024 estimates seriously. Publicly available data is good for the world.
3/🧵 I teamed up with @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social, @rfunkfordham.bsky.social and @ernestotiburcio.bsky.social for this analysis of voter files and validated survey data from 2018-2022. This is part 1 of a series. Part 2 will run the same analysis on the 2024 CCES data when it's released.
April 2, 2025 at 1:57 AM
3/🧵 I teamed up with @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social, @rfunkfordham.bsky.social and @ernestotiburcio.bsky.social for this analysis of voter files and validated survey data from 2018-2022. This is part 1 of a series. Part 2 will run the same analysis on the 2024 CCES data when it's released.
10/🧵 Read our full analysis for the data behind these findings. And stay tuned for Part 2 with 2024 CCES data coming soon!
Does Higher Turnout Now Help Republicans? A Data-Driven Analysis of Partisan Turnout Dynamics (Part 1)
Data analysis reveals Democrats' problem isn't high turnout—it's losing the mobilization battle
open.substack.com
April 2, 2025 at 1:57 AM
10/🧵 Read our full analysis for the data behind these findings. And stay tuned for Part 2 with 2024 CCES data coming soon!
Class by Education in the 2024 CCES.
September 12, 2025 at 8:36 PM
Class by Education in the 2024 CCES.
A diffuser !
Tout est dit !
« Qui peut croire qu'après 9 ans de procédure d'instruction,
après 2 mois de procès, dans une décision qui fait plus de 150 pages, les juges auraient pour seule motivation la boussole partisane ? »
bsky.app/profile/cces...
Tout est dit !
« Qui peut croire qu'après 9 ans de procédure d'instruction,
après 2 mois de procès, dans une décision qui fait plus de 150 pages, les juges auraient pour seule motivation la boussole partisane ? »
bsky.app/profile/cces...
« Qui peut croire qu'après 9 ans de procédure d'instruction,
après 2 mois de procès, dans une décision qui fait plus de 150 pages, les juges auraient pour seule motivation la boussole partisane ? »
Magali LAFOURCADE Magistrate
#CCeSoir
➡️ bit.ly/MLPcolereRev...
🎧en podcast
après 2 mois de procès, dans une décision qui fait plus de 150 pages, les juges auraient pour seule motivation la boussole partisane ? »
Magali LAFOURCADE Magistrate
#CCeSoir
➡️ bit.ly/MLPcolereRev...
🎧en podcast
April 2, 2025 at 11:06 AM
A diffuser !
Tout est dit !
« Qui peut croire qu'après 9 ans de procédure d'instruction,
après 2 mois de procès, dans une décision qui fait plus de 150 pages, les juges auraient pour seule motivation la boussole partisane ? »
bsky.app/profile/cces...
Tout est dit !
« Qui peut croire qu'après 9 ans de procédure d'instruction,
après 2 mois de procès, dans une décision qui fait plus de 150 pages, les juges auraient pour seule motivation la boussole partisane ? »
bsky.app/profile/cces...
L'interface de Persona a été laissée béante, ouverte plus grand encore que l'autoroute sans péage que Macron offre au RN depuis des années, sur le web, et le risque que des pirates moins bien intentionnés aient aussi eua ccès ces données est élevé.
February 20, 2026 at 8:51 PM
L'interface de Persona a été laissée béante, ouverte plus grand encore que l'autoroute sans péage que Macron offre au RN depuis des années, sur le web, et le risque que des pirates moins bien intentionnés aient aussi eua ccès ces données est élevé.
Quick tool to play with. How likely were you statistically to have voted for Trump in 2024? cces-2024-vote-probability.netlify.app
CCES 2024 Vote Probability
Explore predicted 2024 two-party presidential vote probabilities using a weighted CCES model.
cces-2024-vote-probability.netlify.app
August 18, 2026 at 2:56 AM
Quick tool to play with. How likely were you statistically to have voted for Trump in 2024? cces-2024-vote-probability.netlify.app
Dans C ce soir, @fabricearfi.bsky.social a judicieusement évoqué la question.
bsky.app/profile/cces...
bsky.app/profile/cces...
« Je dois faire part d'un malaise sur le débat public autour des Epstein Files. Il faut laisser place à ce qu'il compte : les faits, les faits, les faits. »
@fabricearfi.bsky.social Journaliste
La suite :
⏰ 22h40 sur france·tv
➡️https://bit.ly/EpsteinVeriteEpreuve
🎧en podcast
@fabricearfi.bsky.social Journaliste
La suite :
⏰ 22h40 sur france·tv
➡️https://bit.ly/EpsteinVeriteEpreuve
🎧en podcast
February 11, 2026 at 9:09 AM
Dans C ce soir, @fabricearfi.bsky.social a judicieusement évoqué la question.
bsky.app/profile/cces...
bsky.app/profile/cces...
The claim at issue is that there has been a *change over time* in the political leanings of the disengaged population.
You can’t dispute this with old CCES surveys that don’t include the relevant year. What are we doing here?
You can’t dispute this with old CCES surveys that don’t include the relevant year. What are we doing here?
April 2, 2025 at 10:48 AM
The claim at issue is that there has been a *change over time* in the political leanings of the disengaged population.
You can’t dispute this with old CCES surveys that don’t include the relevant year. What are we doing here?
You can’t dispute this with old CCES surveys that don’t include the relevant year. What are we doing here?
For everyone just sucking down the Shor analysis, this is a useful counterpoint.
Looking forward to the CCES analysis as well.
Looking forward to the CCES analysis as well.
1/🧵 "More voters help Republicans" is reshaping Dem strategy after 2024. We put this claim to the test with a deep dive into voter files and survey data. Results? Non-voters remain disproportionately Democratic while GOP simply turns out their base better.
Does Higher Turnout Now Help Republicans? A Data-Driven Analysis of Partisan Turnout Dynamics (Part 1)
Data analysis reveals Democrats' problem isn't high turnout—it's losing the mobilization battle
open.substack.com
April 2, 2025 at 2:06 AM
For everyone just sucking down the Shor analysis, this is a useful counterpoint.
Looking forward to the CCES analysis as well.
Looking forward to the CCES analysis as well.
« On est en train de discuter des livres que va lire Nicolas Sarkozy en prison ? Alors qu'il a été condamné pour "association de malfaiteurs". »
@fabricearfi.bsky.social Journaliste d’investigation
La suite :
⏰ 22h50 sur france·tv
➡️https://bit.ly/SarkozyEnPrisonHonneurDeshonneur
🎧en podcast
@fabricearfi.bsky.social Journaliste d’investigation
La suite :
⏰ 22h50 sur france·tv
➡️https://bit.ly/SarkozyEnPrisonHonneurDeshonneur
🎧en podcast
October 22, 2025 at 8:22 AM
Our literal conclusion is: “the debate isn't settled. The real test comes with the 2024 CCES data…”
We set up a hypothesis that we plan to test (open to replication) when the complete data is available—the exact opposite of pre-committing to a conclusion. This is how science works.
We set up a hypothesis that we plan to test (open to replication) when the complete data is available—the exact opposite of pre-committing to a conclusion. This is how science works.
But it sounds like they have pre-committed to a conclusion rather than waiting for the data
April 2, 2025 at 3:37 PM
Our literal conclusion is: “the debate isn't settled. The real test comes with the 2024 CCES data…”
We set up a hypothesis that we plan to test (open to replication) when the complete data is available—the exact opposite of pre-committing to a conclusion. This is how science works.
We set up a hypothesis that we plan to test (open to replication) when the complete data is available—the exact opposite of pre-committing to a conclusion. This is how science works.
La réponse bsky.app/profile/cces...
« On est en train de discuter des livres que va lire Nicolas Sarkozy en prison ? Alors qu'il a été condamné pour "association de malfaiteurs". »
@fabricearfi.bsky.social Journaliste d’investigation
La suite :
⏰ 22h50 sur france·tv
➡️https://bit.ly/SarkozyEnPrisonHonneurDeshonneur
🎧en podcast
@fabricearfi.bsky.social Journaliste d’investigation
La suite :
⏰ 22h50 sur france·tv
➡️https://bit.ly/SarkozyEnPrisonHonneurDeshonneur
🎧en podcast
October 23, 2025 at 6:58 AM
La réponse bsky.app/profile/cces...
Her crowning academic achievement described by the CCES in 2022 as "more an argumentative essay than a scientific publication," no less!
April 9, 2026 at 7:17 PM
Her crowning academic achievement described by the CCES in 2022 as "more an argumentative essay than a scientific publication," no less!
Support for arming Ukraine among self-identified liberals:
70% support - liberals with advanced degrees
58% oppose - liberals without advanced degrees who make less than $50k a year
DATA: CCES 2022
70% support - liberals with advanced degrees
58% oppose - liberals without advanced degrees who make less than $50k a year
DATA: CCES 2022
March 3, 2025 at 3:18 AM
Support for arming Ukraine among self-identified liberals:
70% support - liberals with advanced degrees
58% oppose - liberals without advanced degrees who make less than $50k a year
DATA: CCES 2022
70% support - liberals with advanced degrees
58% oppose - liberals without advanced degrees who make less than $50k a year
DATA: CCES 2022
🧵 1/ New paper from CCEs @rebeccasear.bsky.social led by @hggaddy.bsky.social with @anthrolog.bsky.social challenging some common assumptions about polygyny (there are many…)
it's open access 🔓 🧪 @brunelpsy.bsky.social
it's open access 🔓 🧪 @brunelpsy.bsky.social
High rates of polygyny do not lock large proportions of men out of the marriage market
www.pnas.org
October 6, 2025 at 1:59 PM
🧵 1/ New paper from CCEs @rebeccasear.bsky.social led by @hggaddy.bsky.social with @anthrolog.bsky.social challenging some common assumptions about polygyny (there are many…)
it's open access 🔓 🧪 @brunelpsy.bsky.social
it's open access 🔓 🧪 @brunelpsy.bsky.social
Yeah it's basically a figleaf but they don't even bother with it for the CCEs.
January 6, 2025 at 11:40 PM
Yeah it's basically a figleaf but they don't even bother with it for the CCEs.
Am not commenting much on the US pre-election polls as a lot doesn't make sense. If Harris is +4 with CCES, you'd expect better numbers for the battleground state polling by them...
October 29, 2024 at 10:00 PM
Am not commenting much on the US pre-election polls as a lot doesn't make sense. If Harris is +4 with CCES, you'd expect better numbers for the battleground state polling by them...