#CEBR
Fourth, when Cebr count the cost of the scheme, they leave out the VAT refunded on the very sales the scheme is meant to create.

Cebr admits their report was incorrect, but won't change their numbers.
September 28, 2026 at 8:34 AM
Peak fall colors on the Markagunt this week?
UT143 east of Cedar Breaks.
#Photography #Quakie #Fall #ut143 #CEBR
September 27, 2026 at 8:35 PM
Second, Cebr combine two figures for how tourists respond to tax cuts ("elasticity"), resulting in a number which is completely out of scale with all the other estimates we could source:
September 28, 2026 at 8:34 AM
Luxury retailers want taxpayers to fund a 20% tax break for foreign tourists.

They paid consultancy Cebr to claim this will raise £2.6bn for the UK. That convinced Sadiq Khan and Kemi Badenoch.

But it's false: a free lunch. Four basic errors mask a £600m loss.

Thread:
September 28, 2026 at 8:34 AM
Cebr's own website cites a client saying how "brilliant" their report was for PR and lobbying.

The website doesn't mention the times that third parties have reviewed Cebr client reports, and found them badly lacking.
September 28, 2026 at 8:34 AM
Third, Cebr's calculations ignore the fact that tourists claiming VAT refunds usually pay a sizeable fee to an intermediary. That immediately slices off 20%+ of the benefit.

Cebr know this, but ignore it.
September 28, 2026 at 8:34 AM
UK consumer confidence has hit a more than two-year high, according to GfK, symbolised below by the purchase of mangoes.

Another bit of generally positive sentiment data.

YouGov/Cebr and LSEG/Ipsos surveys have also shown rising consumer morale this month.
www.reuters.com/world/uk/uk-...
UK consumer confidence hits more than two-year high in September, GfK says
British consumer confidence unexpectedly struck a more than two-year high this month as households ​grew more optimistic about their personal finances, ‌according to a survey on Friday that added to r...
www.reuters.com
September 25, 2026 at 7:00 AM
Sejam bem-vindos ao CEBR! Sua mais nova e completa fonte de notícias sobre o ator, produtor e diretor Chris Evans no Brasil!
Ative as notificações e não perca nenhuma novidade.

💻 chrisevans.sosugary.com
🔗 chrisevans.sosugary.com/galeria
📸 instagram.com/brasilcevans
August 29, 2024 at 2:14 PM
Rosstat is not the CEBR of Russia. It only has visibility into large and medium-sized enterprises. Small businesses are excluded entirely.

It also doesn’t have good access to wage information.
How bad is it?

Well as you see here, there is a “general distrust of market participants in the relevant information from Rosstat”

Probably because they can see their numbers and they KNOW Rosstat is wrong, and Rosstat is the government’s statistical service.

IT’S LIKELY NO ONE KNOWS
June 2, 2025 at 7:33 PM
K-Pg boundary between the Cretaceous rocks(white) and the Claron formation(pink). UT14 near UT148. Dinosaurs in the lower white rocks gone in the upper pink. Maybe, see alt
#Photography #Geology #KPg #CedarBreak #Zion #CEBR
September 26, 2026 at 1:44 AM
İdam yoktu değil mi?
İnfaz da edemediniz bari agırlastırılmış müebbet verelim de gün yüzü görmesin mi dediniz.
Bu kadın nasıl hayırlı bir iş yaptı, hangi büyük tekerinize çomak soktu vallahi çok merak ettim.
Bu nasıl kin, nasıl öfke!
February 11, 2026 at 12:39 PM
Badenoch probably didn’t read / understand the report. Khan was looking at the narrow self interest of London retailers. What a surprise.

And Cebr have given their clients what they want, and accepted the damage to their reputation.

Thanks Dan.
Luxury retailers want taxpayers to fund a 20% tax break for foreign tourists.

They paid consultancy Cebr to claim this will raise £2.6bn for the UK. That convinced Sadiq Khan and Kemi Badenoch.

But it's false: a free lunch. Four basic errors mask a £600m loss.

Thread:
September 28, 2026 at 9:49 AM
It's not all bad - UK consumer confidence as measured by @yougov.co.uk /Cebr rose to its highest level since August 2021!

Households reported stronger business activity, financial confidence about the future, and sharply rising house prices (which this survey includes as a measure).
January 13, 2025 at 2:25 PM
Which is akin to a land value tax that gets increasingly suggested. Remove the ability to land bank at zero cost.

www.babelfish.news/housing/dale...
Dale Vince: 1.4m brownfield homes could spark a boom
New CEBR analysis for Babelfish finds 1.4m homes could be built on brownfield land, adding 0.9% to GDP a year for a decade. Half already have planning permission.
www.babelfish.news
August 19, 2026 at 4:30 PM
ICYMI, here's a summary of tax proposals made in the last 48 hours... 🧵

The Good...

👍 restore VAT-free tourist shopping (a proper evidence-based policy, would boost the economy)...

cebr.com/reports/anal...
Analysis of tourists’ economic behaviour in the UK - CEBR
The Heart of London Business Alliance commissioned Cebr to conduct analysis of tourists’ economic behaviour in the UK, with a particular focus on VAT-free shopping.
cebr.com
September 21, 2026 at 4:57 PM
There is an extremely fruity Doug MacWilliams [remember the CEBR guy, energetic supporter of Brexit] blog on LinkedIn summarising his reactions to Trump's accession. If you needed another reminder that this guy is part of the UK far right and not a serious econ commentator, then this is it.
January 27, 2025 at 10:26 PM
A £2.6bn lobbyist fairytale: economic consultancy Cebr sold VAT-free shopping as a tax cut that pays for itself taxpolicy.org.uk/2026/09/28/v...
VAT-free shopping: the four errors in Cebr’s £2.6bn report
Cebr says bringing back VAT-free shopping for tourists would raise £2.6bn. We rebuilt its model and found four errors. Fix them, and the gain becomes a loss.
taxpolicy.org.uk
September 28, 2026 at 9:54 AM
Kırık Testi - Cebrî Lütufları Sezme

Allah’ın cebrî olarak gelen lütufları öyle güzelliklere vesile olacaktır ki siz şair Firdevsî gibi en mükemmel destanlar döktürseniz, en belîgâne üsluplarla meselelerinizi ortaya koysanız bile, bu ölçüde müessir olamazsınız.
herkul.org/kirik-testi/...
Cebri Lütufları Sezme - Fethullah Gülen Hocaefendi'nin sohbetleri
Cenab-ı Hakk’ın lütufları bazen iradî davranışlarımıza terettüp eder, bazen de bizim irademizin dışında cebr-i lütfî şeklinde gelir. Mesela, siz cebrî olarak bir yere sevk edilirsiniz. Sevk edildiğini...
herkul.org
November 21, 2024 at 12:30 AM
Well this is a proper head scratcher.
But yeah, fiddling around with tax and getting rid of consumer protections should sort it.
Wonder what those ‘former chancellors and prime ministers’ had to say about this shitshow. Any mention of Brexit at all??

(Times and Private Eye)
October 18, 2025 at 8:13 AM
Although it is a member of the Phlox family Jacob’s Ladder does not have that delightful scent that most of us would expect from a Phlox. In fact, its scent is why this herb is often called skunk leaf. #herbChat www.nps.gov/cebr/learn/n...
Pretty Jacob's Ladder - Cedar Breaks National Monument (U.S. National Park Service)
www.nps.gov
February 5, 2026 at 7:22 PM
A fun stop in cedar breaks
www.nps.gov/cebr/index.htm
July 20, 2025 at 4:59 AM
Recording this afternoon for Green Signals with @crisortunity.bsky.social, interviewed by Richard Bowker - on what I am now dubbing #RailDieselGate and the new CEBR report. Will be on next week's show. www.electrification-campaign.org/diesel-report/
July 3, 2026 at 2:43 PM