Three of the 12 most pivotal plays in baseball history by cWPA occurred last night
November 2, 2025 at 12:56 PM
Three of the 12 most pivotal plays in baseball history by cWPA occurred last night
austin riley's cWPA right now gotta be crazy
September 29, 2026 at 9:53 PM
austin riley's cWPA right now gotta be crazy
so turns out the highest cWPA in the regular season was Brayan Rocchio's walkoff double when White Sox and Guardians were battling for the division lead
www.sports-reference.com/stathead/bas...
www.sports-reference.com/stathead/bas...
September 29, 2026 at 6:54 PM
so turns out the highest cWPA in the regular season was Brayan Rocchio's walkoff double when White Sox and Guardians were battling for the division lead
www.sports-reference.com/stathead/bas...
www.sports-reference.com/stathead/bas...
By cWPA, last night had three of the 11 biggest plays of all-time. The game-ender is fourth, the only out in the top 15.
November 2, 2025 at 6:20 PM
By cWPA, last night had three of the 11 biggest plays of all-time. The game-ender is fourth, the only out in the top 15.
Just realized we're getting into "highest cWPA in the regular season" territory
September 25, 2026 at 3:26 AM
Just realized we're getting into "highest cWPA in the regular season" territory
Gibt es außer dieser generellen Absage an mehr Geld für Verteidigung schon weitere belastbare aktuelle Aussagen der Linken hinsichtlich Nato, Trump, Putin, europäische Sicherheit? www.youtube.com/watch?v=CWpa...
Linke: Keine "dreckigen Deals" bei Schuldenbremse
YouTube video by DER STANDARD
www.youtube.com
February 26, 2025 at 8:18 AM
Gibt es außer dieser generellen Absage an mehr Geld für Verteidigung schon weitere belastbare aktuelle Aussagen der Linken hinsichtlich Nato, Trump, Putin, europäische Sicherheit? www.youtube.com/watch?v=CWpa...
Career Postseason Win Probability Added:
Bumgarner: 2.74 WPA
Lincecum: 1.42 WPA
Kershaw: 0.16 WPA
Career Postseason Championship WPA:
Bumgarner: 132.6% cWPA
Lincecum: 19.0% cWPA
Kershaw: 2.6% cWPA
Bumgarner: 2.74 WPA
Lincecum: 1.42 WPA
Kershaw: 0.16 WPA
Career Postseason Championship WPA:
Bumgarner: 132.6% cWPA
Lincecum: 19.0% cWPA
Kershaw: 2.6% cWPA
October 9, 2025 at 3:50 AM
Career Postseason Win Probability Added:
Bumgarner: 2.74 WPA
Lincecum: 1.42 WPA
Kershaw: 0.16 WPA
Career Postseason Championship WPA:
Bumgarner: 132.6% cWPA
Lincecum: 19.0% cWPA
Kershaw: 2.6% cWPA
Bumgarner: 2.74 WPA
Lincecum: 1.42 WPA
Kershaw: 0.16 WPA
Career Postseason Championship WPA:
Bumgarner: 132.6% cWPA
Lincecum: 19.0% cWPA
Kershaw: 2.6% cWPA
teams aren't using dollars per win to model reliever contracts — they're using cWPA. and i have proof! (i think) so i wrote about it for @fangraphs.com:
Reliever Contracts Make Plenty of Sense
A different way to think about bullpen guys getting paid.
blogs.fangraphs.com
January 14, 2026 at 6:31 PM
teams aren't using dollars per win to model reliever contracts — they're using cWPA. and i have proof! (i think) so i wrote about it for @fangraphs.com:
Nerdy me: "I can't wait to see what the cWPA was for that home run."
Like do we all realize in the annals of MLB history how huge that home run was?
Like do we all realize in the annals of MLB history how huge that home run was?
October 21, 2025 at 4:33 AM
Nerdy me: "I can't wait to see what the cWPA was for that home run."
Like do we all realize in the annals of MLB history how huge that home run was?
Like do we all realize in the annals of MLB history how huge that home run was?
George Springer made history on Monday night with the highest Championship Win Probability Added (cWPA) play ever in the ALCS.
But what is cWPA? Our Software Engineer, Dan Hirsch, explains on our YouTube channel! 👇
But what is cWPA? Our Software Engineer, Dan Hirsch, explains on our YouTube channel! 👇
What is cWPA? 📊 | Baseball Reference explains Championship Win Probability Added
YouTube video by Sports Reference
youtu.be
October 21, 2025 at 1:29 PM
George Springer made history on Monday night with the highest Championship Win Probability Added (cWPA) play ever in the ALCS.
But what is cWPA? Our Software Engineer, Dan Hirsch, explains on our YouTube channel! 👇
But what is cWPA? Our Software Engineer, Dan Hirsch, explains on our YouTube channel! 👇
the Dodgers have started giving out huge relief contracts recently for fairly opaque, hard to discern reasons; the contracts also haven't worked out well for them so far. My suspicion is that at ~99 percent playoff odds every year that they are running out of shit that moves their cWPA projections
One reason for pause:
Dodgers wanted Edwin Diaz for 3 years at $23m per.
Dodgers are by all accounts the best and smartest organization in baseball.
Because it’s the Dodgers, as a nonexpert fan, it’s hard to be like “Stearns is being smart here, that’s a really dumb move”
Dodgers wanted Edwin Diaz for 3 years at $23m per.
Dodgers are by all accounts the best and smartest organization in baseball.
Because it’s the Dodgers, as a nonexpert fan, it’s hard to be like “Stearns is being smart here, that’s a really dumb move”
December 9, 2025 at 5:11 PM
the Dodgers have started giving out huge relief contracts recently for fairly opaque, hard to discern reasons; the contracts also haven't worked out well for them so far. My suspicion is that at ~99 percent playoff odds every year that they are running out of shit that moves their cWPA projections
Springer's homer ranks 7th all time for cWPA in an LCS. (World Series Champion Win Probability Added)
That homer improved the Blue Jays probability of winning the World Series 19.73%
stathead.com/tiny/MpCBe
That homer improved the Blue Jays probability of winning the World Series 19.73%
stathead.com/tiny/MpCBe
October 21, 2025 at 5:08 AM
Springer's homer ranks 7th all time for cWPA in an LCS. (World Series Champion Win Probability Added)
That homer improved the Blue Jays probability of winning the World Series 19.73%
stathead.com/tiny/MpCBe
That homer improved the Blue Jays probability of winning the World Series 19.73%
stathead.com/tiny/MpCBe
New Order - Your Silent Face [Live in Glasgow]
YouTube video by New Order
www.youtube.com
July 24, 2026 at 11:27 PM
He's on a 2-year, $22 million contract and had a 2.29 ERA from 2020-24, including a 3.24 playoff ERA with a 13.2% cWPA over that time with two rings. There's no conspiracy, it's money and trust earned from being elite over like five years.
Have wondered that since the start of the season. he's got something on someone higher up in the Dodger's organization.🤮
April 20, 2026 at 5:26 AM
He's on a 2-year, $22 million contract and had a 2.29 ERA from 2020-24, including a 3.24 playoff ERA with a 13.2% cWPA over that time with two rings. There's no conspiracy, it's money and trust earned from being elite over like five years.
🏆 Honored to receive the 2025 CWPA Kenneth Bruffee Award with Gail Shuck & Christine Tardy for our article on using case studies to train WPAs in SLW issues! Grateful to @WPA_Journal & all who shaped this work.
📖 Read: wpacouncil.org/aws/CWPA/ass...
🎉 Virtual ceremony: July 10!
📖 Read: wpacouncil.org/aws/CWPA/ass...
🎉 Virtual ceremony: July 10!
wpacouncil.org
June 13, 2025 at 2:07 AM
🏆 Honored to receive the 2025 CWPA Kenneth Bruffee Award with Gail Shuck & Christine Tardy for our article on using case studies to train WPAs in SLW issues! Grateful to @WPA_Journal & all who shaped this work.
📖 Read: wpacouncil.org/aws/CWPA/ass...
🎉 Virtual ceremony: July 10!
📖 Read: wpacouncil.org/aws/CWPA/ass...
🎉 Virtual ceremony: July 10!
If you were to award World Series MVP by cWPA the current leader is Eric Lauer with +22.26%
October 30, 2025 at 6:31 PM
If you were to award World Series MVP by cWPA the current leader is Eric Lauer with +22.26%
cWPA, for the tyros out there, is Championship Win Probability Added: a play's percentage change in a team's probability of winning the World Series. In over a century's worth of World Series play, 3 of the 12 wildest swings, and 2 of the top 5, occurred last night over a span of about an hour.
Three of the 12 most pivotal plays in baseball history by cWPA occurred last night
November 2, 2025 at 6:17 PM
cWPA, for the tyros out there, is Championship Win Probability Added: a play's percentage change in a team's probability of winning the World Series. In over a century's worth of World Series play, 3 of the 12 wildest swings, and 2 of the top 5, occurred last night over a span of about an hour.
After four quarters, two overtimes, and four sudden-death periods, Harvard secured the CWPA Championship title with an 8-7 victory against Princeton, punching their ticket to the NCAA Championships.
Bennett Trubey writes.
www.thecrimson.com/article/2026...
Bennett Trubey writes.
www.thecrimson.com/article/2026...
Harvard Wins Second-Straight CWPA Championship Title in Marathon Match | Sports | The Harvard Crimson
Sometimes it takes more than four quarters to decide the champion. For Harvard and Princeton in the CWPA Championship, it took four quarters, two overtimes, and four sudden-death periods before the…
www.thecrimson.com
April 12, 2026 at 7:50 PM
After four quarters, two overtimes, and four sudden-death periods, Harvard secured the CWPA Championship title with an 8-7 victory against Princeton, punching their ticket to the NCAA Championships.
Bennett Trubey writes.
www.thecrimson.com/article/2026...
Bennett Trubey writes.
www.thecrimson.com/article/2026...
Look, you paid these two guys nine figures to win rings and the cWPA here is high enough that you probably have to accept the risk if the player is okay with it
October 28, 2025 at 6:19 AM
Look, you paid these two guys nine figures to win rings and the cWPA here is high enough that you probably have to accept the risk if the player is okay with it
It's a stat that fluctuates a lot but Yamamoto is now fifth all-time in postseason cWPA, behind Mariano Rivera, Madison Bumgarner, Rollie Fingers, and ... Art Nehf
November 11, 2025 at 4:21 AM
It's a stat that fluctuates a lot but Yamamoto is now fifth all-time in postseason cWPA, behind Mariano Rivera, Madison Bumgarner, Rollie Fingers, and ... Art Nehf
Mentioned this to @sandwichpick.bsky.social earlier but it was also the "most important out(s)" ever, per cWPA (makes sense given that it was a DP)
November 2, 2025 at 6:29 PM
Mentioned this to @sandwichpick.bsky.social earlier but it was also the "most important out(s)" ever, per cWPA (makes sense given that it was a DP)
Austin Riley’s go-ahead three-run homer had limited impact by cWPA despite symbolizing a potential season turnaround for the Braves.
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September 30, 2026 at 1:48 PM
Austin Riley’s go-ahead three-run homer had limited impact by cWPA despite symbolizing a potential season turnaround for the Braves.
Austin Riley’s go-ahead three-run homer had limited impact by cWPA despite symbolizing a potential season turnaround for the Braves.
Save What Matters
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September 30, 2026 at 1:47 PM
Austin Riley’s go-ahead three-run homer had limited impact by cWPA despite symbolizing a potential season turnaround for the Braves.