#DataDynamics
#DataDynamics from Catawba-YouGov Surveys of 1K North Carolinians:

% who are "absolutely certain to vote" this November (indicated '10' on scale) in January, March, & June surveys.

Dems: constant uptick

Reps: drop from March's 62% to June's 53% = 9.3-point drop (stat significant)

#ncpol
July 2, 2026 at 3:59 PM