Consensus-seekers, outliers, abstentionists: In the second instalment of his monthly #EUanalytics column, NICOLAI VON ONDARZA examines how member states voted in the EU Council between July 2024 and June 2025.

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In September, Ursula von der Leyen and many MEPs called for unity in the EP – but in practice, its internal fractures were as visible as ever.

A vote on #Ceuta, in particular, revealed familiar divisions, and also some new ones.

The monthly #EUAnalytics review by NICOLAI VON ONDARZA

In May 2026, votes in the EP resembled those of times past: with majorities based on the cooperation of EPP, S&D and Renew, no votes decided by the far right, and a fine example of a very broad supermajority.

By NICOLAI VON ONDARZA
#EUanalytics

From July 2025 to July 2026, the EU Council held 97 public votes.

Compared to previous years, consensus decreased, with majorities becoming less reluctant to vote down minorities to avoid deadlock. However, it was not only the usual suspects who were outvoted.

By NICOLAI VON ONDARZA
#EUanalytics

In his latest #EUanalytics, NICOLAI VON ONDARZA reviews the votes in the EP and Council in October 2025.

He finds the von der Leyen majority resisting two motions of censure, but the EPP overplaying its hand in the first major "omnibus" vote. And also in the Council, consensus has been in decline.

In his latest #EUAnalytics, NICOLAI VON ONDARZA reviews the EP and EU Council votes in September 2025.

With the far right still split on Ukraine, the centre-right working with the far right on Colombia, and a first return of the “German Vote” under Merz

November 2025 was a month of much upheaval in the European Parliament. For the first time, a major piece of legislation was adopted by a centre-right-to-far-right majority – but other alliances also played a role.

The #EUanalytics review by NICOLAI VON ONDARZA

Der (europäische) Föderalist, most-read articles in 2025

10

EU Analytics: July 2025 in review – looking at political developments in the EU institutions

By NICOLAI VON ONDARZA
@nvondarza.bsky.social

#EUanalytics

A vote is passed if more MEPs vote yes than no, right?

Well, not always – as could be seen in July's EP vote on chat control.

Here's the monthly #EUanalytics review by NICOLAI VON ONDARZA:

In April, the European Parliament adopted its position for the long-term budget negotiations.

The vote showed that the traditional centre-right/centre-left cooperation is still key for fundamental decisions – but also how fragmented the EP is.

By NICOLAI VON ONDARZA

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While the year 2026 has started with a big geopolitical bang, it's still worthwile to look back into how the EP and EU Council voted in December 2025.

The far right has further expanded its influence and is more and more often part of winning majorities.

#EUanalytics review by NICOLAI VON ONDARZA

The legislative impact of the EU's far right has been growing over the last two years. In June 2026, far-right groups were decisive for the outcome of 1/5 of the final votes in the European Parliament.

Monthly #EUanalytics review by NICOLAI VON ONDARZA

EP majorities are increasingly unpredictable.

After several months of growing importance for the right-wing "Venezuela" majority, January 2026 saw a swing back to the centrist "von der Leyen" alliance - but also a novel "horseshoe" majority in the Mercosur vote.

By NICOLAI VON ONDARZA
#EUAnalytics

February has been a month of high-stakes votes at the EU level – in particular for asylum policy, where a centre-to-far-right majority has now effectively replaced the traditional centrist coalition.

In addition, France was unusually outvoted in the Council.

By NICOLAI VON ONDARZA

#EUAnalytics