#GOP,INDYs&Dems
Trump's deranged threat to fire federal workers and his killing of NY-NJ project are backfiring: Both are now big issues in VA-NJ gov races!

And new CNBC poll shows indys blaming Trump/GOP over Dems by 58-21.

On the pod, @simonwdc.bsky.social explains all this well:
newrepublic.com/article/2019...
Trump’s Fury at Dems Goes Nuclear as Crushing New Shutdown Poll Hits
As Trump’s anger grows amid another poll slide, Democratic strategist Simon Rosenberg explains why Trump’s deep unpopularity should give you solace—even if beating him long term will be a brutal slog.
newrepublic.com
October 20, 2025 at 1:41 PM
Local Dems in Virginia also had a great night last night.

-In Prince William County, the Dems FLIPPED a Harris+4/GOP-held County Board seat

-In Stafford County, the GOP majority on the County Board was ERASED, going from a 3-2-2 (2 Indys) GOP majority to a 4-2-1 Dem majority!
November 6, 2025 at 3:39 AM
Compared to 22 these look good for Dems. Others up. Dem up. GOP down.

Depends on how the indys break, as usual
November 6, 2024 at 12:16 AM
Let's GO, Dems & Indys!
Send the GOP pricks home 2 answer for their sins.
July 5, 2025 at 6:56 PM
Not coincidentally, the GOP base--unlike indys & Dems--does NOT see the shutdown as a major problem, per NORC/AP:
October 17, 2025 at 7:59 PM
If Dems were thinking they’d come up with an ambitious “Project 2027” list-what they promise to start working to restore ASAP or by midterms. Common sense items that indys & some GOP would back. And they wouldn’t hide deny it. They’d embrace it. @aoc.bsky.social @georgehahn.com @mcuban.bsky.social
March 29, 2025 at 11:03 PM
Last, #LIARVance, Stop Your #TapDancingToDeflectFromTrump'sEVIL= #GOP,INDYs&Dems ALL CARE ABOUT LITTLE 14yo, 15yo, 16yo, 17yo & YOUNGER GIRLS who were #RAPEDByBrutalCRUELFilthyOLDMen; who SLAPPED THEM FOR CRYING!!
This IS Why #4BraveGOPVotedToReleaseEPSTEIN'sFILE! #&ALLDEMS! We SEE What Trump DID!
JD Vance doubles down on his defense of Trump's pedophilia because he's a ghoul who believes in absolutely nothing.
September 9, 2025 at 2:44 AM
When the GOP approval number starts to consistently get below maybe 80. Can’t lose much more from Dems or Indys.
May 1, 2026 at 6:45 PM
Add - what Elliot Morris posted:

Astute observations - Dems are not loved - despite being the one who address common American problems way better than GOP ( GOP wants to hurt Americans) - but in this poll indys are waking up to this fact.

bsky.app/profile/gell...
There is a bias among pundits to eye-roll and dismiss Dem opposition to Trump (such as the No Kings protests) as predictable. But in terms of raw numbers (both events and participants), what we're seeing is much bigger than e.g. the Tea Party movement was. Dems are a high entropy system right now
October 20, 2025 at 2:25 PM
I think he and the Lincoln Project group are looking to create another version of the GOP. They want to take left-leaning White Dems/Indys along with the right leaning WP and create a center right party. The goal is always white nationalism, no matter how much they pretend they hate Trump.
November 23, 2025 at 5:28 PM
MAGAts have taken over the Wyo lege. And they want to stop the well worn and time honored tradition of Wyo Dems and indys re-registering at the polls on primary day to vote in the GOP primary (Wyo has closed primaries) and switching back the next day.
May 10, 2025 at 1:27 PM
His favorables are pretty bad, low enthusiasm for the GOP, high enthusiasm for Dems/Indys, and the population increase in SC, makes it mathematically possible. I don't think it will happen, but it's not impossible. Somewhere around 15-25% in my mind
March 12, 2026 at 8:34 PM
Would GOP voters *vote* for a Democrat? No

Do we need them to in order to win? No

Do Dems and Indys outnumber GOP voters? Yes by miles!

Let’s get out Democrats & Independents and elect the best candidate for the job.
April 15, 2026 at 3:45 PM
What you know Oklahoma is doing dirty special election bs with these horrible state questions on a ballot that is mostly repub runoff elections. So few Dems or indys will actually go to the polls. Both questions are ones GOP voters love b/c they’re dumb and don’t understand what they’re voting for.
August 25, 2026 at 12:45 AM
What is crazy is that for the second question, about 4% of Dems and Indys were more likely to see ICE as not a political tool compared to opposing ICE (sad face). But more Republicans saw ICE as a political tool than opposed ICE. It is like some in the GOP know it is Trump's retaliation and approve.
February 4, 2026 at 9:25 PM
Dems won't vote for him. Indys may be a few, but he will definitely split the republican party votes, thomas massie type voters will vote for him. Even if he gets 15% to 20% of gop votes the republicans lose
July 6, 2025 at 2:10 AM
Democrats can win big time if they follow @jamestalarico.bsky.social messaging. Forget all the lame promises of free this and that because no one believes that BS anymore. Massive political corruption and zero accountability is the top issue majority of Dems, GOP and Indys agree must be stopped.
June 23, 2026 at 6:57 PM
It was 50 to 28 for indys - that's 2 to 1! - and even lower for Dems

GOP was the opposite of course but I'm just not counting Republicans as Americans anymore lol (more seriously, I find it's more helpful to look at "Dem and Indy" for public sentiment because GOP is *so* far out)
October 9, 2025 at 3:57 AM
Dems need to be way beyond trying to appease moderate republicans. The GOP is a bunch of fascists so…🤷🏻‍♀️ And if you’re talking about left-leaning Indys, these 2 are as close as we’ve got.
You either want to do what’s right for the most people, or you don’t
March 21, 2025 at 11:57 PM
Apply to all gop/dinos/dems/green/indys…every single politician & especially Koch🐙’ completely owned gop?
a cartoon of a man sitting in a chair with a sign that says koch
ALT: a cartoon of a man sitting in a chair with a sign that says koch
media.tenor.com
August 26, 2025 at 9:05 PM
I don't know anything about the pollster (Data for Progress) but, of Trump's convictions in New York (adds strong & somewhat):

Dems Approve: 91%, Disapprove 5%
Indys: 57%-30%
GOP: 18%-75%

All: 56%-38%

But this question is meaningless. Will it change votes? They didn't ask! 🙄
June 4, 2024 at 12:31 AM
WE DID A GREAT JOB TODAY AT THE POLLS!! DEMS & INDYS Plus GOP Who Are NOT The #BrainwashedMAGA see the EVIL In Trump, Melanija, Vance, EntireGOP Senate&House, Abbott & TXGOP STEALING THE VOTE Even More Than Restricting Voting. Trump wants More GOP Run States Besides TX, IN, FL after DeSantis STOLE 2
November 5, 2025 at 5:38 AM
It's absolutely not an illusion. GOP can't keep the govt open or increase the debt limit or do much of anything other than tax cuts and confirming nominees without non-GOP votes.

If Dems/indys hold firm and demand an end to lawlessness, they're well-positioned to extract concessions. #MEpolitics
February 1, 2025 at 2:44 PM
It's LD 13 Thursday!

38k total returns and 25.7% TO

GOP voters hold a ballot advantage of ~3k. Dems have a TO advantage, but are the smallest party. Indys have the most registered, but are only turnout out at 17%

Compare to 2020, GOP voters are on pace with returns and TO.
October 24, 2024 at 9:28 PM