The geostrategic version of partial reinforcement training
June 17, 2025 at 1:37 AM
The geostrategic version of partial reinforcement training
geostrategic thinking brought to you by reality TV
It's like they're doing everything possible to make the Iranian, who really don't want this smoke, to say fuck it we ball because the alternative it regime collapse
These morons
June 22, 2025 at 9:12 PM
geostrategic thinking brought to you by reality TV
Trump could say “I am bombing Kiribati so we can destroy the moon elves who live there” and there would be DC think tank morons who went “I think there’s a p=30% chance we are instead witnessing a brilliant geostrategic move to counter Chinese hegemony”
February 3, 2025 at 3:20 AM
Trump could say “I am bombing Kiribati so we can destroy the moon elves who live there” and there would be DC think tank morons who went “I think there’s a p=30% chance we are instead witnessing a brilliant geostrategic move to counter Chinese hegemony”
We discussed Iceland’s role in our efforts to strengthen the security and defence of our continent, as well as the evolving geostrategic landscape in the Arctic.
April 9, 2025 at 1:47 PM
We discussed Iceland’s role in our efforts to strengthen the security and defence of our continent, as well as the evolving geostrategic landscape in the Arctic.
🇪🇺🇷🇸 “Serbia faces a strategic, geostrategic choice, where it wants to be,” Kaja Kallas said during her visit to Belgrade. "Serbia’s European future depends on the values it chooses to uphold," — AP
May 23, 2025 at 7:45 AM
🇪🇺🇷🇸 “Serbia faces a strategic, geostrategic choice, where it wants to be,” Kaja Kallas said during her visit to Belgrade. "Serbia’s European future depends on the values it chooses to uphold," — AP
We're really not quite grasping how momentous it is that one of Europe's most pressing geostrategic challenges is figuring out how to rely less on the United States. From the archives:
Rubio Offers Europe Trumpism With a Human Face
All the talk of friendship and partnership masked a deeper hostility.
lnk.thebulwark.com
September 29, 2026 at 1:01 AM
We're really not quite grasping how momentous it is that one of Europe's most pressing geostrategic challenges is figuring out how to rely less on the United States. From the archives:
Thank you, Kristrún Frostadóttir, for this memorable visit to Iceland.
As a country with a unique geostrategic position, Iceland has an exemplary approach to security and foresight.
This is how preparedness in action looks like.
Europe has much to learn from Iceland.
As a country with a unique geostrategic position, Iceland has an exemplary approach to security and foresight.
This is how preparedness in action looks like.
Europe has much to learn from Iceland.
July 17, 2025 at 2:01 PM
Thank you, Kristrún Frostadóttir, for this memorable visit to Iceland.
As a country with a unique geostrategic position, Iceland has an exemplary approach to security and foresight.
This is how preparedness in action looks like.
Europe has much to learn from Iceland.
As a country with a unique geostrategic position, Iceland has an exemplary approach to security and foresight.
This is how preparedness in action looks like.
Europe has much to learn from Iceland.
My expert analysis is that if Canada beats the USA in the hockey it will be a major geostrategic moment but if we lose then it will be an irrelevant footnote.
February 22, 2026 at 1:24 PM
My expert analysis is that if Canada beats the USA in the hockey it will be a major geostrategic moment but if we lose then it will be an irrelevant footnote.
This agreement is about more than trade volumes. It is a geostrategic choice for Europe and marks the beginning of a new era in EU–Latin America cooperation. (2/2)
January 9, 2026 at 5:45 PM
This agreement is about more than trade volumes. It is a geostrategic choice for Europe and marks the beginning of a new era in EU–Latin America cooperation. (2/2)
We're really not quite grasping how momentous it is that one of Europe's most pressing geostrategic challenges is figuring out how to rely less on the United States.
Rubio Offers Europe Trumpism With a Human Face
All the talk of friendship and partnership masked a deeper hostility.
lnk.thebulwark.com
February 18, 2026 at 1:30 AM
We're really not quite grasping how momentous it is that one of Europe's most pressing geostrategic challenges is figuring out how to rely less on the United States.
Iran's demands have been, more or less:
- the removal of sanctions
- lifting of limits to Iranian uranium enrichment (= clear path to a bomb)
- a recognition of Iranian sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz.
That is a very expensive geostrategic bill to pay to 'just end the war.'
- the removal of sanctions
- lifting of limits to Iranian uranium enrichment (= clear path to a bomb)
- a recognition of Iranian sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz.
That is a very expensive geostrategic bill to pay to 'just end the war.'
May 14, 2026 at 5:23 PM
Iran's demands have been, more or less:
- the removal of sanctions
- lifting of limits to Iranian uranium enrichment (= clear path to a bomb)
- a recognition of Iranian sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz.
That is a very expensive geostrategic bill to pay to 'just end the war.'
- the removal of sanctions
- lifting of limits to Iranian uranium enrichment (= clear path to a bomb)
- a recognition of Iranian sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz.
That is a very expensive geostrategic bill to pay to 'just end the war.'
What frustrates me about this discourse is that you can look up the cuts they've made to foreign aid, they've mostly kept "macroeconomic support" and "protection/assistance/solutions" (read: geostrategic political spending) while just zeroing aid to maternal health, education, infrastructure, etc
April 20, 2025 at 8:49 PM
What frustrates me about this discourse is that you can look up the cuts they've made to foreign aid, they've mostly kept "macroeconomic support" and "protection/assistance/solutions" (read: geostrategic political spending) while just zeroing aid to maternal health, education, infrastructure, etc
I actually wonder if European nations don't actually have a stronger interest in seeing MAGA crushed as a political movement, banking on a reaction in which they both get more of a say in the geostrategic order and get the USA back on side as a partner in it.
European nations “have very good reasons to be furious with the Trump administration”—but assisting the U.S. in the Strait of Hormuz may actually be in their best interest, Eliot A. Cohen argues:
Send the Frigates
Despite their anger at Donald Trump, European nations have an interest in defending the freedom of navigation.
bit.ly
May 12, 2026 at 8:32 PM
I actually wonder if European nations don't actually have a stronger interest in seeing MAGA crushed as a political movement, banking on a reaction in which they both get more of a say in the geostrategic order and get the USA back on side as a partner in it.
The Iranians are dying for their country. The Americans are dying for Israel, for money, and for geostrategic control.
July 19, 2026 at 3:05 AM
The Iranians are dying for their country. The Americans are dying for Israel, for money, and for geostrategic control.
We have entered a new era of harsh geostrategic competition.
Breaking the bonds in the global economy is in no one’s interest.
Europe will keep seeking cooperation.
With our long-time friends.
And any country we share interests with
Watch my speech live here → europa.eu/!Jw63DJ
Breaking the bonds in the global economy is in no one’s interest.
Europe will keep seeking cooperation.
With our long-time friends.
And any country we share interests with
Watch my speech live here → europa.eu/!Jw63DJ
January 21, 2025 at 10:08 AM
We have entered a new era of harsh geostrategic competition.
Breaking the bonds in the global economy is in no one’s interest.
Europe will keep seeking cooperation.
With our long-time friends.
And any country we share interests with
Watch my speech live here → europa.eu/!Jw63DJ
Breaking the bonds in the global economy is in no one’s interest.
Europe will keep seeking cooperation.
With our long-time friends.
And any country we share interests with
Watch my speech live here → europa.eu/!Jw63DJ
3/ Predictably, other actors such as China and Russia now feel far more confident in their broader geostrategic positions, whether in Russia’s ability to reshape Europe’s security landscape or China’s growing dominance in the Pacific and occupation of Taiwan
December 6, 2025 at 4:49 PM
3/ Predictably, other actors such as China and Russia now feel far more confident in their broader geostrategic positions, whether in Russia’s ability to reshape Europe’s security landscape or China’s growing dominance in the Pacific and occupation of Taiwan
South Korea thing very bad. On a human level, political, and geostrategic, Bad bad bad.
September 14, 2025 at 8:40 PM
South Korea thing very bad. On a human level, political, and geostrategic, Bad bad bad.
Today in Profound Matters of Geostrategic Thought: Can oil be moved from Point A to Point B without moving it? America's greatest minds are on the case.
March 15, 2026 at 7:55 PM
Today in Profound Matters of Geostrategic Thought: Can oil be moved from Point A to Point B without moving it? America's greatest minds are on the case.
The important thing to understand about Russian geostrategic outlook is it's mostly mirroring. They genuinely believe that everything bad that has happened to them is the work of the collective West and therefore they can do that to us and it will work
September 9, 2026 at 6:48 PM
The important thing to understand about Russian geostrategic outlook is it's mostly mirroring. They genuinely believe that everything bad that has happened to them is the work of the collective West and therefore they can do that to us and it will work
This isn't actually about nukes. It's about toppling Tehran so that the US and Israel can dominate the middle east. It's about geostrategic control and nothing else.
June 18, 2025 at 12:17 AM
This isn't actually about nukes. It's about toppling Tehran so that the US and Israel can dominate the middle east. It's about geostrategic control and nothing else.
…as Russia typically employs 7 to 11 bombers per salvo, it does have longer-term implications.
The loss of even a portion of these asset especially ones that are almost impossible to replace reduces Russia’s capacity for long-range force projection and its overall geostrategic flexibility.
The loss of even a portion of these asset especially ones that are almost impossible to replace reduces Russia’s capacity for long-range force projection and its overall geostrategic flexibility.
June 3, 2025 at 8:17 AM
…as Russia typically employs 7 to 11 bombers per salvo, it does have longer-term implications.
The loss of even a portion of these asset especially ones that are almost impossible to replace reduces Russia’s capacity for long-range force projection and its overall geostrategic flexibility.
The loss of even a portion of these asset especially ones that are almost impossible to replace reduces Russia’s capacity for long-range force projection and its overall geostrategic flexibility.
“The greatest threat to Europe and to Sweden’s security would be a Russian victory in Ukraine. This would have catastrophic geostrategic, security & military consequences. It must not & will not happen.”
— Swedish Defense Military або Pål Jonson
— Swedish Defense Military або Pål Jonson
May 29, 2025 at 8:58 PM
“The greatest threat to Europe and to Sweden’s security would be a Russian victory in Ukraine. This would have catastrophic geostrategic, security & military consequences. It must not & will not happen.”
— Swedish Defense Military або Pål Jonson
— Swedish Defense Military або Pål Jonson
From a geostrategic perspective it is unclear that any Russian ruler has ever made a single long-term good decision.
August 28, 2026 at 5:34 PM
From a geostrategic perspective it is unclear that any Russian ruler has ever made a single long-term good decision.