Note that there's still a small chance Democrats get a 65th seat, as the AP has yet to call HD34, where GOP state Rep. Wilt has a narrow lead as we wait for provisionals.
November 9, 2025 at 3:08 AM
Note that there's still a small chance Democrats get a 65th seat, as the AP has yet to call HD34, where GOP state Rep. Wilt has a narrow lead as we wait for provisionals.
Do we have yet another upset brewing in Virginia? #HD34 backed Trump by 6, but Democrat Andrew Payton is winning right now.
Mostly Republican areas out, but Payton's got a near 70% chance to win according to @statenavigate.org
Mostly Republican areas out, but Payton's got a near 70% chance to win according to @statenavigate.org
November 5, 2025 at 2:19 AM
Do we have yet another upset brewing in Virginia? #HD34 backed Trump by 6, but Democrat Andrew Payton is winning right now.
Mostly Republican areas out, but Payton's got a near 70% chance to win according to @statenavigate.org
Mostly Republican areas out, but Payton's got a near 70% chance to win according to @statenavigate.org
Minus 61 In Detroit
YouTube video by David Holmes - Topic
music.youtube.com
March 20, 2025 at 7:32 AM
Pretty amazing that VA House Dems targeted 14 GOP-held seats and flipped 13 of them. The only one they didn't win (#HD34) was still close—52-48!
November 7, 2025 at 5:37 PM
Pretty amazing that VA House Dems targeted 14 GOP-held seats and flipped 13 of them. The only one they didn't win (#HD34) was still close—52-48!
Wow...so close! (in a district that went 7+ pts for Trump in 2024, 18+ pts for Youngkin in 2021, 5.5 pts for Gillespie in 2017, etc.) bluevirginia.us/2025/11/wedn... h/t @notlarrysabato.bsky.social
November 12, 2025 at 11:18 PM
Wow...so close! (in a district that went 7+ pts for Trump in 2024, 18+ pts for Youngkin in 2021, 5.5 pts for Gillespie in 2017, etc.) bluevirginia.us/2025/11/wedn... h/t @notlarrysabato.bsky.social
For #Virginia election watchers: post-election (PE) absentee mail-in ballots (ballots that were postmarked by Election Day and arrived at elections offices by noon today) and provisional ballots are now being tallied.
Race to watch is #HD34: City of Harrisonburg (JMU) + Rockingham County.
Race to watch is #HD34: City of Harrisonburg (JMU) + Rockingham County.
November 7, 2025 at 7:41 PM
🗳️ JOLPOL endorses these pro- #Justice, #Opportunity, & #Liberty candidates for 11/3 General #Election2026 #Midterms2026 #Elections2026:
🗳️ #Oklahoma: State #House: #HD34: Rep. Trish @ransonhouse34.bsky.social | #HD45: Rep. Annie Menz! #GOTV #VOTE #OKpol #OKlegis #OKlege ⚖️
🗳️ #Oklahoma: State #House: #HD34: Rep. Trish @ransonhouse34.bsky.social | #HD45: Rep. Annie Menz! #GOTV #VOTE #OKpol #OKlegis #OKlege ⚖️
September 25, 2026 at 8:46 PM
🗳️ JOLPOL endorses these pro- #Justice, #Opportunity, & #Liberty candidates for 11/3 General #Election2026 #Midterms2026 #Elections2026:
🗳️ #Oklahoma: State #House: #HD34: Rep. Trish @ransonhouse34.bsky.social | #HD45: Rep. Annie Menz! #GOTV #VOTE #OKpol #OKlegis #OKlege ⚖️
🗳️ #Oklahoma: State #House: #HD34: Rep. Trish @ransonhouse34.bsky.social | #HD45: Rep. Annie Menz! #GOTV #VOTE #OKpol #OKlegis #OKlege ⚖️
Despite Virginia's #HD34 backing Trump by seven points, the Virginia Democrats have it on their target list.
Why? Well, they're hoping for strong youth turnout in Harrisonburg (James Madison University!), so if they can get that, they can flip this district.
RATING: Likely R
Why? Well, they're hoping for strong youth turnout in Harrisonburg (James Madison University!), so if they can get that, they can flip this district.
RATING: Likely R
October 20, 2025 at 7:35 PM
Despite Virginia's #HD34 backing Trump by seven points, the Virginia Democrats have it on their target list.
Why? Well, they're hoping for strong youth turnout in Harrisonburg (James Madison University!), so if they can get that, they can flip this district.
RATING: Likely R
Why? Well, they're hoping for strong youth turnout in Harrisonburg (James Madison University!), so if they can get that, they can flip this district.
RATING: Likely R
The Virginia Democrats have plenty of targets to flip in the State House this year, but one stands out, #HD34 in Harrisonburg.
This district backed Trump by seven, but the Democrats are hoping for big youth turnout out of Harrisonburg (James Madison University) to flip it blue.
This district backed Trump by seven, but the Democrats are hoping for big youth turnout out of Harrisonburg (James Madison University) to flip it blue.
September 4, 2025 at 7:08 PM
The Virginia Democrats have plenty of targets to flip in the State House this year, but one stands out, #HD34 in Harrisonburg.
This district backed Trump by seven, but the Democrats are hoping for big youth turnout out of Harrisonburg (James Madison University) to flip it blue.
This district backed Trump by seven, but the Democrats are hoping for big youth turnout out of Harrisonburg (James Madison University) to flip it blue.
Here are the seven GOP-held VA HoD seats Trump won by 5-10 pts. If Dems win any of these tonight, *watch out* (it's tsunami territory):
#HD34 Wilt (R)
#HD40 McNamara (R)
#HD49 Marshall (R)
#HD52 Walker (R)
#HD74 Cherry (R)
#HD83 Wachsmann (R)
#HD100 Bloxom (R)
#HD34 Wilt (R)
#HD40 McNamara (R)
#HD49 Marshall (R)
#HD52 Walker (R)
#HD74 Cherry (R)
#HD83 Wachsmann (R)
#HD100 Bloxom (R)
November 4, 2025 at 11:42 PM
Here are the seven GOP-held VA HoD seats Trump won by 5-10 pts. If Dems win any of these tonight, *watch out* (it's tsunami territory):
#HD34 Wilt (R)
#HD40 McNamara (R)
#HD49 Marshall (R)
#HD52 Walker (R)
#HD74 Cherry (R)
#HD83 Wachsmann (R)
#HD100 Bloxom (R)
#HD34 Wilt (R)
#HD40 McNamara (R)
#HD49 Marshall (R)
#HD52 Walker (R)
#HD74 Cherry (R)
#HD83 Wachsmann (R)
#HD100 Bloxom (R)
Centered around the college town of Muncie, Indiana's #HD34 trending to the right in the Trump era, Democratic State Representative Sue Errington has been able to keep a solid hold of it.
Last year, she won re-election by 10 points, outrunning Harris's four point win here.
Last year, she won re-election by 10 points, outrunning Harris's four point win here.
July 14, 2025 at 7:36 PM
Centered around the college town of Muncie, Indiana's #HD34 trending to the right in the Trump era, Democratic State Representative Sue Errington has been able to keep a solid hold of it.
Last year, she won re-election by 10 points, outrunning Harris's four point win here.
Last year, she won re-election by 10 points, outrunning Harris's four point win here.
#alakasky and Bluesky in general: Meet Joy Beth Cottle, the progressive candidate for HD34! voters didn’t like the back-room shenanigans that led to the incumbent’s wife ending up on the ballot. JBC is poised to take this deep-in-Trump-country seat.
#akleg
#akelect
@charlesgaba.com
#akleg
#akelect
@charlesgaba.com
Joy Beth Cottle for State House
Support Joy Beth Cottle, your Alaska State House candidate for District 34, dedicated to community service to Fairbanks residents and positive change.
joybethforalaska.com
August 30, 2026 at 12:15 AM
#alakasky and Bluesky in general: Meet Joy Beth Cottle, the progressive candidate for HD34! voters didn’t like the back-room shenanigans that led to the incumbent’s wife ending up on the ballot. JBC is poised to take this deep-in-Trump-country seat.
#akleg
#akelect
@charlesgaba.com
#akleg
#akelect
@charlesgaba.com
Jenny Willford for HD34
@chadclifford.bsky.social for HD37
Gretchen Rydin for HD38
Naquetta Ricks for HD40
Jamie Jackson for HD41
Vic Meyers for HD47
Tommy Butler for HD50
Jacki Marsh for HD51
Yara Zokaie for HD52
Andrew Boesenecker for HD53
@chadclifford.bsky.social for HD37
Gretchen Rydin for HD38
Naquetta Ricks for HD40
Jamie Jackson for HD41
Vic Meyers for HD47
Tommy Butler for HD50
Jacki Marsh for HD51
Yara Zokaie for HD52
Andrew Boesenecker for HD53
September 25, 2026 at 11:46 PM
Jenny Willford for HD34
@chadclifford.bsky.social for HD37
Gretchen Rydin for HD38
Naquetta Ricks for HD40
Jamie Jackson for HD41
Vic Meyers for HD47
Tommy Butler for HD50
Jacki Marsh for HD51
Yara Zokaie for HD52
Andrew Boesenecker for HD53
@chadclifford.bsky.social for HD37
Gretchen Rydin for HD38
Naquetta Ricks for HD40
Jamie Jackson for HD41
Vic Meyers for HD47
Tommy Butler for HD50
Jacki Marsh for HD51
Yara Zokaie for HD52
Andrew Boesenecker for HD53
Next most likely flips:
HD44 danielleforgeorgia.com
HD34 titus4ga.com
HD19 www.electstarkejones.com
HD147 linktr.ee/voterenitadu...
HD81 www.mishaelwhite4georgia.com
HD45 www.michelleschreinerga.com
HD44 danielleforgeorgia.com
HD34 titus4ga.com
HD19 www.electstarkejones.com
HD147 linktr.ee/voterenitadu...
HD81 www.mishaelwhite4georgia.com
HD45 www.michelleschreinerga.com
Danielle for Georgia
CANDIDATE FOR GEORGIA HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES District 44
Woodstock & Marietta
danielleforgeorgia.com
September 24, 2026 at 1:44 PM
Next most likely flips:
HD44 danielleforgeorgia.com
HD34 titus4ga.com
HD19 www.electstarkejones.com
HD147 linktr.ee/voterenitadu...
HD81 www.mishaelwhite4georgia.com
HD45 www.michelleschreinerga.com
HD44 danielleforgeorgia.com
HD34 titus4ga.com
HD19 www.electstarkejones.com
HD147 linktr.ee/voterenitadu...
HD81 www.mishaelwhite4georgia.com
HD45 www.michelleschreinerga.com
--There's a progressive independent, Joy Beth Cottle, running in HD34 who is on track to be the biggest upset of this cycle and I would very strongly suggest you add her to this list.
August 29, 2026 at 7:44 PM
--There's a progressive independent, Joy Beth Cottle, running in HD34 who is on track to be the biggest upset of this cycle and I would very strongly suggest you add her to this list.
While we’re on the topic of campaign donations- Joy Beth Cottle, a fire captain, union member and lifelong Alaskan is running to unseat Frank Tomasewski in HD34 Fairbanks
She’s in a tough district and needs all the help she can get:
joybethforalaska.com
She’s in a tough district and needs all the help she can get:
joybethforalaska.com
Joy Beth Cottle for State House
Learn more about Joy Beth Cottle, a candidate for the Alaska State House who is dedicated to serving the community.
joybethforalaska.com
January 13, 2026 at 7:26 AM
While we’re on the topic of campaign donations- Joy Beth Cottle, a fire captain, union member and lifelong Alaskan is running to unseat Frank Tomasewski in HD34 Fairbanks
She’s in a tough district and needs all the help she can get:
joybethforalaska.com
She’s in a tough district and needs all the help she can get:
joybethforalaska.com
btw, Ms. Evans lost today for the 2nd vice chair position and is now an HD vice-chair in her house district which is HD34, represented by Carol Spackman Moss.
May 4, 2025 at 4:03 AM
btw, Ms. Evans lost today for the 2nd vice chair position and is now an HD vice-chair in her house district which is HD34, represented by Carol Spackman Moss.
Trump won HD34 by 7 points and it's got an entrenched Republican incumbent (Del. Tony Wilt), so VA House Dems - @SpeakerDonScott @HelmerVA etc. - must be feeling VERY optimistic about their/our chances! bluevirginia.us/thursday-new...
July 17, 2025 at 4:57 PM
Trump won HD34 by 7 points and it's got an entrenched Republican incumbent (Del. Tony Wilt), so VA House Dems - @SpeakerDonScott @HelmerVA etc. - must be feeling VERY optimistic about their/our chances! bluevirginia.us/thursday-new...
Joey Beltram-Energy Flash >>
Slam - Positive education >>
David Holmes - -61 in Detroit
www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hd34...
Slam - Positive education >>
David Holmes - -61 in Detroit
www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hd34...
Minus 61 In Detroit
YouTube video by David Holmes - Topic
www.youtube.com
March 18, 2026 at 12:53 PM
Joey Beltram-Energy Flash >>
Slam - Positive education >>
David Holmes - -61 in Detroit
www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hd34...
Slam - Positive education >>
David Holmes - -61 in Detroit
www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hd34...
IN HD30, right-wing Kevin McCabe once again defeated even-more-right wing Doyle Holmes.
HD34 was the only exception to the trend in the House: Incumbent Frank Tomaszewski soundly defeated moderate Republican Joy Beth Cottle.
(25/30)
HD34 was the only exception to the trend in the House: Incumbent Frank Tomaszewski soundly defeated moderate Republican Joy Beth Cottle.
(25/30)
January 26, 2025 at 1:05 AM
IN HD30, right-wing Kevin McCabe once again defeated even-more-right wing Doyle Holmes.
HD34 was the only exception to the trend in the House: Incumbent Frank Tomaszewski soundly defeated moderate Republican Joy Beth Cottle.
(25/30)
HD34 was the only exception to the trend in the House: Incumbent Frank Tomaszewski soundly defeated moderate Republican Joy Beth Cottle.
(25/30)
We weren’t going to recruit very hard for HD32 or senate district Q but now maybe we should
HD34 also has a great value aligned independent - I’m hopeful
HD34 also has a great value aligned independent - I’m hopeful
February 1, 2026 at 8:32 AM
We weren’t going to recruit very hard for HD32 or senate district Q but now maybe we should
HD34 also has a great value aligned independent - I’m hopeful
HD34 also has a great value aligned independent - I’m hopeful
HD34 in Corpus Christi is a huge question mark. Dems lost it in an upset in 2024, when the incumbent retired and they nominated a former state rep. That candidate managed to underperform *Harris* by double digits, losing by 12 pts as she lost it by 2%. Allred carried it easily.
September 15, 2026 at 11:06 PM
HD34 in Corpus Christi is a huge question mark. Dems lost it in an upset in 2024, when the incumbent retired and they nominated a former state rep. That candidate managed to underperform *Harris* by double digits, losing by 12 pts as she lost it by 2%. Allred carried it easily.
If you were anxiously awaiting endorsement results from the Allegheny County Democratic Committee…
(1) You know how to live, friend
(2) Here you go!
(1) You know how to live, friend
(2) Here you go!
March 9, 2026 at 2:22 AM
If you were anxiously awaiting endorsement results from the Allegheny County Democratic Committee…
(1) You know how to live, friend
(2) Here you go!
(1) You know how to live, friend
(2) Here you go!
