RESULT: Community organizer Miguel Alvelo-Rivera has ousted state Representative Jaime Andrade in the Democratic primary.
This is the Chicago-based HD40, & Andrade has been a longtime target of the Chicago left.
This is the Chicago-based HD40, & Andrade has been a longtime target of the Chicago left.
March 18, 2026 at 2:41 AM
RESULT: Community organizer Miguel Alvelo-Rivera has ousted state Representative Jaime Andrade in the Democratic primary.
This is the Chicago-based HD40, & Andrade has been a longtime target of the Chicago left.
This is the Chicago-based HD40, & Andrade has been a longtime target of the Chicago left.
RESULT: When Maryland adopted major restrictions on ICE earlier this year (we covered here: boltsmag.org/maryland-new...), just one Democrat in the state House opposed this: Delegate Frank Conaway.
Conaway has been ousted by a wide margin in tonight's Democratic primary for HD40.
Conaway has been ousted by a wide margin in tonight's Democratic primary for HD40.
June 24, 2026 at 3:01 AM
RESULT: When Maryland adopted major restrictions on ICE earlier this year (we covered here: boltsmag.org/maryland-new...), just one Democrat in the state House opposed this: Delegate Frank Conaway.
Conaway has been ousted by a wide margin in tonight's Democratic primary for HD40.
Conaway has been ousted by a wide margin in tonight's Democratic primary for HD40.
Semaphores at Hellifield. 3 January 2026. #railway #photography
January 4, 2026 at 7:25 AM
Semaphores at Hellifield. 3 January 2026. #railway #photography
We have the near final results:
—Democrats won in Florida's SD15 by 45% (72.5/27.5).
Harris had won this district by 23%.
—Democrats won Florida's HD40 by 50% (75/25).
(Harris had won this district by 35%.)
(Presidential results courtesy of the always indispensable @the-downballot.com.)
—Democrats won in Florida's SD15 by 45% (72.5/27.5).
Harris had won this district by 23%.
—Democrats won Florida's HD40 by 50% (75/25).
(Harris had won this district by 35%.)
(Presidential results courtesy of the always indispensable @the-downballot.com.)
No surprise in Florida tonight: Democrats are very easily defending two vacant seats in the state legislature.
(Stay tuned for final results; but it looks like they're each shift blue compared to November, as earlier special elections have.)
(Stay tuned for final results; but it looks like they're each shift blue compared to November, as earlier special elections have.)
September 2, 2025 at 11:34 PM
We have the near final results:
—Democrats won in Florida's SD15 by 45% (72.5/27.5).
Harris had won this district by 23%.
—Democrats won Florida's HD40 by 50% (75/25).
(Harris had won this district by 35%.)
(Presidential results courtesy of the always indispensable @the-downballot.com.)
—Democrats won in Florida's SD15 by 45% (72.5/27.5).
Harris had won this district by 23%.
—Democrats won Florida's HD40 by 50% (75/25).
(Harris had won this district by 35%.)
(Presidential results courtesy of the always indispensable @the-downballot.com.)
Florida counts quick! And they've just tallied up two more sizable overperformances for Dems:
• In #SD15: +22 vs. 2024 presidential results
• In #HD40: +15
Dems now averaging +15.7 vs. 2024 across 38 qualifying special elections.
Complete Big Board: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
• In #SD15: +22 vs. 2024 presidential results
• In #HD40: +15
Dems now averaging +15.7 vs. 2024 across 38 qualifying special elections.
Complete Big Board: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
September 2, 2025 at 11:33 PM
Florida counts quick! And they've just tallied up two more sizable overperformances for Dems:
• In #SD15: +22 vs. 2024 presidential results
• In #HD40: +15
Dems now averaging +15.7 vs. 2024 across 38 qualifying special elections.
Complete Big Board: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
• In #SD15: +22 vs. 2024 presidential results
• In #HD40: +15
Dems now averaging +15.7 vs. 2024 across 38 qualifying special elections.
Complete Big Board: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Rain or shine — #TeamAnna is doing the work! We’re helping community members renew their vote-by-mail and get ready to vote for the SD25 and HD40 Special Elections!
Join us for an upcoming canvass at mobilize.us/AnnaForOrlando
Join us for an upcoming canvass at mobilize.us/AnnaForOrlando
May 31, 2025 at 4:42 PM
Rain or shine — #TeamAnna is doing the work! We’re helping community members renew their vote-by-mail and get ready to vote for the SD25 and HD40 Special Elections!
Join us for an upcoming canvass at mobilize.us/AnnaForOrlando
Join us for an upcoming canvass at mobilize.us/AnnaForOrlando
Tonight's 10 big results:
—Stratton wins big ILSen primary
—Chicago-region's open House races go to: Donna Miller, Melissa Bean, LaShawn Ford, Daniel Biss
—Bailey is GOP nom vs Pritzker.
—Left ousts state Rep in IL's HD40
—GOP defends 3 leg seats; overperforms in VA, underperforms in PA x2.
—Stratton wins big ILSen primary
—Chicago-region's open House races go to: Donna Miller, Melissa Bean, LaShawn Ford, Daniel Biss
—Bailey is GOP nom vs Pritzker.
—Left ousts state Rep in IL's HD40
—GOP defends 3 leg seats; overperforms in VA, underperforms in PA x2.
March 18, 2026 at 3:03 AM
Tonight's 10 big results:
—Stratton wins big ILSen primary
—Chicago-region's open House races go to: Donna Miller, Melissa Bean, LaShawn Ford, Daniel Biss
—Bailey is GOP nom vs Pritzker.
—Left ousts state Rep in IL's HD40
—GOP defends 3 leg seats; overperforms in VA, underperforms in PA x2.
—Stratton wins big ILSen primary
—Chicago-region's open House races go to: Donna Miller, Melissa Bean, LaShawn Ford, Daniel Biss
—Bailey is GOP nom vs Pritzker.
—Left ousts state Rep in IL's HD40
—GOP defends 3 leg seats; overperforms in VA, underperforms in PA x2.
RACE CALL: In Ohio's #HD40, alleged incestual pedophile/Republican incumbent Rodney Creech has won his primary in this deeply Republican district.
Just so you know, let them carry this around their neck. The Ohio Republicans LITERALLY ENDORSED HIM FOR RE-ELECTION
Just so you know, let them carry this around their neck. The Ohio Republicans LITERALLY ENDORSED HIM FOR RE-ELECTION
May 6, 2026 at 2:40 AM
RACE CALL: In Ohio's #HD40, alleged incestual pedophile/Republican incumbent Rodney Creech has won his primary in this deeply Republican district.
Just so you know, let them carry this around their neck. The Ohio Republicans LITERALLY ENDORSED HIM FOR RE-ELECTION
Just so you know, let them carry this around their neck. The Ohio Republicans LITERALLY ENDORSED HIM FOR RE-ELECTION
Utah HD40 is going to a primary race. Dem Challenger Wendy Davis was 1 vote shy of locking out sitting Rep Stoddard and winning the nomination outright
Purrtah is currently undecided
Purrtah is currently undecided
April 12, 2026 at 1:54 AM
Utah HD40 is going to a primary race. Dem Challenger Wendy Davis was 1 vote shy of locking out sitting Rep Stoddard and winning the nomination outright
Purrtah is currently undecided
Purrtah is currently undecided
Jaime Andrade's campaign just push-polled me by phone with this outright lie and nothing else.
When confronted, the caller admitted she was with "Friends of Jaime Andrade" and hopes he can earn my vote.
So... that's how desperate the IL-HD40 incumbent is with only 26 days remaining on the clock
When confronted, the caller admitted she was with "Friends of Jaime Andrade" and hopes he can earn my vote.
So... that's how desperate the IL-HD40 incumbent is with only 26 days remaining on the clock
Holy shit. Jaime Andrade accused Miguel of working with ICE. Miguel is a literal rapid responder who organized safety patrols at day laborer sites. This is beyond the pale even for Chicago.
To follow up, here's the response from Miguel Alvelo-Rivera to the smears coming from Andrade, about ICE.
Please pass this on to anyone you know in the IL 40th State Legislative District. (NW Chicago's Albany Park, Irving Park, Avondale, Bucktown, Kilbourn Park)
www.instagram.com/reel/DU5j_VN...
Please pass this on to anyone you know in the IL 40th State Legislative District. (NW Chicago's Albany Park, Irving Park, Avondale, Bucktown, Kilbourn Park)
www.instagram.com/reel/DU5j_VN...
February 20, 2026 at 1:27 AM
Jaime Andrade's campaign just push-polled me by phone with this outright lie and nothing else.
When confronted, the caller admitted she was with "Friends of Jaime Andrade" and hopes he can earn my vote.
So... that's how desperate the IL-HD40 incumbent is with only 26 days remaining on the clock
When confronted, the caller admitted she was with "Friends of Jaime Andrade" and hopes he can earn my vote.
So... that's how desperate the IL-HD40 incumbent is with only 26 days remaining on the clock
Best result for the IL left is the HD40 result I'd say?
March 18, 2026 at 2:13 AM
Best result for the IL left is the HD40 result I'd say?
Progressives notched a huge win in Illinois's #HD40 on Tuesday when community organizer Miguel Alvelo-Rivera unseated incumbent Democrat Jaime Andrade.
This northwest side district saw one of the last vestiges of the establishment machine fall with Alvelo-Rivera winning by 11.
This northwest side district saw one of the last vestiges of the establishment machine fall with Alvelo-Rivera winning by 11.
March 19, 2026 at 6:37 PM
Progressives notched a huge win in Illinois's #HD40 on Tuesday when community organizer Miguel Alvelo-Rivera unseated incumbent Democrat Jaime Andrade.
This northwest side district saw one of the last vestiges of the establishment machine fall with Alvelo-Rivera winning by 11.
This northwest side district saw one of the last vestiges of the establishment machine fall with Alvelo-Rivera winning by 11.
LaVon Bracy Davis is running for Florida State Senate District 15. You know her name. She is currently state representative for HD40. She will fight for economic development, voting rights, healthcare, public education and other key issues.
Elect LaVon Bracy Davis
FL State Senate District 15
Elect LaVon Bracy Davis
FL State Senate District 15
June 20, 2025 at 11:21 PM
LaVon Bracy Davis is running for Florida State Senate District 15. You know her name. She is currently state representative for HD40. She will fight for economic development, voting rights, healthcare, public education and other key issues.
Elect LaVon Bracy Davis
FL State Senate District 15
Elect LaVon Bracy Davis
FL State Senate District 15
The Canon Navigator HD40 Video Manual, 1990 : 1504s
May 8, 2026 at 12:30 PM
The Canon Navigator HD40 Video Manual, 1990 : 1504s
We’re back at the doors today, helping to uplift both LaVon Bracy Davis and Rashon Young who are running in the Special Election for SD15 and HD40, respectively. Say hello if you see us, and join us for an upcoming canvass at mobilize.us/AnnaForOrlando
June 7, 2025 at 3:14 PM
We’re back at the doors today, helping to uplift both LaVon Bracy Davis and Rashon Young who are running in the Special Election for SD15 and HD40, respectively. Say hello if you see us, and join us for an upcoming canvass at mobilize.us/AnnaForOrlando
Recap of tonight's specials. Dems overperform by double digits in two races.
Connecticut:
#SD21: R+7/Trump+1
#HD40: D+38/Harris+22
Maine:
#HD24: D+44/Harris+25
In 10 races this year, Dems on average are performing 9 pts better than the 2024 prez results.
Our complete Big Board:
Connecticut:
#SD21: R+7/Trump+1
#HD40: D+38/Harris+22
Maine:
#HD24: D+44/Harris+25
In 10 races this year, Dems on average are performing 9 pts better than the 2024 prez results.
Our complete Big Board:
The Downballot's "Big Board": 2025-26 cycle D-vs.-R special elections vs. presidential results
docs.google.com
February 26, 2025 at 3:05 AM
We have three special state legislative elections today in Maine & Connecticut. Two of them (Maine's #HD24 & Connecticut's #HD40) should be easy Democratic holds.
The final one, Connecticut's #SD21, backed Trump by 0.5% after backing Biden by 4%. Definitely a flip opportunity.
The final one, Connecticut's #SD21, backed Trump by 0.5% after backing Biden by 4%. Definitely a flip opportunity.
February 25, 2025 at 10:54 PM
Here are the seven GOP-held VA HoD seats Trump won by 5-10 pts. If Dems win any of these tonight, *watch out* (it's tsunami territory):
#HD34 Wilt (R)
#HD40 McNamara (R)
#HD49 Marshall (R)
#HD52 Walker (R)
#HD74 Cherry (R)
#HD83 Wachsmann (R)
#HD100 Bloxom (R)
#HD34 Wilt (R)
#HD40 McNamara (R)
#HD49 Marshall (R)
#HD52 Walker (R)
#HD74 Cherry (R)
#HD83 Wachsmann (R)
#HD100 Bloxom (R)
November 4, 2025 at 11:42 PM
Here are the seven GOP-held VA HoD seats Trump won by 5-10 pts. If Dems win any of these tonight, *watch out* (it's tsunami territory):
#HD34 Wilt (R)
#HD40 McNamara (R)
#HD49 Marshall (R)
#HD52 Walker (R)
#HD74 Cherry (R)
#HD83 Wachsmann (R)
#HD100 Bloxom (R)
#HD34 Wilt (R)
#HD40 McNamara (R)
#HD49 Marshall (R)
#HD52 Walker (R)
#HD74 Cherry (R)
#HD83 Wachsmann (R)
#HD100 Bloxom (R)
Incumbent Republican-turned-independent Rep. Thomas Baker was eliminated in the first round of RCV tabulation for HD40.
Democrat Robyn Burke, who has been the favorite, wins with 60.1% of the vote.
Democrat Robyn Burke, who has been the favorite, wins with 60.1% of the vote.
November 21, 2024 at 2:43 AM
Incumbent Republican-turned-independent Rep. Thomas Baker was eliminated in the first round of RCV tabulation for HD40.
Democrat Robyn Burke, who has been the favorite, wins with 60.1% of the vote.
Democrat Robyn Burke, who has been the favorite, wins with 60.1% of the vote.
Flip and Defend-a-District 2025: @downeyforva.com (HD69), Donna Littlepage (HD40), Del. @ireneforva.bsky.social (HD08), Del. Rodney Willett (HD58) bluevirginia.us/2025/08/flip... h/t @RipSullivan6
Flip and Defend-a-District 2025: Mark Downey (HD69), Donna Littlepage (HD40), Del. Irene Shin (HD08), Del. Rodney Willett (HD58)
From Del. Rip Sullivan's Project Blue Dominion... Flip and Defend-a-District 2025 Volume 11 - August 15, 2025 - It is great to see Abigail on the trail taking the offensive on education, reminding fol...
bluevirginia.us
August 15, 2025 at 4:18 PM
Flip and Defend-a-District 2025: @downeyforva.com (HD69), Donna Littlepage (HD40), Del. @ireneforva.bsky.social (HD08), Del. Rodney Willett (HD58) bluevirginia.us/2025/08/flip... h/t @RipSullivan6
November 7, 2024 at 7:45 PM