#HD98
IT’S ALMOST TUESDAY, which means….

 IT’S ALMOST ELECTION DAY!!!

There are six elections this week, and they are all state legislative. We have AR HD70, SC HD98, GA HD23, VA SD15, and VA HD77 (HD - House District, SD - Senate District)
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https://www.thedailyelm.com/p/election-day-is-every-tuesday-jan
January 5, 2026 at 2:46 AM
Final results in the South Carolina #HD98 (Trump+7.5) special election:

Greg Ford (R)- 50.3%
Sonja Ogletree Satani (D)- 49.7%

Republicans hold onto this suburban Charleston seat by 21 votes!
January 7, 2026 at 1:57 AM
Half of the vote now reporting in the South Carolina #HD98 (Trump+7.5) special election:

Sonja Ogletree Satani (D)- 50.4%
Greg Ford (R)- 49.6%

Dems take the lead, an 18 vote lead to be precise!
January 7, 2026 at 1:16 AM
First votes just dropped in the South Carolina #HD98 (Trump+7.5) special election:

Gregory Ford (R)- 51.9%
Sonja Ogletree Satani (D)- 48.1%

This is going to be a close one folks!
January 7, 2026 at 12:55 AM
Republicans retake the lead in South Carolina's #HD98 (Trump+7.5) with six precincts left to report:

Greg Ford (R)- 51%
Sonja Ogletree Satani (D)- 49%
January 7, 2026 at 1:26 AM
Virginia's GOP appears very likely to have defended HD98: the It leads 65% to 35% with all in-person voting reporting (+2900 votes).

But the *final margin* remains unknown: mail-voting has yet to report, & in November the mail vote broke almost 2:1 for the Democrat.

(GOP won by 14 here in Nov.)
March 18, 2026 at 12:04 AM
Special election today in a deep-red Virginia House of Delegates district; can Dems "overperform?" bluevirginia.us/2026/03/tues... h/t @vpapupdates
March 17, 2026 at 11:24 AM
Republican lead in South Carolina's #HD98 (Trump+7.5) slightly expands, only three precincts left to report:

Greg Ford (R)- 51.7%
Sonja Ogletree Satani (D)- 48.3%

The three remaining precincts pretty much split even in the early vote
January 7, 2026 at 1:35 AM
The Democrats have their first big state legislative flip opportunity of 2026 Tuesday in South Carolina's #HD98.

This suburban Charleston seat backed Trump by 7 in 2024, but the Dems are running a good candidate in Sonja Ogletree Santani or, as they're calling her, "Dr SOS."
January 2, 2026 at 7:45 PM
Just to put it in perspective, a Democrat winning a 57% Trump district in PA would be comparable to a Democrat winning bright-red HD98 in VA Beach this November bluevirginia.us/2025/03/tues... h/t @vpapupdates @TPM
March 26, 2025 at 11:21 AM
Also if you’re kinda curious about special elections but only care about the interesting ones, here are the flippable seats for Ds this month

SC HD98 is Trump +7.5 on Jan 6
AL HD63 is Trump +17 on Jan 13
TX SD09 is Trump +17 on Jan 31 (a Saturday lol)
January 3, 2026 at 2:09 AM
Sam Shirazi Looks at “Rare GOP Overperformance” (in HD98 Last Night), Analyzes What That Might Mean for the VA Redistricting Referendum; It's not that Dems are "going to lose the redistricting referendum," but "it’s important...not to take anything for granted" bluevirginia.us/2026/03/sam-...
Sam Shirazi Looks at "Rare GOP Overperformance" (in HD98 Last Night), Analyzes What That Might Mean for the VA Redistricting Referendum - Blue Virginia
I was thinking about writing up my own analysis of last night’s special election results in HD98, but then I saw that Sam Shirazi put out a podcast on that topic this morning, and it’s (not surprising...
bluevirginia.us
March 18, 2026 at 12:53 PM
Deputy Commonwealth's Attorney Andrew Rice wins the VA GOP nomination (over fmr. Del. Tim Anderson) in HD98, a Virginia Beach, solid-red seat that went by 14 pts to Trump in Nov. 2024. Rice will face Democrat Cheryl Smith. bluevirginia.us/2026/02/tues... h/t @AndyFoxWAVYTV @vpapupdates
February 25, 2026 at 10:18 AM
The Rs are jumping on the early voting for the Referendum vote. With your back against the wall, you fight harder. The Dems need to take this Referendum vote faster. Could lose it. Not surprised about HD98.
March 18, 2026 at 11:56 AM
#HamptonRoads, did you miss our infographics about the awesome women running to flip seats in #HD89, #HD98, #HD99 & #HD100?

Learn more about the community-first goals & values of #LizRichardson, #CatPorterfield, #CherylSmith & #KaceyCarnegie. And VOTE!

#Virginia #Election
October 29, 2025 at 2:19 PM
Come meet Andrew! He is running for HD98, as Monica Kurth is retiring 12/31/26. www.andrewforiowa.com
secure.actblue.com/donate/andre...
October 20, 2025 at 8:43 PM
Giovanni Capriglione HD98
Sheryl Cole HD46
Nicole Collier HD95 ⭐️
David Cook HD96
June 28, 2025 at 2:32 PM
Flip and Defend-a-District 2025 (Vol. 13): Sarah Ratcliffe (HD62), Gary Miller (HD49), Cheryl Smith (HD98), Del. Debra Gardner (HD76) bluevirginia.us/2025/08/flip... h/t @RipSullivan6
Flip and Defend-a-District 2025 (Vol. 13): Sarah Ratcliffe (HD62), Gary Miller (HD49), Cheryl Smith (HD98), Del. Debra Gardner (HD76)
From Del. Rip Sullivan's Project Blue Dominion: It’s Labor Day weekend, the traditional start to every November election. But our candidates have been running at full speed for months. And we are pois...
bluevirginia.us
August 29, 2025 at 5:51 PM
But VA GOP HD98 wasnt gonna be a flip. Dems aren’t winning every electio.
March 25, 2026 at 3:43 AM
The Virginia Beach Democratic Committee meets on the first Monday of every month at 6 p.m. at the Meyera E. Oberndorf Central Library, 4100 Virginia Beach Blvd. (unless otherwise noted). Join them on May 5 for a special presentation by Cheryl Smith, candidate for HD98.
April 25, 2025 at 3:20 AM
"As a retired teacher, Cheryl Smith for Virginia will put the families and students of Virginia Beach first. In Richmond, she will be a great advocate for Virginia Beach, our veterans, and our communities. Get out and vote today!" - @ElaineLuria bluevirginia.us/2026/03/tues...
March 17, 2026 at 2:03 PM
"The Virginia Beach Democratic Committee today announced the cancellation of the House District 98 Special Election Nomination Caucus after Cheryl Smith was the only candidate to file by the established deadline." bluevirginia.us/2026/02/mond...
February 24, 2026 at 12:42 AM
Even if you disregard last night's results, VA Dems should be at "all hands on deck" right now to pass the redistricting amendment - do NOT take it for granted, get complacent, assume the new districts are a done deal, etc. bluevirginia.us/2026/03/sam-... h/t @ECaliberSeven
March 18, 2026 at 3:43 PM
Last year, we fielded a candidate in every one of our 100 House Districts. We picked up 13 House seats and had Democrats move the margin everywhere. As campaigns chair, proud to support Cheryl Smith, a teacher who is running for the open HD98 in VA Beach for her election on Mar 17!
February 25, 2026 at 7:35 PM