#nzpol HYEFU data today showed that unemployment is forecast to stay much higher than forecast by Treasury at the last election. There will be 76,000 more people on jobseekers by 2027. Wages going up by less every year than forecast at the last election.
December 16, 2025 at 1:49 AM
#nzpol HYEFU data today showed that unemployment is forecast to stay much higher than forecast by Treasury at the last election. There will be 76,000 more people on jobseekers by 2027. Wages going up by less every year than forecast at the last election.
I see HYEFU and think “Hey! Fuck You!!”
December 16, 2025 at 4:31 AM
I see HYEFU and think “Hey! Fuck You!!”
In the wake of the HYEFU a reminder that @sarahhbickerton.bsky.social was spot on in her analysis.
We didn't have a public debt problem, we had an overseas balance of payments issue. Which sure, you can address with austerity, but that's like putting in a nail by dropping a building on it from height. It'll work, but it'll destroy everything else around it. There were other economic tools to use.
December 16, 2025 at 2:39 AM
In the wake of the HYEFU a reminder that @sarahhbickerton.bsky.social was spot on in her analysis.
#nzpol HYEFU shows that the OBEGAL deficit is no longer in the same postcode as the National Party Fiscal Plan. We never get close to the surplus being promised - to the tune of -$48bn across the period to 2027/28
December 16, 2025 at 2:24 AM
#nzpol HYEFU shows that the OBEGAL deficit is no longer in the same postcode as the National Party Fiscal Plan. We never get close to the surplus being promised - to the tune of -$48bn across the period to 2027/28
#BHN Economist at the CTU, Craig Renney, on why #meangirl Nicola Willis has banned him from next week's HYEFU
#nzpol @chewienz.bsky.social
youtu.be/3HgFyK-XUag?...
#nzpol @chewienz.bsky.social
youtu.be/3HgFyK-XUag?...
#BHN Craig Renney on why Nicola Willis has banned him from HYEFU
YouTube video by DOC Studios
youtu.be
December 14, 2024 at 5:05 AM
#BHN Economist at the CTU, Craig Renney, on why #meangirl Nicola Willis has banned him from next week's HYEFU
#nzpol @chewienz.bsky.social
youtu.be/3HgFyK-XUag?...
#nzpol @chewienz.bsky.social
youtu.be/3HgFyK-XUag?...
#BHN Craig Renney on how the $13b gap in HYEFU is actually only half the story, it's closer to a $27b gap and no ones talking about it
#nzpol @chewienz.bsky.social
youtu.be/vVH05sxcbY0
#nzpol @chewienz.bsky.social
youtu.be/vVH05sxcbY0
#BHN Craig Renney on HYEFU and the fallout from it
YouTube video by DOC Studios
youtu.be
December 18, 2024 at 8:19 PM
#BHN Craig Renney on how the $13b gap in HYEFU is actually only half the story, it's closer to a $27b gap and no ones talking about it
#nzpol @chewienz.bsky.social
youtu.be/vVH05sxcbY0
#nzpol @chewienz.bsky.social
youtu.be/vVH05sxcbY0
#BHN Chloe Swarbrick on HYEFU, the 2024 year for the Greens and how united we are as a Nation against the Government
#nzpol @chewienz.bsky.social
youtu.be/XSd_3nBMdzc
#nzpol @chewienz.bsky.social
youtu.be/XSd_3nBMdzc
#BHN Chloe Swarbrick on HYEFU, the 2024 year for the Greens and how united we are
YouTube video by DOC Studios
youtu.be
December 18, 2024 at 8:18 PM
#BHN Chloe Swarbrick on HYEFU, the 2024 year for the Greens and how united we are as a Nation against the Government
#nzpol @chewienz.bsky.social
youtu.be/XSd_3nBMdzc
#nzpol @chewienz.bsky.social
youtu.be/XSd_3nBMdzc
Hyefu 2025: Economic recovery? I barely knew ye
Hyefu 2025: Economic recovery? I barely knew ye
'With fresh air in its lungs, the economy is picking up,' said Nicola Willis at today's Hyefu update, as the return to surplus slipped even further away....
thespinoff.co.nz
December 16, 2025 at 2:15 AM
Hyefu 2025: Economic recovery? I barely knew ye
#nzpol Just catching up with the HYEFU data today - but the data looks grim pretty much across the board. One data point stood out to me - the economy will be cumulatively $28.3bn smaller at the next election than predicted by Treasury at the last election.
December 16, 2025 at 1:23 AM
#nzpol Just catching up with the HYEFU data today - but the data looks grim pretty much across the board. One data point stood out to me - the economy will be cumulatively $28.3bn smaller at the next election than predicted by Treasury at the last election.
Imagine finishing your benefit forecasts for HYEFU, closing your laptop, and heading to floor 8 for a few miserable xmas treats... then the actual data comes out and blows your calculations out of the water!
[NB: Actual data varies slightly from forecast data, but not by much)
[NB: Actual data varies slightly from forecast data, but not by much)
December 16, 2025 at 4:53 AM
Imagine finishing your benefit forecasts for HYEFU, closing your laptop, and heading to floor 8 for a few miserable xmas treats... then the actual data comes out and blows your calculations out of the water!
[NB: Actual data varies slightly from forecast data, but not by much)
[NB: Actual data varies slightly from forecast data, but not by much)
Not hard to see why Willis doesn't want Craig Renney at the HYEFU.
No Plan, No Idea, No Ferries. Today’s announcement by the Minister of Finance means we don't know:
- where replacement ferries are coming from
- how much they will cost
- who will pay for them
- how the port infrastructure will be delivered,
- the fiscal or economic impact
A 🧵
- where replacement ferries are coming from
- how much they will cost
- who will pay for them
- how the port infrastructure will be delivered,
- the fiscal or economic impact
A 🧵
December 11, 2024 at 2:50 AM
Not hard to see why Willis doesn't want Craig Renney at the HYEFU.
🔥 Greens co-leader Chlöe Swarbrick utterly nails it in her response to yesterdays release of the Half Year & Fiscal Update (HYEFU) which saw Finance Minister #NickyNoBoats Willis walk out of the House less than halfway through her speech.
Full version here: x.com/kelvin_morga...
#nzpol
Full version here: x.com/kelvin_morga...
#nzpol
December 17, 2024 at 5:36 PM
🔥 Greens co-leader Chlöe Swarbrick utterly nails it in her response to yesterdays release of the Half Year & Fiscal Update (HYEFU) which saw Finance Minister #NickyNoBoats Willis walk out of the House less than halfway through her speech.
Full version here: x.com/kelvin_morga...
#nzpol
Full version here: x.com/kelvin_morga...
#nzpol
CTU's Craig Renney says Treasury has shut him out of the Dec 17 HYEFU briefing. Political utu from a scrutiny-averse Govt that prefers 'Ready Fire Aim' evidence-lite policy making on the run. Just dumb. Plenty of other non-media will be there, including Taxpayers' Union, BusinessNZ & banks.
December 9, 2024 at 3:18 AM
CTU's Craig Renney says Treasury has shut him out of the Dec 17 HYEFU briefing. Political utu from a scrutiny-averse Govt that prefers 'Ready Fire Aim' evidence-lite policy making on the run. Just dumb. Plenty of other non-media will be there, including Taxpayers' Union, BusinessNZ & banks.
Seems my Nicola Willis budget cartoon works for the HYEFU too…☠️
December 19, 2024 at 1:24 AM
Seems my Nicola Willis budget cartoon works for the HYEFU too…☠️
HYEFU is more like FUBAR
December 17, 2024 at 1:14 AM
HYEFU is more like FUBAR
Absolute CORKER of a speech in the urgent debate from @barbedmonds.bsky.social
on the genuinely shocking HYEFU - which shows that the govt has ripped away relief for families to give money to their mates.
We TOLD the Minister that tax cuts were unaffordable, and sure enough - they are.
#nzpol
on the genuinely shocking HYEFU - which shows that the govt has ripped away relief for families to give money to their mates.
We TOLD the Minister that tax cuts were unaffordable, and sure enough - they are.
#nzpol
December 17, 2024 at 2:13 AM
Absolute CORKER of a speech in the urgent debate from @barbedmonds.bsky.social
on the genuinely shocking HYEFU - which shows that the govt has ripped away relief for families to give money to their mates.
We TOLD the Minister that tax cuts were unaffordable, and sure enough - they are.
#nzpol
on the genuinely shocking HYEFU - which shows that the govt has ripped away relief for families to give money to their mates.
We TOLD the Minister that tax cuts were unaffordable, and sure enough - they are.
#nzpol
#BHN The Council of Trade Unions economist Craig Renney has been banned from attending the Treasury event known as HYEFU (Half-Year Economic and Fiscal Update) and we wanted to know why...so we asked him
#nzpol @chewienz.bsky.social
youtu.be/-KFeErrHcqU
#nzpol @chewienz.bsky.social
youtu.be/-KFeErrHcqU
#BHN Craig Renney on Nicola Willis banning him from HYEFU and what's behind it
YouTube video by DOC Studios
youtu.be
December 11, 2024 at 9:03 PM
#BHN The Council of Trade Unions economist Craig Renney has been banned from attending the Treasury event known as HYEFU (Half-Year Economic and Fiscal Update) and we wanted to know why...so we asked him
#nzpol @chewienz.bsky.social
youtu.be/-KFeErrHcqU
#nzpol @chewienz.bsky.social
youtu.be/-KFeErrHcqU
#BHN Chris Hipkins LIVE at 9pm | Craig Renney LIVE on HYEFU | More on Bondi massacre #nzpol
www.youtube.com/live/Ik9sTCE...
www.youtube.com/live/Ik9sTCE...
#BHN Chris Hipkins LIVE at 9pm | Craig Renney LIVE on HYEFU | More on Bondi massacre
YouTube video by Big Hairy Network
www.youtube.com
December 16, 2025 at 7:54 AM
#BHN Chris Hipkins LIVE at 9pm | Craig Renney LIVE on HYEFU | More on Bondi massacre #nzpol
www.youtube.com/live/Ik9sTCE...
www.youtube.com/live/Ik9sTCE...
Here in Wellington for my first ever HYEFU, what surprises lie ahead?
December 19, 2023 at 9:45 PM
Here in Wellington for my first ever HYEFU, what surprises lie ahead?
Benefits data day 🧵
MSD are having a few issues with their systems but they seem happy with the last two data points. Well, happy that they're accurate, probs not so happy with the numbers being 10,000 above the HYEFU forecast from December! [1/n]
MSD are having a few issues with their systems but they seem happy with the last two data points. Well, happy that they're accurate, probs not so happy with the numbers being 10,000 above the HYEFU forecast from December! [1/n]
April 15, 2026 at 9:29 AM
Benefits data day 🧵
MSD are having a few issues with their systems but they seem happy with the last two data points. Well, happy that they're accurate, probs not so happy with the numbers being 10,000 above the HYEFU forecast from December! [1/n]
MSD are having a few issues with their systems but they seem happy with the last two data points. Well, happy that they're accurate, probs not so happy with the numbers being 10,000 above the HYEFU forecast from December! [1/n]
Chris Bishop interrupted @barbedmonds.bsky.social during her HYEFU speech because he didn't understand why she was talking about people 🙄
He genuinely doesn't understand that the economy has an impact on people
#nzpol
He genuinely doesn't understand that the economy has an impact on people
#nzpol
December 17, 2024 at 2:13 AM
Chris Bishop interrupted @barbedmonds.bsky.social during her HYEFU speech because he didn't understand why she was talking about people 🙄
He genuinely doesn't understand that the economy has an impact on people
#nzpol
He genuinely doesn't understand that the economy has an impact on people
#nzpol
Luxon wanted Smale away from his performative apology because he can’t handle questions that dig even a little deep. It’s clear Willis doesn’t want Renney at the Half-Year Economic and Fiscal Update (HYEFU) because he knows his numbers & has correctly called out Govt on their figures before. #nzpol
Locked out: Council of Trade Unions economist Craig Renney blocked from Treasury lock-up event
Economist Craig Renney had his application to attend the release of HYEFU declined.
www.nzherald.co.nz
December 9, 2024 at 6:33 PM
Luxon wanted Smale away from his performative apology because he can’t handle questions that dig even a little deep. It’s clear Willis doesn’t want Renney at the Half-Year Economic and Fiscal Update (HYEFU) because he knows his numbers & has correctly called out Govt on their figures before. #nzpol
i saw mummy fuck the HYEFU
underneath the christmas tree last night
underneath the christmas tree last night
December 17, 2024 at 2:35 AM
i saw mummy fuck the HYEFU
underneath the christmas tree last night
underneath the christmas tree last night
#BHN Tonight at 9pm
- Chloe Swarbrick LIVE at 9pm
- @clrenney.bsky.social LIVE at 9.45pm(ish)
- As we dissect the nightmare that is HYEFU
#nzpol @chewienz.bsky.social
youtube.com/live/IDbgw_Z...
- Chloe Swarbrick LIVE at 9pm
- @clrenney.bsky.social LIVE at 9.45pm(ish)
- As we dissect the nightmare that is HYEFU
#nzpol @chewienz.bsky.social
youtube.com/live/IDbgw_Z...
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December 17, 2024 at 4:39 AM
#BHN Tonight at 9pm
- Chloe Swarbrick LIVE at 9pm
- @clrenney.bsky.social LIVE at 9.45pm(ish)
- As we dissect the nightmare that is HYEFU
#nzpol @chewienz.bsky.social
youtube.com/live/IDbgw_Z...
- Chloe Swarbrick LIVE at 9pm
- @clrenney.bsky.social LIVE at 9.45pm(ish)
- As we dissect the nightmare that is HYEFU
#nzpol @chewienz.bsky.social
youtube.com/live/IDbgw_Z...
Cooking the books National style and yet it still looks fucking terrible
#nzpol
www.rnz.co.nz/news/busines...
#nzpol
www.rnz.co.nz/news/busines...
December 17, 2024 at 12:28 AM
Cooking the books National style and yet it still looks fucking terrible
#nzpol
www.rnz.co.nz/news/busines...
#nzpol
www.rnz.co.nz/news/busines...