New YouGov. The Reform decline continues. Third place soon.
Lab 23 (n/c),
Reform 21 (-2),
Con 21 (+1),
Green 14 (+3),
Lib Dem 12 (-1)
Lab 23 (n/c),
Reform 21 (-2),
Con 21 (+1),
Green 14 (+3),
Lib Dem 12 (-1)
September 22, 2026 at 8:02 AM
New YouGov. The Reform decline continues. Third place soon.
Lab 23 (n/c),
Reform 21 (-2),
Con 21 (+1),
Green 14 (+3),
Lib Dem 12 (-1)
Lab 23 (n/c),
Reform 21 (-2),
Con 21 (+1),
Green 14 (+3),
Lib Dem 12 (-1)
Worth remembering that MRPs don't pick up tactical voting decisions that happen during a campaign. So I'd guess this slightly underplays Lab/Lib and slightly overplays Con/Reform.
YouGov's September 2026 MRP projects that Labour would be the largest party in a hung parliament, were an election held tomorrow
Labour: 241 (-170 from 2024)
Conservatives: 130 (+9)
Reform UK: 123 (+118)
Lib Dems: 71 (-1)
SNP: 40 (+31)
Plaid Cymru: 15 (+11)
Greens: 9 (+5)
Others: 3 (-3)
Labour: 241 (-170 from 2024)
Conservatives: 130 (+9)
Reform UK: 123 (+118)
Lib Dems: 71 (-1)
SNP: 40 (+31)
Plaid Cymru: 15 (+11)
Greens: 9 (+5)
Others: 3 (-3)
September 24, 2026 at 7:52 AM
Worth remembering that MRPs don't pick up tactical voting decisions that happen during a campaign. So I'd guess this slightly underplays Lab/Lib and slightly overplays Con/Reform.
Lib Lab! Lib Lab! LIB LAB! LIB LAB!
Which potential coalitions have the most support from Britons?
LD + Lab, Davey PM: 36% support
Lab + Grn, Starmer PM: 33%
Lab + LD, Starmer PM: 31%
Grn + Lab, Polanski PM: 30%
Ref + Con, Farage PM: 29%
LD + Con, Davey PM: 26%
Con + Ref, Badenoch PM: 25%
yougov.co.uk/politics/art...
LD + Lab, Davey PM: 36% support
Lab + Grn, Starmer PM: 33%
Lab + LD, Starmer PM: 31%
Grn + Lab, Polanski PM: 30%
Ref + Con, Farage PM: 29%
LD + Con, Davey PM: 26%
Con + Ref, Badenoch PM: 25%
yougov.co.uk/politics/art...
January 8, 2026 at 10:29 AM
Lib Lab! Lib Lab! LIB LAB! LIB LAB!
Lib Dems on highest poll rating with YouGov since before 2019 election:
Lab 24, Ref 23, Con 22, Lib Dem 17, Green 9
YouGov for The Times/Sky, out this morning.
Lab 24, Ref 23, Con 22, Lib Dem 17, Green 9
YouGov for The Times/Sky, out this morning.
April 8, 2025 at 6:53 AM
Lib Dems on highest poll rating with YouGov since before 2019 election:
Lab 24, Ref 23, Con 22, Lib Dem 17, Green 9
YouGov for The Times/Sky, out this morning.
Lab 24, Ref 23, Con 22, Lib Dem 17, Green 9
YouGov for The Times/Sky, out this morning.
New poll from Deltapoll:
Lab 30% (+1)
Reform 27% (=)
Con 20% (-1)
Green 8% (=)
Lib Dem 8% (=)
Fieldwork: 21st - 24th August 2026
Sample: 2,022 GB Adults
First time Lab have been at 30% since Jan 2025.
Lab 30% (+1)
Reform 27% (=)
Con 20% (-1)
Green 8% (=)
Lib Dem 8% (=)
Fieldwork: 21st - 24th August 2026
Sample: 2,022 GB Adults
First time Lab have been at 30% since Jan 2025.
August 25, 2026 at 1:16 PM
New poll from Deltapoll:
Lab 30% (+1)
Reform 27% (=)
Con 20% (-1)
Green 8% (=)
Lib Dem 8% (=)
Fieldwork: 21st - 24th August 2026
Sample: 2,022 GB Adults
First time Lab have been at 30% since Jan 2025.
Lab 30% (+1)
Reform 27% (=)
Con 20% (-1)
Green 8% (=)
Lib Dem 8% (=)
Fieldwork: 21st - 24th August 2026
Sample: 2,022 GB Adults
First time Lab have been at 30% since Jan 2025.
Starmer:
“If you don’t like our policies you can leave.”
Voters:
“If you don’t like our policies you can leave.”
Voters:
February 27, 2026 at 6:52 AM
Starmer:
“If you don’t like our policies you can leave.”
Voters:
“If you don’t like our policies you can leave.”
Voters:
🗳️ NEW | Greens lead with all voters under 65, reveals latest YouGov survey:
-- 18-64s --
🟢 Grn: 26%
➡️ Ref: 20%
🔴 Lab: 17%
🔵 Con: 13%
🟠 Lib: 14%
-- Over 65s --
➡️ Ref: 33%
🔵 Con: 26%
🔴 Lab: 15%
🟠 Lib: 14%
🟢 Grn: 6%
Poll: @YouGov, 1-2 March
-- 18-64s --
🟢 Grn: 26%
➡️ Ref: 20%
🔴 Lab: 17%
🔵 Con: 13%
🟠 Lib: 14%
-- Over 65s --
➡️ Ref: 33%
🔵 Con: 26%
🔴 Lab: 15%
🟠 Lib: 14%
🟢 Grn: 6%
Poll: @YouGov, 1-2 March
March 3, 2026 at 5:06 PM
🗳️ NEW | Greens lead with all voters under 65, reveals latest YouGov survey:
-- 18-64s --
🟢 Grn: 26%
➡️ Ref: 20%
🔴 Lab: 17%
🔵 Con: 13%
🟠 Lib: 14%
-- Over 65s --
➡️ Ref: 33%
🔵 Con: 26%
🔴 Lab: 15%
🟠 Lib: 14%
🟢 Grn: 6%
Poll: @YouGov, 1-2 March
-- 18-64s --
🟢 Grn: 26%
➡️ Ref: 20%
🔴 Lab: 17%
🔵 Con: 13%
🟠 Lib: 14%
-- Over 65s --
➡️ Ref: 33%
🔵 Con: 26%
🔴 Lab: 15%
🟠 Lib: 14%
🟢 Grn: 6%
Poll: @YouGov, 1-2 March
All I'm saying lads is Lab-Lib equals 312 under this. Best look out your negotiating positions for the Union.
YouGov's September 2026 MRP projects that Labour would be the largest party in a hung parliament, were an election held tomorrow
Labour: 241 (-170 from 2024)
Conservatives: 130 (+9)
Reform UK: 123 (+118)
Lib Dems: 71 (-1)
SNP: 40 (+31)
Plaid Cymru: 15 (+11)
Greens: 9 (+5)
Others: 3 (-3)
Labour: 241 (-170 from 2024)
Conservatives: 130 (+9)
Reform UK: 123 (+118)
Lib Dems: 71 (-1)
SNP: 40 (+31)
Plaid Cymru: 15 (+11)
Greens: 9 (+5)
Others: 3 (-3)
September 24, 2026 at 8:04 AM
All I'm saying lads is Lab-Lib equals 312 under this. Best look out your negotiating positions for the Union.
Lib-Lab pact with customs union/single market the ‘price’ Labour has to pay for coalition?
(This is my bi-monthly, maximum, comment on opinion polls so far out from an election!)
(This is my bi-monthly, maximum, comment on opinion polls so far out from an election!)
Lib Dems on highest poll rating with YouGov since before 2019 election:
Lab 24, Ref 23, Con 22, Lib Dem 17, Green 9
YouGov for The Times/Sky, out this morning.
Lab 24, Ref 23, Con 22, Lib Dem 17, Green 9
YouGov for The Times/Sky, out this morning.
April 8, 2025 at 1:27 PM
Lib-Lab pact with customs union/single market the ‘price’ Labour has to pay for coalition?
(This is my bi-monthly, maximum, comment on opinion polls so far out from an election!)
(This is my bi-monthly, maximum, comment on opinion polls so far out from an election!)
‼️BREAKING | Greens surge into LEAD (1st!!)
🟢 Grn: 21.4% (+2.1)
➡️ Ref: 20.9% (-1.4)
🔵 Con: 20.5% (+0.2)
🔴 Lab: 17.0% (-0.4)
🟠 Lib: 9.2% (-1.9)
Poll: @LordAPolls, 26-30 Mar (+/- vs 19-23 Feb)
🟢 Grn: 21.4% (+2.1)
➡️ Ref: 20.9% (-1.4)
🔵 Con: 20.5% (+0.2)
🔴 Lab: 17.0% (-0.4)
🟠 Lib: 9.2% (-1.9)
Poll: @LordAPolls, 26-30 Mar (+/- vs 19-23 Feb)
April 5, 2026 at 8:11 AM
‼️BREAKING | Greens surge into LEAD (1st!!)
🟢 Grn: 21.4% (+2.1)
➡️ Ref: 20.9% (-1.4)
🔵 Con: 20.5% (+0.2)
🔴 Lab: 17.0% (-0.4)
🟠 Lib: 9.2% (-1.9)
Poll: @LordAPolls, 26-30 Mar (+/- vs 19-23 Feb)
🟢 Grn: 21.4% (+2.1)
➡️ Ref: 20.9% (-1.4)
🔵 Con: 20.5% (+0.2)
🔴 Lab: 17.0% (-0.4)
🟠 Lib: 9.2% (-1.9)
Poll: @LordAPolls, 26-30 Mar (+/- vs 19-23 Feb)
Appears the Senate voted on 16 September against the release of documents.
The 28 senators (Lib/Lab + a few odds and sods) voted against the release of documents.
Another transparency fail where everything is destined to remain a secret.
The 28 senators (Lib/Lab + a few odds and sods) voted against the release of documents.
Another transparency fail where everything is destined to remain a secret.
September 22, 2026 at 12:44 AM
Appears the Senate voted on 16 September against the release of documents.
The 28 senators (Lib/Lab + a few odds and sods) voted against the release of documents.
Another transparency fail where everything is destined to remain a secret.
The 28 senators (Lib/Lab + a few odds and sods) voted against the release of documents.
Another transparency fail where everything is destined to remain a secret.
It’s not Lib vs Lab or right vs left - it’s career politicians from the major parties vs the rest of us #auspol
We end the year with one major party celebrating that it has approved no new coal mines on the same day it approved 3 coal mine extension (one to 2088!), and the other madly touting its batshit nuclear fantasy as a cover for more coal. But yeah, the Greens and teals are the anarchists.
December 20, 2024 at 5:49 AM
It’s not Lib vs Lab or right vs left - it’s career politicians from the major parties vs the rest of us #auspol
‼️ BREAKING: Greens WIN Gorton and Denton by-election in a landslide victory
🟢 Grn: 41% (+27)
➡️ Ref: 29% (+15)
🔴 Lab: 25% (-25)
🔵 Con: 2% (-6)
🟠 Lib: 2% (-2)
Green GAIN from Labour (+/- vs GE2024)
‼️First-ever Green win in an MP by-election
🟢 Grn: 41% (+27)
➡️ Ref: 29% (+15)
🔴 Lab: 25% (-25)
🔵 Con: 2% (-6)
🟠 Lib: 2% (-2)
Green GAIN from Labour (+/- vs GE2024)
‼️First-ever Green win in an MP by-election
February 27, 2026 at 4:34 AM
‼️ BREAKING: Greens WIN Gorton and Denton by-election in a landslide victory
🟢 Grn: 41% (+27)
➡️ Ref: 29% (+15)
🔴 Lab: 25% (-25)
🔵 Con: 2% (-6)
🟠 Lib: 2% (-2)
Green GAIN from Labour (+/- vs GE2024)
‼️First-ever Green win in an MP by-election
🟢 Grn: 41% (+27)
➡️ Ref: 29% (+15)
🔴 Lab: 25% (-25)
🔵 Con: 2% (-6)
🟠 Lib: 2% (-2)
Green GAIN from Labour (+/- vs GE2024)
‼️First-ever Green win in an MP by-election
Lab-Lib-Green?
General Election Nowcast - 13/09/26:
LAB: 253 (-158) | 25.7% (73 Short)
RFM: 136 (+131) | 23.5%
CON: 101 (-20) | 19.7%
LDM: 72 (=) | 10.5%
SNP: 43 (+34) | 2.7%
GRN: 13 (+9) | 10.6%
PLC: 7 (+3) | 1.1%
RES: 1 (+1) | 3.6%
Oth: 5 (=) | 2.7%
electionmaps.uk/nowcast
LAB: 253 (-158) | 25.7% (73 Short)
RFM: 136 (+131) | 23.5%
CON: 101 (-20) | 19.7%
LDM: 72 (=) | 10.5%
SNP: 43 (+34) | 2.7%
GRN: 13 (+9) | 10.6%
PLC: 7 (+3) | 1.1%
RES: 1 (+1) | 3.6%
Oth: 5 (=) | 2.7%
electionmaps.uk/nowcast
September 14, 2026 at 12:02 AM
Lab-Lib-Green?
🚨 50% of Labour voters (17pts) have walked away. Where did they go?
🔴Lab ->🟢Grn: 6.2pts [ 36% ]
🔴Lab ->🟠Lib: 4.2pts [ 24% ]
🔴Lab ->➡️Ref: 3.5pts [ 20% ]
🔴Lab ->🔵Con: 1.4pts [ 8% ]
70%+ of defecting Labour voters have moved *left*.
Via @YouGov, 14 Dec-9 Jan
🔴Lab ->🟢Grn: 6.2pts [ 36% ]
🔴Lab ->🟠Lib: 4.2pts [ 24% ]
🔴Lab ->➡️Ref: 3.5pts [ 20% ]
🔴Lab ->🔵Con: 1.4pts [ 8% ]
70%+ of defecting Labour voters have moved *left*.
Via @YouGov, 14 Dec-9 Jan
January 26, 2026 at 2:15 PM
🚨 50% of Labour voters (17pts) have walked away. Where did they go?
🔴Lab ->🟢Grn: 6.2pts [ 36% ]
🔴Lab ->🟠Lib: 4.2pts [ 24% ]
🔴Lab ->➡️Ref: 3.5pts [ 20% ]
🔴Lab ->🔵Con: 1.4pts [ 8% ]
70%+ of defecting Labour voters have moved *left*.
Via @YouGov, 14 Dec-9 Jan
🔴Lab ->🟢Grn: 6.2pts [ 36% ]
🔴Lab ->🟠Lib: 4.2pts [ 24% ]
🔴Lab ->➡️Ref: 3.5pts [ 20% ]
🔴Lab ->🔵Con: 1.4pts [ 8% ]
70%+ of defecting Labour voters have moved *left*.
Via @YouGov, 14 Dec-9 Jan
Obviously I’ve since radicalised: the ideal government would be Lib/Lab
July 28, 2025 at 6:56 PM
Obviously I’ve since radicalised: the ideal government would be Lib/Lab
🧵4
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Cameron Thomas, Lib Dem
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@abarroscurtis.bsky.social Lab
@niagriffith.bsky.social Lab
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@philbrickellmp.bsky.social Lab (APPG)
@mpsusanmurray.bsky.social Lib Dem
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@abarroscurtis.bsky.social Lab
@niagriffith.bsky.social Lab
@claireyoungmp.bsky.social Lib Dem
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About — APPG on Anti-Corruption and Responsible Tax
anticorruption-responsibletax.org
February 9, 2026 at 8:24 PM
🧵4
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@mpsusanmurray.bsky.social Lib Dem
@alexsobel.co.uk Lab
Cameron Thomas, Lib Dem
@anneliesedoddsmp.bsky.social Lab
@abarroscurtis.bsky.social Lab
@niagriffith.bsky.social Lab
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@mpsusanmurray.bsky.social Lib Dem
@alexsobel.co.uk Lab
Cameron Thomas, Lib Dem
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@abarroscurtis.bsky.social Lab
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🗳️ BREAKING | Greens surge to 2nd (YouGov)
➡️ Ref: 23% (-1)
🟢 Grn: 21% (+4)
🔵 Con: 16% (-2)
🔴 Lab: 16% (-2)
🟠 Lib: 14% (=)
Poll: @YouGov, 1-2 Mar (+/- vs 23 Feb)
➡️ Ref: 23% (-1)
🟢 Grn: 21% (+4)
🔵 Con: 16% (-2)
🔴 Lab: 16% (-2)
🟠 Lib: 14% (=)
Poll: @YouGov, 1-2 Mar (+/- vs 23 Feb)
March 3, 2026 at 9:43 AM
🗳️ BREAKING | Greens surge to 2nd (YouGov)
➡️ Ref: 23% (-1)
🟢 Grn: 21% (+4)
🔵 Con: 16% (-2)
🔴 Lab: 16% (-2)
🟠 Lib: 14% (=)
Poll: @YouGov, 1-2 Mar (+/- vs 23 Feb)
➡️ Ref: 23% (-1)
🟢 Grn: 21% (+4)
🔵 Con: 16% (-2)
🔴 Lab: 16% (-2)
🟠 Lib: 14% (=)
Poll: @YouGov, 1-2 Mar (+/- vs 23 Feb)
🧵/ How far does the public support net zero?
Support: 60%
Oppose: 25%
Net support by party
Green: +81
Lib Dem: +67
Lab: +64
Con: +11
Reform: -44
yougov.co.uk/politics/art...
Support: 60%
Oppose: 25%
Net support by party
Green: +81
Lib Dem: +67
Lab: +64
Con: +11
Reform: -44
yougov.co.uk/politics/art...
November 11, 2025 at 10:43 AM
🧵/ How far does the public support net zero?
Support: 60%
Oppose: 25%
Net support by party
Green: +81
Lib Dem: +67
Lab: +64
Con: +11
Reform: -44
yougov.co.uk/politics/art...
Support: 60%
Oppose: 25%
Net support by party
Green: +81
Lib Dem: +67
Lab: +64
Con: +11
Reform: -44
yougov.co.uk/politics/art...
‼️RESULT | Oxford City Council:
🟢Grn: 32% (+14)
🔴Lab: 31% (-13)
🟠Lib: 15% (-2)
➡️Ref: 10% (+10)
🔵Con: 6% (-2)
⚪️Oth: 6% (-7)
{ Won }
🔴Lab: 10 (-5)
🟢Grn: 9 (+5)
🟠Lib: 4 (-)
⚪️Ind: 1 (-)
{ After }
🔴Lab: 20 (-5)
🟢Grn: 13 (+5)
🟠Lib: 9 (-)
⚪️Ind: 6 (-) x.com/LeftieStats/...
🟢Grn: 32% (+14)
🔴Lab: 31% (-13)
🟠Lib: 15% (-2)
➡️Ref: 10% (+10)
🔵Con: 6% (-2)
⚪️Oth: 6% (-7)
{ Won }
🔴Lab: 10 (-5)
🟢Grn: 9 (+5)
🟠Lib: 4 (-)
⚪️Ind: 1 (-)
{ After }
🔴Lab: 20 (-5)
🟢Grn: 13 (+5)
🟠Lib: 9 (-)
⚪️Ind: 6 (-) x.com/LeftieStats/...
May 8, 2026 at 10:50 AM
‼️RESULT | Oxford City Council:
🟢Grn: 32% (+14)
🔴Lab: 31% (-13)
🟠Lib: 15% (-2)
➡️Ref: 10% (+10)
🔵Con: 6% (-2)
⚪️Oth: 6% (-7)
{ Won }
🔴Lab: 10 (-5)
🟢Grn: 9 (+5)
🟠Lib: 4 (-)
⚪️Ind: 1 (-)
{ After }
🔴Lab: 20 (-5)
🟢Grn: 13 (+5)
🟠Lib: 9 (-)
⚪️Ind: 6 (-) x.com/LeftieStats/...
🟢Grn: 32% (+14)
🔴Lab: 31% (-13)
🟠Lib: 15% (-2)
➡️Ref: 10% (+10)
🔵Con: 6% (-2)
⚪️Oth: 6% (-7)
{ Won }
🔴Lab: 10 (-5)
🟢Grn: 9 (+5)
🟠Lib: 4 (-)
⚪️Ind: 1 (-)
{ After }
🔴Lab: 20 (-5)
🟢Grn: 13 (+5)
🟠Lib: 9 (-)
⚪️Ind: 6 (-) x.com/LeftieStats/...
🗳️ How young men would vote in #GE2029:
🟢 Grn: 30% (+18)
🔴 Lab: 21% (-19)
🟠 Lib: 17% (+1)
🔵 Con: 12% (+2)
➡️ Ref: 12% (=)
Via @YouGov, 14 Dec - 9 Jan (+/- vs GE2024)
🟢 Grn: 30% (+18)
🔴 Lab: 21% (-19)
🟠 Lib: 17% (+1)
🔵 Con: 12% (+2)
➡️ Ref: 12% (=)
Via @YouGov, 14 Dec - 9 Jan (+/- vs GE2024)
February 8, 2026 at 10:43 AM
🗳️ How young men would vote in #GE2029:
🟢 Grn: 30% (+18)
🔴 Lab: 21% (-19)
🟠 Lib: 17% (+1)
🔵 Con: 12% (+2)
➡️ Ref: 12% (=)
Via @YouGov, 14 Dec - 9 Jan (+/- vs GE2024)
🟢 Grn: 30% (+18)
🔴 Lab: 21% (-19)
🟠 Lib: 17% (+1)
🔵 Con: 12% (+2)
➡️ Ref: 12% (=)
Via @YouGov, 14 Dec - 9 Jan (+/- vs GE2024)
But a Lab/Lib coalition if there was 30% tactical voting among Lib/Lab/Grn.
livedataoxford.shinyapps.io/GE2029_Predi...
livedataoxford.shinyapps.io/GE2029_Predi...
May 7, 2025 at 6:30 AM
But a Lab/Lib coalition if there was 30% tactical voting among Lib/Lab/Grn.
livedataoxford.shinyapps.io/GE2029_Predi...
livedataoxford.shinyapps.io/GE2029_Predi...
The Red yearns for the Lib-Lab Alliance
July 10, 2026 at 10:20 PM
The Red yearns for the Lib-Lab Alliance
Makes sense that Tories worried about Reform outflanking on their right. Farage is worried about being outflanked on HIS right
But a labour centre left govt should NOT care - let the RW get more crazy and grab the huge centre ground.
Lab losing far more voters to lib Dems & greens than the right.
But a labour centre left govt should NOT care - let the RW get more crazy and grab the huge centre ground.
Lab losing far more voters to lib Dems & greens than the right.
September 9, 2025 at 7:51 AM
Makes sense that Tories worried about Reform outflanking on their right. Farage is worried about being outflanked on HIS right
But a labour centre left govt should NOT care - let the RW get more crazy and grab the huge centre ground.
Lab losing far more voters to lib Dems & greens than the right.
But a labour centre left govt should NOT care - let the RW get more crazy and grab the huge centre ground.
Lab losing far more voters to lib Dems & greens than the right.