#RFM
Not that I’m pointing the finger or anything, but this voting intention from YouGov:

Among People with Jobs:

LAB: 27%
RFM: 24%
LDM: 16%
CON: 15%
GRN: 12%

Among the Retired:

RFM: 36%
CON: 28%
LDM: 14%
LAB: 13%
GRN: 4%
June 26, 2025 at 9:02 AM
Makerfield By-Election Forecast:

With Burnham:
LAB: 45%
RFM: 42%

Without Burnham:
RFM: 53%
LAB: 27%

Via @survation.bsky.social.
Methodology Below.
May 16, 2026 at 11:33 AM
New Deltapoll poll:

LAB: 30% (+1)
CON: 23% (-4)
RFM: 22% (+4)
LDM: 12% (=)

Conducted 30 Dec - 3 Jan.
January 5, 2025 at 9:45 AM
Greater Manchester Mayoral By-Election Result:

🌹 Craig | LAB: 47.2%
➡️ Astley | RFM: 21.0%
🌍 Coggins | GRN: 12.2%
◼️ West | RES: 8.7%
🌳 Eckersley | CON: 7.7%
🔶 Kilpatrick | LDM: 2.2%
🙋 Farmer | Ind: 0.6%

2nd Round:
🌹 Craig | LAB: 66.3%
➡️ Astley | RFM: 33.7%

Labour HOLD.
July 31, 2026 at 10:18 PM
BMG Research Westminster poll. Reform in freefall.

LAB: 28% (+5)
RFM: 23% (-4)
CON: 20% (=)
LDM: 10% (-1)
GRN: 10% (-3)
SNP: 3% (=)
July 31, 2026 at 5:11 PM
New Survation poll. Have Reform peaked?

RFM: 29% (-5)
LAB: 22% (=)
CON: 18% (+1)
LDM: 12% (+1)
GRN: 11% (+3)
November 29, 2025 at 1:20 PM
More in Common Greater Manchester Mayoral By-Election poll:

LAB: 39% (-24)
RFM: 19% (+12)
GRN: 14% (+7)
CON: 12% (+2)
LDM: 8% (+4)
RES: 8% (New)
Ind: 1% (New)

2nd Round:
LAB: 65%
RFM: 35%
July 28, 2026 at 8:33 AM
Cranbrook, Sissinghurst & Frittenden (Tunbridge Wells) Council By-Election Result:

🔶 LDM: 37.3% (+22.9)
🌳 CON: 31.6% (-14.6)
➡️ RFM: 21.0% (-4.4)
🌍 GRN: 10.1% (-3.9)

Liberal Democrat GAIN from Localist.
Changes w/ 2026.
September 24, 2026 at 9:52 PM
Today’s Canadian painting is “Flatiron Building, Toronto” painted by RFM McInnis in 1973.
October 27, 2025 at 11:26 AM
New Bradwell (Milton Keynes) Council By-Election Result:

🌹 LAB: 54.2% (+19.7)
➡️ RFM: 23.4% (-3.1)
🌳 CON: 8.5% (-2.6)
🌍 GRN: 9.3% (-12.5)
🔶 LDM: 4.6% (-1.5)

Labour HOLD.
Changes w/ 2026.
September 25, 2026 at 9:51 AM
Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 26% (+1)
CON: 23% (+1)
RFM: 22% (-1)
LDM: 11% (+1)
GRN: 8% (-1)
RES: 6% (=)
SNP: 2% (=)

Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 18-21 Sep.
Changes w/ 11-15 Sep.
September 23, 2026 at 7:41 AM
New Ipsos Westminster poll:

LAB: 28% (+4)
RFM: 25% (-1)
CON: 18% (=)
GRN: 12% (-1)
LDM: 9% (-2)
August 9, 2026 at 9:08 AM
New YouGov UK poll.

RFM: 23% (-1)
GRN: 21% (+4)
LAB: 16% (-2)
CON: 16% (-2)
LDM: 14% (=)
March 3, 2026 at 8:58 AM
RFM 24 reports that more drones have been found in Poland — one of them crashed near a military base.
www.rmf24.pl/fakty/polska...
September 10, 2025 at 7:14 PM
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 32% (=)
GRN: 17% (+2)
CON: 16% (-1)
LAB: 16% (=)
LDM: 12% (=)
SNP: 2% (=)

Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 29 Oct.
Changes w/ 22 Oct.
October 30, 2025 at 4:13 PM
Cliftonville (Kent) Council By-Election Result:

🌍 GRN: 38.8% (+26.7)
➡️ RFM: 33.1% (-7.0)
🌳 CON: 15.2% (-4.5)
🌹 LAB: 10.4% (-11.6)
🙋 Ind: 1.3% (New)
🔶 LDM: 1.2% (-1.9)

No Ind (-3.0) as previous.

Green GAIN from Reform UK.
Changes w/ 2025.
April 10, 2026 at 11:26 AM
Westminster Voting Intention...

...Amongst People with Jobs:
LAB: 27%
RFM: 24%
LDM: 16%
CON: 15%
GRN: 12%

...Amongst the Retired:
RFM: 36%
CON: 28%
LDM: 14%
LAB: 13%
GRN: 4%

Via @yougov.co.uk, 29 May - 18 Jun.
June 25, 2025 at 9:51 AM
☀️In #Eastbourne last night, we showed Reform and the Tories the door 👉🚪

Upperton: LD HOLD

🔶 LD: 49.1%
🌳 CON: 24.0%
➡️ RFM: 17.3%
🌹 LAB: 5.2%
🙋 Ind: 3.9%
💷 UKIP: 0.5%

Langney: LD HOLD

🔶 LD: 50.4%
➡️ RFM: 32.1%
🌳 CON: 12.2%
🌹 LAB: 2.7%
🙋 Ind: 1.5%
💷 UKIP: 1.0%
May 2, 2025 at 7:37 AM
New YouGov Westminster poll:

RFM: 27% (-2)
LAB: 20% (-2)
CON: 17% (+1)
LDM: 17% (+2)
GRN: 12% (+1)
SNP: 4% (+1)
October 7, 2025 at 9:47 AM
New IPSOS Westminster polling:

RFM: 33% (-1)
LAB: 18% (-4)
CON: 16% (+2)
GRN: 15% (+3)
LDM: 12% (=)
November 16, 2025 at 10:36 AM
New YouGov Welsh Voting Intention:

PLC: 27% (-3)
RFM: 19% (-7)
LAB: 18% (+10)
CON: 16% (+4)
GRN: 8% (-5)
LDM: 5% (-1)
September 16, 2026 at 11:12 AM
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 25% (-2)
GRN: 20% (+7)
CON: 18% (-3)
LAB: 15% (-3)
LDM: 14% (+1)
SNP: 2% (-1)

Via @veriangroup.com, 20-23 Mar.
Changes w/ 12-15 Dec.
March 27, 2026 at 11:49 PM
New YouGov Westminster polling. Reform’s binfire party conference clearly went down well with the public.

RFM 27% (-2)
LAB 22% (+2)
CON 17% (=)
LDEM 15% (=)
GRN 10% (+2)
September 9, 2025 at 12:37 PM
Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 23% (=)
CON: 21% (+1)
RFM: 21% (-2)
GRN: 14% (+3)
LDM: 12% (-1)
RES: 4% (+1)
SNP: 2% (-1)

Via @yougov.co.uk, 20-21 Sep.
Changes w/ 13-14 Sep.
September 22, 2026 at 8:50 AM
Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 28% (+1)
RFM: 23% (=)
CON: 20% (+2)
GRN: 9% (-2)
LDM: 8% (-2)
RES: 7% (+2)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via BMG Research, 23-24 Sep.
Changes w/ 25-26 Aug.
September 25, 2026 at 6:39 PM