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#CarnegieDefenseInsights #IndiaDefenseModernization #MiG21Farewell #LCA #Rafale #ProcurementReform #DefenseTechnology #ChinaCarrier #MilitaryAviation #StrategicBalance In this edition of Carnegie Defense Insights, host Dinakar Peri breaks down the latest milestones and challenges in India’s defense ecosystem: Technology Perspective & Capability Roadmap (TPCR) 2025 India’s 15-year vision for future capabilities, highlighting drones, pseudo-satellites, ISR systems, and next-gen technologies to drive modernization and joint force planning. Defense Procurement Manual (DPM) A long-awaited update to streamline revenue procurement—spares, ammunition, and maintenance worth nearly ₹1 lakh crore—making processes more efficient and industry-friendly. Farewell to the MiG-21s The legendary MiG-21, India’s first supersonic jet and a veteran of the 1965 and 1971 wars, is set to retire after 62 years of service. Their exit brings the IAF’s squadron strength down to 29—far below the sanctioned 42.5. Light Combat Aircraft (LCA) Milestones The Tejas Mark-1A, critical to filling IAF’s fighter gaps, is poised for major trials, including firing and certification of indigenous Astra air-to-air missile. Based on successful conclusion and engine deliveries underway after delays two jets expected to be delivered in the next two months. Multi-Role Fighter Aircraft (MRFA) Tender The IAF has pushed for a government-to-government deal with France for 114 Rafales, potentially bypassing a global tender—one of the largest defense deals in India’s history. China’s third aircraft carrier, the Fujian, has demonstrated electromagnetic catapult launches of stealth fighters and AWACS, joining the U.S. as the only nation with this capability. India, by contrast, is awaiting government approval for a repeat order of medium sized carrier, while EMALS and nuclear propulsion are in the list of technologies to be developed by DRDO. Timestamps 00:00 – Introduction to defense developments 02:49 – TPCR 2025: Future force vision 05:35 – Defense Procurement Manual overview 08:13 – MiG-21 legacy and retirement 10:59 – LCA trials and delivery outlook 14:02 – MRFA and Rafale expansion plans 16:55 – China’s carrier aviation advances

Analysis of India's nuclear expansion, NSG waiver, strategic stability, and implications for South Asian deterrence.

India's hypersonic ambitions reshape South Asian security as Pakistan relies on credible deterrence to maintain regional stability.

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Analysis of India's Agni-VI missile program, its strategic ambitions, deterrence implications, and global security concerns.

How Pakistan balances relations with Saudi Arabia and Iran to protect its security, economy, and regional interests.

India’s expanding sea-based nuclear capabilities risk destabilizing the Indian Ocean and triggering a regional arms race.

US–Israel escalation with Iran tests Pakistan’s diplomacy, regional balance, security issues and need for internal unity.

U.S.-Iran talks in Oman unfold amid sanctions, military pressure, and deep mistrust over nuclear enrichment, missiles, and regional power.

Pakistan’s Gaza reconstruction role reflects strategic vigilance shaped by Srebrenica’s lessons on peacekeeping failures and global trust.

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NEW START’s expiry exposes the limits of bilateral arms control amid Russian violations, China’s nuclear rise, and shifting global deterrence.

UK seeks post-Brexit trade revival through reengagement with China while balancing security concerns and its strained alliance with the US.

Global nuclear disarmament is stalled as great powers modernize arsenals, weakening arms control and increasing instability worldwide.

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