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In theory, but surveillance systems are better than you think. If you watch UkrAF vids on the subject you'll notice that they mention evacuations taking about 20 minutes. An over powered system like this can maneuver to target late in the boost phase and give something like a 4 min warning.

January 10, 2026 at 12:59 PM

The MES Times

@themestimes.bsky.social

Russian military jets reportedly intercepted a UK Royal Air Force aircraft during a NATO mission over the Black Sea, raising fresh attention on tensions between Russia and NATO.

#Russia #UKRAF #NATO #BlackSea #MilitaryNews

May 21, 2026 at 5:59 PM

Matej Rafael Risko

@matejrisko.bsky.social

Just wanna say here that if the reports about the A2A kill (and Saab 340) are true it means that Ukraine already operates Link-16 protocol. Information that UKRAF aircraft will be equipped with CRC system interface has been around for a long time,..
1/4

June 10, 2025 at 8:21 PM

Matej Rafael Risko

@matejrisko.bsky.social

The UA pilot probably failed to leave the AO in time in a low-alt flight, or probably exposed himself to the hunter for too long losing time to evade while conducting a near-FLOT strike.

They sometimes btw fire Axeheads at an Adder range reducing the NEZ.

RIP to the UKRAF Flanker driver

FIN
7/7

February 3, 2025 at 10:44 PM

Matej Rafael Risko

@matejrisko.bsky.social

The N011M-R Bars-R radiolocator of the RLSU-30MK-R radar complex with which the Su-30SM/SME is equipped and the N135 radar of the Sh-135 Irbis radar complex with which the Su-30SM2 is equipped give both types of Flanker-H a considerable sensoric advantage over the UKRAF fighters.
2/7

February 3, 2025 at 10:44 PM

Matej Rafael Risko

@matejrisko.bsky.social

MALD has more than sufficient range (525 miles≈925km). In reality, however, UKRAF almost does not use MALD, for the penetration of the Russian IAMD it is not needed. VKS (Russian GBAD units) have a very low average success engagements rate against Storm Shadow/Scalp EG (~10%).

Victor B @crosspatch.bsky.social · Oct 13

There are still enough collaborators within UAF that the west might not feel comfortable providing too much information. It seems that Shadow/SCALP got around this by flying decoy missiles along with the weapon. Not sure they have the range to stay with Taurus the entire route.

3/3

October 13, 2023 at 7:32 PM

Matthew Ford

@warmatters.bsky.social

Relying on Western powers to re-arm Ukraine so that it can pursue battlefield success.

He has sought to escalate by taking the fight to Russia proper but Western powers have prevented him by imposing conditions on weapon supply.

Unable to push the RuAf from Ukraine, the UKrAf just bleed out.

November 13, 2024 at 9:18 AM

Matthew Ford

@warmatters.bsky.social

Everyone in Ukraine is exhausted. The Army has had enough.

If he takes Trump's deal then he admits he was mistaken.

If he doesn't take Trump's deal then the UkrAf will push him out in favour of someone with a more realistic strategy.

November 12, 2024 at 11:16 AM

Matthew Ford

@warmatters.bsky.social

Everyone in Ukraine is exhausted. The Army has had enough. If he takes Trump's deal then he admits he was mistaken.

If he doesn't take Trump's deal then the UkrAf will push him out in favour of someone with a more realistic strategy.

November 12, 2024 at 11:15 AM

Ichinin

@ichinin.bsky.social

*Inväntar otåligt videos från UkrAF*

June 5, 2025 at 8:14 PM

Thomas Murphy 🇮🇪

@centreground.bsky.social

"What exactly are you expecting F16's to do that are going to change the outcome of the conflict".

- Use active-RF missiles which the UkrAF have never used.
- Use HARM as they should be.
- Use PGMs which the UkrAF can't do as effectively

Seems you're one of those "weapons do nothing" vatniks

February 14, 2024 at 12:30 AM

Rin Sakurai

@rinsakaviation.bsky.social

Yep, they bought 2 examples from the UkrAF

December 8, 2024 at 12:01 AM

Nate A.M.

@kbnet.bsky.social

UkrAF assesses that fighters shoot down most cruise missiles. Russian raids are a mix of threats, and only fighters would have the flexibility to close the IADS against cruise missiles even considering the Ukrainian lack of missiles and the Russian VKS' inability to conduct effective SEAD/DEAD.

June 3, 2026 at 12:35 AM

Nate A.M.

@kbnet.bsky.social

However, much more reliable people with buddies in the UkrAF later corroborated that there was *someone* with some impressive claims (but not the crazy shit the original guy said), but also multiple people seem to have gotten conflated

December 12, 2025 at 5:42 AM

PKs Powerfromspace1 🚀 Last Angry Bernie Brother cast adrift 😒

@powerfromspace1.bsky.social

• @ukraf Door gunner shooting down a russian Shahed drone with a M134 Minigun.

Video by @aero.tim

#UkraineWar revealed

July 30, 2026 at 9:09 AM

PKs Powerfromspace1 🚀 Last Angry Bernie Brother cast adrift 😒

@powerfromspace1.bsky.social

• @smyziproductions Досконалість
@varta.project
@mariana_shafro
@thunder__ua
@fin_foin
@sviit_lanna
@ukraf

#🇺🇦 #україна #ukraine #повітрянісилиукраїни #ukrainianairforce #ukraineairforce #су25 #су25грак #su25 #su25frogfoot #airforce #militaryaviation #army #зсу #ua #smyziproductions

July 5, 2026 at 6:24 AM

PKs Powerfromspace1 🚀 Last Angry Bernie Brother cast adrift 😒

@powerfromspace1.bsky.social

@fighters_around_world1 Ukrainian Air Force MiG-29 Fulcrum screaming into a bombing run, afterburners on, to toss 2 glide bombs at a russian target.
Credit @ukraf
Cover @air_fighter_

#jdam #aasm250 #mig29 #mig29fulcrum #ukraine #Ukrainianarmy #kpszsu

June 22, 2026 at 6:37 AM

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