#Newspoll ALP 27 L-NP 21 ON 28 Grn 13 Ind/other 11
No 2PP. My estimate for this poll 51.7 to ALP vs L-NP (-1.8)
My ALP vs ON estimate 50.7 to ALP (-1.6)
No 2PP. My estimate for this poll 51.7 to ALP vs L-NP (-1.8)
My ALP vs ON estimate 50.7 to ALP (-1.6)
November 1, 2026 at 9:50 AM
#Newspoll ALP 27 L-NP 21 ON 28 Grn 13 Ind/other 11
No 2PP. My estimate for this poll 51.7 to ALP vs L-NP (-1.8)
My ALP vs ON estimate 50.7 to ALP (-1.6)
No 2PP. My estimate for this poll 51.7 to ALP vs L-NP (-1.8)
My ALP vs ON estimate 50.7 to ALP (-1.6)
The electorate looked from LNP to ALP and from ALP to LNP; but already it was impossible to say which was which. (apology to George Orwell).
#auspol
#auspol
October 30, 2026 at 12:55 AM
The electorate looked from LNP to ALP and from ALP to LNP; but already it was impossible to say which was which. (apology to George Orwell).
#auspol
#auspol
Following today's Newspoll and DemosAU polls my 2PP aggregate is at a new term low of 51.4 to ALP.
I also have ALP at 51.4 vs One Nation, but that's not a term low.
I also have ALP at 51.4 vs One Nation, but that's not a term low.
November 1, 2026 at 10:34 AM
Following today's Newspoll and DemosAU polls my 2PP aggregate is at a new term low of 51.4 to ALP.
I also have ALP at 51.4 vs One Nation, but that's not a term low.
I also have ALP at 51.4 vs One Nation, but that's not a term low.
No. Fucking. Thanks. Do not vote for the Triparty (ALP, LNP, ON).
November 1, 2026 at 12:09 PM
No. Fucking. Thanks. Do not vote for the Triparty (ALP, LNP, ON).
elif er alp gestand dass sie Angst vor atombomben hat kann so jemand eine Hauptstadt führen????
October 30, 2026 at 4:17 AM
elif er alp gestand dass sie Angst vor atombomben hat kann so jemand eine Hauptstadt führen????
If it takes voting out every single seat held by the ALP, LNP and ON to get rid of Zionism in Australia, you better believe we will do it.
October 30, 2026 at 12:13 PM
If it takes voting out every single seat held by the ALP, LNP and ON to get rid of Zionism in Australia, you better believe we will do it.
Morgan SMS Vic (state) ALP 22.5 L-NP 29.5 ON 22 Grn 12.5 Ind 7.5 other 6
2PP 56-44 to L-NP
(my estimate 54.2 to L-NP)
ALP vs ON 54.5 to ALP
(my estimate 51.1 to ON)
SMS polls are not that reliable
#springst
2PP 56-44 to L-NP
(my estimate 54.2 to L-NP)
ALP vs ON 54.5 to ALP
(my estimate 51.1 to ON)
SMS polls are not that reliable
#springst
October 30, 2026 at 9:04 AM
Morgan SMS Vic (state) ALP 22.5 L-NP 29.5 ON 22 Grn 12.5 Ind 7.5 other 6
2PP 56-44 to L-NP
(my estimate 54.2 to L-NP)
ALP vs ON 54.5 to ALP
(my estimate 51.1 to ON)
SMS polls are not that reliable
#springst
2PP 56-44 to L-NP
(my estimate 54.2 to L-NP)
ALP vs ON 54.5 to ALP
(my estimate 51.1 to ON)
SMS polls are not that reliable
#springst
Same. No more ALP for me.
November 2, 2026 at 7:23 AM
Same. No more ALP for me.
The fascists own most of the ALP now. Tell 'em Dougie!!
November 2, 2026 at 10:11 PM
The fascists own most of the ALP now. Tell 'em Dougie!!
ALP are disgusting now. At most levels
October 30, 2026 at 10:39 PM
ALP are disgusting now. At most levels
It's a cry for Alp.
November 2, 2026 at 6:20 PM
It's a cry for Alp.
This is a good piece by Amy. @albomp.bsky.social has turned this lifelong ALP voter into a Green. As for Chris Minns - I’d rather vote for a donkey. #auspol
October 31, 2026 at 9:55 PM
This is a good piece by Amy. @albomp.bsky.social has turned this lifelong ALP voter into a Green. As for Chris Minns - I’d rather vote for a donkey. #auspol
What is truly astonishing though is the way in which ALP have screwed over all the people who voted for or preferenced them over awful LNP to give the ALP victory, like in 2022 & 2025. The large number of ALP candidates who won narrow victories last election must be now shitting themselves ... 🫤
October 31, 2026 at 4:38 AM
What is truly astonishing though is the way in which ALP have screwed over all the people who voted for or preferenced them over awful LNP to give the ALP victory, like in 2022 & 2025. The large number of ALP candidates who won narrow victories last election must be now shitting themselves ... 🫤
The alp unleashed a monster.
October 30, 2026 at 8:38 AM
The alp unleashed a monster.
Exactly.
Same reason the ALP hate progressives (Greens and independents).
Same reason the ALP hate progressives (Greens and independents).
November 1, 2026 at 8:52 PM
Exactly.
Same reason the ALP hate progressives (Greens and independents).
Same reason the ALP hate progressives (Greens and independents).
October 29, 2026 at 4:24 PM
The ALP, LNP and PHON can also bugger off to Israel. 😡
November 2, 2026 at 3:53 PM
The ALP, LNP and PHON can also bugger off to Israel. 😡
#Essential ALP 28 L-NP 23 ON 28 Grn 12 Ind/other 6 undecided 4
Their "2PP+" by mostly respondent prefs 54.2 to L-NP (ALP down 5.3)
My conversion 50.6 to ALP (-1.9)
My ALP vs ON estimate 50.1 to ALP (-2.4)
See disclaimers here kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2026/07/esse...
Their "2PP+" by mostly respondent prefs 54.2 to L-NP (ALP down 5.3)
My conversion 50.6 to ALP (-1.9)
My ALP vs ON estimate 50.1 to ALP (-2.4)
See disclaimers here kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2026/07/esse...
Essential Report Microblogging Disclaimers
Tasmanian and Australian psephology, opinion poll analysis, election analysis and political commentary by Dr Kevin Bonham.
kevinbonham.blogspot.com
October 28, 2026 at 11:12 AM
#Essential ALP 28 L-NP 23 ON 28 Grn 12 Ind/other 6 undecided 4
Their "2PP+" by mostly respondent prefs 54.2 to L-NP (ALP down 5.3)
My conversion 50.6 to ALP (-1.9)
My ALP vs ON estimate 50.1 to ALP (-2.4)
See disclaimers here kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2026/07/esse...
Their "2PP+" by mostly respondent prefs 54.2 to L-NP (ALP down 5.3)
My conversion 50.6 to ALP (-1.9)
My ALP vs ON estimate 50.1 to ALP (-2.4)
See disclaimers here kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2026/07/esse...
The #Zionist #corruption, and #ALP #complicity, are becoming more and more apparent to more and more people. #auspol
I was reminded again today that Jillian Segal hired former Scott Morrison adviser Yaron Finkelstein on a $200,000 contract without a public tender process.
November 1, 2026 at 4:27 AM
The #Zionist #corruption, and #ALP #complicity, are becoming more and more apparent to more and more people. #auspol
You really do want to grab the ALP by the shoulders, shake them and yell "stop being so f^cking shit!".
November 2, 2026 at 8:12 AM
You really do want to grab the ALP by the shoulders, shake them and yell "stop being so f^cking shit!".
WTAF. Can’t be a refugee unless you’re rich. Why don’t Labor just admit they have a little shrine dedicated to John Howard tucked away somewhere in ALP headquarters? Disgusting people. Who joins up to a party like this? Who stays in a party that does this?!
#BREAKING Albanese Gov has announced that people seeking asylum will now have to pay upfront at least $1863 just to lodge an appeal of their refugee claim. It’s their only chance to present their claim to a human being & Gov knows most will be too poor to afford to. People will
die because of this.
die because of this.
November 2, 2026 at 9:42 AM
WTAF. Can’t be a refugee unless you’re rich. Why don’t Labor just admit they have a little shrine dedicated to John Howard tucked away somewhere in ALP headquarters? Disgusting people. Who joins up to a party like this? Who stays in a party that does this?!
Yes. The current ALP are only slightly less shit than the previous LNP.
Only thing is , the next LNP will be so much worse
Only thing is , the next LNP will be so much worse
November 1, 2026 at 11:04 PM
Yes. The current ALP are only slightly less shit than the previous LNP.
Only thing is , the next LNP will be so much worse
Only thing is , the next LNP will be so much worse
I was a member of the ALP for a very long time
The ALP see the left as their real enemy and the right (and far right) as party's they can negotiate with
Ask any ALP member, they will all tell you the same thing
The ALP see the left as their real enemy and the right (and far right) as party's they can negotiate with
Ask any ALP member, they will all tell you the same thing
October 30, 2026 at 5:18 AM
I was a member of the ALP for a very long time
The ALP see the left as their real enemy and the right (and far right) as party's they can negotiate with
Ask any ALP member, they will all tell you the same thing
The ALP see the left as their real enemy and the right (and far right) as party's they can negotiate with
Ask any ALP member, they will all tell you the same thing