The Bayesian Fama-MacBeth (BFM) method offers reliable risk premia estimates for both tradable and nontradable factors, overcoming issues with weak and spurious factors, as well as omitted variables.
2/n #BayesianMethods

Exciting news! My preprint on an open-source Python package for Computerized Adaptive Testing (CAT) is available!

Key features:

• Seamless software integration

• Fully customizable design

• 100% open source

🔗 doi.org/10.31219/osf...

#AdaptiveTesting #BayesianMethods #OpenSource #Python

Enlightened monks. Crying babies. Data scientists

👀 All bound by the same trauma: p-values

The too-high one
The model that made no sense
The sketchy dataset you used anyway
Bayes won’t absolve you—but it will help you understand

👇 Step into the Bayesian Booth. Confess.

#BayesianMethods #pvalues

Instead of saying, “X will happen,” it says, “Here's the range of what might happen, and how likely each scenario is.” That humility makes for much smarter risk management.

Read more 👉 https://lttr.ai/AsUGo

#investing #finance #BayesianMethods

Policy or market dynamics shift so fast your model gets stale Read more �‘‰ https://lttr.ai/ApMt8 #investing #finance #BayesianMethods

🌀 We've all built (or trusted) a model that felt solid—until the market laughed in its face.

Read more 👉 https://lttr.ai/Ai1wf

#investing #finance #BayesianMethods

Bayesian approaches handle this by saying: “Why pick one model when you can blend several?” Using

Read more 👉 https://lttr.ai/Agru7

#investing #finance #BayesianMethods

One of the sneaky traps investors fall into is recency bias—the tendency to overweigh recent events.

Read more 👉 https://lttr.ai/AgBFU

#investing #finance #BayesianMethods

Rigid models often fail to account for rare events or black swans. Read more �‘‰ https://lttr.ai/Afu9Y #investing #finance #BayesianMethods

Bayesian models also help us avoid a dangerous pitfall: false confidence. Read more �‘‰ https://lttr.ai/Afmqc #investing #finance #BayesianMethods

🧭 Beyond Crystal Balls: Making Better Financial Bets with Bayesian Brains

▸ https://lttr.ai/Aff1W

#investing #finance #BayesianMethods

🐟📑Calibrating p-values in ecology: a practical framework for integrating prior plausibility into statistical inference

vist.ly/5acv7

#BayesianMethods #PriorProbability #PvalueCalibration #Replicability #StatisticalInference

“#BayesianMethods in Practice” were discussed on a workshop at CAS. Many thanks to the organizer Andreas Doepp and the speakers:
Stephan Hartmann, Borut Trpin @boruttrpin.bsky.social, Volker Schmid, Florian Pargent, Felix Schönbrodt @lmu-osc.bsky.social,

The Schöntal workshop was thus a lively and enriching experience!

The workshop is funded by the STRUCTURES YRC and it celebrated its 9th edition this year. 2/2

#Regularization #BayesianMethods #InverseProblems #Physics #Mathematics #Schöntal

Ever wondered if your experimental setup is truly measuring what matters? Explore Bayesian methods to tackle key questions in protein screening with R2D2 priors. Share your thoughts and retweet if helpful! ericmjl.github.io/blog/2025/4/... #bayesianmethods #proteinscreening

5/
EPICSCORE is accurate, flexible, and broadly applicable 💥
📄 Paper: arxiv.org/abs/2502.06995
#AI #ML #UncertaintyQuantification #ConformalPrediction #BayesianMethods

We’ll explore how Bayesian approaches help us estimate evolutionary relationships and divergence times from molecular data.

https://www.transmittingscience.com/courses/evolution/bayesian-phylogenetic-inference-with-beast2/

#TScourses #KeepLearning #Phylogenetics #BayesianMethods